Result
4:1
19/08/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 4
- Referee: Hicks C. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.09 | 0.47 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 29% | 71% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 52% (106/204) | 80% (400/501) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.09 | 0.47 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.13 | 0.26 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 52% (106/204) | 80% (400/501) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 33% (23/69) | 49% (50/103) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 38% (38/101) | 68% (110/162) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (3/11) | 35% (7/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.51 | 1.04 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 34 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (9/17) | 62% (8/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 60 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 31 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.26 | 3.13 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.74 | -0.87 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 28', 1 - 0, Little A. (Pen),
- 37', Andrews J. 🟨,
- 45+1', Cirino L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 50', 2 - 0, Little A. (Pen),
- 53', 2 - 1, Dobra A. ⚽, Grigg W. (A),
- 56', 3 - 1, Cirino L. ⚽, Morris G. (A),
- 62', Daley-Campbell V. 🟨,
- 68', Cirino L. ↓, Rowe A. ↑,
- 69', Grigg W. ↓, Bonis L. ↑,
- 70', Daley-Campbell V. ↓, Mandeville L. ↑,
- 70', Naylor T. ↓, Fleck J. ↑,
- 71', Coleman E. 🟨,
- 73', Nevitt E. 🟨,
- 77', Darcy R. ↓, Duffy D. ↑,
- 81', Andrews J. ↓, Vokes S. ↑,
- 81', Nevitt E. ↓, Wyllie M. ↑,
- 87', Williams J. ↓, Dack B. ↑,
- 87', Little A. ↓, Khumbeni N. ↑,
- 88', Gordon L. ↓, Lewis A. ↑,
- 90+1', 4 - 1, Wyllie M. ⚽, Khumbeni N. (A),
Chances of winning
Gillingham
34.4% | Draw
31.3% | Chesterfield
34.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gillingham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)Chesterfield has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gillingham than the current prediction. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chesterfield than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
Gillingham - Chesterfield Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.81 ↑
(2.55) |
3.16 ↓
(3.29) |
2.95 ↑
(2.31) |
1.1%
(12.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Gillingham - Chesterfield?
Users Predictions:
23 users predict this event. Gillingham will win (votes: 5 - 21.7%). Chesterfield will win (votes: 14 - 60.9%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 17.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Chesterfield: 41% – 80.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Chesterfield will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gillingham won 1.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Recently, Chesterfield has had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Gillingham: Clark M.
(Red Card)
Masterson C.
(Injury)
Williams E.
(Shoulder Injury)
- There will not play in Chesterfield: Butterfield L.
(Foot Injury)
Donacien J.
(Hamstring Injury)
Tanton D.
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in Gillingham: Ogie S.
(Inactive)
Palmer-Houlden S.
(Hamstring Injury)
Vokes S.
(Broken Hand)
- There are questionable in Chesterfield: Dibley-Dias M.
(Injury)
Williams T.
(Injury)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Gillingham won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:15. (average 1.4:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Gillingham won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1.2:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Gillingham won against Chesterfield?
Gillingham has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Chesterfield won against Gillingham?
Chesterfield has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gillingham - Chesterfield were as follows:
08.04.2025
Chesterfield
-
Gillingham
1:1
31.08.2024
Gillingham
-
Chesterfield
1:0
Latest results of Gillingham
Latest results of Chesterfield
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Walsall | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 15:8 | 7 | 22 |
| 2 | Swindon | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 21:13 | 8 | 21 |
| 3 | Gillingham | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 15:7 | 8 | 21 |
| 4 | Salford | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 17:13 | 4 | 19 |
| 5 | Grimsby | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 21:13 | 8 | 18 |
| 6 | Chesterfield | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18:13 | 5 | 18 |
| 7 | Bristol Rovers | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 17 |
| 8 | Crewe | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 14:11 | 3 | 16 |
| 9 | MK Dons | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 16:10 | 6 | 15 |
| 10 | Cambridge Utd | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 11:9 | 2 | 15 |
| 11 | Fleetwood | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15:14 | 1 | 15 |
| 12 | Notts Co | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 17:12 | 5 | 14 |
| 13 | Oldham | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 9:6 | 3 | 14 |
| 14 | Bromley | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 14:12 | 2 | 14 |
| 15 | Barnet | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 12:12 | 0 | 14 |
| 16 | Harrogate | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11:12 | -1 | 14 |
| 17 | Barrow | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 9:12 | -3 | 12 |
| 18 | Tranmere | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 10 |
| 19 | Accrington | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7:11 | -4 | 9 |
| 20 | Colchester | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 10:14 | -4 | 8 |
| 21 | Crawley | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8:17 | -9 | 8 |
| 22 | Newport | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 10:20 | -10 | 5 |
| 23 | Shrewsbury | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7:20 | -13 | 5 |
| 24 | Cheltenham | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4:24 | -20 | 4 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
