Result
5:1
22/12/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Super Lig - Round 17
- Referee: Sansalan A. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | TOD |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.49 | 1.80 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (452/512) | 86% (321/373) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.49 | 1.80 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.94 | 0.88 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 32 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 19 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (452/512) | 86% (321/373) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (24/53) | 55% (28/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (73/98) | 74% (67/90) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (2/10) | 27% (3/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.79 | 1.10 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 40% (6/15) | 67% (12/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 56 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.88 | 1.94 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.12 | -2.06 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 21', 1 - 0, Shomurodov E. ⚽, Harit A. (A),
- 26', 1 - 1, Camara D. ⚽, Maxim A. (A),
- 29', 2 - 1, Fayzullaev A. ⚽, Sengezer M. (A),
- 31', Ergun O. 🟨,
- 35', Kizildag A. 🟨,
- 41', Camara D. 🟨,
- 45', Bulut O. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 46', Guler S. ↓, Lungoyi C. ↑,
- 46', Bulut O. ↓, Ebosele F. ↑,
- 46', Ergun O. ↓, Ozdemir B. ↑,
- 50', Kozlowski K. 🟨,
- 53', 3 - 1, Kizildag A. (Own goal),
- 57', Perez L. ↓, Sorescu D. ↑,
- 57', Kabasakal M. ↓, Ozcicek O. ↑,
- 68', 4 - 1, Gunes U. ⚽, Shomurodov E. (A),
- 69', Maxim A. ↓, Boateng E. ↑,
- 69', Kizildag A. ↓, Sanuc T. T. ↑,
- 71', Selke D. ↓, Yildirim B. ↑,
- 71', Harit A. ↓, Brnic I. ↑,
- 74', Rodrigues K. 🟨,
- 77', Rodrigues K. 🟥,
- 79', Gunes U. ↓, Kaluzinski J. ↑,
- 84', 5 - 1, Brnic I. ⚽,
- 90+2', Kaluzinski J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
İstanbul Başakşehir
57.8% | Draw
22.9% | Gaziantep
19.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
İstanbul Başakşehir has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)Gaziantep has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for İstanbul Başakşehir than the current prediction. (-3.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gaziantep than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
İstanbul Başakşehir - Gaziantep Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.64 ↓
(1.75) |
4.11 ↑
(4.03) |
4.81 ↑
(4.16) |
6.1%
(6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for İstanbul Başakşehir - Gaziantep?
Users Predictions:
44 users predict this event. Başakşehir will win (votes: 35 - 79.5%). Gaziantep will win (votes: 5 - 11.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Başakşehir: 67.6% – 91.4%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.75 - Başakşehir (1.79) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): İstanbul Başakşehir will win (13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 16 high ROI users predict this event. Başakşehir (votes: 14 - 87.5%). Gaziantep (votes: 2 - 12.5%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Başakşehir won 3.
- In recent matches, Başakşehir has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Gaziantep is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Başakşehir may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Başakşehir is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Başakşehir: Crespo M.
(Injury)
Kemen O.
(International duty)
Operi C.
(International duty)
Sari Y.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Gaziantep: Abena M.
(Injury)
Ablak A.
(Knee Injury)
Gunes M.
(Suspended)
M'Bakata S.
(Knee Injury)
Sangare N.
(Suspended)
- There are questionable in Başakşehir: Turuc D.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Gaziantep: Ndiaye B.
(Injury)
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Başakşehir won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 23:12. (average 1.8:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Başakşehir won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:4. (average 2.3:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has İstanbul Başakşehir won against Gaziantep?
İstanbul Başakşehir has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gaziantep won against İstanbul Başakşehir?
Gaziantep has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between İstanbul Başakşehir - Gaziantep were as follows:
20.04.2025
İstanbul Başakşehir
-
Gaziantep
2:1
23.11.2024
Gaziantep
-
İstanbul Başakşehir
3:0
24.02.2024
Gaziantep
-
İstanbul Başakşehir
0:2
07.10.2023
İstanbul Başakşehir
-
Gaziantep
2:0
05.01.2023
Gaziantep
-
İstanbul Başakşehir
1:1
Latest results of İstanbul Başakşehir
Latest results of Gaziantep
Turkish Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Galatasaray | 23 | 17 | 4 | 2 | 55:17 | 38 | 55 |
| 2 | Fenerbahce | 23 | 15 | 8 | 0 | 52:21 | 31 | 53 |
| 3 | Trabzonspor | 23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 45:27 | 18 | 48 |
| 4 | Besiktas | 23 | 12 | 7 | 4 | 44:29 | 15 | 43 |
| 5 | Goztepe | 23 | 11 | 8 | 4 | 27:16 | 11 | 41 |
| 6 | Basaksehir | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 40:26 | 14 | 36 |
| 7 | Samsunspor | 23 | 7 | 10 | 6 | 25:27 | -2 | 31 |
| 8 | Kocaelispor | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 21:24 | -3 | 30 |
| 9 | Gaziantep | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 30:40 | -10 | 28 |
| 10 | Alanyaspor | 23 | 5 | 11 | 7 | 25:27 | -2 | 26 |
| 11 | Rizespor | 23 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 28:35 | -7 | 24 |
| 12 | Genclerbirligi | 23 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 28:34 | -6 | 23 |
| 13 | Konyaspor | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 27:35 | -8 | 23 |
| 14 | Antalyaspor | 23 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 22:36 | -14 | 23 |
| 15 | Eyupspor | 23 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 19:35 | -16 | 21 |
| 16 | Kasimpasa | 23 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 20:32 | -12 | 20 |
| 17 | Kayserispor | 23 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 18:43 | -25 | 19 |
| 18 | Karagumruk | 23 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 20:42 | -22 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ 1. Lig
