Chesterfield vs Gillingham – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
17/02/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 33
  • Referee: Finnie W. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.230.60
Ball possession
46%54%
Total shots
1914
Shots on target
52
Big chances
40
Corner kicks
87
Passes
67% (199/297)66% (216/329)
Yellow cards
03
Expected goals (xG)
2.230.60
xG on target (xGOT)
1.270.35
Total shots
1914
Shots on target
52
Shots off target
99
Blocked shots
53
Shots inside the box
1010
Shots outside the box
94
Hit the woodwork
01
Big chances
40
Corner kicks
87
Touches in opposition box
1736
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
33
Free kicks
165
Passes
67% (199/297)66% (216/329)
Long passes
26% (19/74)41% (38/92)
Passes in final third
57% (65/115)57% (77/134)
Crosses
23% (5/22)13% (5/39)
Expected assists (xA)
0.771.04
Throw ins
1429
Fouls
516
Tackles
55% (6/11)88% (7/8)
Duels won
5640
Clearances
7328
Interceptions
107
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
23
xGOT faced
0.351.27
Goals prevented
0.350.27

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 16', 1 - 0, Curtis S. , Swinkels S. (A),
  • 23', Beckles O. 🟨,
  • 31', Hutton R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 60', Markanday D. , Naylor T. ,
  • 60', Mandeville L. , Duffy D. ,
  • 60', Dobra A. , Berry-McNally J. ,
  • 66', Hutton R. , McCleary G. ,
  • 66', Andrews J. , Vokes S. ,
  • 78', Grigg W. , Ladapo F. ,
  • 81', Little A. , Antwi C. ,
  • 86', Dack B. , Coleman E. ,
  • 86', McKenzie R. , Palmer-Houlden S. ,
  • 88', Coleman E. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Chesterfield
44.8%
Draw
27.1%
Gillingham
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.3% 26% 27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7% 24.7% 26.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chesterfield has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • Gillingham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chesterfield than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gillingham than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
  • Chesterfield - Gillingham Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.09
    (1.98)
    3.45
    (3.53)
    3.31
    (3.32)
    7.2%
    (9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Chesterfield - Gillingham?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Chesterfield will win (votes: 9 - 75%). Gillingham will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Chesterfield: 50.5%99.5%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 8 and 14).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chesterfield won 0.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Gillingham may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Chesterfield is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Chesterfield: Bonis L. (Red Card) Fleck J. (Inactive) Gordon L. (Injury) Hobson B. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Gillingham: Khumbeni N. (Inactive) Masterson C. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Gillingham: Cirino L. (Inactive) Smith J. (Injury) Wyllie M. (Inactive)
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Chesterfield won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:18. (average 1.5:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Chesterfield won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 1.6:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Chesterfield - Gillingham were as follows:
    19.08.2025 Gillingham - Chesterfield 4:1
    08.04.2025 Chesterfield - Gillingham 1:1
    31.08.2024 Gillingham - Chesterfield 1:0
    Latest results of Chesterfield
    Latest results of Gillingham
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bromley432314668:432583
    2MK Dons432213879:433679
    3Cambridge Utd422114762:313177
    4Notts Co432371371:492276
    5Swindon432281367:511674
    6Salford432351557:50774
    7Chesterfield421815964:531169
    8Grimsby4119111162:451768
    9Barnet4318131260:491167
    10Crewe431991563:531066
    11Oldham4217141152:361665
    12Walsall4317111552:50262
    13Colchester4216121456:451160
    14Fleetwood4315131553:54-158
    15Bristol Rovers431742249:63-1455
    16Accrington421491941:48-751
    17Gillingham4212141648:60-1250
    18Shrewsbury431382240:66-2647
    19Cheltenham4112101948:67-1946
    20Tranmere429102349:72-2337
    21Crawley438132241:65-2437
    22Newport431072643:73-3037
    23Barrow42892540:68-2833
    24Harrogate43892635:66-3133

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League