Result
3:1
25/09/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Coppa Italia - 1/16-finals
- Referee: Dionisi F. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Albania | Tring Sport 1 |
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports, DSports 2, DSPORTS+ Plus |
 Australia | Amazon Prime Video, Paramount+ |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2 |
 Canada | Amazon Prime Video |
 Chile | DirecTV Sports |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8 |
 Ecuador | DirecTV Sports, DSports 2 |
 France | DAZN France |
 Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch |
 Hungary | Arena 4 |
 Italy | 20 Mediaset, Infinity+, Italia 1, Sky Sport Calcio |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Kazakhstan | Sport+ |
 Kosovo | ART Sport 3 |
 Malta | TSN Malta 3 |
 Mexico | Caliente TV, Fox Sports |
 Netherlands | Ziggo Sport 5 |
 North-central-america | DirecTV Sports Caribbean |
 Norway | VG+ |
 Peru | DirecTV Sports |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 5 |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 1 Premium |
 South-america | DGO Latin America |
 South-korea | SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2 |
 Sweden | Sport Bladet Play |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 United-kingdom | Amazon Prime Video, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player |
 Uruguay | DirecTV Sports, DSports 2 |
 Usa | Paramount+ |
 Venezuela | DirecTV Sports, DSports 2, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.82 | 0.84 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (416/495) | 76% (289/379) |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.82 | 0.84 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.91 | 0.33 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (416/495) | 76% (289/379) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (25/47) | 30% (14/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (86/120) | 55% (32/58) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (4/14) | 29% (4/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.85 | 0.60 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 12 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (10/16) | 67% (10/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.33 | 2.91 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.67 | -0.09 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 12', 0 - 1, Saporiti E. ⚽,
- 15', 1 - 1, Frendrup M. ⚽, Colombo L. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Junior Messias ↓, Venturino L. ↑,
- 56', 2 - 1, Marcandalli A. ⚽, Venturino L. (A),
- 59', Popov B. ↓, Shpendi S. ↑,
- 59', Carboni F. ↓, Zanaga E. ↑,
- 60', Colombo L. ↓, Ekhator J. ↑,
- 66', Frendrup M. ↓, Masini P. ↑,
- 66', Gronbaek A. ↓, Thorsby M. ↑,
- 67', Ebuehi T. ↓, Indragoli G. ↑,
- 67', Yepes G. ↓, Ignacchiti L. ↑,
- 80', Saporiti E. ↓, Campaniello T. ↑,
- 83', 3 - 1, Ekhator J. ⚽, Thorsby M. (A),
- 84', Stanciu N. ↓, Fini S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Genoa
68.7% | Draw
21.6% | Empoli
9.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Genoa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Genoa's performance.Empoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Empoli might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Genoa than the current prediction. (-14.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Genoa that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Empoli than the current prediction. (+8.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Empoli could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Genoa - Empoli Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.4 ↓
(1.72) |
4.41 ↑
(3.6) |
9.82 ↑
(5.4) |
4.4%
(4.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Genoa - Empoli?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Genoa (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Genoa will win
(13 of 13 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Genoa won 1.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- In this match, Genoa is the obvious favorite.
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Genoa won 6 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:13. (average 1.1:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Genoa won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 0.9:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Genoa won against Empoli?
Genoa has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Empoli won against Genoa?
