Result
2:0
21/09/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 6
- Referee: Macedo C. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Finland | Veikkaus TV |
Portugal | Sport TV1 |
Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.38 | 0.32 |
Ball Possession |
---|
51% | 49% |
Total shots |
---|
16 | 7 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 3 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 0 |
Passes |
---|
73% (248/338) | 73% (241/331) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.38 | 0.32 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.87 | 0.37 |
Total shots |
---|
16 | 7 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 3 |
Shots off target |
---|
10 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
3 | 0 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
13 | 4 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
3 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 0 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
29 | 20 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
13 | 16 |
Passes |
---|
73% (248/338) | 73% (241/331) |
Long passes |
---|
46% (36/78) | 52% (32/61) |
Passes in final third |
---|
63% (65/104) | 52% (44/85) |
Crosses |
---|
24% (4/17) | 33% (3/9) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.72 | 0.78 |
Throw-ins |
---|
34 | 26 |
Fouls |
---|
16 | 13 |
Tackles |
---|
75% (15/20) | 76% (19/25) |
Duels won |
---|
61 | 71 |
Clearances |
---|
20 | 49 |
Interceptions |
---|
4 | 7 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 1 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.37 | 1.87 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.37 | -0.13 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 15', 1 - 0, Pablo (Pen),
- 40', Guitane R. ↓, Garcia F. ↑,
- 40', Parente T. ↓, Patrick de Paula ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 55', Moreira A. ↓, Fernandes J. ↑,
- 55', Sanchez R. 🟨,
- 60', Begraoui Y. ↓, Marques A. ↑,
- 66', Caseres F. 🟨,
- 73', Caseres F. ↓, Ze Carlos ↑,
- 78', Lominadze N. 🟨,
- 79', Pablo 🟨,
- 80', Pablo ↓, Varela G. ↑,
- 80', Murilo de Souza ↓, Bermejo ↑,
- 80', Ze Carlos ↓, Hevertton S. ↑,
- 82', Lominadze N. ↓, Lacximicant A. ↑,
- 82', Ferro ↓, Carvalho P. ↑,
- 86', 2 - 0, Fernandes J. ⚽, Varela G. (A),
Chances of winning
Gil Vicente 55.3% | Draw 29% | Estoril Praia 15.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gil Vicente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gil Vicente's performance.Estoril Praia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Estoril Praia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gil Vicente than the current prediction. (-18.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gil Vicente that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estoril Praia than the current prediction. (+18.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Estoril Praia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Gil Vicente - Estoril Praia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.93 ↓ (2.58) |
3.77 ↑ (3.28) |
7.38 ↑ (2.76) |
-8.2% (5.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Gil Vicente - Estoril Praia?
Users Predictions:
30 users predict this event. Gil Vicente will win (votes: 22 - 73.3%). Estoril will win (votes: 4 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 13.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gil Vicente: 57.5% – 89.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Gil Vicente will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 6 and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gil Vicente won 2.
- Gil Vicente is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Estoril has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Gil Vicente may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Gil Vicente will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Gil Vicente: Bamba M.
(Inactive)
Carlos Eduardo
(Inactive)
Toure T.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Estoril: Jandro
(Inactive)
Xeka
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Estoril: Costa G.
(Inactive)
Tsoungui A.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Gil Vicente won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 16:21. (average 1.1:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Gil Vicente won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 1.1:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Gil Vicente won against Estoril Praia?
Gil Vicente has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Estoril Praia won against Gil Vicente?
Estoril Praia has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gil Vicente - Estoril Praia were as follows:
01.02.2025
Gil Vicente
-
Estoril Praia
1:2
25.08.2024
Estoril Praia
-
Gil Vicente
0:0
18.02.2024
Estoril Praia
-
Gil Vicente
1:3
17.09.2023
Gil Vicente
-
Estoril Praia
5:3
31.03.2023
Estoril Praia
-
Gil Vicente
1:0
Latest results of Gil Vicente
Latest results of Estoril Praia
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | FC Porto | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 19:1 | 18 | 21 |
2 | Sporting CP | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 19:4 | 15 | 18 |
3 | Benfica | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 13:4 | 9 | 17 |
4 | Gil Vicente | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 10:4 | 6 | 16 |
5 | Moreirense | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 15 |
6 | Famalicao | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 7:3 | 4 | 12 |
7 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:12 | -3 | 11 |
8 | Alverca | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11:12 | -1 | 10 |
9 | Nacional | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:12 | -3 | 10 |
10 | Braga | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11:7 | 4 | 9 |
11 | Santa Clara | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 8 |
12 | Casa Pia | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:13 | -5 | 8 |
13 | Arouca | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:18 | -9 | 8 |
14 | Estrela | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 7 |
15 | Estoril | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10:13 | -3 | 6 |
16 | Rio Ave | 7 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 8:13 | -5 | 5 |
17 | Tondela | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4:11 | -7 | 5 |
18 | AFS | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5:20 | -15 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2