Belgrano vs Gimnasia La Plata – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
26/04/2026 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 16
  • Referee: Arasa N. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaESPN Premium
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.450.61
Ball possession
46%54%
Total shots
77
Shots on target
02
Big chances
01
Corner kicks
36
Passes
74% (263/357)82% (345/423)
Yellow cards
22
Red cards
10
Expected goals (xG)
0.450.61
xG on target (xGOT)
0.000.21
Total shots
77
Shots on target
02
Shots off target
62
Blocked shots
13
Shots inside the box
35
Shots outside the box
42
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
01
Corner kicks
36
Touches in opposition box
1724
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
05
Free kicks
916
Passes
74% (263/357)82% (345/423)
Long passes
41% (26/64)58% (31/53)
Passes in final third
63% (65/103)66% (86/131)
Crosses
8% (1/13)13% (3/23)
Expected assists (xA)
0.471.18
Throw ins
825
Fouls
169
Tackles
80% (16/20)39% (7/18)
Duels won
5152
Clearances
2316
Interceptions
1611
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
10
xGOT faced
0.210.00
Goals prevented
-0.790.00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 18', Hernandes R. 🟨,
  • 25', Ricca F. 🟥,
  • 41', 0 - 1, Torres M. , Schelotto N. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Sporle A. , Ocampo A. ,
  • 46', Vazquez F. , Mavilla J. ,
  • 55', Fernandez N. 🟨,
  • 69', Hernandes R. , Lucco J. ,
  • 69', Benitez Cabrera A. J. , Fernandez N. ,
  • 69', Schelotto N. , Torres F. ,
  • 78', Gutierrez L. , Passerini L. ,
  • 78', German Conti , Panaro M. ,
  • 78', Torres M. , Cortazzo J. ,
  • 84', Cortazzo J. 🟨,
  • 87', Passerini L. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Fernandez N. , Seoane M. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Belgrano
44.3%
Draw
32.4%
Gimnasia La Plata
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.6% 29.4% 21%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.5% 32.3% 19.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Belgrano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Belgrano's form might have worsened.
  • Gimnasia La Plata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Belgrano than the current prediction. (+10.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Belgrano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnasia La Plata than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
  • Belgrano - Gimnasia La Plata Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.13
    (1.88)
    2.93
    (3.16)
    4.01
    (4.43)
    6%
    (7.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Belgrano - Gimnasia La Plata?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Belgrano will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.1%88.1%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH +0.5 - Gimnasia La Plata (4.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Gimnasia La Plata (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Belgrano won 3.
    • In recent matches, Belgrano has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Gimnasia La Plata is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Gimnasia La Plata may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Belgrano is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Belgrano: Longo S. (Inactive) Morales L. (Red Card)
    • There will not play in Gimnasia La Plata: Di Biasi F. (Knee Injury) Errecalde G. (Inactive) Giampaoli R. (Yellow Cards) Mammini I. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Belgrano: Velazquez J. (Injury)
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Belgrano won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:7. (average 1.3:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Belgrano won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:4. (average 1.1:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Belgrano - Gimnasia La Plata were as follows:
    26.08.2024 Belgrano - Gimnasia La Plata 0:1
    15.04.2023 Gimnasia La Plata - Belgrano 0:2
    Latest results of Belgrano
    10.04.2026 Belgrano - Aldosivi 1:0
    05.04.2026 River Plate - Belgrano 3:0
    21.03.2026 Belgrano - Racing 1:2
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Estudiantes L.P. ✔ 1694319:71231
    2Boca Juniors ✔ 1686222:91330
    3Velez Sarsfield ✔ 1576217:11627
    4Talleres Cordoba ✔ 1675417:13426
    5Independiente1666424:20424
    6Lanus ✔ 1666418:15324
    7San Lorenzo1657414:14022
    8Union de Santa Fe1656524:20421
    9Defensa y Justicia1547417:19-219
    10Instituto1553715:17-218
    11Platense1637610:15-516
    12Gimnasia Mendoza1544712:21-916
    13Central Cordoba1644811:21-1016
    14Newells Old Boys1535714:26-1214
    15Dep. Riestra161875:12-711


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia ✔ 15103228:141433
    2River Plate ✔ 1592422:111129
    3Argentinos Jrs ✔ 1585217:11629
    4Rosario Central ✔ 1583419:15427
    5Belgrano1565413:13023
    6Gimnasia L.P1572617:19-223
    7Huracan1556417:13421
    8Barracas Central1656515:15021
    9Racing Club1555517:15220
    10Tigre1547417:14319
    11Sarmiento Junin1561813:16-319
    12Banfield1653817:19-218
    13Atl. Tucuman1525814:20-611
    14Aldosivi150785:18-137
    15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto1512125:22-175

          Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Estudiantes L.P. is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Boca Juniors is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Velez Sarsfield is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Talleres Cordoba is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Lanus is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Ind. Rivadavia is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    River Plate is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Argentinos Jrs is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Rosario Central is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)