Gillingham vs Harrogate Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Two Gillingham - Harrogate Town
Result
0:1
27/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 10
  • Referee: Bell J. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.230.33
Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
187
Shots on target
22
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
121
Passes
70% (279/399)68% (239/349)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
1.230.33
xG on target (xGOT)
0.330.45
Total shots
187
Shots on target
22
Shots off target
72
Blocked Shots
93
Shots inside the Box
103
Shots outside the Box
84
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
121
Touches in opposition box
389
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
411
Passes
70% (279/399)68% (239/349)
Long passes
43% (40/93)23% (20/86)
Passes in final third
52% (89/170)46% (34/74)
Crosses
29% (11/38)0% (0/4)
Expected assists (xA)
1.670.13
Throw-ins
2924
Fouls
114
Tackles
65% (11/17)60% (12/20)
Duels won
7073
Clearances
1476
Interceptions
114
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
0.450.33
Goals prevented
-0.550.33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 16', 0 - 1, Duke-McKenna S. , Evans J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Dack B. , Coleman E. ,
  • 50', Taylor E. 🟨,
  • 61', Smith J. , McCleary G. ,
  • 65', Muldoon J. , Bennett M. ,
  • 68', Nevitt E. , Palmer-Houlden S. ,
  • 68', Andrews J. , Vokes S. ,
  • 68', McKenzie R. , Rowe A. ,
  • 73', Taylor E. , McAleny C. ,
  • 84', Clark M. 🟨,
  • 90', Smith R. , Sutton L. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Gillingham
55.5%
Draw
25.7%
Harrogate Town
18.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.9% 26.7% 19.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.8% 25.8% 18.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gillingham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • Harrogate Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gillingham than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
  • The ML Model estimate for Harrogate Town aligns with the current prediction.
  • Gillingham - Harrogate Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.7
    (1.73)
    3.67
    (3.49)
    4.98
    (4.77)
    6.1%
    (7.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Gillingham - Harrogate Town?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Gillingham (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Gillingham will win (11 of 11 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ League One and 16).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gillingham won 1.
    • Gillingham has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Harrogate's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Gillingham is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Gillingham: Masterson C. (Calf Injury) Williams E. (Shoulder Injury)
    • There will not play in Harrogate: Cass L. (Injury) Gibson L. (Inactive) Hill T. (Injury) Thomson G. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Gillingham: Little A. (Inactive)
    • We predict that Gillingham will win today's game, with odds of 1.72.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Gillingham won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:10. (average 0.7:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Gillingham won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Gillingham - Harrogate Town were as follows:
    29.03.2025 Harrogate Town - Gillingham 1:1
    23.11.2024 Gillingham - Harrogate Town 1:2
    01.04.2024 Harrogate Town - Gillingham 5:1
    09.09.2023 Gillingham - Harrogate Town 1:0
    04.03.2023 Harrogate Town - Gillingham 0:0
    Latest results of Gillingham
    13.09.2025 Gillingham - Notts County 1:0
    06.09.2025 Bromley - Gillingham 2:2
    02.09.2025 Gillingham - Fulham U21 4:1
    Latest results of Harrogate Town
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Walsall1071215:8722
    2Swindon1070321:13821
    3Gillingham1063115:7821
    4Salford1061317:13419
    5Grimsby1053221:13818
    6Chesterfield1053218:13518
    7Bristol Rovers1052312:11117
    8Crewe1051414:11316
    9MK Dons1043316:10615
    10Cambridge Utd1043311:9215
    11Fleetwood1043315:14115
    12Notts Co1042417:12514
    13Oldham103529:6314
    14Bromley1035214:12214
    15Barnet1042412:12014
    16Harrogate1042411:12-114
    17Barrow104069:12-312
    18Tranmere924313:12110
    19Accrington92347:11-49
    20Colchester1015410:14-48
    21Crawley102268:17-98
    22Newport1012710:20-105
    23Shrewsbury101277:20-135
    24Cheltenham101184:24-204

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League