Result
1:0
12/04/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 34
- Referee: Perenzoni D. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.33 | 1.96 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (213/302) | 76% (299/392) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.33 | 1.96 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.39 | 0.86 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 22 | 20 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (213/302) | 76% (299/392) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (27/67) | 49% (33/67) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (83/137) | 61% (49/80) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 35% (8/23) | 30% (6/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.04 | 1.24 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 20 | 22 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (8/15) | 38% (5/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 66 | 70 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.86 | 1.39 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.86 | 0.39 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 36', Guarino G. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Sgarbi F. ↓, Faedo C. ↑,
- 63', Faedo C. 🟨,
- 64', Di Mariano F. ↓, Caprari G. ↑,
- 72', Capelli A. ↓, Ghiglione P. ↑,
- 72', Ebuehi T. ↓, Elia S. ↑,
- 72', Popov B. ↓, Fila D. ↑,
- 72', Fusi P. ↓, Di Maggio L. ↑,
- 81', Magnino L. ↓, Obaretin N. ↑,
- 81', Yepes G. ↓, Haas N. ↑,
- 84', 1 - 0, Bortolussi M. ⚽,
- 85', Bortolussi M. 🟨,
- 87', Moruzzi B. ↓, Nasti M. ↑,
- 90', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Padova
30.2% | Draw
29.8% | Empoli
40% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Padova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)Empoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Padova than the current prediction. (+6.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Padova, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Empoli than the current prediction. (-5.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Empoli, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Padova - Empoli Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.11 ↑
(2.71) |
3.14 ↓
(3.2) |
2.37 ↓
(2.49) |
6.2%
(8.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Padova - Empoli?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Padova will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Empoli will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 16 in the zone Serie B (Play Out: ) and 14)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Padova won 1.
- Padova is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Empoli has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Padova: Bacci J.
(Surgery)
Barreca A.
(Muscle Injury)
Caprari G.
(Inactive)
Crisetig L.
(Yellow Cards)
Papu Gomez
(Inactive)
Silva J.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Empoli: Degli Innocenti D.
(Inactive)
Elia S.
(Inactive)
Pellegri P.
(Knee Injury)
Romagnoli S.
(Inactive)
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Padova won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 1:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Padova won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Padova won against Empoli?
Padova has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Empoli won against Padova?
Empoli has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Padova - Empoli were as follows:
23.08.2025
Empoli
-
Padova
3:1
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 36 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 73:29 | 44 | 78 |
| 2 | Monza | 36 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 57:27 | 30 | 75 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 36 | 21 | 12 | 3 | 70:34 | 36 | 75 |
| 4 | Palermo | 36 | 19 | 12 | 5 | 58:29 | 29 | 69 |
| 5 | Catanzaro ✔ | 36 | 15 | 14 | 7 | 58:45 | 13 | 59 |
| 6 | Modena ✔ | 36 | 14 | 10 | 12 | 47:34 | 13 | 52 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 36 | 11 | 17 | 8 | 43:43 | 0 | 50 |
| 8 | Avellino | 36 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 42:54 | -12 | 46 |
| 9 | Cesena | 36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 42:52 | -10 | 45 |
| 10 | Carrarese | 36 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 46:50 | -4 | 43 |
| 11 | Mantova | 36 | 12 | 7 | 17 | 42:50 | -8 | 43 |
| 12 | Sampdoria | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 34:47 | -13 | 41 |
| 13 | Sudtirol | 36 | 8 | 16 | 12 | 37:46 | -9 | 40 |
| 14 | Padova | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 34:46 | -12 | 40 |
| 15 | Entella | 36 | 9 | 12 | 15 | 34:48 | -14 | 39 |
| 16 | Empoli | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 44:52 | -8 | 37 |
| 17 | Pescara | 36 | 7 | 13 | 16 | 50:64 | -14 | 34 |
| 18 | Bari | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 33:58 | -25 | 34 |
| 19 | Reggiana | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34:54 | -20 | 34 |
| 20 | Spezia | 36 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 40:56 | -16 | 33 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Catanzaro is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Modena is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
