Result
1:1
20/04/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 5
- Referee: Delgado M. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
China | K-Ball |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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1.18 | 0.60 |
Ball Possession |
---|
62% | 38% |
Total shots |
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11 | 7 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 3 |
Big Chances |
---|
4 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
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6 | 4 |
Passes |
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92% (598/652) | 87% (347/398) |
Yellow Cards |
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0 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
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1.18 | 0.60 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
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1.31 | 1.10 |
Total shots |
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11 | 7 |
Shots on target |
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5 | 3 |
Shots off target |
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6 | 0 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
0 | 4 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
8 | 4 |
Shots outside the Box |
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3 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
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1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
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4 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
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6 | 4 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
27 | 12 |
Offsides |
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1 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
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14 | 12 |
Passes |
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92% (598/652) | 87% (347/398) |
Long passes |
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62% (26/42) | 49% (21/43) |
Passes in final third |
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84% (137/163) | 75% (72/96) |
Crosses |
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15% (4/26) | 12% (2/17) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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1.07 | 0.55 |
Fouls |
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12 | 14 |
Tackles |
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56% (10/18) | 44% (4/9) |
Duels won |
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50 | 31 |
Clearances Total |
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22 | 23 |
Interceptions |
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6 | 7 |
Errors leading to shot |
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0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
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0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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2 | 4 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.10 | 1.31 |
Goals prevented |
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0.10 | 0.21 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 39', 1 - 0, Cano G. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Ricardo Ryller ↓, Ronald Lopes ↑,
- 62', Gustavo Silva ↓, Fabricio ↑,
- 63', Canobbio A. ↓, Serna K. ↑,
- 71', Erick ↓, Osvaldo ↑,
- 78', Hercules ↓, Bernal F. ↑,
- 78', PH Ganso ↓, Nonato ↑,
- 80', Claudinho 🟨,
- 83', Janderson ↓, Lucas Braga ↑,
- 86', Cano G. ↓, Everaldo ↑,
- 86', Martinelli ↓, Thiago Santos ↑,
- 90', 1 - 1, Lucas Braga ⚽, Fabricio (A),
Chances of winning
Fluminense 56.4% | Draw 27.4% | Vitória Salvador 16.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fluminense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)Vitória Salvador has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fluminense than the current prediction. (+4.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitória Salvador than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
Fluminense - Vitória Salvador Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.69 ↑ (1.62) |
3.49 ↓ (3.75) |
5.77 ↑ (5.5) |
5.1% (6.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Fluminense - Vitória Salvador?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Fluminense will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Vitória will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Fluminense won 1.
- Fluminense in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
- Recent matches Vitória is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- In this match Fluminense is a favorite.
- There will not play in Fluminense: Fuentes G.
(Hamstring Injury)
Hercules
(Inactive)
Isaque Silva
(Knee Injury)
Otavio
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
PH Ganso
(Inactive)
Renato Augusto
(Shoulder Injury)
Riquelme Felipe
(Knee Injury)
Thiago Silva
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Vitória: Gabriel
(Muscle Injury)
Renato Kayzer
(Thigh Injury)
- There are questionable in Fluminense: Guga
(Hamstring Injury)
- Our prediction for today's Fluminense to win the game is with odds 1.62.
- Last 12 head-to-head matches Fluminense won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 14:18 (average 1.2:1.5).
- Including matches at home between the teams Fluminense won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7:9 (average 1.2:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Fluminense won against Vitória Salvador?
Fluminense has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vitória Salvador won against Fluminense?
Vitória Salvador has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fluminense - Vitória Salvador were as follows:
26.10.2024
Vitória Salvador
-
Fluminense
2:1
27.06.2024
Fluminense
-
Vitória Salvador
0:1
Latest results of Fluminense
Latest results of Vitória Salvador
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Cruzeiro | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 27:9 | 18 | 34 |
2 | Flamengo RJ | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 29:6 | 23 | 33 |
3 | Palmeiras | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 18:12 | 6 | 29 |
4 | Bragantino | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 19:17 | 2 | 27 |
5 | Botafogo RJ | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 17:7 | 10 | 25 |
6 | Bahia | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 17:13 | 4 | 25 |
7 | Mirassol | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 23:13 | 10 | 24 |
8 | Fluminense | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 16:17 | -1 | 20 |
9 | Atletico-MG | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 16:15 | 1 | 20 |
10 | Internacional | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16:19 | -3 | 20 |
11 | Corinthians | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 15:19 | -4 | 20 |
12 | Sao Paulo | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 15:18 | -3 | 19 |
13 | Ceara | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 14:15 | -1 | 18 |
14 | Gremio | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 14:20 | -6 | 17 |
15 | Vitoria | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 13:17 | -4 | 16 |
16 | Vasco | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 15:19 | -4 | 14 |
17 | Santos | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 13:19 | -6 | 14 |
18 | Juventude | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 10:29 | -19 | 11 |
19 | Fortaleza | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 13:20 | -7 | 11 |
20 | Sport Recife | 14 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 7:23 | -16 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
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Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet