Result
2:0
21/09/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 6
- Referee: Macedo C. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.38 | 0.32 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (248/338) | 73% (241/331) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.38 | 0.32 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.87 | 0.37 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (248/338) | 73% (241/331) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (36/78) | 52% (32/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (65/104) | 52% (44/85) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (4/17) | 33% (3/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.72 | 0.78 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 34 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (15/20) | 76% (19/25) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 61 | 71 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 49 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.37 | 1.87 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.37 | -0.13 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 15', 1 - 0, Pablo (Pen),
- 40', Guitane R. ↓, Garcia F. ↑,
- 40', Parente T. ↓, Patrick de Paula ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 55', Moreira A. ↓, Fernandes J. ↑,
- 55', Sanchez R. 🟨,
- 60', Begraoui Y. ↓, Marques A. ↑,
- 66', Caseres F. 🟨,
- 73', Caseres F. ↓, Ze Carlos ↑,
- 78', Lominadze N. 🟨,
- 79', Pablo 🟨,
- 80', Pablo ↓, Varela G. ↑,
- 80', Murilo de Souza ↓, Bermejo ↑,
- 80', Ze Carlos ↓, Hevertton S. ↑,
- 82', Lominadze N. ↓, Lacximicant A. ↑,
- 82', Ferro ↓, Carvalho P. ↑,
- 86', 2 - 0, Fernandes J. ⚽, Varela G. (A),
Chances of winning
Gil Vicente
55.3% | Draw
29% | Estoril Praia
15.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gil Vicente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gil Vicente's performance.Estoril Praia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Estoril Praia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gil Vicente than the current prediction. (-18.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gil Vicente that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estoril Praia than the current prediction. (+18.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Estoril Praia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Gil Vicente - Estoril Praia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.93 ↓
(2.58) |
3.77 ↑
(3.28) |
7.38 ↑
(2.76) |
-8.2%
(5.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Gil Vicente - Estoril Praia?
Users Predictions:
30 users predict this event. Gil Vicente will win (votes: 22 - 73.3%). Estoril will win (votes: 4 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 13.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gil Vicente: 57.5% – 89.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Gil Vicente will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 6 and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gil Vicente won 2.
- Gil Vicente is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Estoril has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Gil Vicente may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Gil Vicente will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Gil Vicente: Bamba M.
(Inactive)
Carlos Eduardo
(Inactive)
Toure T.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Estoril: Jandro
(Inactive)
Xeka
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Estoril: Costa G.
(Inactive)
Tsoungui A.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Gil Vicente won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 16:21. (average 1.1:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Gil Vicente won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 1.1:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Gil Vicente won against Estoril Praia?
Gil Vicente has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Estoril Praia won against Gil Vicente?
Estoril Praia has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gil Vicente - Estoril Praia were as follows:
01.02.2025
Gil Vicente
-
Estoril Praia
1:2
25.08.2024
Estoril Praia
-
Gil Vicente
0:0
18.02.2024
Estoril Praia
-
Gil Vicente
1:3
17.09.2023
Gil Vicente
-
Estoril Praia
5:3
31.03.2023
Estoril Praia
-
Gil Vicente
1:0
Latest results of Gil Vicente
Latest results of Estoril Praia
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 19:1 | 18 | 22 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 20:5 | 15 | 19 |
| 3 | Gil Vicente | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 14:4 | 10 | 19 |
| 4 | Benfica | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 13:4 | 9 | 18 |
| 5 | Moreirense | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 15 |
| 6 | Famalicao | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 13 |
| 7 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:12 | -3 | 11 |
| 8 | Braga | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 12:8 | 4 | 10 |
| 9 | Nacional | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:12 | -3 | 10 |
| 10 | Alverca | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 11:16 | -5 | 10 |
| 11 | Arouca | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10:19 | -9 | 9 |
| 12 | Rio Ave | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 11:13 | -2 | 8 |
| 13 | Santa Clara | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 8 |
| 14 | Casa Pia | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:13 | -5 | 8 |
| 15 | Estrela | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 7 |
| 16 | Estoril | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10:13 | -3 | 6 |
| 17 | Tondela | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4:14 | -10 | 5 |
| 18 | AFS | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5:20 | -15 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
