Ghazl El Mahalla vs Tala`ea El-Gaish – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:0
29/01/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 16
  • Where to Watch on TV:
egyptEgyptKora Plus

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.400.71
Ball possession
46%54%
Total shots
77
Shots on target
13
Big chances
00
Corner kicks
03
Passes
68% (226/333)73% (278/381)
Yellow cards
21
Expected goals (xG)
0.400.71
xG on target (xGOT)
0.010.07
Total shots
77
Shots on target
13
Shots off target
51
Blocked shots
13
Shots inside the box
32
Shots outside the box
45
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
00
Corner kicks
03
Touches in opposition box
68
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
41
Free kicks
1816
Passes
68% (226/333)73% (278/381)
Long passes
31% (24/77)51% (27/53)
Passes in final third
43% (39/90)62% (68/109)
Crosses
14% (2/14)21% (4/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.270.90
Throw ins
2918
Fouls
1618
Tackles
83% (10/12)63% (10/16)
Duels won
4459
Clearances
2417
Interceptions
117
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
21
xGOT faced
0.070.01
Goals prevented
0.070.01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 27', Mwanga J. 🟨,
  • 45+2', Abdelsalam M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Hamdi A. , Al Madadha G. ,
  • 56', Arfaoui R. , Walid B. ,
  • 56', Williams S. , Ineza A. ,
  • 64', Ouro-Agoro I. , Hatem F. ,
  • 64', Mohareb I. , El Khawaga M. ,
  • 64', El Moghzi M. , Bolbol M. ,
  • 74', Atef M. , Tarek A. ,
  • 85', Abdelsalam M. , Magdy A. ,
  • 86', Mwanga J. , Ashraf M. ,
  • 90+2', El Khawaga M. , Hany M. ,
  • 90+5', Tarek K. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Ghazl El Mahalla
23.6%
Draw
35.7%
Tala`ea El-Gaish
40.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.5% 38.2% 28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.5% 39.3% 27.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ghazl El Mahalla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ghazl El Mahalla's form might have worsened.
  • Tala`ea El-Gaish has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tala`ea El-Gaish's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ghazl El Mahalla than the current prediction. (+10.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ghazl El Mahalla, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tala`ea El-Gaish than the current prediction. (-13.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tala`ea El-Gaish, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Ghazl El Mahalla - Tala`ea El-Gaish Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.92
    (2.77)
    2.6
    (2.43)
    2.28
    (3.29)
    7.9%
    (7.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Ghazl El Mahalla - Tala`ea El-Gaish?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Ghazl El Mahalla will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). El-Gaish will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 53.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 26.7%80.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Ghazl El Mahalla (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 in the zone Premier League (Relegation Group: ) and 18 in the zone Premier League (Relegation Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ghazl El Mahalla won 1.
    • Ghazl El Mahalla has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • El-Gaish is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Ghazl El Mahalla may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Ghazl El Mahalla has had a series of away games.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Ghazl El Mahalla won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:17. (average 1:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ghazl El Mahalla won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 1.6:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ghazl El Mahalla - Tala`ea El-Gaish were as follows:
    30.12.2025 Tala`ea El-Gaish - Ghazl El Mahalla 1:0
    25.05.2025 Tala`ea El-Gaish - Ghazl El Mahalla 1:1
    07.11.2024 Ghazl El Mahalla - Tala`ea El-Gaish 2:3
    14.12.2022 Ghazl El Mahalla - Tala`ea El-Gaish 3:2
    Latest results of Ghazl El Mahalla
    Latest results of Tala`ea El-Gaish
    Egyptian Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Zamalek17114230:121837
    2Pyramids17114229:131637
    3Al Ahly17106128:151336
    4Ceramica Cleopatra18113426:131336
    5Al Masry1778225:16929
    6Wadi Degla1876522:19327
    7National Bank Egypt17510215:8725
    8ZED1867518:15325
    9Smouha1867515:12325
    10Petrojet1859419:20-124
    11Modern Sport1757517:18-122
    12Enppi1749414:13121
    13El Gouna1749413:14-121
    14Ghazl El Mahallah18212412:13-118
    15Arab Contractors1939712:18-618
    16Al Ittihad18521113:23-1017
    17Haras El Hodood1845914:25-1117
    18Pharco182888:20-1214
    19El Gaish172789:22-1313
    20Kahrabaa Ismailia18341119:35-1613
    21El Ismaily18321310:24-1411

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