Result
1:1
14/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 32
- Referee: Dale A. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 0.83 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 66% (210/320) | 67% (249/369) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 0.83 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.24 | 0.38 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 66% (210/320) | 67% (249/369) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (31/76) | 38% (34/89) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (91/149) | 54% (67/123) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (7/29) | 21% (6/28) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 0.78 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 28 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (8/10) | 74% (14/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 67 | 66 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 40 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.38 | 0.24 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.62 | -0.76 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 39', Garner J. ↓, Fondop-Talum M. ↑,
- 45+2', 0 - 1, Helm M. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Simeu D. ↓, Stevens J. ↑,
- 46', Taylor K. ↓, Drummond K. ↑,
- 62', Powell J. 🟨,
- 65', Davies W. 🟨,
- 73', Kavanagh C. ↓, Hawkes J. ↑,
- 75', Davies W. ↓, Osong D. E. ↑,
- 75', Virtue-Thick M. ↓, Neal H. ↑,
- 78', 1 - 1, Stevens J. ⚽,
- 87', Ennis E. ↓, Clark M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Oldham Athletic 46.4% | Draw 28.2% | Fleetwood Town 25.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Oldham Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)Fleetwood Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oldham Athletic than the current prediction. (-5.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Oldham Athletic that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fleetwood Town than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
Oldham Athletic - Fleetwood Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.02 ↑ (1.89) |
3.31 ↓ (3.38) |
3.65 ↓ (3.83) |
7.2% (8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Oldham Athletic - Fleetwood Town?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Oldham will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Fleetwood will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Fleetwood (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 16 and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oldham won 1.
- Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
- In this match, Oldham is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Oldham: Conlon T.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Fleetwood: Hume D.
(Inactive)
Johnson W.
(Inactive)
Potter F.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Oldham: Garner J.
(Injury)
Mellon M.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Fleetwood: Bolton J.
(Inactive)
McCann L.
(Inactive)
Norwood J.
(Inactive)
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Oldham won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:12. (average 1.4:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Oldham won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:2. (average 1.3:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Oldham Athletic won against Fleetwood Town?
Oldham Athletic has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fleetwood Town won against Oldham Athletic?
Fleetwood Town has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Oldham Athletic - Fleetwood Town were as follows:
23.08.2025
Fleetwood Town
-
Oldham Athletic
1:1
Latest results of Oldham Athletic
Latest results of Fleetwood Town
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 33 | 18 | 11 | 4 | 56:34 | 22 | 65 |
| 2 | Cambridge Utd | 33 | 18 | 9 | 6 | 48:26 | 22 | 63 |
| 3 | MK Dons | 33 | 17 | 10 | 6 | 62:33 | 29 | 61 |
| 4 | Notts Co | 33 | 18 | 7 | 8 | 52:32 | 20 | 61 |
| 5 | Swindon | 34 | 19 | 4 | 11 | 56:40 | 16 | 61 |
| 6 | Crewe | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 50:40 | 10 | 53 |
| 7 | Chesterfield | 33 | 13 | 14 | 6 | 52:43 | 9 | 53 |
| 8 | Salford | 32 | 16 | 4 | 12 | 45:43 | 2 | 52 |
| 9 | Barnet | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 43:37 | 6 | 50 |
| 10 | Walsall | 32 | 14 | 8 | 10 | 40:35 | 5 | 50 |
| 11 | Colchester | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 48:34 | 14 | 49 |
| 12 | Grimsby | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 45:37 | 8 | 49 |
| 13 | Accrington | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 36:34 | 2 | 46 |
| 14 | Fleetwood | 32 | 12 | 8 | 12 | 43:42 | 1 | 44 |
| 15 | Oldham | 31 | 10 | 12 | 9 | 34:30 | 4 | 42 |
| 16 | Gillingham | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 40:41 | -1 | 41 |
| 17 | Shrewsbury | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 33:52 | -19 | 38 |
| 18 | Tranmere | 33 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 45:57 | -12 | 35 |
| 19 | Cheltenham | 32 | 10 | 5 | 17 | 33:54 | -21 | 35 |
| 20 | Bristol Rovers | 33 | 9 | 3 | 21 | 32:56 | -24 | 30 |
| 21 | Crawley | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 33:54 | -21 | 28 |
| 22 | Barrow | 32 | 7 | 6 | 19 | 33:50 | -17 | 27 |
| 23 | Harrogate | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 24:51 | -27 | 26 |
| 24 | Newport | 33 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 32:60 | -28 | 24 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League