Result
0:1
27/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 10
- Referee: Bell J. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.23 | 0.33 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (279/399) | 68% (239/349) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.23 | 0.33 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.33 | 0.45 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 38 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (279/399) | 68% (239/349) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (40/93) | 23% (20/86) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 52% (89/170) | 46% (34/74) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (11/38) | 0% (0/4) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.67 | 0.13 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 29 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (11/17) | 60% (12/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 70 | 73 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 76 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.45 | 0.33 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.55 | 0.33 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 16', 0 - 1, Duke-McKenna S. ⚽, Evans J. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Dack B. ↓, Coleman E. ↑,
- 50', Taylor E. 🟨,
- 61', Smith J. ↓, McCleary G. ↑,
- 65', Muldoon J. ↓, Bennett M. ↑,
- 68', Nevitt E. ↓, Palmer-Houlden S. ↑,
- 68', Andrews J. ↓, Vokes S. ↑,
- 68', McKenzie R. ↓, Rowe A. ↑,
- 73', Taylor E. ↓, McAleny C. ↑,
- 84', Clark M. 🟨,
- 90', Smith R. ↓, Sutton L. ↑,
Chances of winning
Gillingham
55.5% | Draw
25.7% | Harrogate Town
18.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gillingham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)Harrogate Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gillingham than the current prediction. (+0.3%)The ML Model estimate for Harrogate Town aligns with the current prediction.
Gillingham - Harrogate Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.7 ↓
(1.73) |
3.67 ↑
(3.49) |
4.98 ↑
(4.77) |
6.1%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Gillingham - Harrogate Town?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Gillingham (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Gillingham will win
(11 of 11 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ League One and 16).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gillingham won 1.
- Gillingham has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Harrogate's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Gillingham is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Gillingham: Masterson C.
(Calf Injury)
Williams E.
(Shoulder Injury)
- There will not play in Harrogate: Cass L.
(Injury)
Gibson L.
(Inactive)
Hill T.
(Injury)
Thomson G.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Gillingham: Little A.
(Inactive)
- We predict that Gillingham will win today's game, with odds of 1.72.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Gillingham won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:10. (average 0.7:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Gillingham won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Gillingham won against Harrogate Town?
Gillingham has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Harrogate Town won against Gillingham?
Harrogate Town has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gillingham - Harrogate Town were as follows:
29.03.2025
Harrogate Town
-
Gillingham
1:1
23.11.2024
Gillingham
-
Harrogate Town
1:2
01.04.2024
Harrogate Town
-
Gillingham
5:1
09.09.2023
Gillingham
-
Harrogate Town
1:0
04.03.2023
Harrogate Town
-
Gillingham
0:0
Latest results of Gillingham
Latest results of Harrogate Town
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Walsall | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 19:12 | 7 | 26 |
| 2 | Swindon | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 24:19 | 5 | 25 |
| 3 | MK Dons | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 26:13 | 13 | 24 |
| 4 | Grimsby | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 25:15 | 10 | 24 |
| 5 | Gillingham | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 18:12 | 6 | 22 |
| 6 | Chesterfield | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 23:20 | 3 | 22 |
| 7 | Salford | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 18:17 | 1 | 22 |
| 8 | Notts Co | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 23:15 | 8 | 21 |
| 9 | Cambridge Utd | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 16:13 | 3 | 21 |
| 10 | Barnet | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 16:13 | 3 | 20 |
| 11 | Crewe | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 17:16 | 1 | 19 |
| 12 | Fleetwood | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 19:19 | 0 | 19 |
| 13 | Bromley | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 19:17 | 2 | 18 |
| 14 | Colchester | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 21:18 | 3 | 17 |
| 15 | Barrow | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 11:13 | -2 | 17 |
| 16 | Bristol Rovers | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 14:21 | -7 | 17 |
| 17 | Oldham | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 10:10 | 0 | 15 |
| 18 | Tranmere | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 20:18 | 2 | 14 |
| 19 | Harrogate | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 15:20 | -5 | 14 |
| 20 | Accrington | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 11:14 | -3 | 12 |
| 21 | Shrewsbury | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 10:20 | -10 | 12 |
| 22 | Cheltenham | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 9:25 | -16 | 11 |
| 23 | Crawley | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 10:22 | -12 | 9 |
| 24 | Newport | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 11:23 | -12 | 8 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
