Chesterfield vs Gillingham: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

08/04/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

SMH Group Stadium (Chesterfield).

ENGLAND: League Two - Round 25
Referee: Parkinson S. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.54	0.42
Ball Possession
73%	27%
Total shots
11	6
Shots on target
2	2
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
3	1
Passes
85% (507/593)	60% (130/217)
Yellow Cards
0	2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.54	0.42
xG on target (xGOT)
0.87	0.57
Total shots
11	6
Shots on target
2	2
Shots off target
5	3
Blocked Shots
4	1
Shots inside the Box
8	3
Shots outside the Box
3	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
3	1
Touches in opposition box
22	9
Through passes
0% (0/1)	0% (0/1)
Offsides
2	1
Free Kicks
13	9
Passes
85% (507/593)	60% (130/217)
Long passes
56% (52/93)	26% (15/57)
Passes in final third
73% (119/163)	37% (23/62)
Crosses
25% (5/20)	43% (3/7)
Expected assists (xA)
1.09	0.26
Fouls
9	13
Tackles
56% (9/16)	80% (12/15)
Duels won
51	50
Clearances Total
12	36
Interceptions
5	9
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	1
xGOT faced
0.57	0.87
Goals prevented
-0.43	-0.13

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, Nevitt E. ⚽, Rowe A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
48', Gale S. 🟨,
65', Rowe A. 🟨,
69', Duffy D. ↓, Colclough R. ↑,
69', Metcalfe J. ↓, Grimes J. ↑,
69', McFadzean K. ↓, Dobra A. ↑,
69', Rowe A. ↓, Nolan J. ↑,
77', 1 - 1, Grigg W. ⚽, Colclough R. (A),
78', Williams J. ↓, McKenzie R. ↑,
80', Madden P. ↓, Banks O. ↑,
86', Gbode J. ↓, Morgan J. ↑,
86', Grigg W. ↓, Pepple A. ↑,

Chances of winning

Chesterfield
50.3%

Draw
27.1%

Gillingham
22.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.1%

27.5%

26.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.4%

27.3%

26.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chesterfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Gillingham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chesterfield than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gillingham than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Chesterfield - Gillingham Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↓ (2.04)	3.48 ↑ (3.42)	4.21 ↑ (3.58)	6% (6.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Chesterfield - Gillingham?

Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Chesterfield will win (votes: 21 - 75%). Gillingham will win (votes: 2 - 7.1%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 17.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Chesterfield: 59% – 91%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Chesterfield will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 10 and 14).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Chesterfield won 1.
Recent matches Chesterfield is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Gillingham is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Chesterfield could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Chesterfield is a favorite.
Last 9 head-to-head matches Chesterfield won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 14:13 (average 1.6:1.4).
Including matches at home between the teams Chesterfield won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:7 (average 1.8:1.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Chesterfield won against Gillingham?

Chesterfield has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Gillingham won against Chesterfield?

Gillingham has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Chesterfield - Gillingham were as follows:

31.08.2024 Gillingham - Chesterfield 1:0

Latest results of Chesterfield

05.04.2025 Tranmere Rovers - Chesterfield 4:0 ✺

01.04.2025 Chesterfield - Carlisle United 2:1 ✺

29.03.2025 Barrow - Chesterfield 0:1 ✺

22.03.2025 Chesterfield - Harrogate Town 0:0 ✺

15.03.2025 Notts County - Chesterfield 1:2 ✺

Latest results of Gillingham

05.04.2025 Salford City - Gillingham 2:2 ✺

01.04.2025 Gillingham - Colchester United 1:1 ✺

29.03.2025 Harrogate Town - Gillingham 1:1 ✺

22.03.2025 Gillingham - Walsall 0:0 ✺

15.03.2025 Accrington Stanley - Gillingham 1:1 ✺

English League Two Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Colchester	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Bristol Rovers	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Cheltenham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Crewe	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Gillingham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Oldham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Swindon	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Tranmere	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Walsall	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Accrington	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Barnet	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Chesterfield	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Grimsby	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	MK Dons	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Notts Co	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Shrewsbury	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Cambridge Utd	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Crawley	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
19	Barrow	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
20	Bromley	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
21	Newport	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
22	Harrogate	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
23	Fleetwood	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
24	Salford	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

      Promotion ~ League Two
      Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ National League

Which TV channels are streaming of Chesterfield - Gillingham?

It is being streamed on various channels, including: