Result
1:1
20/04/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 5
- Referee: Delgado M. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.18 | 0.60 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 92% (598/652) | 87% (347/398) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.18 | 0.60 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.31 | 1.10 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 12 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 92% (598/652) | 87% (347/398) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 62% (26/42) | 49% (21/43) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 84% (137/163) | 75% (72/96) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 15% (4/26) | 12% (2/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 0.55 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (10/18) | 44% (4/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 31 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 22 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.10 | 1.31 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.10 | 0.21 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 39', 1 - 0, Cano G. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Ricardo Ryller ↓, Ronald Lopes ↑,
- 62', Gustavo Silva ↓, Fabricio ↑,
- 63', Canobbio A. ↓, Serna K. ↑,
- 71', Erick ↓, Osvaldo ↑,
- 78', Hercules ↓, Bernal F. ↑,
- 78', PH Ganso ↓, Nonato ↑,
- 80', Claudinho 🟨,
- 83', Janderson ↓, Lucas Braga ↑,
- 86', Cano G. ↓, Everaldo ↑,
- 86', Martinelli ↓, Thiago Santos ↑,
- 90', 1 - 1, Lucas Braga ⚽, Fabricio (A),
Chances of winning
Fluminense
56.4% | Draw
27.4% | Vitória Salvador
16.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fluminense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)Vitória Salvador has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fluminense than the current prediction. (+4.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitória Salvador than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
Fluminense - Vitória Salvador Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.69 ↑
(1.62) |
3.49 ↓
(3.75) |
5.77 ↑
(5.5) |
5.1%
(6.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Fluminense - Vitória Salvador?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Fluminense will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Vitória will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Fluminense won 1.
- Fluminense in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
- Recent matches Vitória is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- In this match Fluminense is a favorite.
- There will not play in Fluminense: Fuentes G.
(Hamstring Injury)
Hercules
(Inactive)
Isaque Silva
(Knee Injury)
Otavio
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
PH Ganso
(Inactive)
Renato Augusto
(Shoulder Injury)
Riquelme Felipe
(Knee Injury)
Thiago Silva
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Vitória: Gabriel
(Muscle Injury)
Renato Kayzer
(Thigh Injury)
- There are questionable in Fluminense: Guga
(Hamstring Injury)
- Our prediction for today's Fluminense to win the game is with odds 1.62.
- Last 12 head-to-head matches Fluminense won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 14:18 (average 1.2:1.5).
- Including matches at home between the teams Fluminense won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7:9 (average 1.2:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Fluminense won against Vitória Salvador?
Fluminense has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vitória Salvador won against Fluminense?
Vitória Salvador has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fluminense - Vitória Salvador were as follows:
26.10.2024
Vitória Salvador
-
Fluminense
2:1
27.06.2024
Fluminense
-
Vitória Salvador
0:1
Latest results of Fluminense
Latest results of Vitória Salvador
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 33:8 | 25 | 40 |
| 2 | Cruzeiro | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 31:13 | 18 | 37 |
| 3 | Palmeiras | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 23:15 | 8 | 36 |
| 4 | Bahia | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 23:16 | 7 | 30 |
| 5 | Botafogo RJ | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 23:10 | 13 | 29 |
| 6 | Mirassol | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 28:18 | 10 | 28 |
| 7 | Sao Paulo | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 22:20 | 2 | 28 |
| 8 | Bragantino | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 22:25 | -3 | 27 |
| 9 | Fluminense | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 21:23 | -2 | 24 |
| 10 | Atletico-MG | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 19:18 | 1 | 24 |
| 11 | Internacional | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 21:23 | -2 | 24 |
| 12 | Ceara | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 18:19 | -1 | 22 |
| 13 | Corinthians | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 18:23 | -5 | 22 |
| 14 | Santos | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 20:23 | -3 | 21 |
| 15 | Gremio | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 16:24 | -8 | 20 |
| 16 | Vitoria | 19 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 16:22 | -6 | 18 |
| 17 | Vasco | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 19:24 | -5 | 16 |
| 18 | Fortaleza | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 18:29 | -11 | 15 |
| 19 | Juventude | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 13:36 | -23 | 14 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 17 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 10:25 | -15 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
