Result
1:3
04/10/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL League One
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+, NESN |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.42 | 2.20 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 68% | 32% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (407/506) | 54% (136/250) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.42 | 2.20 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.90 | 2.57 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (407/506) | 54% (136/250) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (37/75) | 25% (18/72) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (111/166) | 38% (33/87) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 7% (2/29) | 14% (1/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.40 | 0.86 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (12/16) | 63% (10/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 59 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.57 | 0.90 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.43 | -0.10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 20', 0 - 1, Gebhard D. ⚽, Viader D. (A),
- 22', Lopez M. 🟨,
- 36', 0 - 2, Lucca Dourado (Pen),
- 42', Green K. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 64', Mohamed M. ↓, Kamara J. ↑,
- 64', Wright O. ↓, James N. ↑,
- 64', Washington T. ↓, Kvifte N. H. ↑,
- 64', Green K. ↓, Keegan J. ↑,
- 66', Lucca Dourado ↓, McLaughlin G. ↑,
- 72', 1 - 2, Kamara J. ⚽,
- 76', Varela W. 🟨,
- 79', Angking I. 🟨,
- 79', Angking I. ↓, Mesias A. ↑,
- 80', Gebhard D. ↓, Galindrez J. ↑,
- 82', Kamara J. 🟥,
- 84', Poon-Angeron M. ↓, Langlois P. ↑,
- 85', Brown N. 🟨,
- 87', Brown N. ↓, Sousa F. ↑,
- 89', Langlois P. 🟨,
- 90+2', 1 - 3, McLaughlin G. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Portland Hearts of Pine
43% | Draw
28.3% | Forward Madison
28.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Portland Hearts of Pine has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)Forward Madison has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portland Hearts of Pine than the current prediction. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Forward Madison than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
Portland Hearts of Pine - Forward Madison Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.13 ↓
(2.17) |
3.23
(3.23) |
3.19 ↑
(3.15) |
9.4%
(8.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Portland Hearts of Pine - Forward Madison?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Hearts of Pine is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Forward Madison has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Forward Madison may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Forward Madison has had a series of away games.
- Hearts of Pine is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Hearts of Pine won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Portland Hearts of Pine won against Forward Madison?
Portland Hearts of Pine has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Forward Madison won against Portland Hearts of Pine?
Forward Madison has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Portland Hearts of Pine - Forward Madison were as follows:
24.05.2025
Forward Madison
-
Portland Hearts of Pine
1:1
Latest results of Portland Hearts of Pine
Latest results of Forward Madison
USL League One Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | One Knoxville | 30 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 43:26 | 17 | 57 |
| 2 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 30 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 42:30 | 12 | 55 |
| 3 | Spokane Velocity | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 41:35 | 6 | 51 |
| 4 | FC Naples | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 40:32 | 8 | 47 |
| 5 | Union Omaha | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 51:39 | 12 | 46 |
| 6 | Tormenta | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 55:47 | 8 | 45 |
| 7 | Portland Hearts of Pine | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 48:38 | 10 | 45 |
| 8 | Charlotte Independ | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 45:50 | -5 | 37 |
| 9 | AV Alta | 30 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 42:47 | -5 | 36 |
| 10 | Forward Madison | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 31:43 | -12 | 35 |
| 11 | Greenville | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 38:43 | -5 | 32 |
| 12 | Texoma | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 35:55 | -20 | 30 |
| 13 | Richmond Kickers | 30 | 8 | 5 | 17 | 43:53 | -10 | 29 |
| 14 | Westchester SC | 30 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 43:59 | -16 | 24 |
Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: )
