Result
0:1
20/09/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 24
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Ecuador | El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol |
 Israel | Sport 2 |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 4 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Ukraine |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.22 | 0.70 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (302/359) | 85% (374/441) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.22 | 0.70 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.63 | 0.82 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (302/359) | 85% (374/441) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (17/38) | 41% (24/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 77% (94/122) | 81% (103/127) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (7/30) | 6% (1/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.81 | 0.35 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 30% (3/10) | 44% (8/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.82 | 0.63 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.18 | 0.63 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 1', Dudu 🟨,
- 20', Serna K. 🟨,
- 25', Dudu 🟨,
- 32', Osvaldo ↓, Ronald Lopes ↑,
- 32', Lima ↓, Lavega J. ↑,
- 32', Serna K. ↓, Lezcano R. ↑,
- 37', 0 - 1, Hercules ⚽,
- 44', Igor Rabello 🟨,
- 45+3', Igor Rabello 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Lezcano R. ↓, Manoel ↑,
- 63', Erick ↓, Romarinho ↑,
- 64', Pepe 🟨,
- 65', Ronald Lopes ↓, Fabricio ↑,
- 71', Hercules ↓, Bernal F. ↑,
- 74', Guga ↓, Julio Fidelis ↑,
- 76', Fabricio ↓, Lopez R. ↑,
- 76', Caceres R. ↓, Claudinho ↑,
Chances of winning
Vitória Salvador
33.6% | Draw
32% | Fluminense
34.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vitória Salvador has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)Fluminense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitória Salvador than the current prediction. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fluminense than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
Vitória Salvador - Fluminense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.87 ↑
(2.63) |
3
(3) |
2.75 ↓
(2.8) |
4.5%
(7.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Vitória Salvador - Fluminense?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Vitória will win (votes: 13 - 76.5%). Fluminense will win (votes: 3 - 17.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vitória: 56.3% – 96.7%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Vitória (votes: 3 - 100%).
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Vitória Salvador will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vitória won 2.
- The current form of both teams is below expectations.
- Vitória may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Vitória: Baralhas
(Yellow Cards)
Claudinho
(Ankle Injury)
Jamerson
(Ankle Injury)
Ramos R.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Fluminense: Samuel Xavier
(Thigh Injury)
- There are questionable in Fluminense: PH Ganso
(Injury)
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Vitória won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:15. (average 1.5:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Vitória won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:7. (average 1.5:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Vitória Salvador won against Fluminense?
Vitória Salvador has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fluminense won against Vitória Salvador?
Fluminense has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vitória Salvador - Fluminense were as follows:
20.04.2025
Fluminense
-
Vitória Salvador
1:1
26.10.2024
Vitória Salvador
-
Fluminense
2:1
27.06.2024
Fluminense
-
Vitória Salvador
0:1
Latest results of Vitória Salvador
Latest results of Fluminense
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 23 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 48:11 | 37 | 51 |
| 2 | Cruzeiro | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 39:19 | 20 | 50 |
| 3 | Palmeiras | 22 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 36:18 | 18 | 49 |
| 4 | Mirassol | 24 | 11 | 9 | 4 | 41:24 | 17 | 42 |
| 5 | Botafogo RJ | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 35:18 | 17 | 40 |
| 6 | Bahia | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 31:28 | 3 | 37 |
| 7 | Sao Paulo | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 27:24 | 3 | 35 |
| 8 | Fluminense | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 26:29 | -3 | 31 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 29:35 | -6 | 31 |
| 10 | Vasco | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 38:35 | 3 | 30 |
| 11 | Corinthians | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 24:29 | -5 | 29 |
| 12 | Gremio | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 24:30 | -6 | 29 |
| 13 | Ceara | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 22:23 | -1 | 28 |
| 14 | Atletico-MG | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 22:26 | -4 | 28 |
| 15 | Internacional | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 29:37 | -8 | 28 |
| 16 | Santos | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 22:32 | -10 | 26 |
| 17 | Juventude | 24 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 20:46 | -26 | 22 |
| 18 | Vitoria | 24 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 19:35 | -16 | 22 |
| 19 | Fortaleza | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 24:38 | -14 | 21 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 23 | 2 | 8 | 13 | 16:35 | -19 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
