Result
4:1
19/08/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 4
- Referee: Hicks C. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
3.09 | 0.47 |
Ball Possession |
---|
29% | 71% |
Total shots |
---|
11 | 8 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 3 |
Big Chances |
---|
4 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
0 | 2 |
Passes |
---|
52% (106/204) | 80% (400/501) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
4 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
3.09 | 0.47 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
3.13 | 0.26 |
Total shots |
---|
11 | 8 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 3 |
Shots off target |
---|
5 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
0 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
8 | 6 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
3 | 1 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
4 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
0 | 2 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
23 | 20 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
13 | 15 |
Passes |
---|
52% (106/204) | 80% (400/501) |
Long passes |
---|
33% (23/69) | 49% (50/103) |
Passes in final third |
---|
38% (38/101) | 68% (110/162) |
Crosses |
---|
27% (3/11) | 35% (7/20) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.51 | 1.04 |
Throw-ins |
---|
24 | 34 |
Fouls |
---|
15 | 13 |
Tackles |
---|
53% (9/17) | 62% (8/13) |
Duels won |
---|
52 | 60 |
Clearances |
---|
31 | 35 |
Interceptions |
---|
12 | 4 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.26 | 3.13 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.74 | -0.87 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 28', 1 - 0, Little A. (Pen),
- 37', Andrews J. 🟨,
- 45+1', Cirino L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 50', 2 - 0, Little A. (Pen),
- 53', 2 - 1, Dobra A. ⚽, Grigg W. (A),
- 56', 3 - 1, Cirino L. ⚽, Morris G. (A),
- 62', Daley-Campbell V. 🟨,
- 68', Cirino L. ↓, Rowe A. ↑,
- 69', Grigg W. ↓, Bonis L. ↑,
- 70', Daley-Campbell V. ↓, Mandeville L. ↑,
- 70', Naylor T. ↓, Fleck J. ↑,
- 71', Coleman E. 🟨,
- 73', Nevitt E. 🟨,
- 77', Darcy R. ↓, Duffy D. ↑,
- 81', Andrews J. ↓, Vokes S. ↑,
- 81', Nevitt E. ↓, Wyllie M. ↑,
- 87', Williams J. ↓, Dack B. ↑,
- 87', Little A. ↓, Khumbeni N. ↑,
- 88', Gordon L. ↓, Lewis A. ↑,
- 90+1', 4 - 1, Wyllie M. ⚽, Khumbeni N. (A),
Chances of winning
Gillingham 34.4% | Draw 31.3% | Chesterfield 34.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gillingham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)Chesterfield has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gillingham than the current prediction. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chesterfield than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
Gillingham - Chesterfield Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.81 ↑ (2.55) |
3.16 ↓ (3.29) |
2.95 ↑ (2.31) |
1.1% (12.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Gillingham - Chesterfield?
Users Predictions:
23 users predict this event. Gillingham will win (votes: 5 - 21.7%). Chesterfield will win (votes: 14 - 60.9%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 17.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Chesterfield: 41% – 80.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Chesterfield will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gillingham won 1.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Recently, Chesterfield has had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Gillingham: Clark M.
(Red Card)
Masterson C.
(Injury)
Williams E.
(Shoulder Injury)
- There will not play in Chesterfield: Butterfield L.
(Foot Injury)
Donacien J.
(Hamstring Injury)
Tanton D.
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in Gillingham: Ogie S.
(Inactive)
Palmer-Houlden S.
(Hamstring Injury)
Vokes S.
(Broken Hand)
- There are questionable in Chesterfield: Dibley-Dias M.
(Injury)
Williams T.
(Injury)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Gillingham won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:15. (average 1.4:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Gillingham won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1.2:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Gillingham won against Chesterfield?
Gillingham has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Chesterfield won against Gillingham?
Chesterfield has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gillingham - Chesterfield were as follows:
08.04.2025
Chesterfield
-
Gillingham
1:1
31.08.2024
Gillingham
-
Chesterfield
1:0
Latest results of Gillingham
Latest results of Chesterfield
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Gillingham | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 11:5 | 6 | 15 |
2 | Swindon | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 14:9 | 5 | 15 |
3 | Walsall | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 7:4 | 3 | 15 |
4 | Grimsby | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13:8 | 5 | 14 |
5 | Bromley | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 12:7 | 5 | 13 |
6 | Crewe | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11:7 | 4 | 13 |
7 | Chesterfield | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 13 |
8 | Salford | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10:8 | 2 | 13 |
9 | MK Dons | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 12:6 | 6 | 11 |
10 | Notts Co | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 12:9 | 3 | 11 |
11 | Fleetwood | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 11 |
12 | Cambridge Utd | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8:7 | 1 | 10 |
13 | Bristol Rovers | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 10 |
14 | Tranmere | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10:7 | 3 | 8 |
15 | Harrogate | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 8 |
16 | Colchester | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 7 |
17 | Oldham | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 7 |
18 | Barnet | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 7 |
19 | Barrow | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5:9 | -4 | 6 |
20 | Crawley | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:11 | -6 | 5 |
21 | Shrewsbury | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:13 | -8 | 5 |
22 | Newport | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7:12 | -5 | 4 |
23 | Cheltenham | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3:12 | -9 | 4 |
24 | Accrington | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3:7 | -4 | 3 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League