Result
2:1
30/11/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 13
- Referee: Umudlu K. (Aze)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Azerbaijan | CBC Sport |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 14 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 9 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 14 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 15', 1 - 0, Owusu P. ⚽,
- 27', Santos F. ↓, Keyta H. ↑,
- 29', Hasanalizada B. 🟨,
- 34', 1 - 1, Hasanalizada B. ⚽,
- 39', Musayev M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 57', Andrade P. 🟨,
- 59', 2 - 1, Ba Loua A. ⚽,
- 61', Aliyev N. ↓, Ahmadov E. ↑,
- 62', Diniyev C. ↓, Rodrigues N. ↑,
- 62', Andrade P. ↓, Ahmadzada M. ↑,
- 62', Cohen B. ↓, Isgandarov U. ↑,
- 73', Simakala B. 🟨,
- 75', Bruno Franco ↓, Alxasov ↑,
- 79', Agayev S. 🟨,
- 81', Owusu P. ↓, Iskandarov F. ↑,
- 87', Damadayev S. ↓, Eduardo Kunde ↑,
- 90+4', Musayev M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Gabala 29.7% | Draw 30.3% | Araz Naxçıvan 40% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Gabala - Araz Naxçıvan Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.08 ↓ (3.49) |
3.02 ↓ (3.1) |
2.28 ↑ (2.02) |
9.4% (10.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 11 and 6).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gabala won 2.
- Gabala is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Araz's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Gabala won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:10. (average 1.5:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Gabala won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:4. (average 2.2:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Gabala won against Araz Naxçıvan?
Gabala has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Araz Naxçıvan won against Gabala?
Araz Naxçıvan has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gabala - Araz Naxçıvan were as follows:
30.08.2025
Araz Naxçıvan
-
Gabala
2:1
19.05.2024
Gabala
-
Araz Naxçıvan
2:0
16.03.2024
Araz Naxçıvan
-
Gabala
1:1
09.02.2024
Gabala
-
Araz Naxçıvan
2:0
31.01.2024
Araz Naxçıvan
-
Gabala
1:1
Latest results of Araz Naxçıvan
Azerbaijan Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Qarabag | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 24:6 | 18 | 30 |
| 2 | Zira | 14 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 22:13 | 9 | 27 |
| 3 | Sabah Baku | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 19:6 | 13 | 25 |
| 4 | Turan Tovuz | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 16:9 | 7 | 24 |
| 5 | Sumqayit | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 22:16 | 6 | 23 |
| 6 | Araz | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 20:20 | 0 | 20 |
| 7 | Shamakhi | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 16:15 | 1 | 17 |
| 8 | Neftci Baku | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 16:12 | 4 | 16 |
| 9 | Imisli FK | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 13:17 | -4 | 15 |
| 10 | Gabala | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 10:18 | -8 | 8 |
| 11 | Kapaz | 13 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 10:35 | -25 | 6 |
| 12 | Karvan | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 10:31 | -21 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ I Liqa