Result
0:1
26/04/2026 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 16
- Referee: Arasa N. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Argentina | ESPN Premium |
Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.45 | 0.61 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (263/357) | 82% (345/423) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.45 | 0.61 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.21 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
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| 4 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (263/357) | 82% (345/423) |
| Long passes |
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| 41% (26/64) | 58% (31/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (65/103) | 66% (86/131) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 8% (1/13) | 13% (3/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.47 | 1.18 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 8 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (16/20) | 39% (7/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 52 |
| Clearances |
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| 23 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
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| 16 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.21 | 0.00 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.79 | 0.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 18', Hernandes R. 🟨,
- 25', Ricca F. 🟥,
- 41', 0 - 1, Torres M. ⚽, Schelotto N. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Sporle A. ↓, Ocampo A. ↑,
- 46', Vazquez F. ↓, Mavilla J. ↑,
- 55', Fernandez N. 🟨,
- 69', Hernandes R. ↓, Lucco J. ↑,
- 69', Benitez Cabrera A. J. ↓, Fernandez N. ↑,
- 69', Schelotto N. ↓, Torres F. ↑,
- 78', Gutierrez L. ↓, Passerini L. ↑,
- 78', German Conti ↓, Panaro M. ↑,
- 78', Torres M. ↓, Cortazzo J. ↑,
- 84', Cortazzo J. 🟨,
- 87', Passerini L. 🟨,
- 90+2', Fernandez N. ↓, Seoane M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Belgrano 44.3% | Draw 32.4% | Gimnasia La Plata 23.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Belgrano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Belgrano's form might have worsened.Gimnasia La Plata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Belgrano than the current prediction. (+10.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Belgrano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnasia La Plata than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
Belgrano - Gimnasia La Plata Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.13 ↑ (1.88) |
2.93 ↓ (3.16) |
4.01 ↓ (4.43) |
6% (7.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Belgrano - Gimnasia La Plata?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Belgrano will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.1% – 88.1%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH +0.5 - Gimnasia La Plata (4.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Gimnasia La Plata (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Belgrano won 3.
- In recent matches, Belgrano has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Gimnasia La Plata is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Gimnasia La Plata may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Belgrano is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Belgrano: Longo S.
(Inactive)
Morales L.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Gimnasia La Plata: Di Biasi F.
(Knee Injury)
Errecalde G.
(Inactive)
Giampaoli R.
(Yellow Cards)
Mammini I.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Belgrano: Velazquez J.
(Injury)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Belgrano won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:7. (average 1.3:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Belgrano won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:4. (average 1.1:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Belgrano won against Gimnasia La Plata?
Belgrano has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gimnasia La Plata won against Belgrano?
Gimnasia La Plata has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Belgrano - Gimnasia La Plata were as follows:
26.08.2024
Belgrano
-
Gimnasia La Plata
0:1
15.04.2023
Gimnasia La Plata
-
Belgrano
0:2
Latest results of Belgrano
Latest results of Gimnasia La Plata
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
AperturaGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Estudiantes L.P. ✔ | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 19:7 | 12 | 31 |
| 2 | Boca Juniors ✔ | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 22:9 | 13 | 30 |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield ✔ | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 17:11 | 6 | 27 |
| 4 | Talleres Cordoba ✔ | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17:13 | 4 | 26 |
| 5 | Independiente | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 24:20 | 4 | 24 |
| 6 | Lanus ✔ | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 18:15 | 3 | 24 |
| 7 | San Lorenzo | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 22 |
| 8 | Union de Santa Fe | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 24:20 | 4 | 21 |
| 9 | Defensa y Justicia | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 17:19 | -2 | 19 |
| 10 | Instituto | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 15:17 | -2 | 18 |
| 11 | Platense | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 10:15 | -5 | 16 |
| 12 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 12:21 | -9 | 16 |
| 13 | Central Cordoba | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 11:21 | -10 | 16 |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 14:26 | -12 | 14 |
| 15 | Dep. Riestra | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 5:12 | -7 | 11 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. Rivadavia ✔ | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 28:14 | 14 | 33 |
| 2 | River Plate ✔ | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 22:11 | 11 | 29 |
| 3 | Argentinos Jrs ✔ | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 17:11 | 6 | 29 |
| 4 | Rosario Central ✔ | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 19:15 | 4 | 27 |
| 5 | Belgrano | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 13:13 | 0 | 23 |
| 6 | Gimnasia L.P | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 17:19 | -2 | 23 |
| 7 | Huracan | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 17:13 | 4 | 21 |
| 8 | Barracas Central | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15:15 | 0 | 21 |
| 9 | Racing Club | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 17:15 | 2 | 20 |
| 10 | Tigre | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 17:14 | 3 | 19 |
| 11 | Sarmiento Junin | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 13:16 | -3 | 19 |
| 12 | Banfield | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 17:19 | -2 | 18 |
| 13 | Atl. Tucuman | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 14:20 | -6 | 11 |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 15 | 0 | 7 | 8 | 5:18 | -13 | 7 |
| 15 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 15 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 5:22 | -17 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Estudiantes L.P. is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Boca Juniors is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Velez Sarsfield is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Talleres Cordoba is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Lanus is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Ind. Rivadavia is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
River Plate is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Argentinos Jrs is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Rosario Central is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)