Gimnasia La Plata vs Independiente – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
27/07/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 3
  • Referee: Perez Y. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaESPN Premium
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
chinaChinaK-Ball
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
greeceGreeceAction 24
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 1 Premium
turkeyTurkeySpor Smart 1
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaInter
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.310.80
Ball Possession
24%76%
Total shots
814
Shots on target
33
Big Chances
51
Corner Kicks
47
Passes
66% (107/163)88% (473/540)
Yellow Cards
62
Expected Goals (xG)
1.310.80
xG on target (xGOT)
0.910.78
Total shots
814
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
47
Blocked Shots
14
Shots inside the Box
77
Shots outside the Box
17
Hit the Woodwork
21
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
51
Corner Kicks
47
Touches in opposition box
1329
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
42
Free Kicks
1619
Passes
66% (107/163)88% (473/540)
Long passes
49% (22/45)60% (32/53)
Passes in final third
58% (42/72)72% (109/151)
Crosses
25% (4/16)24% (7/29)
Expected assists (xA)
0.711.12
Throw-ins
730
Fouls
1916
Tackles
63% (20/32)44% (4/9)
Duels won
6542
Clearances
4614
Interceptions
107
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
0.780.91
Goals prevented
0.78-0.09

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 7', Briasco N. 🟨,
  • 13', Freire N. 🟨,
  • 24', 1 - 0, Suso G. , Pintado J. (A),
  • 42', Garayalde N. 🟨,
  • 45+2', Godoy L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 52', Giampaoli R. 🟨,
  • 59', Torres M. , Max A. ,
  • 59', Marcone I. , Galdames P. ,
  • 60', Zabala F. , Valenzuela M. ,
  • 67', Garayalde N. , De Asis J. ,
  • 67', Briasco N. , Mamut L. ,
  • 70', Merlo J. , Sosa A. ,
  • 72', Mazzantti W. , Pussetto I. ,
  • 72', Montiel S. , Tarzia D. ,
  • 80', Pintado J. 🟨,
  • 84', Seoane M. 🟨,
  • 87', Godoy L. , Mancuello F. ,
  • 90+2', De Asis J. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Gimnasia La Plata
23.7%
Draw
32.2%
Independiente
44.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.7% 29.8% 36.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gimnasia La Plata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gimnasia La Plata's form might have worsened.
  • Independiente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Independiente's recent form is better than expected.
  • Gimnasia La Plata - Independiente Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.96
    (2.79)
    2.96
    (3.16)
    2.16
    (2.58)
    5.4%
    (6.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Gimnasia La Plata - Independiente?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Gimnasia La Plata will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). Independiente will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 38.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Independiente: 26.7%80.9%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Independiente (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • DNB - Independiente (1.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Independiente (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gimnasia La Plata won 1.
    • Gimnasia La Plata may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Independiente could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Gimnasia La Plata: German Conti (Inactive) Jan Hurtado (Muscle Injury) Martinez E. (Knee Injury) Melluso M. (Muscle Injury) Merlini B. (Calf Injury) Piedrahita A. (Inactive) Torres F. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Independiente: Paredes F. (Inactive) Rodrigo Fernandez (Red Card) Valdez S. (Tendon Injury)
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Gimnasia La Plata won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 17:17. (average 1:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Gimnasia La Plata won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:7. (average 1.8:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Gimnasia La Plata - Independiente were as follows:
    02.02.2025 Independiente - Gimnasia La Plata 2:0
    21.11.2024 Independiente - Gimnasia La Plata 1:0
    03.02.2024 Independiente - Gimnasia La Plata 0:1
    02.09.2023 Gimnasia La Plata - Independiente 1:2
    07.07.2023 Gimnasia La Plata - Independiente 1:1
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Estudiantes L.P1373316:7924
    2Velez Sarsfield1264214:9522
    3Boca Juniors1356215:8721
    4Union de Santa Fe1354419:14519
    5Defensa y Justicia1247115:10519
    6Lanus1254317:14319
    7Independiente1346319:16318
    8Talleres Cordoba1253412:11118
    9San Lorenzo1346312:12018
    10Instituto1352614:15-117
    11Platense133737:8-116
    12Gimnasia Mendoza1334610:16-613
    13Central Cordoba123366:15-912
    14Newells Old Boys1324710:23-1310
    15Dep. Riestra130763:10-77


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia ✔ 1392223:131029
    2River Plate1382319:91026
    3Argentinos Jrs1365214:10423
    4Belgrano1364313:12122
    5Rosario Central1363415:13221
    6Huracan1355315:10520
    7Barracas Central1354413:12119
    8Tigre1346316:12418
    9Racing Club1353515:13218
    10Sarmiento Junin1251610:12-216
    11Gimnasia L.P1242613:18-514
    12Banfield1241714:16-213
    13Atl. Tucuman1324713:18-510
    14Aldosivi130673:14-116
    15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto1312104:19-155

          Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Ind. Rivadavia is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)