Empoli has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Genoa - Empoli were as follows:
02.03.2025
Genoa
-
Empoli
1:1
28.12.2024
Empoli
-
Genoa
1:2
03.02.2024
Empoli
-
Genoa
0:0
02.12.2023
Genoa
-
Empoli
1:1
Draw
2025/261/64-finals| 1 | Bologna | Bye | |
| 5 | Parma | Bye | |
| 6 | Pescara | Rimini | 1 : 0 |
| 7 | Spezia | Bye | |
| 8 | Bye | Sampdoria | |
| 9 | Lazio | Bye | |
| 13 | AC Milan | Bye | |
| 14 | Bye | Bari | |
| 15 | Lecce | Bye | |
| 16 | Bye | Juve Stabia | |
| 17 | Juventus | Bye | |
| 21 | Udinese | Bye | |
| 22 | Bye | Carrarese | |
| 23 | Cremonese | Bye | |
| 24 | Bye | Palermo | |
| 25 | Atalanta | Bye | |
| 29 | Empoli | Bye | |
| 30 | Bye | Reggiana | |
| 31 | Genoa | Bye | |
| 32 | Padova | L.R. Vicenza | 0 : 2 |
| 33 | Inter | Bye | |
| 37 | Audace Cerignola | Avellino | 1 : 0 |
| 38 | Verona | Bye | |
| 39 | Venezia | Bye | |
| 40 | Bye | Mantova | |
| 41 | AS Roma | Bye | |
| 45 | Torino | Bye | |
| 46 | Bye | Modena | |
| 47 | Pisa | Bye | |
| 48 | Bye | Cesena | |
| 49 | Fiorentina | Bye | |
| 53 | Como | Bye | |
| 54 | Bye | Sudtirol | |
| 55 | Sassuolo | Bye | |
| 56 | Bye | Catanzaro | |
| 57 | Napoli | Bye | |
| 61 | Monza | Bye | |
| 62 | Bye | Frosinone | |
| 63 | Cagliari | Bye | |
| 64 | Entella | Ternana | 4 : 0 |
1/32-finals| 1 | Bologna | Bye | |
| 3 | Parma | Pescara | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Spezia | Sampdoria | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Lazio | Bye | |
| 7 | AC Milan | Bari | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Lecce | Juve Stabia | 2 : 0 |
| 9 | Juventus | Bye | |
| 11 | Udinese | Carrarese | 2 : 0 |
| 12 | Cremonese | Palermo | 0 : 1 |
| 13 | Atalanta | Bye | |
| 15 | Empoli | Reggiana | 2 : 1 |
| 16 | Genoa | L.R. Vicenza | 3 : 0 |
| 17 | Inter | Bye | |
| 19 | Audace Cerignola | Verona | 1 : 2 |
| 20 | Venezia | Mantova | 4 : 0 |
| 21 | AS Roma | Bye | |
| 23 | Torino | Modena | 1 : 0 |
| 24 | Pisa | Cesena | 1 : 0 |
| 25 | Fiorentina | Bye | |
| 27 | Como | Sudtirol | 3 : 1 |
| 28 | Sassuolo | Catanzaro | 1 : 0 |
| 29 | Napoli | Bye | |
| 31 | Monza | Frosinone | 0 : 1 |
| 32 | Cagliari | Entella | 2 : 1 |
1/16-finals| 1 | Bologna | Bye | |
| 2 | Parma | Spezia | 3 : 2 |
| 3 | Lazio | Bye | |
| 4 | AC Milan | Lecce | 3 : 0 |
| 5 | Juventus | Bye | |
| 6 | Udinese | Palermo | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Atalanta | Bye | |
| 8 | Empoli | Genoa | 1 : 3 |
| 9 | Inter | Bye | |
| 10 | Verona | Venezia | 0 : 1 |
| 11 | AS Roma | Bye | |
| 12 | Torino | Pisa | 1 : 0 |
| 13 | Fiorentina | Bye | |
| 14 | Como | Sassuolo | 3 : 0 |
| 15 | Napoli | Bye | |
| 16 | Frosinone | Cagliari | 1 : 4 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Bologna | Parma | |
| 2 | Lazio | AC Milan | |
| 3 | Juventus | Udinese | |
| 4 | Atalanta | Genoa | |
| 5 | Inter | Venezia | |
| 6 | AS Roma | Torino | |
| 7 | Fiorentina | Como | |
| 8 | Napoli | Cagliari | |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal
