Result
2:0
18/04/2026 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 11
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Canal GOAT |
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | AbemaTV, DAZN Japan |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.29 | 0.49 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (416/524) | 69% (234/337) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.29 | 0.49 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.65 | 0.21 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 37 | 8 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (416/524) | 69% (234/337) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 32% (20/63) | 26% (15/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (128/185) | 50% (53/106) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (9/24) | 67% (2/3) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.97 | 0.31 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 28 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 5 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 90% (9/10) | 86% (6/7) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 30 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.21 | 2.65 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.21 | 0.65 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 10', 1 - 0, Suzuki A. ⚽,
- 29', Diego Pituca 🟨,
- 30', Teruyama H. ↓, Dudu Giusti ↑,
- 38', Thiago 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 52', 2 - 0, Kato M. ⚽,
- 61', Higashi S. ↓, Nakano S. ↑,
- 61', Arslan T. ↓, Kinoshita K. ↑,
- 66', Iwasaki Y. ↓, Campbell N. ↑,
- 66', Onaga H. ↓, Kasayanagi T. ↑,
- 75', Hasegawa M. ↓, Yamasaki R. ↑,
- 75', Thiago ↓, Matheus Jesus ↑,
- 75', Suzuki A. ↓, Nakamura S. ↑,
- 75', Kato M. ↓, Nakajima Y. ↑,
- 87', Kawabe H. ↓, Yamasaki T. ↑,
- 90+2', Diego Pituca 🟨,
Chances of winning
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
68.2% | Draw
20.1% | V-Varen Nagasaki
11.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sanfrecce Hiroshima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)V-Varen Nagasaki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sanfrecce Hiroshima than the current prediction. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for V-Varen Nagasaki than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima - V-Varen Nagasaki Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.39 ↓
(1.46) |
4.71 ↑
(4.61) |
7.92 ↑
(6.35) |
6%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Sanfrecce Hiroshima - V-Varen Nagasaki?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Hiroshima will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 13th place) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 15th place))
- Hiroshima is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, V-Varen Nagasaki has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Hiroshima is the clear favorite.
- There will not play in V-Varen Nagasaki: Emerson Deocleciano
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Hiroshima won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:1. (average 2.3:0.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Hiroshima won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Sanfrecce Hiroshima won against V-Varen Nagasaki?
Sanfrecce Hiroshima has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has V-Varen Nagasaki won against Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
V-Varen Nagasaki has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sanfrecce Hiroshima - V-Varen Nagasaki were as follows:
06.02.2026
V-Varen Nagasaki
-
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1:3
Latest results of Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Latest results of V-Varen Nagasaki
Japan J1 League Table
2026East | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 14 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 23:10 | 34 |
| 2 | FC Tokyo | 14 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 29:13 | 32 |
| 3 | Machida | 13 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 21:20 | 25 |
| 4 | Verdy | 13 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 20:16 | 24 |
| 5 | Kawasaki Frontale | 14 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 20:25 | 20 |
| 6 | Urawa Reds | 14 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 20:19 | 18 |
| 7 | Mito | 14 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 21:28 | 18 |
| 8 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 14 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 21:26 | 16 |
| 9 | Kashiwa Reysol | 14 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 16:21 | 11 |
| 10 | Chiba | 14 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 13:26 | 9 |
West | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 13 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 23:18 | 26 |
| 2 | Gamba Osaka | 15 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 28:21 | 25 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 14 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 25:20 | 25 |
| 4 | Cerezo Osaka | 14 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 17:14 | 21 |
| 5 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 14 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 21:19 | 20 |
| 6 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 14 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 18:19 | 20 |
| 7 | Okayama | 14 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 18:24 | 20 |
| 8 | Kyoto | 13 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 20:18 | 19 |
| 9 | Avispa Fukuoka | 15 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 18:27 | 18 |
| 10 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 14 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 14:22 | 16 |
Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
