Result
0:2
14/07/2024 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- JAPAN: J1 League - Round 23
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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China | K-Ball |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
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Ball Possession |
---|
50% | 50% |
Goal Attempts |
---|
14 | 12 |
Shots on Goal |
---|
3 | 5 |
Shots off Goal |
---|
11 | 7 |
Free Kicks |
---|
8 | 10 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 2 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 3 |
Fouls |
---|
11 | 7 |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 0 |
Total Passes |
---|
657 | 496 |
Completed Passes |
---|
540 | 393 |
Tackles |
---|
16 | 11 |
Attacks |
---|
144 | 91 |
Dangerous Attacks |
---|
78 | 42 |
Clearances Completed |
---|
9 | 16 |
Crosses Completed |
---|
4 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 19', 0 - 1, Sakamoto I. ⚽, Yamashita R. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Araujo V. ↓, Nakahara H. ↑,
- 64', Welton ↓, Kurata S. ↑,
- 64', Yamashita R. ↓, Juan Alano ↑,
- 64', Horigome Y. ↓, Tezuka K. ↑,
- 72', Sakaiya K. ↓, Kim Tae-Hyeon ↑,
- 72', Kikuchi T. ↓, Kiyotake H. ↑,
- 81', Sakamoto I. ↓, Jebali I. ↑,
- 81', Usami T. ↓, Matsuda R. ↑,
- 84', 0 - 2, Jebali I. ⚽, Kurata S. (A),
- 84', Tezuka K. 🟨,
- 85', Fukuta A. ↓, Slivka V. ↑,
- 90+3', Kurokawa K. ↓, Egawa Y. ↑,
Chances of winning
Sagan Tosu 30.7% | Draw 26.6% | Gamba Osaka 42.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sagan Tosu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)Gamba Osaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sagan Tosu than the current prediction. (-3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gamba Osaka than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
Sagan Tosu - Gamba Osaka Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.05 ↓ (3.33) |
3.53 ↑ (3.5) |
2.2 ↑ (2.06) |
6.5% (7.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Sagan Tosu - Gamba Osaka?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Tosu will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%). Gamba Osaka will win (votes: 9 - 56.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 31.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gamba Osaka: 32% – 80.6%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 and 4).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Tosu won 2.
- Recent matches Tosu is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Gamba Osaka is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Tosu could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Recently Gamba Osaka have a series of home games.
- Gamba Osaka will have a small advantage in this match.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Tosu won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 25-30.
- Including matches at home between the teams Tosu won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 13-10.
How many head-to-head matches has Sagan Tosu won against Gamba Osaka?
Sagan Tosu has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gamba Osaka won against Sagan Tosu?
Gamba Osaka has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sagan Tosu - Gamba Osaka were as follows:
14.04.2024
Gamba Osaka
-
Sagan Tosu
2:1
26.08.2023
Sagan Tosu
-
Gamba Osaka
1:1
25.02.2023
Gamba Osaka
-
Sagan Tosu
1:1
03.09.2022
Gamba Osaka
-
Sagan Tosu
0:3
Latest results of Sagan Tosu
Latest results of Gamba Osaka
Japan J1 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Vissel Kobe | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 34:22 | 12 | 46 |
2 | Kashima Antlers | 24 | 14 | 2 | 8 | 36:24 | 12 | 44 |
3 | Kashiwa Reysol | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 33:23 | 10 | 44 |
4 | Kyoto | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 40:29 | 11 | 42 |
5 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 24 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 29:18 | 11 | 42 |
6 | Machida | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 34:25 | 9 | 40 |
7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 38:26 | 12 | 38 |
8 | Urawa Reds | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 32:24 | 8 | 38 |
9 | Cerezo Osaka | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 37:33 | 4 | 34 |
10 | Gamba Osaka | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 29:31 | -2 | 34 |
11 | Avispa Fukuoka | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 21:23 | -2 | 32 |
12 | Okayama | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 20:22 | -2 | 30 |
13 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 29:32 | -3 | 30 |
14 | FC Tokyo | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 27:34 | -7 | 29 |
15 | Nagoya Grampus | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 28:33 | -5 | 28 |
16 | Verdy | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 15:24 | -9 | 28 |
17 | Shonan Bellmare | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 20:37 | -17 | 24 |
18 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 23:32 | -9 | 21 |
19 | Yokohama FC | 24 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 14:30 | -16 | 19 |
20 | Albirex Niigata | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 24:41 | -17 | 19 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ J2 League