Result
1:0
27/01/2025 at 15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal - Round 19
- Referee: Rodrigues A. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Romania | AntenaPLAY |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.33 | 0.43 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 31% | 69% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 17 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 18 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 15 | 26 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (222/301) | 86% (570/660) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 56% (39/70) | 71% (101/143) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 50% (3/6) | 15% (4/27) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (8/12) | 67% (8/12) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 38 | 10 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 36', Assuncao G. A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 55', 1 - 0, Mercado J. ⚽, Devenish C. (A),
- 59', Fonseca F. 🟨,
- 67', Caseres F. 🟨,
- 73', Toure T. ↓, Garcia S. ↑,
- 73', Caseres F. ↓, Mboula J. ↑,
- 76', Grau J. ↓, Mendonca G. ↑,
- 76', Ze Luis ↓, Lucas Piazon ↑,
- 80', Cruz S. ↓, Kazu ↑,
- 80', Josue Sa ↓, Aguirre J. ↑,
- 84', Mercado J. ↓, Tunde Akinsola ↑,
- 90+3', Rodrigues R. 🟨,
Chances of winning
AVS
31% | Draw
31% | Gil Vicente
38% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AVS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)Gil Vicente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for AVS than the current prediction. (+5.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for AVS, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gil Vicente than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
AVS - Gil Vicente Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.06 ↑
(2.74) |
3.06 ↓
(3.13) |
2.49 ↓
(2.69) |
5.6%
(5.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for AVS - Gil Vicente?
Users Predictions:
42 users predict this event. AVS will win (votes: 6 - 14.3%). Gil Vicente will win (votes: 27 - 64.3%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 21.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gil Vicente: 49.8% – 78.8%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Liga Portugal (Relegation) and 11).
- Recent matches AVS is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Gil Vicente is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Recently Gil Vicente have a series of home games.
- In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
- There will not play in AVS: Lucas Moura
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Gil Vicente: Sithole S.
(Injury)
- Last 1 head-to-head matches AVS won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:4
How many head-to-head matches has AVS won against Gil Vicente?
AVS has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gil Vicente won against AVS?
Gil Vicente has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between AVS - Gil Vicente were as follows:
16.08.2024
Gil Vicente
-
AVS
4:2
Latest results of Gil Vicente
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Moreirense | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 4 | 9 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8:0 | 8 | 6 |
| 3 | Braga | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:0 | 6 | 6 |
| 4 | FC Porto | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 5 | 6 |
| 5 | Famalicao | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 6 |
| 6 | Benfica | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Gil Vicente | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Casa Pia | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:7 | -4 | 3 |
| 10 | Arouca | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:7 | -4 | 3 |
| 11 | Rio Ave | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Estrela | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
| 13 | Estoril | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 1 |
| 14 | Nacional | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
| 15 | Santa Clara | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
| 16 | Tondela | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
| 17 | Alverca | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
| 18 | AFS | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
