Forward Madison vs Portland Hearts of Pine – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football USL League One Forward Madison - Portland Hearts of Pine
Result
1:1
24/05/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL League One
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.130.45
Ball Possession
60%40%
Total shots
69
Shots on target
15
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
32
Passes
81% (367/452)70% (208/299)
Yellow Cards
26
Expected Goals (xG)
1.130.45
xG on target (xGOT)
0.901.71
Total shots
69
Shots on target
15
Shots off target
31
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
55
Shots outside the Box
14
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
32
Touches in opposition box
1514
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
2015
Passes
81% (367/452)70% (208/299)
Long passes
47% (31/66)44% (33/75)
Passes in final third
57% (64/112)55% (57/103)
Crosses
50% (5/10)13% (1/8)
Expected assists (xA)
1.010.39
Throw-ins
2125
Fouls
1520
Tackles
82% (14/17)69% (9/13)
Duels won
4844
Clearances
1811
Interceptions
75
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
40
xGOT faced
1.710.90
Goals prevented
0.71-0.10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 7', 1 - 0, Boyce D. (Pen),
  • 12', Langlois P. , Poon-Angeron M. ,
  • 35', 1 - 1, Messer N. , Wright O. (A),
  • 38', Viader D. 🟨,
  • 41', Lopez M. 🟨,
  • 45+3', Varela W. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Lopez M. , Mohamed M. ,
  • 56', Brown N. , Garcia C. ,
  • 56', Viader D. , Galindrez J. ,
  • 62', Washington T. , Liadi A. ,
  • 62', Reilly M. , Kamara J. ,
  • 67', Garcia C. 🟨,
  • 68', Gebhard D. , Bartman N. ,
  • 69', Poon-Angeron M. 🟨,
  • 72', Kamara J. 🟨,
  • 76', Vinberg S. 🟨,
  • 80', Varela W. , James N. ,
  • 85', Carrera J. , Dietrich J. ,
  • 85', Boyce D. , Lucca Dourado ,
  • 90+3', Wright O. 🟨,

Official Live

Chances of winning


Forward Madison
48.2%
Draw
27.8%
Portland Hearts of Pine
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.6% 29.5% 32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5% 28.8% 31.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Forward Madison has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Forward Madison's performance.
  • Portland Hearts of Pine has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Portland Hearts of Pine might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Forward Madison than the current prediction. (-8.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Forward Madison that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portland Hearts of Pine than the current prediction. (+7.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Portland Hearts of Pine could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Forward Madison - Portland Hearts of Pine Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.91
    (2.37)
    3.31
    (3.11)
    3.83
    (2.86)
    8.6%
    (9.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 9 and 11)
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Hearts of Pine may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Forward Madison might have a minor edge in this game.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Forward Madison
    Latest results of Portland Hearts of Pine
    USL League One Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Chattanooga Red Wolves23129235:201545
    2Spokane Velocity22126432:211142
    3One Knoxville23118431:201141
    4FC Naples24118533:26741
    5Charlotte Independ2487938:40-231
    6Portland Hearts of Pine21710429:24531
    7AV Alta24710735:34131
    8Union Omaha22931035:32330
    9Tormenta24851137:42-529
    10Texoma24681031:46-1526
    11Forward Madison24511824:29-526
    12Greenville24661233:38-524
    13Richmond Kickers23651230:36-623
    14Westchester SC24381335:50-1517

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