Oldham Athletic vs Fleetwood Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
14/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 32
  • Referee: Dale A. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.670.83
Ball possession
47%53%
Total shots
1211
Shots on target
33
Big chances
21
Corner kicks
77
Passes
66% (210/320)67% (249/369)
Yellow cards
02
Expected goals (xG)
0.670.83
xG on target (xGOT)
0.240.38
Total shots
1211
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
64
Blocked shots
34
Shots inside the box
79
Shots outside the box
52
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
21
Corner kicks
77
Touches in opposition box
1723
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free kicks
126
Passes
66% (210/320)67% (249/369)
Long passes
41% (31/76)38% (34/89)
Passes in final third
61% (91/149)54% (67/123)
Crosses
24% (7/29)21% (6/28)
Expected assists (xA)
0.670.78
Throw ins
2824
Fouls
612
Tackles
80% (8/10)74% (14/19)
Duels won
6766
Clearances
4031
Interceptions
35
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper saves
22
xGOT faced
0.380.24
Goals prevented
-0.62-0.76

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 39', Garner J. , Fondop-Talum M. ,
  • 45+2', 0 - 1, Helm M. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Simeu D. , Stevens J. ,
  • 46', Taylor K. , Drummond K. ,
  • 62', Powell J. 🟨,
  • 65', Davies W. 🟨,
  • 73', Kavanagh C. , Hawkes J. ,
  • 75', Davies W. , Osong D. E. ,
  • 75', Virtue-Thick M. , Neal H. ,
  • 78', 1 - 1, Stevens J. ,
  • 87', Ennis E. , Clark M. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Oldham Athletic
46.4%
Draw
28.2%
Fleetwood Town
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.7% 27.3% 24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6% 22.8% 28.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Oldham Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • Fleetwood Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oldham Athletic than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Oldham Athletic that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fleetwood Town than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
  • Oldham Athletic - Fleetwood Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.02
    (1.89)
    3.31
    (3.38)
    3.65
    (3.83)
    7.2%
    (8.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Oldham Athletic - Fleetwood Town?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Oldham will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Fleetwood will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Fleetwood (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 16 and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oldham won 1.
    • Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
    • In this match, Oldham is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Oldham: Conlon T. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Fleetwood: Hume D. (Inactive) Johnson W. (Inactive) Potter F. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Oldham: Garner J. (Injury) Mellon M. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Fleetwood: Bolton J. (Inactive) McCann L. (Inactive) Norwood J. (Inactive)
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Oldham won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:12. (average 1.4:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Oldham won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:2. (average 1.3:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Oldham Athletic - Fleetwood Town were as follows:
    23.08.2025 Fleetwood Town - Oldham Athletic 1:1
    Latest results of Oldham Athletic
    Latest results of Fleetwood Town
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bromley331811456:342265
    2Cambridge Utd33189648:262263
    3MK Dons331710662:332961
    4Notts Co33187852:322061
    5Swindon341941156:401661
    6Crewe341581150:401053
    7Chesterfield331314652:43953
    8Salford321641245:43252
    9Barnet3413111043:37650
    10Walsall321481040:35550
    11Colchester321310948:341449
    12Grimsby321310945:37849
    13Accrington331371336:34246
    14Fleetwood321281243:42144
    15Oldham311012934:30442
    16Gillingham3210111140:41-141
    17Shrewsbury341081633:52-1938
    18Tranmere33981645:57-1235
    19Cheltenham321051733:54-2135
    20Bristol Rovers33932132:56-2430
    21Crawley346101833:54-2128
    22Barrow32761933:50-1727
    23Harrogate34682024:51-2726
    24Newport33662132:60-2824

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League