AVS vs Gil Vicente – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
09/11/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Portugal - Round 11
  • Referee: Ramalho P. (Por)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
portugalPortugalSport TV1
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 7, MEGOGO Ukraine

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.761.95
Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
1512
Shots on target
85
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
14
Passes
78% (262/335)80% (347/432)
Yellow Cards
15
Expected Goals (xG)
1.761.95
xG on target (xGOT)
2.261.45
Total shots
1512
Shots on target
85
Shots off target
45
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
1310
Shots outside the Box
22
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
14
Touches in opposition box
2827
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1912
Passes
78% (262/335)80% (347/432)
Long passes
44% (24/54)45% (25/56)
Passes in final third
56% (53/94)66% (87/132)
Crosses
11% (2/19)36% (5/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.570.67
Throw-ins
2125
Fouls
1219
Tackles
73% (8/11)71% (12/17)
Duels won
5346
Clearances
3723
Interceptions
1213
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
47
xGOT faced
1.452.26
Goals prevented
0.451.26

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 5', 0 - 1, Garcia S. , Murilo de Souza (A),
  • 33', Ze Carlos 🟨,
  • 44', Pablo (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Bane S. , Pedro Lima ,
  • 46', Ze Carlos , Hevertton S. ,
  • 65', Garcia S. 🟨,
  • 71', Akinsola T. , Duarte D. ,
  • 71', Tomane , Nene ,
  • 71', Kiki , Rivas D. ,
  • 75', Pablo , Varela G. ,
  • 75', Fernandes J. , Fernandez M. ,
  • 75', Garcia S. , Ze Carlos ,
  • 76', Varela G. 🟨,
  • 79', Assuncao G. 🟨,
  • 80', Semedo R. , Ponck ,
  • 82', Elimbi M. 🟨,
  • 82', Ze Carlos 🟨,
  • 85', Nene (Pen),
  • 88', 1 - 1, Nene , Pedro Lima (A),
  • 88', Murilo de Souza , Toure T. ,

Chances of winning


AVS
18.3%
Draw
26.5%
Gil Vicente
55.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
19.5% 25.8% 54.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.4% 25.7% 54.9%

AVS - Gil Vicente Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
5.15
(4.84)
3.59
(3.66)
1.73
(1.73)
5%
(5.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for AVS - Gil Vicente?
  • Users Predictions: Gil Vicente will win (26 of 28 users predict this - 92.86%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 83.32%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Gil Vicente will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
    • AVS has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • In recent matches, Gil Vicente has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, Gil Vicente is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in AVS: Molina G. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Gil Vicente: Bamba M. (Inactive) Carlos Eduardo (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in AVS: Algobia A. (Inactive) Kiki (Injury) Santos A. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Gil Vicente: Fernandes J. (Injury)
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, AVS won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).
    • Including home match between the teams, AVS won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between AVS - Gil Vicente were as follows:
    27.01.2025 AVS - Gil Vicente 1:0
    16.08.2024 Gil Vicente - AVS 4:2
    Latest results of AVS
    02.11.2025 AVS - Tondela 2:2
    25.10.2025 Santa Clara - AVS 2:0
    04.10.2025 AVS - Alverca 1:3
    27.09.2025 Estrela da Amadora - AVS 3:0
    20.09.2025 AVS - Benfica 0:3
    Latest results of Gil Vicente
    Liga Portugal Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Porto11101024:32131
    2Sporting CP1191127:62128
    3Benfica1284025:71828
    4Gil Vicente1172216:51123
    5Famalicao1255213:7620
    6Moreirense1261518:17119
    7Vitoria Guimaraes1252514:17-317
    8Braga1144319:11816
    9Alverca1242614:19-514
    10Estoril1134419:17213
    11Nacional1233612:17-512
    12Rio Ave1126314:19-512
    13Estrela1125413:14-111
    14Santa Clara113269:13-411
    15Casa Pia1223713:26-139
    16Arouca1123613:30-179
    17Tondela111376:20-146
    18AFS120398:29-213

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Liga Portugal (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2