Fluminense vs Vitória Salvador – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie A Fluminense - Vitória Salvador
Result
1:1
20/04/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A Betano - Round 5
  • Referee: Delgado M. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
chinaChinaK-Ball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.180.60
Ball Possession
62%38%
Total shots
117
Shots on target
53
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
64
Passes
92% (598/652)87% (347/398)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.180.60
xG on target (xGOT)
1.311.10
Total shots
117
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
60
Blocked Shots
04
Shots inside the Box
84
Shots outside the Box
33
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
64
Touches in opposition box
2712
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1412
Passes
92% (598/652)87% (347/398)
Long passes
62% (26/42)49% (21/43)
Passes in final third
84% (137/163)75% (72/96)
Crosses
15% (4/26)12% (2/17)
Expected assists (xA)
1.070.55
Fouls
1214
Tackles
56% (10/18)44% (4/9)
Duels won
5031
Clearances Total
2223
Interceptions
67
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
1.101.31
Goals prevented
0.100.21

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 39', 1 - 0, Cano G. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Ricardo Ryller , Ronald Lopes ,
  • 62', Gustavo Silva , Fabricio ,
  • 63', Canobbio A. , Serna K. ,
  • 71', Erick , Osvaldo ,
  • 78', Hercules , Bernal F. ,
  • 78', PH Ganso , Nonato ,
  • 80', Claudinho 🟨,
  • 83', Janderson , Lucas Braga ,
  • 86', Cano G. , Everaldo ,
  • 86', Martinelli , Thiago Santos ,
  • 90', 1 - 1, Lucas Braga , Fabricio (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Fluminense
56.4%
Draw
27.4%
Vitória Salvador
16.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.9% 25% 17.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.6% 23.9% 16.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fluminense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • Vitória Salvador has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fluminense than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitória Salvador than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
  • Fluminense - Vitória Salvador Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.69
    (1.62)
    3.49
    (3.75)
    5.77
    (5.5)
    5.1%
    (6.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Fluminense - Vitória Salvador?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Fluminense will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Vitória will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Fluminense won 1.
    • Fluminense in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
    • Recent matches Vitória is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • In this match Fluminense is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Fluminense: Fuentes G. (Hamstring Injury) Hercules (Inactive) Isaque Silva (Knee Injury) Otavio (Achilles Tendon Injury) PH Ganso (Inactive) Renato Augusto (Shoulder Injury) Riquelme Felipe (Knee Injury) Thiago Silva (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Vitória: Gabriel (Muscle Injury) Renato Kayzer (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in Fluminense: Guga (Hamstring Injury)
    • Our prediction for today's Fluminense to win the game is with odds 1.62.
    • Last 12 head-to-head matches Fluminense won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 14:18 (average 1.2:1.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Fluminense won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7:9 (average 1.2:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fluminense - Vitória Salvador were as follows:
    26.10.2024 Vitória Salvador - Fluminense 2:1
    27.06.2024 Fluminense - Vitória Salvador 0:1
    Latest results of Fluminense
    16.04.2025 Corinthians - Fluminense 0:2
    13.04.2025 Fluminense - Santos 1:0
    01.04.2025 Once Caldas - Fluminense 0:1
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    2025
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    9Fluminense2084825:28-328
    10Internacional2176825:29-427
    11Ceara2175919:20-126
    12Corinthians2268823:28-526
    13Gremio2167820:26-625
    14Atletico-MG2066820:24-424
    15Vasco21641130:31-122
    16Santos21641120:31-1122
    17Vitoria22410819:32-1322
    18Juventude21631219:41-2221
    19Fortaleza21361220:34-1415
    20Sport Recife20171214:33-1910

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