Result
5:0
01/02/2026 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 20
- Referee: Rodrigues A. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 5 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.70 | 0.11 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 92% (424/461) | 82% (298/363) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.70 | 0.11 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 4.40 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 4 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 19 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 92% (424/461) | 82% (298/363) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 59% (23/39) | 34% (14/41) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 77% (83/108) | 46% (22/48) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 40% (6/15) | 0% (0/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.14 | 0.06 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (7/14) | 50% (10/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 4.40 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | -0.60 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 21', Elimbi M. 🟨,
- 42', De Amorim M. 🟥,
- 44', 1 - 0, Murilo de Souza (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (4 - 0)
- 53', 2 - 0, Buatu J. ⚽, Esteves L. (A),
- 63', Sa G. ↓, Pena M. ↑,
- 63', Elisor S. ↓, Abubakar U. ↑,
- 63', Sorriso ↓, Joujou A. ↑,
- 66', Elimbi M. ↓, Espigares A. ↑,
- 66', Caseres F. ↓, Ze Carlos ↑,
- 67', Carlos Eduardo ↓, Varela G. ↑,
- 76', Toure T. ↓, Fernandes J. ↑,
- 78', Van de Looi T. ↓, Mamageishvili O. ↑,
- 78', Gil Dias ↓, Santos P. ↑,
- 80', 3 - 0, Varela G. ⚽, Espigares A. (A),
- 82', Ze Carlos ↓, Hevertton S. ↑,
- 83', Abubakar U. 🟨,
- 84', 4 - 0, Varela G. ⚽, Fernandes J. (A),
- 90', 5 - 0, Garcia S. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Gil Vicente
34.2% | Draw
31.5% | Famalicão
34.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gil Vicente has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)Famalicão has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gil Vicente than the current prediction. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Famalicão than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
Gil Vicente - Famalicão Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.76 ↑
(2.6) |
2.99 ↓
(3.36) |
2.76 ↑
(2.66) |
5.9%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Gil Vicente - Famalicão?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Gil Vicente will win (votes: 6 - 33.3%). Famalicão will win (votes: 5 - 27.8%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 38.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 16.4% – 61.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Famalicão (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- DC - Gil Vicente (1.47) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Gil Vicente (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Famalicão (votes: 2 - 25%). Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 5 and 7)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gil Vicente won 0.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Famalicão may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Gil Vicente: Fernandez M.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Famalicão: Aranda O.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Gil Vicente: Caseres F.
(Inactive)
Mutombo J.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Famalicão: Rochinha
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gil Vicente won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 18:30. (average 0.9:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Gil Vicente won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:15. (average 0.9:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Gil Vicente won against Famalicão?
Gil Vicente has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Famalicão won against Gil Vicente?
Famalicão has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gil Vicente - Famalicão were as follows:
24.08.2025
Famalicão
-
Gil Vicente
0:0
17.02.2025
Gil Vicente
-
Famalicão
0:2
14.09.2024
Famalicão
-
Gil Vicente
1:1
29.03.2024
Gil Vicente
-
Famalicão
1:2
04.11.2023
Famalicão
-
Gil Vicente
3:1
Latest results of Gil Vicente
Latest results of Famalicão
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 27 | 23 | 3 | 1 | 54:11 | 43 | 72 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 26 | 20 | 5 | 1 | 68:15 | 53 | 65 |
| 3 | Benfica | 27 | 19 | 8 | 0 | 58:17 | 41 | 65 |
| 4 | Braga | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 53:27 | 26 | 46 |
| 5 | Famalicao | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 33:22 | 11 | 45 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 39:28 | 11 | 42 |
| 7 | Estoril | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 48:44 | 4 | 37 |
| 8 | Moreirense | 27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | 31:39 | -8 | 35 |
| 9 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 29:42 | -13 | 32 |
| 10 | Rio Ave | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 28:46 | -18 | 30 |
| 11 | Alverca | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 27:45 | -18 | 29 |
| 12 | Arouca | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 34:55 | -21 | 29 |
| 13 | Santa Clara | 27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 24:31 | -7 | 28 |
| 14 | Estrela | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 33:45 | -12 | 28 |
| 15 | Casa Pia | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 26:48 | -22 | 24 |
| 16 | Nacional | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 29:39 | -10 | 22 |
| 17 | Tondela | 26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 19:39 | -20 | 20 |
| 18 | AFS | 27 | 1 | 8 | 18 | 18:58 | -40 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
