Sagan Tosu vs Gamba Osaka – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Japan J1 League Sagan Tosu - Gamba Osaka
Result
0:2
14/07/2024 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • JAPAN: J1 League - Round 23
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaK-Ball
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Ball Possession
50%50%
Goal Attempts
1412
Shots on Goal
35
Shots off Goal
117
Free Kicks
810
Corner Kicks
62
Offsides
00
Goalkeeper Saves
33
Fouls
117
Yellow Cards
10
Total Passes
657496
Completed Passes
540393
Tackles
1611
Attacks
14491
Dangerous Attacks
7842
Clearances Completed
916
Crosses Completed
41

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 19', 0 - 1, Sakamoto I. , Yamashita R. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Araujo V. , Nakahara H. ,
  • 64', Welton , Kurata S. ,
  • 64', Yamashita R. , Juan Alano ,
  • 64', Horigome Y. , Tezuka K. ,
  • 72', Sakaiya K. , Kim Tae-Hyeon ,
  • 72', Kikuchi T. , Kiyotake H. ,
  • 81', Sakamoto I. , Jebali I. ,
  • 81', Usami T. , Matsuda R. ,
  • 84', 0 - 2, Jebali I. , Kurata S. (A),
  • 84', Tezuka K. 🟨,
  • 85', Fukuta A. , Slivka V. ,
  • 90+3', Kurokawa K. , Egawa Y. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Sagan Tosu
30.7%
Draw
26.6%
Gamba Osaka
42.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.1% 26.7% 45.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.7% 26.3% 45.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sagan Tosu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
  • Gamba Osaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sagan Tosu than the current prediction. (-3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gamba Osaka than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
  • Sagan Tosu - Gamba Osaka Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.05
    (3.33)
    3.53
    (3.5)
    2.2
    (2.06)
    6.5%
    (7.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Sagan Tosu - Gamba Osaka?
  • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Tosu will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%). Gamba Osaka will win (votes: 9 - 56.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 31.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Gamba Osaka: 32%80.6%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 and 4).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Tosu won 2.
    • Recent matches Tosu is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Gamba Osaka is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Tosu could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Recently Gamba Osaka have a series of home games.
    • Gamba Osaka will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Tosu won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 25-30.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Tosu won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 13-10.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sagan Tosu - Gamba Osaka were as follows:
    14.04.2024 Gamba Osaka - Sagan Tosu 2:1
    26.08.2023 Sagan Tosu - Gamba Osaka 1:1
    25.02.2023 Gamba Osaka - Sagan Tosu 1:1
    03.09.2022 Gamba Osaka - Sagan Tosu 0:3
    Latest results of Sagan Tosu
    Latest results of Gamba Osaka
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kyoto27156647:301751
    2Kashima Antlers27163840:261451
    3Machida28155842:261650
    4Kashiwa Reysol27148540:271350
    5Vissel Kobe28155836:261050
    6Sanfrecce Hiroshima28154933:191449
    7Urawa Reds27128738:30844
    8Kawasaki Frontale27119745:351042
    9Okayama271161026:23339
    10Cerezo Osaka27108941:38338
    11Avispa Fukuoka27910827:26137
    12Gamba Osaka281141333:40-737
    13Shimizu S-Pulse27881130:35-532
    14Verdy27871216:28-1231
    15FC Tokyo27861329:41-1230
    16Nagoya Grampus27771333:41-828
    17Yokohama F. Marinos27671426:34-825
    18Shonan Bellmare27671422:42-2025
    19Yokohama FC27641718:35-1722
    20Albirex Niigata27481527:47-2020

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