Result
1:1
09/11/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 11
- Referee: Ramalho P. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 7, MEGOGO Ukraine |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.76 | 1.95 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (262/335) | 80% (347/432) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.76 | 1.95 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.26 | 1.45 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 27 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (262/335) | 80% (347/432) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (24/54) | 45% (25/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (53/94) | 66% (87/132) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 11% (2/19) | 36% (5/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 0.67 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (8/11) | 71% (12/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 37 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.45 | 2.26 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.45 | 1.26 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 5', 0 - 1, Garcia S. ⚽, Murilo de Souza (A),
- 33', Ze Carlos 🟨,
- 44', Pablo (Pen),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Bane S. ↓, Pedro Lima ↑,
- 46', Ze Carlos ↓, Hevertton S. ↑,
- 65', Garcia S. 🟨,
- 71', Akinsola T. ↓, Duarte D. ↑,
- 71', Tomane ↓, Nene ↑,
- 71', Kiki ↓, Rivas D. ↑,
- 75', Pablo ↓, Varela G. ↑,
- 75', Fernandes J. ↓, Fernandez M. ↑,
- 75', Garcia S. ↓, Ze Carlos ↑,
- 76', Varela G. 🟨,
- 79', Assuncao G. 🟨,
- 80', Semedo R. ↓, Ponck ↑,
- 82', Elimbi M. 🟨,
- 82', Ze Carlos 🟨,
- 85', Nene (Pen),
- 88', 1 - 1, Nene ⚽, Pedro Lima (A),
- 88', Murilo de Souza ↓, Toure T. ↑,
Chances of winning
AVS
18.3% | Draw
26.5% | Gil Vicente
55.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AVS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)Gil Vicente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for AVS than the current prediction. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gil Vicente than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
AVS - Gil Vicente Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.15 ↑
(4.84) |
3.59 ↓
(3.66) |
1.73
(1.73) |
5%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for AVS - Gil Vicente?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +0.75 - Gil Vicente (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Gil Vicente will win
(26 of 28 users predict this - 92.86%).
Confidence interval (95%): 83.32% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Gil Vicente will win (13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 15 high ROI users predict this event. Gil Vicente (votes: 14 - 93.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- AVS has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, Gil Vicente has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Gil Vicente is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in AVS: Molina G.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Gil Vicente: Bamba M.
(Inactive)
Carlos Eduardo
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in AVS: Algobia A.
(Inactive)
Kiki
(Injury)
Santos A.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Gil Vicente: Fernandes J.
(Injury)
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, AVS won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).
- Including home match between the teams, AVS won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has AVS won against Gil Vicente?
AVS has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gil Vicente won against AVS?
Gil Vicente has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between AVS - Gil Vicente were as follows:
27.01.2025
AVS
-
Gil Vicente
1:0
16.08.2024
Gil Vicente
-
AVS
4:2
Latest results of Gil Vicente
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 26 | 22 | 3 | 1 | 52:10 | 42 | 69 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 25 | 19 | 5 | 1 | 64:14 | 50 | 62 |
| 3 | Benfica | 26 | 18 | 8 | 0 | 55:17 | 38 | 62 |
| 4 | Braga | 25 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 52:25 | 27 | 46 |
| 5 | Gil Vicente | 26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 39:27 | 12 | 42 |
| 6 | Famalicao | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 32:22 | 10 | 42 |
| 7 | Estoril | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 47:42 | 5 | 37 |
| 8 | Moreirense | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 31:38 | -7 | 35 |
| 9 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 29:39 | -10 | 32 |
| 10 | Alverca | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 26:41 | -15 | 29 |
| 11 | Rio Ave | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 26:45 | -19 | 27 |
| 12 | Arouca | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 33:55 | -22 | 26 |
| 13 | Santa Clara | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 23:31 | -8 | 25 |
| 14 | Estrela | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 29:45 | -16 | 25 |
| 15 | Casa Pia | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 26:44 | -18 | 24 |
| 16 | Nacional | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 29:38 | -9 | 22 |
| 17 | Tondela | 25 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 19:39 | -20 | 19 |
| 18 | AFS | 26 | 1 | 7 | 18 | 18:58 | -40 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
