Result
6:0
27/11/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 36
- Referee: Torezin L. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Flow Eventos |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Colombia | Win play, Win Sports |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 North-central-america | Flow Sports 1 Caribbean |
 Paraguay | Flow Eventos |
 Russia | Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 United-kingdom | Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player |
 Uruguay | Flow |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.55 | 0.08 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 11 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 9 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (499/556) | 84% (354/421) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.55 | 0.08 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 5.25 | 0.04 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 11 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 1 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 9 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 35 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (499/556) | 84% (354/421) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (26/47) | 50% (20/40) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 79% (101/128) | 72% (77/107) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 15% (2/13) | 17% (2/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.59 | 0.26 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (7/10) | 61% (11/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 35 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.04 | 5.25 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.04 | -0.75 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 0)
- 9', 1 - 0, Canobbio A. (Pen),
- 16', 2 - 0, Martinelli ⚽,
- 23', Hercules ↓, Nonato ↑,
- 24', 3 - 0, Nonato ⚽, Serna K. (A),
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 46', Tapia G. ↓, Toloi R. ↑,
- 46', Pablo Maia ↓, Alisson ↑,
- 46', Maik ↓, Bosshardt N. ↑,
- 61', Everaldo ↓, John Kennedy ↑,
- 62', Thiago Silva ↓, Ignacio ↑,
- 69', 4 - 0, John Kennedy ⚽, Serna K. (A),
- 71', Bobadilla D. ↓, Felipe Negrucci ↑,
- 72', Canobbio A. 🟨,
- 77', 5 - 0, Canobbio A. ⚽, Nonato (A),
- 78', Acosta L. ↓, PH Ganso ↑,
- 78', Canobbio A. ↓, Soteldo Y. ↑,
- 79', Lucca Marques ↓, Paulinho ↑,
- 87', 6 - 0, Serna K. ⚽, Soteldo Y. (A),
- 90', Franco A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Fluminense
58.8% | Draw
26.1% | São Paulo
15.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Fluminense - São Paulo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.63 ↓
(1.93) |
3.64 ↑
(3.29) |
6.27 ↑
(4.53) |
4.9%
(4.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Fluminense - São Paulo?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Fluminense (votes: 3 - 60%). São Paulo (votes: 2 - 40%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.75 - Fluminense (1.69) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Users Predictions:
Fluminense will win
(19 of 21 users predict this - 90.48%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.93% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ))
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fluminense won 2.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- São Paulo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Fluminense is the obvious favorite.
- There will not play in Fluminense: Acosta L.
(Injury)
Manoel
(Knee Injury)
Thiago Silva
(Inactive)
- There will not play in São Paulo: Andre Silva
(Knee Injury)
Diaz E.
(Hip Injury)
Dinenno J.
(Knee Injury)
Jonathan Calleri
(Knee Injury)
Luan Silva
(Muscle Injury)
Lucas Moura
(Knee Injury)
Oscar
(Heart Problems)
Rafael
(Yellow Cards)
Robert Arboleda
(Muscle Injury)
Rodriguinho
(Knee Injury)
Ryan Francisco
(Knee Injury)
Sabino
(Yellow Cards)
Toloi R.
(Hip Injury)
Wendell
(Heel Injury)
- There are questionable in Fluminense: Cano G.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in São Paulo: Ferreira
(Injury)
Pablo Maia
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Fluminense won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 27:25. (average 1.4:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Fluminense won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:10. (average 1.7:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Fluminense won against São Paulo?
Fluminense has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has São Paulo won against Fluminense?
São Paulo has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fluminense - São Paulo were as follows:
27.07.2025
São Paulo
-
Fluminense
3:1
01.09.2024
Fluminense
-
São Paulo
2:0
13.05.2024
São Paulo
-
Fluminense
2:1
22.11.2023
Fluminense
-
São Paulo
1:0
01.07.2023
São Paulo
-
Fluminense
1:0
Latest results of Fluminense
Latest results of São Paulo
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ ✔ | 38 | 23 | 10 | 5 | 78:27 | 51 | 79 |
| 2 | Palmeiras ✔ | 38 | 23 | 7 | 8 | 66:33 | 33 | 76 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro ✔ | 38 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 55:31 | 24 | 70 |
| 4 | Mirassol ✔ | 38 | 18 | 13 | 7 | 63:39 | 24 | 67 |
| 5 | Fluminense | 38 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 50:39 | 11 | 64 |
| 6 | Botafogo RJ | 38 | 17 | 12 | 9 | 58:38 | 20 | 63 |
| 7 | Bahia | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 50:46 | 4 | 60 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo ✔ | 38 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 43:47 | -4 | 51 |
| 9 | Gremio | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 47:50 | -3 | 49 |
| 10 | Bragantino ✔ | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 45:57 | -12 | 48 |
| 11 | Atletico-MG | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 43:44 | -1 | 48 |
| 12 | Santos | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 45:50 | -5 | 47 |
| 13 | Corinthians | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 42:47 | -5 | 47 |
| 14 | Vasco | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 55:60 | -5 | 45 |
| 15 | Vitoria | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 35:52 | -17 | 45 |
| 16 | Internacional | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 44:57 | -13 | 44 |
| 17 | Ceara | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 34:40 | -6 | 43 |
| 18 | Fortaleza | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 43:58 | -15 | 43 |
| 19 | Juventude ✔ | 38 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 35:69 | -34 | 35 |
| 20 | Sport Recife ✔ | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 28:75 | -47 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
Clinched Spots for Teams
Flamengo RJ is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Copa Libertadores (Group Stage )
Palmeiras is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Group Stage )
Cruzeiro is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Group Stage )
Mirassol is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Group Stage )
Sao Paulo is Qualified for Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage )
Bragantino is Qualified for Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage )
Juventude is Relegated to Serie B Superbet
Sport Recife is Relegated to Serie B Superbet
