Result
0:0
01/05/2023 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 35
- Referee: Di Bello M. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bulgaria | Nova Sport |
 Croatia | SportKlub |
 Italy | Sky Sport |
 Serbia | SportKlub |
 Slovenia | SportKlub |
Chances of winning
Südtirol-Alto Adige
19.2% | Draw
29% | Genoa
51.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Südtirol-Alto Adige has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Südtirol-Alto Adige's form might have worsened.Genoa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Genoa's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Südtirol-Alto Adige than the current prediction. (+13.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Südtirol-Alto Adige, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Genoa than the current prediction. (-15.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Genoa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Südtirol-Alto Adige - Genoa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.87 ↑
(2.75) |
3.26 ↑
(3) |
1.83 ↓
(2.6) |
5.9%
(8.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Südtirol-Alto Adige - Genoa?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Südtirol will win (votes: 1 - 6.7%). Genoa will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Genoa: 50.9% – 95.7%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A).
- Südtirol has the most likely position - 4 (49.92%), project points - 58, currently - 53, not chance of relegated, a very good chance of prom. playoffs (>99%), a small chance of promoted (15%), not chance of win league.
- Genoa has the most likely position - 2 (56.94%), project points - 74, currently - 67, not chance of relegated, a very small chance of prom. playoffs (4%), a very good chance of promoted (98%), a chance of win league (39%).
- This event has quality 39, importance 68, match rating 54. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Recent matches Südtirol is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Genoa in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- In this match Genoa is a favorite.
- Last 2 head-to-head matches Südtirol won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-5.
How many head-to-head matches has Südtirol-Alto Adige won against Genoa?
Südtirol-Alto Adige has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Genoa won against Südtirol-Alto Adige?
Genoa has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Südtirol-Alto Adige - Genoa were as follows:
08.12.2022
Genoa
-
Südtirol-Alto Adige
2:0
Latest results of Südtirol-Alto Adige
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cesena | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Empoli | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Modena | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | Carrarese | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | Venezia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Palermo | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Monza | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Juve Stabia | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Sudtirol | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Catanzaro | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Entella | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 | Bari | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Reggiana | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 | Mantova | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 16 | Padova | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
| 17 | Pescara | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
| 18 | Avellino | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 19 | Spezia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 20 | Sampdoria | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
