Gil Vicente vs Estoril Praia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Liga Portugal Gil Vicente - Estoril Praia
Result
2:0
21/09/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Portugal - Round 6
  • Referee: Macedo C. (Por)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
portugalPortugalSport TV1
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.380.32
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
167
Shots on target
33
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
40
Passes
73% (248/338)73% (241/331)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
2.380.32
xG on target (xGOT)
1.870.37
Total shots
167
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
104
Blocked Shots
30
Shots inside the Box
134
Shots outside the Box
33
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
40
Touches in opposition box
2920
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1316
Passes
73% (248/338)73% (241/331)
Long passes
46% (36/78)52% (32/61)
Passes in final third
63% (65/104)52% (44/85)
Crosses
24% (4/17)33% (3/9)
Expected assists (xA)
0.720.78
Throw-ins
3426
Fouls
1613
Tackles
75% (15/20)76% (19/25)
Duels won
6171
Clearances
2049
Interceptions
47
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
31
xGOT faced
0.371.87
Goals prevented
0.37-0.13

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 15', 1 - 0, Pablo (Pen),
  • 40', Guitane R. , Garcia F. ,
  • 40', Parente T. , Patrick de Paula ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 55', Moreira A. , Fernandes J. ,
  • 55', Sanchez R. 🟨,
  • 60', Begraoui Y. , Marques A. ,
  • 66', Caseres F. 🟨,
  • 73', Caseres F. , Ze Carlos ,
  • 78', Lominadze N. 🟨,
  • 79', Pablo 🟨,
  • 80', Pablo , Varela G. ,
  • 80', Murilo de Souza , Bermejo ,
  • 80', Ze Carlos , Hevertton S. ,
  • 82', Lominadze N. , Lacximicant A. ,
  • 82', Ferro , Carvalho P. ,
  • 86', 2 - 0, Fernandes J. , Varela G. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Gil Vicente
55.3%
Draw
29%
Estoril Praia
15.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.7% 28.9% 34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6% 29% 34.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gil Vicente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gil Vicente's performance.
  • Estoril Praia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Estoril Praia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gil Vicente than the current prediction. (-18.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gil Vicente that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estoril Praia than the current prediction. (+18.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Estoril Praia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Gil Vicente - Estoril Praia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.93
    (2.58)
    3.77
    (3.28)
    7.38
    (2.76)
    -8.2%
    (5.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Gil Vicente - Estoril Praia?
  • Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Gil Vicente will win (votes: 22 - 73.3%). Estoril will win (votes: 4 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 13.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Gil Vicente: 57.5%89.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Gil Vicente will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 6 and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gil Vicente won 2.
    • Gil Vicente is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Estoril has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Gil Vicente may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Gil Vicente will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Gil Vicente: Bamba M. (Inactive) Carlos Eduardo (Inactive) Toure T. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Estoril: Jandro (Inactive) Xeka (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Estoril: Costa G. (Inactive) Tsoungui A. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Gil Vicente won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 16:21. (average 1.1:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Gil Vicente won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 1.1:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Gil Vicente - Estoril Praia were as follows:
    01.02.2025 Gil Vicente - Estoril Praia 1:2
    25.08.2024 Estoril Praia - Gil Vicente 0:0
    18.02.2024 Estoril Praia - Gil Vicente 1:3
    17.09.2023 Gil Vicente - Estoril Praia 5:3
    31.03.2023 Estoril Praia - Gil Vicente 1:0
    Latest results of Gil Vicente
    14.09.2025 Braga - Gil Vicente 0:1
    29.08.2025 Gil Vicente - Moreirense 2:0
    24.08.2025 Famalicão - Gil Vicente 0:0
    18.08.2025 Gil Vicente - Porto 0:2
    09.08.2025 Nacional - Gil Vicente 0:2
    Latest results of Estoril Praia
    Liga Portugal Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Porto770019:11821
    2Sporting CP760119:41518
    3Benfica752013:4917
    4Gil Vicente851210:4616
    5Moreirense850312:11115
    6Famalicao73317:3412
    7Vitoria Guimaraes83239:12-311
    8Alverca831411:12-110
    9Nacional83149:12-310
    10Braga723211:749
    11Santa Clara82246:10-48
    12Casa Pia82248:13-58
    13Arouca72239:18-98
    14Estrela81436:8-27
    15Estoril813410:13-36
    16Rio Ave70528:13-55
    17Tondela71244:11-75
    18AFS80175:20-151

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