Result
1:0
26/12/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 22
- Referee: Baines D. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.95 | 2.55 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (217/314) | 62% (175/281) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.95 | 2.55 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.72 | 1.34 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 31 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (217/314) | 62% (175/281) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 32% (19/59) | 27% (20/75) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (84/140) | 53% (70/132) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (5/20) | 44% (14/32) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.12 | 2.16 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 40 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (16/23) | 69% (9/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 83 | 57 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 51 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.34 | 0.72 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.34 | -0.28 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 11', Bristow E. 🟨,
- 23', 1 - 0, Whitaker C. ⚽,
- 33', Blacker B. 🟨,
- 37', Dennis K. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', McGowan A. ↓, Norman C. ↑,
- 63', Virtue-Thick M. ↓, Davies J. ↑,
- 63', Davies W. ↓, Graydon R. ↑,
- 65', Blacker B. ↓, Kenneh N. ↑,
- 66', Dennis K. ↓, Ironside J. ↑,
- 66', Jennings C. ↓, Davison J. ↑,
- 71', Bonds E. ↓, Neal H. ↑,
- 71', Hughes K. ↓, McCann L. ↑,
- 76', Neal H. 🟨,
- 80', Smith N. 🟨,
- 84', Turnbull J. ↓, Smallwood R. ↑,
- 90+6', Whitaker C. 🟨,
- 90+7', Evans C. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Tranmere Rovers
40.4% | Draw
27.8% | Fleetwood Town
31.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tranmere Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)Fleetwood Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tranmere Rovers than the current prediction. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fleetwood Town than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
Tranmere Rovers - Fleetwood Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.31 ↑
(2.25) |
3.36 ↓
(3.46) |
2.91
(2.91) |
7.4%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Tranmere Rovers - Fleetwood Town?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Tranmere will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Fleetwood will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tranmere (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 16 and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tranmere won 0.
- Recent performances by Tranmere have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Fleetwood is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Tranmere: Lowe J.
(Inactive)
McGee L.
(Hip Injury)
O'Connor L.
(Inactive)
Williams J.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Fleetwood: Holgate H.
(Hamstring Injury)
Hume D.
(Inactive)
Johnson W.
(Inactive)
Rooney S.
(Foot Injury)
- There are questionable in Tranmere: Patrick O.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Fleetwood: Bolton J.
(Inactive)
Norwood J.
(Inactive)
Roberts L.
(Inactive)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Tranmere won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 5:12. (average 0.6:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tranmere won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 0.7:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Tranmere Rovers won against Fleetwood Town?
Tranmere Rovers has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fleetwood Town won against Tranmere Rovers?
Fleetwood Town has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tranmere Rovers - Fleetwood Town were as follows:
02.12.2025
Tranmere Rovers
-
Fleetwood Town
0:3
22.03.2025
Fleetwood Town
-
Tranmere Rovers
0:0
11.02.2025
Tranmere Rovers
-
Fleetwood Town
0:0
05.09.2023
Fleetwood Town
-
Tranmere Rovers
2:0
Latest results of Tranmere Rovers
Latest results of Fleetwood Town
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 34 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 58:35 | 23 | 68 |
| 2 | Cambridge Utd | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 49:27 | 22 | 64 |
| 3 | MK Dons | 34 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 63:34 | 29 | 62 |
| 4 | Swindon | 35 | 19 | 5 | 11 | 57:41 | 16 | 62 |
| 5 | Notts Co | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 52:33 | 19 | 61 |
| 6 | Crewe | 35 | 16 | 8 | 11 | 52:41 | 11 | 56 |
| 7 | Salford | 33 | 17 | 4 | 12 | 46:43 | 3 | 55 |
| 8 | Chesterfield | 34 | 13 | 14 | 7 | 52:44 | 8 | 53 |
| 9 | Barnet | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 44:37 | 7 | 53 |
| 10 | Walsall | 33 | 15 | 8 | 10 | 42:36 | 6 | 53 |
| 11 | Grimsby | 33 | 14 | 10 | 9 | 46:37 | 9 | 52 |
| 12 | Colchester | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 48:35 | 13 | 49 |
| 13 | Accrington | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 37:36 | 1 | 46 |
| 14 | Oldham | 32 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 36:30 | 6 | 45 |
| 15 | Fleetwood | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 43:42 | 1 | 45 |
| 16 | Gillingham | 33 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 41:41 | 0 | 44 |
| 17 | Shrewsbury | 35 | 10 | 8 | 17 | 34:54 | -20 | 38 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 33 | 10 | 6 | 17 | 34:55 | -21 | 36 |
| 19 | Tranmere | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 46:59 | -13 | 35 |
| 20 | Bristol Rovers | 34 | 9 | 4 | 21 | 33:57 | -24 | 31 |
| 21 | Crawley | 35 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 33:56 | -23 | 28 |
| 22 | Barrow | 33 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 33:51 | -18 | 27 |
| 23 | Harrogate | 35 | 6 | 9 | 20 | 25:52 | -27 | 27 |
| 24 | Newport | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 32:60 | -28 | 25 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
