Stevenage Borough vs Gillingham – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English EFL Trophy Stevenage Borough - Gillingham
Result
1:2 penalties
12/11/2024 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: EFL Trophy
  • Referee: Simpson S. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Ball Possession
48%52%
Goal Attempts
1310
Shots on Goal
63
Shots off Goal
36
Blocked Shots
41
Corner Kicks
74
Goalkeeper Saves
25
Fouls
1515
Yellow Cards
21

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 26', 0 - 1, Andrews J. , Clarke J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Hutton R. , Ehmer M. ,
  • 46', Andrews J. , Wyllie M. ,
  • 48', Gbode J. 🟨,
  • 57', Doherty R. , Kemp D. ,
  • 58', Pressley A. , Simpson T. ,
  • 58', Young J. , Aboh K. ,
  • 60', White H. 🟨,
  • 68', 1 - 1, Kemp D. , Thompson N. (A),
  • 85', List E. , Brown L. ,
  • 86', Gbode J. , Sargent S. ,
  • 87', King E. 🟨,
  • Penalties (4 - 5)
  • 1, Simpson T. (Pen),
  • 1, Clark M. (Pen),
  • 2, Aboh K. (Pen),
  • 2, Williams J. (Pen),
  • 3, Kemp D. (Pen),
  • 3, Nolan J. (Pen),
  • 4, White H. (Pen),
  • 4, Sargent S. (Pen),
  • 5, King E. (Pen),
  • 5, Wyllie M. (Pen),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Stevenage Borough
50.3%
Draw
26.3%
Gillingham
23.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.6% 22.4% 17.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.2% 15.5% 25.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Stevenage Borough has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Stevenage Borough's form might have worsened.
  • Gillingham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gillingham's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stevenage Borough than the current prediction. (-9.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Stevenage Borough that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gillingham than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
  • Stevenage Borough - Gillingham Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.83
    (1.55)
    3.51
    (4.11)
    3.97
    (5.14)
    8.2%
    (8.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Stevenage Borough - Gillingham?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Stevenage will win (votes: 11 - 91.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Stevenage: 76.1%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Stevenage won 3.
    • One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.
    • Stevenage could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Recently Stevenage have a series of home games.
    • In this match Stevenage is a favorite.
    • Last 7 head-to-head matches Stevenage won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10:6 (average 1.4:0.9).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Stevenage won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:2 (average 1.4:0.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Stevenage Borough - Gillingham were as follows:
    02.01.2023 Stevenage Borough - Gillingham 1:0
    15.10.2022 Gillingham - Stevenage Borough 1:1
    Latest results of Stevenage Borough
    Latest results of Gillingham
    09.11.2024 Gillingham - Port Vale 1:0
    02.11.2024 Gillingham - Blackpool 0:2
    26.10.2024 Swindon Town - Gillingham 1:1
    19.10.2024 Bradford City - Gillingham 2:1
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1CharltonLeyton Orient0 : 2
    2BurtonStevenage0 : 4
    3WycombeSwindon1 : 2
    4ExeterBirmingham1 : 2
    5ChesterfieldWigan3 : 2
    6RotherhamTranmere3 : 2
    7BlackpoolAston Villa U211 : 2
    8Stockport CountyBradford City2 : 3
    9PeterboroughNorthampton3 : 0
    10WalsallReading2 : 1
    11CheltenhamCambridge Utd2 : 1
    12ColchesterAFC Wimbledon2 : 0
    13DoncasterPort Vale0 : 1
    14WrexhamCrewe1 : 0
    15MorecambeLincoln0 : 1
    16BoltonHuddersfield3 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Leyton OrientStevenage0 : 1
    2SwindonBirmingham1 : 2
    3ChesterfieldRotherham0 : 1
    4Aston Villa U21Bradford City1 : 3
    5PeterboroughWalsall4 : 2
    6CheltenhamColchester2 : 1
    7Port ValeWrexham1 : 4
    8LincolnBolton0 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1StevenageBirmingham0 : 1
    2RotherhamBradford City0 : 1
    3PeterboroughCheltenham3 : 2
    4WrexhamBolton1 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1BirminghamBradford City2 : 1
    2PeterboroughWrexham3 : 2

    Final
    1BirminghamPeterborough0 : 2