Santa Clara vs Gil Vicente – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

21/03/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estádio de São Miguel (Ponta Delgada).

Liga Portugal - Round 27
Referee: Pereira C. (Por)
Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 7, MEGOGO Ukraine

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
0.30	0.79
Ball possession
54%	46%
Total shots
7	8
Shots on target
2	0
Big chances
1	1
Corner kicks
6	6
Passes
75% (275/366)	71% (218/308)
Yellow cards
1	2
Expected goals (xG)
0.30	0.79
xG on target (xGOT)
0.24	0.00
Total shots
7	8
Shots on target
2	0
Shots off target
2	6
Blocked shots
3	2
Shots inside the box
1	5
Shots outside the box
6	3
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Big chances
1	1
Corner kicks
6	6
Touches in opposition box
12	11
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
1	1
Free kicks
17	15
Passes
75% (275/366)	71% (218/308)
Long passes
39% (22/56)	27% (13/48)
Passes in final third
56% (50/90)	51% (41/81)
Crosses
13% (2/15)	19% (3/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.65	0.70
Throw ins
33	29
Fouls
15	17
Tackles
79% (15/19)	70% (7/10)
Duels won
53	42
Clearances
36	42
Interceptions
11	9
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
0	1
xGOT faced
0.00	0.24
Goals prevented
0.00	-0.76

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
26', Elimbi M. ↓, Espigares A. ↑,
41', Serginho 🟨,
42', Caseres F. 🟨,
44', Moreira A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
61', Welinton Torrao ↓, Vinicius Lopes ↑,
61', Serginho ↓, Tavares J. ↑,
74', Gabriel Silva ↓, Brenner ↑,
74', Fernando ↓, Elias Manoel ↑,
75', Esteves L. ↓, Fernandez M. ↑,
77', Petit 🟨,
85', Varela G. ↓, Carlos Eduardo ↑,
85', Moreira A. ↓, Toure T. ↑,
90+6', 1 - 0, Vinicius Lopes ⚽, Tavares J. (A),
90+6', Gustavo Klismahn ↓, Venancio F. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Santa Clara
39.4%

Draw
32.1%

Gil Vicente
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.3%

30.8%

34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.3%

30.8%

34.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santa Clara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Santa Clara's performance.

Gil Vicente has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gil Vicente might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Clara than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Santa Clara that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gil Vicente than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gil Vicente could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Santa Clara - Gil Vicente Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↓ (2.83)	2.96 ↓ (3.15)	3.31 ↑ (2.78)	5.6% (3.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Santa Clara - Gil Vicente?

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Santa Clara will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Gil Vicente will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Santa Clara: 9.6% – 70.4%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 14 and 5).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santa Clara won 3.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
There will not play in Gil Vicente: Bamba M. (Inactive) Garcia S. (Yellow Cards) Mutombo J. (Inactive) Ze Carlos (Yellow Cards)
There are questionable in Santa Clara: Gabriel Silva (Injury) MT (Injury)
In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Santa Clara won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 19:17. (average 1.1:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Santa Clara won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 10:6. (average 1.3:0.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Santa Clara won against Gil Vicente?

Santa Clara has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Gil Vicente won against Santa Clara?

Gil Vicente has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Santa Clara - Gil Vicente were as follows:

03.11.2025 Gil Vicente - Santa Clara 1:0

15.03.2025 Gil Vicente - Santa Clara 0:1

25.10.2024 Santa Clara - Gil Vicente 2:1

06.05.2023 Santa Clara - Gil Vicente 3:2

29.12.2022 Gil Vicente - Santa Clara 1:0

Latest results of Santa Clara

15.03.2026 AVS - Santa Clara 0:1 ✺

08.03.2026 Santa Clara - Vitoria Guimarães 2:0 ✺

01.03.2026 Tondela - Santa Clara 2:2 ✺

21.02.2026 Alverca - Santa Clara 1:1 ✺

13.02.2026 Santa Clara - Benfica 1:2 ✺

Latest results of Gil Vicente

14.03.2026 Gil Vicente - Alverca 2:2 ✺

08.03.2026 Estrela da Amadora - Gil Vicente 2:2 ✺

02.03.2026 Gil Vicente - Benfica 1:2 ✺

22.02.2026 Estoril Praia - Gil Vicente 3:1 ✺

14.02.2026 Gil Vicente - Braga 2:1 ✺

Liga Portugal Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	FC Porto	27	23	3	1	54:11	43	72
2	Sporting CP	26	20	5	1	68:15	53	65
3	Benfica	27	19	8	0	58:17	41	65
4	Braga	26	13	7	6	53:27	26	46
5	Famalicao	27	13	6	8	33:22	11	45
6	Gil Vicente	27	11	9	7	39:28	11	42
7	Estoril	27	10	7	10	48:44	4	37
8	Moreirense	27	10	5	12	31:39	-8	35
9	Vitoria Guimaraes	27	9	5	13	29:42	-13	32
10	Rio Ave	27	7	9	11	28:46	-18	30
11	Alverca	27	7	8	12	27:45	-18	29
12	Arouca	27	8	5	14	34:55	-21	29
13	Santa Clara	27	7	7	13	24:31	-7	28
14	Estrela	27	6	10	11	33:45	-12	28
15	Casa Pia	26	5	9	12	26:48	-22	24
16	Nacional	27	5	7	15	29:39	-10	22
17	Tondela	26	4	8	14	19:39	-20	20
18	AFS	27	1	8	18	18:58	-40	11

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