Result
1:0
21/06/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Virsliga - Round 19
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Latvia | Sportacentrs TV |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.16 | 0.23 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (391/464) | 78% (282/360) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.16 | 0.23 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.20 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 15 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (391/464) | 78% (282/360) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 59% (41/69) | 45% (24/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (116/159) | 58% (56/97) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (7/37) | 21% (3/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.25 | 0.54 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (8/14) | 60% (12/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 46 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.17 | 0.20 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.17 | -0.80 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 33', Scremin G. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Gueye D. ↓, Leidsman K. ↑,
- 46', Oloko E. ↓, Traore A. ↑,
- 58', Saleh S. ↓, Evelons E. ↑,
- 67', Diaw M. ↓, Samba T. ↑,
- 76', Scremin G. ↓, Rekis K. ↑,
- 80', Melnis B. ↓, Patijcuks D. ↑,
- 85', 1 - 0, Babic A. ⚽,
- 90+1', Kamara M. ↓, Klavinskis R. ↑,
- 90+1', Kamara S. ↓, Bangura A. ↑,
- 90+1', Lausic M. ↓, Purtic S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Liepāja
70% | Draw
19% | Metta LU
10.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Liepāja has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Liepāja's performance.Metta LU has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Metta LU might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Liepāja than the current prediction. (-10.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Liepāja that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metta LU than the current prediction. (+9.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Metta LU could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Liepāja - Metta LU Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.35 ↓
(1.61) |
4.95 ↑
(4.1) |
8.63 ↑
(4.3) |
6.1%
(9.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Liepāja - Metta LU?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Liepāja (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Liepāja will win
(11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 4 and 9 in the zone Virsliga (Relegation)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Liepāja won 3.
- In recent matches, Liepāja has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Metta has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Liepāja is the obvious favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Liepāja won 13 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 49:24. (average 2.5:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Liepāja won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 25:12. (average 2.5:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Liepāja won against Metta LU?
Liepāja has won 6 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Metta LU won against Liepāja?
Metta LU has won 3 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Liepāja - Metta LU were as follows:
02.05.2025
Metta LU
-
Liepāja
2:4
07.03.2025
Liepāja
-
Metta LU
4:0
15.09.2024
Metta LU
-
Liepāja
1:2
25.06.2024
Liepāja
-
Metta LU
1:5
06.05.2024
Liepāja
-
Metta LU
1:2
Latest results of Liepāja
Latest results of Metta LU
Latvian Virsliga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Riga FC | 23 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 55:15 | 40 | 58 |
| 2 | RFS | 23 | 18 | 1 | 4 | 57:20 | 37 | 55 |
| 3 | Auda | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 34:26 | 8 | 37 |
| 4 | FK Liepaja | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 38:36 | 2 | 35 |
| 5 | BFC Daugavpils | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 34:42 | -8 | 30 |
| 6 | Jelgava | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 20:25 | -5 | 27 |
| 7 | Super Nova | 23 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 26:32 | -6 | 21 |
| 8 | Tukums 2000 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 25:41 | -16 | 21 |
| 9 | Grobina | 23 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 21:44 | -23 | 19 |
| 10 | Metta | 23 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 18:47 | -29 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Nakotnes liga
