Result
2:1
30/11/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 13
- Referee: Umudlu K. (Aze)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Azerbaijan | CBC Sport |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 14 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 9 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 14 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 15', 1 - 0, Owusu P. ⚽,
- 27', Santos F. ↓, Keyta H. ↑,
- 29', Hasanalizada B. 🟨,
- 34', 1 - 1, Hasanalizada B. ⚽,
- 39', Musayev M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 57', Andrade P. 🟨,
- 59', 2 - 1, Ba Loua A. ⚽,
- 61', Aliyev N. ↓, Ahmadov E. ↑,
- 62', Diniyev C. ↓, Rodrigues N. ↑,
- 62', Andrade P. ↓, Ahmadzada M. ↑,
- 62', Cohen B. ↓, Isgandarov U. ↑,
- 73', Simakala B. 🟨,
- 75', Bruno Franco ↓, Alxasov ↑,
- 79', Agayev S. 🟨,
- 81', Owusu P. ↓, Iskandarov F. ↑,
- 87', Damadayev S. ↓, Eduardo Kunde ↑,
- 90+4', Musayev M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Gabala
29.7% | Draw
30.3% | Araz Naxçıvan
40% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gabala has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)Araz Naxçıvan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gabala than the current prediction. (-3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Araz Naxçıvan than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
Gabala - Araz Naxçıvan Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.08 ↓
(3.49) |
3.02 ↓
(3.1) |
2.28 ↑
(2.02) |
9.4%
(10.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Gabala - Araz Naxçıvan?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DNB - Gabala (1.99) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Gabala (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 11 and 6).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gabala won 2.
- Gabala is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Araz's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Gabala won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:10. (average 1.5:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Gabala won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:4. (average 2.2:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Gabala won against Araz Naxçıvan?
Gabala has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Araz Naxçıvan won against Gabala?
Araz Naxçıvan has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gabala - Araz Naxçıvan were as follows:
30.08.2025
Araz Naxçıvan
-
Gabala
2:1
19.05.2024
Gabala
-
Araz Naxçıvan
2:0
16.03.2024
Araz Naxçıvan
-
Gabala
1:1
09.02.2024
Gabala
-
Araz Naxçıvan
2:0
31.01.2024
Araz Naxçıvan
-
Gabala
1:1
Latest results of Araz Naxçıvan
Azerbaijan Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sabah Baku | 27 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 66:21 | 45 | 66 |
| 2 | Qarabag | 26 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 55:18 | 37 | 56 |
| 3 | Turan Tovuz | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 35:19 | 16 | 52 |
| 4 | Zira | 27 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 36:30 | 6 | 44 |
| 5 | Neftci Baku | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 44:24 | 20 | 43 |
| 6 | Araz | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 37:49 | -12 | 39 |
| 7 | Shamakhi | 27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 25:28 | -3 | 32 |
| 8 | Sumqayit | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 35:40 | -5 | 32 |
| 9 | Imisli FK | 27 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 20:37 | -17 | 26 |
| 10 | Kapaz | 27 | 6 | 3 | 18 | 22:54 | -32 | 21 |
| 11 | Gabala | 27 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 25:43 | -18 | 19 |
| 12 | Karvan | 27 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 20:57 | -37 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ I Liqa
