Result
3:0
03/04/2026 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 28
- Referee: Filipe L. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.91 | 0.43 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (420/486) | 81% (271/334) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.91 | 0.43 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.34 | 0.16 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (420/486) | 81% (271/334) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 32% (15/47) | 34% (17/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (82/118) | 56% (44/78) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 47% (8/17) | 10% (1/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.02 | 0.56 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 58% (7/12) | 54% (13/24) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.16 | 1.34 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.16 | -1.66 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 11', 1 - 0, Varela G. ⚽, Esteves L. (A),
- 20', Tomane 🟨,
- 34', 2 - 0, Murilo de Souza ⚽,
- 45+2', Espigares A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Ponck ↓, Duarte D. ↑,
- 64', Konan G. ↓, Weverson ↑,
- 64', Caseres F. ↓, Ze Carlos ↑,
- 71', Rivas D. ↓, Perea O. ↑,
- 71', Green A. ↓, Kiki ↑,
- 76', Esteves L. ↓, Fernandez M. ↑,
- 76', Moreira A. ↓, Fernandes J. ↑,
- 80', 3 - 0, Varela G. ⚽,
- 82', Akinsola T. ↓, Neiva G. ↑,
- 82', Tomane ↓, Nene ↑,
- 87', Ze Carlos 🟨,
- 88', Murilo de Souza ↓, Pinto Martins G. ↑,
Chances of winning
Gil Vicente
68% | Draw
21.1% | AVS
10.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gil Vicente has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)The chances for AVS have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gil Vicente than the current prediction. (+4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for AVS than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
Gil Vicente - AVS Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.4 ↑
(1.37) |
4.52 ↓
(4.69) |
8.65 ↓
(8.71) |
5.2%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Gil Vicente - AVS?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Gil Vicente will win (votes: 10 - 83.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gil Vicente: 62.2% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Gil Vicente (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 6 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2).
- Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
- In this match, Gil Vicente is the obvious favorite.
- There will not play in Gil Vicente: Bamba M.
(Injury)
Mutombo J.
(Injury)
- There will not play in AVS: Algobia A.
(Injury)
Baroan A.
(Injury)
Devenish C.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Gil Vicente: Elimbi M.
(Injury)
Hernandez H.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in AVS: Roni
(Injury)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Gil Vicente won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.7:1.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Gil Vicente won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Gil Vicente won against AVS?
Gil Vicente has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has AVS won against Gil Vicente?
AVS has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gil Vicente - AVS were as follows:
09.11.2025
AVS
-
Gil Vicente
1:1
27.01.2025
AVS
-
Gil Vicente
1:0
16.08.2024
Gil Vicente
-
AVS
4:2
Latest results of Gil Vicente
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 28 | 23 | 4 | 1 | 56:13 | 43 | 73 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 27 | 21 | 5 | 1 | 72:17 | 55 | 68 |
| 3 | Benfica | 28 | 19 | 9 | 0 | 59:18 | 41 | 66 |
| 4 | Braga | 27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 54:27 | 27 | 49 |
| 5 | Famalicao | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 35:24 | 11 | 46 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente | 28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 42:28 | 14 | 45 |
| 7 | Estoril | 28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 50:47 | 3 | 37 |
| 8 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 34:42 | -8 | 35 |
| 9 | Moreirense | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 31:40 | -9 | 35 |
| 10 | Alverca | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 29:46 | -17 | 32 |
| 11 | Arouca | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 37:57 | -20 | 32 |
| 12 | Rio Ave | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 29:48 | -19 | 30 |
| 13 | Santa Clara | 28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 26:35 | -9 | 28 |
| 14 | Estrela | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 33:47 | -14 | 28 |
| 15 | Nacional | 28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 31:39 | -8 | 25 |
| 16 | Casa Pia | 27 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 27:49 | -22 | 25 |
| 17 | Tondela | 27 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 19:44 | -25 | 20 |
| 18 | AFS | 28 | 1 | 8 | 19 | 18:61 | -43 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
