Portland Hearts of Pine vs Forward Madison – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football USL League One Portland Hearts of Pine - Forward Madison
Result
1:3
04/10/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL League One
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+, NESN
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.422.20
Ball Possession
68%32%
Total shots
1012
Shots on target
35
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
52
Passes
80% (407/506)54% (136/250)
Yellow Cards
42
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.422.20
xG on target (xGOT)
0.902.57
Total shots
1012
Shots on target
35
Shots off target
43
Blocked Shots
34
Shots inside the Box
38
Shots outside the Box
74
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
52
Touches in opposition box
1221
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
1415
Passes
80% (407/506)54% (136/250)
Long passes
49% (37/75)25% (18/72)
Passes in final third
67% (111/166)38% (33/87)
Crosses
7% (2/29)14% (1/7)
Expected assists (xA)
0.400.86
Throw-ins
2021
Fouls
1514
Tackles
75% (12/16)63% (10/16)
Duels won
5359
Clearances
1533
Interceptions
39
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
2.570.90
Goals prevented
-0.43-0.10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 20', 0 - 1, Gebhard D. , Viader D. (A),
  • 22', Lopez M. 🟨,
  • 36', 0 - 2, Lucca Dourado (Pen),
  • 42', Green K. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 64', Mohamed M. , Kamara J. ,
  • 64', Wright O. , James N. ,
  • 64', Washington T. , Kvifte N. H. ,
  • 64', Green K. , Keegan J. ,
  • 66', Lucca Dourado , McLaughlin G. ,
  • 72', 1 - 2, Kamara J. ,
  • 76', Varela W. 🟨,
  • 79', Angking I. 🟨,
  • 79', Angking I. , Mesias A. ,
  • 80', Gebhard D. , Galindrez J. ,
  • 82', Kamara J. 🟥,
  • 84', Poon-Angeron M. , Langlois P. ,
  • 85', Brown N. 🟨,
  • 87', Brown N. , Sousa F. ,
  • 89', Langlois P. 🟨,
  • 90+2', 1 - 3, McLaughlin G. ,

Official Live

Chances of winning


Portland Hearts of Pine
43%
Draw
28.3%
Forward Madison
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.4% 28.5% 29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6% 27.7% 28.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Portland Hearts of Pine has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • Forward Madison has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portland Hearts of Pine than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Forward Madison than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
  • Portland Hearts of Pine - Forward Madison Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.13
    (2.17)
    3.23
    (3.23)
    3.19
    (3.15)
    9.4%
    (8.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Portland Hearts of Pine - Forward Madison?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Hearts of Pine is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Forward Madison has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Forward Madison may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Forward Madison has had a series of away games.
    • Hearts of Pine is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Hearts of Pine won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Portland Hearts of Pine - Forward Madison were as follows:
    24.05.2025 Forward Madison - Portland Hearts of Pine 1:1
    Latest results of Forward Madison
    USL League One Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Chattanooga Red Wolves ✔ 271310437:261149
    2One Knoxville ✔ 27139537:241348
    3Spokane Velocity ✔ 26137636:261046
    4FC Naples ✔ 26128637:271044
    5Portland Hearts of Pine261010637:30740
    6Union Omaha261151043:36738
    7Tormenta271151147:45238
    8Charlotte Independ27971141:44-334
    9Forward Madison27711928:33-532
    10AV Alta27711936:42-632
    11Greenville27871237:38-131
    12Texoma27691233:50-1727
    13Richmond Kickers27751538:49-1126
    14Westchester SC27481538:55-1720

          Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Chattanooga Red Wolves is Qualified for USL League One (Play Offs )
    One Knoxville is Qualified for USL League One (Play Offs )
    Spokane Velocity is Qualified for USL League One (Play Offs )
    FC Naples is Qualified for USL League One (Play Offs )