Result
4:2
07/12/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 38
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.72 | 1.03 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 72% | 28% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (564/631) | 74% (184/248) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.72 | 1.03 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.71 | 1.61 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (564/631) | 74% (184/248) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 64% (28/44) | 40% (21/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 81% (140/173) | 63% (50/80) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 46% (12/26) | 31% (4/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.58 | 0.21 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (6/9) | 75% (6/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 11 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.61 | 3.71 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.39 | -0.29 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 17', 0 - 1, Breno Lopes ⚽, Bareiro A. (A),
- 40', Mancuso E. 🟨,
- 45+4', Bareiro A. 🟨,
- 45+5', 1 - 1, Montoro A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 46', Yago Pikachu ↓, Matheus Rossetto ↑,
- 48', 2 - 1, Arthur Cabral ⚽, Vitinho (A),
- 55', 2 - 2, Bareiro A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 63', Bareiro A. ↓, Deyverson ↑,
- 68', Artur ↓, Rodriguez S. ↑,
- 68', Alex Telles ↓, Marquinhos ↑,
- 70', Diogo Barbosa ↓, Weverson ↑,
- 79', Vitinho ↓, Ponte M. ↑,
- 82', Breno Lopes ↓, Rodrigo ↑,
- 82', Pierre ↓, Lucas Crispim ↑,
- 84', 3 - 2, Marcal ⚽, Rodriguez S. (A),
- 90', Montoro A. ↓, Kauan Toledo ↑,
- 90', Barrera J. ↓, Newton ↑,
- 90+1', Kauan Toledo 🟨,
- 90+1', Rodrigo 🟨,
- 90+5', 4 - 2, Ponte M. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Botafogo RJ
50.5% | Draw
25.7% | Fortaleza
23.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Botafogo RJ has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)Fortaleza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo RJ than the current prediction. (+7.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Botafogo RJ, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortaleza than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
Botafogo RJ - Fortaleza Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.88 ↑
(1.7) |
3.66 ↓
(3.85) |
3.96 ↓
(4.74) |
5.8%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Botafogo RJ - Fortaleza?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH +0.5 - Fortaleza (3.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Botafogo RJ will win
(14 of 15 users predict this - 93.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.7% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Botafogo RJ will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Botafogo (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Fortaleza (votes: 1 - 16.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: ) and 16).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Botafogo won 3.
- Botafogo is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Fortaleza is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Fortaleza may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Botafogo is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Botafogo: Barboza A.
(Knee Injury)
Bastos
(Knee Injury)
Correa J.
(Inactive)
Danilo
(Injury)
David Ricardo
(Red Card)
Kaio
(Knee Injury)
Leo Linck
(Inactive)
Matheus Martins
(Muscle Injury)
Neto
(Thigh Injury)
Savarino J.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Fortaleza: Bareiro A.
(Yellow Cards)
Bruno Pacheco
(Injury)
Herrera J.
(Yellow Cards)
Joao Ricardo
(Shoulder Injury)
Leite H.
(Injury)
Lucca Prior
(Overload)
- There are questionable in Fortaleza: Marinho
(Ankle Injury)
Pochettino T.
(Injury)
Rodrigo
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Botafogo won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:8. (average 1.8:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Botafogo won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:3. (average 1.8:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Botafogo RJ won against Fortaleza?
Botafogo RJ has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fortaleza won against Botafogo RJ?
Fortaleza has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Botafogo RJ - Fortaleza were as follows:
09.08.2025
Fortaleza
-
Botafogo RJ
0:5
31.08.2024
Botafogo RJ
-
Fortaleza
2:0
12.05.2024
Fortaleza
-
Botafogo RJ
1:1
23.11.2023
Fortaleza
-
Botafogo RJ
2:2
10.06.2023
Botafogo RJ
-
Fortaleza
2:0
Latest results of Botafogo RJ
Latest results of Fortaleza
Brazilian Serie A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 21:10 | 11 | 26 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 18:10 | 8 | 20 |
| 3 | Sao Paulo | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 15:9 | 6 | 20 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 18:13 | 5 | 20 |
| 5 | Bahia | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 15:10 | 5 | 20 |
| 6 | Athletico-PR | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 17:13 | 4 | 19 |
| 7 | Coritiba | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 16 |
| 8 | Atletico-MG | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 14:13 | 1 | 14 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 11:12 | -1 | 14 |
| 10 | Vitoria | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11:14 | -3 | 14 |
| 11 | Botafogo RJ | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 18:21 | -3 | 13 |
| 12 | Gremio | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 13 |
| 13 | Vasco | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 16:17 | -1 | 13 |
| 14 | Internacional | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 9:10 | -1 | 13 |
| 15 | Santos | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 14:16 | -2 | 13 |
| 16 | Corinthians | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 11 |
| 17 | Cruzeiro | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14:21 | -7 | 10 |
| 18 | Remo | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 11:18 | -7 | 8 |
| 19 | Chapecoense-SC | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 10:18 | -8 | 8 |
| 20 | Mirassol | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11:16 | -5 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
