Result
1:0
03/11/2025 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 10
- Referee: Guelho S. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 3 |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 South-america | Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Play Latinoamerica |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 0.56 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 38% | 62% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (270/329) | 85% (453/533) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 0.56 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.53 | 0.38 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (270/329) | 85% (453/533) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (20/52) | 56% (35/62) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (32/57) | 67% (81/121) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 40% (2/5) | 27% (6/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.39 | 0.62 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 11 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (8/15) | 63% (12/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 56 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 40 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.38 | 0.53 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.38 | -0.47 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 9', 1 - 0, Pablo ⚽, Fernandes J. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 51', Lucas Soares 🟨,
- 53', Adriano Firmino 🟨,
- 55', Fernandes J. 🟨,
- 62', Fernandes J. ↓, Fernandez M. ↑,
- 62', Rocha L. 🟨,
- 72', Ze Carlos ↓, Varela G. ↑,
- 72', Pablo ↓, Bermejo ↑,
- 72', Brenner ↓, Elias Manoel ↑,
- 73', Wendell ↓, Matheus Pereira ↑,
- 73', Serginho ↓, Tavares J. ↑,
- 90', Garcia S. ↓, Maia G. ↑,
- 90', Murilo de Souza ↓, Hevertton S. ↑,
- 90', Paulo Victor ↓, Costa J. ↑,
- 90+2', Maia G. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Gil Vicente
42.7% | Draw
31.5% | Santa Clara
25.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gil Vicente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gil Vicente's performance.Santa Clara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gil Vicente than the current prediction. (-6.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gil Vicente that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Clara than the current prediction. (+5.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Santa Clara could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Gil Vicente - Santa Clara Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.26 ↓
(2.54) |
2.99 ↑
(2.92) |
3.61 ↑
(3.11) |
5.5%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Gil Vicente - Santa Clara?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Gil Vicente (1.41) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH -0.5 - Santa Clara (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Gil Vicente will win
(34 of 38 users predict this - 89.47%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.71% – 99.23%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Gil Vicente will win (14 of 18 users predict this - 77.78%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 23 high ROI users predict this event. Gil Vicente (votes: 18 - 78.3%). Santa Clara (votes: 3 - 13%). Tie (votes: 2 - 8.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gil Vicente won 1.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Gil Vicente may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Gil Vicente is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Gil Vicente: Bamba M.
(Inactive)
Carlos Eduardo
(Inactive)
Esteves L.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Santa Clara: Pacheco P.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Gil Vicente won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 16:19. (average 1:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Gil Vicente won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 1.3:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Gil Vicente won against Santa Clara?
Gil Vicente has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Santa Clara won against Gil Vicente?
Santa Clara has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gil Vicente - Santa Clara were as follows:
15.03.2025
Gil Vicente
-
Santa Clara
0:1
25.10.2024
Santa Clara
-
Gil Vicente
2:1
06.05.2023
Santa Clara
-
Gil Vicente
3:2
29.12.2022
Gil Vicente
-
Santa Clara
1:0
Latest results of Gil Vicente
Latest results of Santa Clara
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 24 | 21 | 2 | 1 | 47:8 | 39 | 65 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 24 | 19 | 4 | 1 | 62:12 | 50 | 61 |
| 3 | Benfica | 24 | 17 | 7 | 0 | 51:14 | 37 | 58 |
| 4 | Braga | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 50:23 | 27 | 45 |
| 5 | Gil Vicente | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 35:23 | 12 | 40 |
| 6 | Famalicao | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 29:21 | 8 | 36 |
| 7 | Moreirense | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 30:34 | -4 | 34 |
| 8 | Estoril | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 46:42 | 4 | 33 |
| 9 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 28:35 | -7 | 32 |
| 10 | Alverca | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 24:39 | -15 | 27 |
| 11 | Arouca | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 32:52 | -20 | 26 |
| 12 | Estrela | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 26:41 | -15 | 24 |
| 13 | Casa Pia | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 26:44 | -18 | 23 |
| 14 | Nacional | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 28:36 | -8 | 21 |
| 15 | Rio Ave | 24 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 23:44 | -21 | 21 |
| 16 | Santa Clara | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 20:31 | -11 | 19 |
| 17 | Tondela | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 19:38 | -19 | 19 |
| 18 | AFS | 24 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 18:57 | -39 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
