Result
0:0
08/12/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 13
- Referee: Rodrigues A. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Xsports |
 Croatia | SportKlub 1 |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 3 |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 3 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.45 | 0.23 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (278/341) | 77% (244/318) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.45 | 0.23 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.55 | 0.04 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (278/341) | 77% (244/318) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 60% (30/50) | 37% (19/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (48/74) | 53% (40/75) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (5/25) | 20% (3/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.33 | 0.35 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (5/7) | 50% (4/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 37 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.04 | 0.55 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.04 | 0.55 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 29', Ze Carlos 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 61', Fernandes J. ↓, Toure T. ↑,
- 61', Esteves L. ↓, Ze Carlos ↑,
- 61', Ze Carlos ↓, Hevertton S. ↑,
- 62', Oliveira N. ↓, Ndoye A. ↑,
- 62', Camara O. ↓, Blanco F. ↑,
- 63', Abascal R. 🟨,
- 75', Nogueira G. ↓, Mitrovic M. ↑,
- 77', Murilo de Souza ↓, Fernandez M. ↑,
- 81', Ndoye A. 🟨,
- 84', Mendes J. II. 🟨,
- 87', Varela G. ↓, Carlos Eduardo ↑,
- 87', da Silva Ventura A. 🟨,
- 89', Saviolo N. ↓, Felix V. ↑,
- 89', Mendes J. II. ↓, Lebedenko O. ↑,
- 90+2', Hevertton S. 🟨,
- 90+4', Konan G. 🟨,
- 90+7', Garcia S. 🟨,
- 90+8', Mitrovic M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Vitoria Guimarães
33.2% | Draw
31.7% | Gil Vicente
35.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vitoria Guimarães has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)Gil Vicente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitoria Guimarães than the current prediction. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gil Vicente than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
Vitoria Guimarães - Gil Vicente Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.86 ↑
(2.59) |
2.99 ↓
(3.03) |
2.7 ↓
(2.93) |
5.6%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Vitoria Guimarães - Gil Vicente?
Users Predictions:
36 users predict this event. Guimarães will win (votes: 19 - 52.8%). Gil Vicente will win (votes: 9 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Guimarães: 36.5% – 69.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 15 high ROI users predict this event. Guimarães (votes: 7 - 46.7%). Gil Vicente (votes: 3 - 20%). Tie (votes: 5 - 33.3%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Gil Vicente (1.86) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
- AH -0.5 - Guimarães (2.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 19 high ROI users predict this event. Guimarães (votes: 9 - 47.4%). Gil Vicente (votes: 5 - 26.3%). Tie (votes: 5 - 26.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guimarães won 4.
- Guimarães is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In recent matches, Gil Vicente has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Guimarães may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Guimarães: Gustavo
(Injury)
- There will not play in Gil Vicente: Bamba M.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Gil Vicente: Moreira A.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Guimarães won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 35:26. (average 1.8:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Guimarães won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 23:11. (average 2.3:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Vitoria Guimarães won against Gil Vicente?
Vitoria Guimarães has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gil Vicente won against Vitoria Guimarães?
Gil Vicente has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vitoria Guimarães - Gil Vicente were as follows:
11.04.2025
Gil Vicente
-
Vitoria Guimarães
0:1
02.12.2024
Vitoria Guimarães
-
Gil Vicente
4:0
08.02.2024
Vitoria Guimarães
-
Gil Vicente
3:1
28.01.2024
Gil Vicente
-
Vitoria Guimarães
1:0
19.08.2023
Vitoria Guimarães
-
Gil Vicente
2:1
Latest results of Vitoria Guimarães
Latest results of Gil Vicente
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 23 | 20 | 2 | 1 | 44:7 | 37 | 62 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 23 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 59:12 | 47 | 58 |
| 3 | Benfica | 23 | 16 | 7 | 0 | 49:13 | 36 | 55 |
| 4 | Braga | 23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 48:22 | 26 | 42 |
| 5 | Gil Vicente | 23 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 34:21 | 13 | 40 |
| 6 | Famalicao | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 29:21 | 8 | 35 |
| 7 | Estoril | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 46:39 | 7 | 33 |
| 8 | Moreirense | 23 | 10 | 3 | 10 | 29:33 | -4 | 33 |
| 9 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 27:34 | -7 | 31 |
| 10 | Alverca | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 23:38 | -15 | 26 |
| 11 | Arouca | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 31:49 | -18 | 26 |
| 12 | Estrela | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 26:41 | -15 | 23 |
| 13 | Casa Pia | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 25:43 | -18 | 22 |
| 14 | Nacional | 23 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 27:34 | -7 | 21 |
| 15 | Rio Ave | 23 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 23:44 | -21 | 20 |
| 16 | Santa Clara | 23 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 18:29 | -11 | 18 |
| 17 | Tondela | 23 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 17:36 | -19 | 18 |
| 18 | AFS | 23 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 18:57 | -39 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
