Gil Vicente vs Amarante – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Taça de Portugal Gil Vicente - Amarante
Result
3:1
10/01/2024 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • PORTUGAL: TAÇA DE PORTUGAL - 1/8-FINALS
  • Referee: Vieira B. (Por)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
portugalPortugalCanal 11

Chances of winning


Gil Vicente
77.3%
Draw
16%
Amarante
6.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
70% 19.4% 10.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.1% 15.8% 13%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gil Vicente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gil Vicente's performance.
  • Amarante has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gil Vicente than the current prediction. (-20.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gil Vicente that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amarante than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Amarante could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Gil Vicente - Amarante Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.2
    (1.32)
    5.84
    (4.78)
    13.73
    (8.7)
    7.5%
    (8.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Gil Vicente - Amarante?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Gil Vicente will win (votes: 9 - 90%). Amarante will win (votes: 1 - 10%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Gil Vicente: 71.4%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Gil Vicente is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Amarante is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Gil Vicente could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Gil Vicente is certain favorite.
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Gil Vicente
    06.01.2024 Farense - Gil Vicente 1:0
    30.12.2023 Gil Vicente - Boavista 1:0
    16.12.2023 Arouca - Gil Vicente 3:0
    11.12.2023 Gil Vicente - Moreirense 1:1
    Latest results of Amarante
    07.01.2024 Amarante - Marco 09 1:0
    10.12.2023 Salgueiros 08 - Amarante 1:1
    03.12.2023 Amarante - Lamelas 3:0
    26.11.2023 Paredes - Amarante 0:2