Chesterfield vs Gillingham – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
17/02/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 33
  • Referee: Finnie W. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.230.60
Ball possession
46%54%
Total shots
1914
Shots on target
52
Big chances
40
Corner kicks
87
Passes
67% (199/297)66% (216/329)
Yellow cards
03
Expected goals (xG)
2.230.60
xG on target (xGOT)
1.270.35
Total shots
1914
Shots on target
52
Shots off target
99
Blocked shots
53
Shots inside the box
1010
Shots outside the box
94
Hit the woodwork
01
Big chances
40
Corner kicks
87
Touches in opposition box
1736
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
33
Free kicks
165
Passes
67% (199/297)66% (216/329)
Long passes
26% (19/74)41% (38/92)
Passes in final third
57% (65/115)57% (77/134)
Crosses
23% (5/22)13% (5/39)
Expected assists (xA)
0.771.04
Throw ins
1429
Fouls
516
Tackles
55% (6/11)88% (7/8)
Duels won
5640
Clearances
7328
Interceptions
107
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
23
xGOT faced
0.351.27
Goals prevented
0.350.27

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 16', 1 - 0, Curtis S. , Swinkels S. (A),
  • 23', Beckles O. 🟨,
  • 31', Hutton R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 60', Markanday D. , Naylor T. ,
  • 60', Mandeville L. , Duffy D. ,
  • 60', Dobra A. , Berry-McNally J. ,
  • 66', Hutton R. , McCleary G. ,
  • 66', Andrews J. , Vokes S. ,
  • 78', Grigg W. , Ladapo F. ,
  • 81', Little A. , Antwi C. ,
  • 86', Dack B. , Coleman E. ,
  • 86', McKenzie R. , Palmer-Houlden S. ,
  • 88', Coleman E. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Chesterfield
44.8%
Draw
27.1%
Gillingham
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.3% 26% 27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7% 24.7% 26.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chesterfield has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • Gillingham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chesterfield than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gillingham than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
  • Chesterfield - Gillingham Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.09
    (1.98)
    3.45
    (3.53)
    3.31
    (3.32)
    7.2%
    (9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Chesterfield - Gillingham?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Chesterfield will win (votes: 9 - 75%). Gillingham will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Chesterfield: 50.5%99.5%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 8 and 14).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chesterfield won 0.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Gillingham may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Chesterfield is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Chesterfield: Bonis L. (Red Card) Fleck J. (Inactive) Gordon L. (Injury) Hobson B. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Gillingham: Khumbeni N. (Inactive) Masterson C. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Gillingham: Cirino L. (Inactive) Smith J. (Injury) Wyllie M. (Inactive)
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Chesterfield won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:18. (average 1.5:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Chesterfield won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 1.6:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Chesterfield - Gillingham were as follows:
    19.08.2025 Gillingham - Chesterfield 4:1
    08.04.2025 Chesterfield - Gillingham 1:1
    31.08.2024 Gillingham - Chesterfield 1:0
    Latest results of Chesterfield
    Latest results of Gillingham
    03.02.2026 Notts County - Gillingham 1:0
    31.01.2026 Gillingham - Bromley 1:4
    27.01.2026 Cheltenham Town - Gillingham Postponed
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bromley341911458:352368
    2Cambridge Utd341810649:272264
    3MK Dons341711663:342962
    4Swindon351951157:411662
    5Notts Co34187952:331961
    6Crewe351681152:411156
    7Salford331741246:43355
    8Chesterfield341314752:44853
    9Barnet3514111044:37753
    10Walsall331581042:36653
    11Grimsby331410946:37952
    12Colchester3313101048:351349
    13Accrington341371437:36146
    14Oldham321112936:30645
    15Fleetwood331291243:42145
    16Gillingham3311111141:41044
    17Shrewsbury351081734:54-2038
    18Cheltenham331061734:55-2136
    19Tranmere34981746:59-1335
    20Bristol Rovers34942133:57-2431
    21Crawley356101933:56-2328
    22Barrow33762033:51-1827
    23Harrogate35692025:52-2727
    24Newport34672132:60-2825

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League