Result
1:1
29/03/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 39
- Referee: Rock D. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.55 | 1.60 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 54% (153/283) | 56% (153/275) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.55 | 1.60 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.87 | 0.87 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 24 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 21 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 54% (153/283) | 56% (153/275) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 28% (22/80) | 32% (28/88) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 46% (57/125) | 53% (55/104) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (4/18) | 15% (3/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.51 | 1.17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 21 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 81% (13/16) | 50% (6/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 89 | 63 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 46 | 42 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.87 | 1.87 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.13 | 0.87 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 11', March J. 🟨,
- 39', Morris G. 🟨,
- 40', 1 - 0, March J. (Pen),
- 43', Clark M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 60', Smith A. 🟨,
- 61', Daly J. ↓, Cursons T. ↑,
- 64', Gbode J. ↓, Hawkins O. ↑,
- 64', Morgan J. ↓, Williams E. ↑,
- 68', 1 - 1, Clark M. (Pen),
- 81', O'Connor A. 🟨,
- 82', Williams J. ↓, Clarke J. ↑,
- 84', Williams E. 🟨,
- 85', Masterson C. 🟨,
- 87', Nevitt E. ↓, Wakeling J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Harrogate Town
34.9% | Draw
31.5% | Gillingham
33.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Harrogate Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)Gillingham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Harrogate Town than the current prediction. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gillingham than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
Harrogate Town - Gillingham Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.7 ↓
(2.85) |
2.96 ↓
(3.02) |
2.81 ↑
(2.55) |
6.4%
(7.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Harrogate Town - Gillingham?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Harrogate will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Gillingham will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 19% – 81%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 21 and 19).
- One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
- In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
- There will not play in Harrogate: Hill T.
(Injury)
Moorby J.
(Inactive)
Sutton L.
(Injury)
Thomson G.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Gillingham: Agbinone A.
(Inactive)
Andrews J.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Harrogate: Bilongo B.
(Injury)
Falkingham J.
(Inactive)
Foulds M.
(Groin Injury)
- There are questionable in Gillingham: Coleman E.
(Calf Injury)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Harrogate won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9:3 (average 1.8:0.6).
- Including matches at home between the teams Harrogate won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:1 (average 2.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Harrogate Town won against Gillingham?
Harrogate Town has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gillingham won against Harrogate Town?
Gillingham has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Harrogate Town - Gillingham were as follows:
23.11.2024
Gillingham
-
Harrogate Town
1:2
01.04.2024
Harrogate Town
-
Gillingham
5:1
09.09.2023
Gillingham
-
Harrogate Town
1:0
04.03.2023
Harrogate Town
-
Gillingham
0:0
Latest results of Harrogate Town
Latest results of Gillingham
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Crewe | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10:3 | 7 | 12 |
| 2 | Chesterfield | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9:6 | 3 | 12 |
| 3 | MK Dons | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10:2 | 8 | 11 |
| 4 | Grimsby | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10:5 | 5 | 11 |
| 5 | Gillingham | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8:3 | 5 | 11 |
| 6 | Bromley | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8:5 | 3 | 9 |
| 7 | Walsall | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5:4 | 1 | 9 |
| 8 | Swindon | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 9 |
| 9 | Salford | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 9 |
| 10 | Tranmere | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8:2 | 6 | 8 |
| 11 | Harrogate | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7:6 | 1 | 8 |
| 12 | Fleetwood | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:8 | 0 | 8 |
| 13 | Cambridge Utd | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 7 |
| 14 | Barrow | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4:5 | -1 | 6 |
| 15 | Barnet | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4:6 | -2 | 6 |
| 16 | Notts Co | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 9:8 | 1 | 5 |
| 17 | Colchester | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 5 |
| 18 | Oldham | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
| 19 | Newport | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 4 |
| 20 | Bristol Rovers | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3:6 | -3 | 4 |
| 21 | Accrington | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 2 |
| 22 | Crawley | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2:9 | -7 | 1 |
| 23 | Shrewsbury | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2:12 | -10 | 1 |
| 24 | Cheltenham | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1:11 | -10 | 0 |
Promotion ~ League Two
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
