Result
1:0
17/02/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 33
- Referee: Finnie W. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.23 | 0.60 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (199/297) | 66% (216/329) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.23 | 0.60 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.27 | 0.35 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 36 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (199/297) | 66% (216/329) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 26% (19/74) | 41% (38/92) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (65/115) | 57% (77/134) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (5/22) | 13% (5/39) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.77 | 1.04 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 14 | 29 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 5 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 55% (6/11) | 88% (7/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 73 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.35 | 1.27 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.35 | 0.27 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 16', 1 - 0, Curtis S. ⚽, Swinkels S. (A),
- 23', Beckles O. 🟨,
- 31', Hutton R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 60', Markanday D. ↓, Naylor T. ↑,
- 60', Mandeville L. ↓, Duffy D. ↑,
- 60', Dobra A. ↓, Berry-McNally J. ↑,
- 66', Hutton R. ↓, McCleary G. ↑,
- 66', Andrews J. ↓, Vokes S. ↑,
- 78', Grigg W. ↓, Ladapo F. ↑,
- 81', Little A. ↓, Antwi C. ↑,
- 86', Dack B. ↓, Coleman E. ↑,
- 86', McKenzie R. ↓, Palmer-Houlden S. ↑,
- 88', Coleman E. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Chesterfield
44.8% | Draw
27.1% | Gillingham
28.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chesterfield has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)Gillingham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chesterfield than the current prediction. (+3.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gillingham than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
Chesterfield - Gillingham Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.09 ↑
(1.98) |
3.45 ↓
(3.53) |
3.31 ↓
(3.32) |
7.2%
(9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Chesterfield - Gillingham?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Chesterfield will win (votes: 9 - 75%). Gillingham will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Chesterfield: 50.5% – 99.5%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 8 and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chesterfield won 0.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Gillingham may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Chesterfield is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Chesterfield: Bonis L.
(Red Card)
Fleck J.
(Inactive)
Gordon L.
(Injury)
Hobson B.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Gillingham: Khumbeni N.
(Inactive)
Masterson C.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Gillingham: Cirino L.
(Inactive)
Smith J.
(Injury)
Wyllie M.
(Inactive)
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Chesterfield won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:18. (average 1.5:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Chesterfield won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 1.6:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Chesterfield won against Gillingham?
Chesterfield has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gillingham won against Chesterfield?
Gillingham has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Chesterfield - Gillingham were as follows:
19.08.2025
Gillingham
-
Chesterfield
4:1
08.04.2025
Chesterfield
-
Gillingham
1:1
31.08.2024
Gillingham
-
Chesterfield
1:0
Latest results of Chesterfield
Latest results of Gillingham
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 39 | 22 | 13 | 4 | 62:36 | 26 | 79 |
| 2 | MK Dons | 39 | 21 | 11 | 7 | 76:40 | 36 | 74 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 38 | 20 | 12 | 6 | 56:28 | 28 | 72 |
| 4 | Notts Co | 38 | 21 | 7 | 10 | 65:39 | 26 | 70 |
| 5 | Swindon | 39 | 21 | 6 | 12 | 63:45 | 18 | 69 |
| 6 | Salford | 39 | 21 | 4 | 14 | 54:48 | 6 | 67 |
| 7 | Grimsby | 38 | 17 | 11 | 10 | 56:40 | 16 | 62 |
| 8 | Chesterfield | 39 | 16 | 14 | 9 | 61:52 | 9 | 62 |
| 9 | Crewe | 39 | 17 | 9 | 13 | 58:47 | 11 | 60 |
| 10 | Walsall | 39 | 17 | 9 | 13 | 48:41 | 7 | 60 |
| 11 | Oldham | 37 | 15 | 13 | 9 | 44:31 | 13 | 58 |
| 12 | Barnet | 39 | 15 | 12 | 12 | 49:43 | 6 | 57 |
| 13 | Fleetwood | 39 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 48:46 | 2 | 54 |
| 14 | Colchester | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 50:41 | 9 | 53 |
| 15 | Accrington | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 38:42 | -4 | 48 |
| 16 | Gillingham | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 44:56 | -12 | 45 |
| 17 | Bristol Rovers | 39 | 13 | 4 | 22 | 40:60 | -20 | 43 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 43:65 | -22 | 42 |
| 19 | Shrewsbury | 39 | 11 | 8 | 20 | 37:63 | -26 | 41 |
| 20 | Tranmere | 39 | 9 | 9 | 21 | 48:69 | -21 | 36 |
| 21 | Crawley | 39 | 6 | 13 | 20 | 36:60 | -24 | 31 |
| 22 | Newport | 39 | 8 | 7 | 24 | 39:67 | -28 | 31 |
| 23 | Harrogate | 39 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 29:58 | -29 | 30 |
| 24 | Barrow | 38 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 36:63 | -27 | 29 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
