Result
3:2
08/03/2026 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 5
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Canal GOAT |
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.19 | 0.52 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (434/560) | 73% (270/369) |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.19 | 0.52 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.83 | 0.57 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 39 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (434/560) | 73% (270/369) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 34% (18/53) | 36% (22/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (153/205) | 67% (80/120) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (6/21) | 22% (2/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.71 | 0.65 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (12/19) | 65% (13/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 44 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 17 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.57 | 1.83 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.43 | -0.17 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 13', 1 - 0, Hummet D. ⚽, Jebali I. (A),
- 21', 1 - 1, Matheus Jesus ⚽,
- 27', 1 - 2, Matheus Jesus ⚽, Campbell N. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 51', 2 - 2, Nakatani S. ⚽, Suzuki T. (A),
- 62', Okunuki K. ↓, Welton ↑,
- 62', Suzuki T. ↓, Abe S. ↑,
- 62', Yamada R. ↓, Diego Pituca ↑,
- 69', Hasegawa M. ↓, Kasayanagi T. ↑,
- 69', Campbell N. ↓, Iwasaki Y. ↑,
- 73', Jebali I. ↓, Nawata G. ↑,
- 83', 3 - 2, Onaga H. (Own goal),
- 88', Hummet D. ↓, Minamino H. ↑,
- 88', Yamashita R. ↓, Kurata S. ↑,
- 88', Thiago ↓, Yamasaki R. ↑,
- 88', Yoneda S. ↓, Matsumoto T. ↑,
Chances of winning
Gamba Osaka
43.9% | Draw
26.5% | V-Varen Nagasaki
29.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gamba Osaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)V-Varen Nagasaki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
Gamba Osaka - V-Varen Nagasaki Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.15 ↑
(2.04) |
3.53 ↓
(3.72) |
3.15 ↓
(3.33) |
6.5%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Gamba Osaka - V-Varen Nagasaki?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.25 - Gamba Osaka (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Gamba Osaka (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Gamba Osaka will win
(8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Gamba Osaka will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Gamba Osaka (votes: 6 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 13th place)).
- Gamba Osaka is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Gamba Osaka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Gamba Osaka has had a series of home games.
- Gamba Osaka might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Gamba Osaka: Ichimori J.
(Injury)
Nakano S.
(Injury)
Uenaka A.
(Injury)
Usami T.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in V-Varen Nagasaki: Emerson Deocleciano
(Knee Injury)
Nagura T.
(Illness)
- There are questionable in Gamba Osaka: Sasaki S.
(Injury)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gamba Osaka won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1.4:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Gamba Osaka won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Gamba Osaka won against V-Varen Nagasaki?
Gamba Osaka has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has V-Varen Nagasaki won against Gamba Osaka?
V-Varen Nagasaki has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gamba Osaka - V-Varen Nagasaki were as follows:
Latest results of Gamba Osaka
Latest results of V-Varen Nagasaki
Japan J1 League Table
2026East | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 18:7 | 26 |
| 2 | FC Tokyo | 11 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 19:10 | 23 |
| 3 | Machida | 11 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 17:16 | 22 |
| 4 | Verdy | 10 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 16:15 | 15 |
| 5 | Kawasaki Frontale | 10 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 16:19 | 14 |
| 6 | Urawa Reds | 10 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 14:15 | 12 |
| 7 | Mito | 10 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13:19 | 12 |
| 8 | Kashiwa Reysol | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 15:14 | 11 |
| 9 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 13:18 | 9 |
| 10 | Chiba | 10 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 10:18 | 9 |
West | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 11 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 23:12 | 25 |
| 2 | Kyoto | 10 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 17:12 | 17 |
| 3 | Gamba Osaka | 10 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 16:14 | 17 |
| 4 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 11 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 15:14 | 17 |
| 5 | Nagoya Grampus | 10 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 17:15 | 16 |
| 6 | Cerezo Osaka | 10 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10:11 | 14 |
| 7 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 10 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 15:14 | 13 |
| 8 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10:15 | 12 |
| 9 | Avispa Fukuoka | 10 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10:17 | 11 |
| 10 | Okayama | 10 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11:20 | 11 |
Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
