Gimnasia La Plata vs Independiente – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Liga Profesional Gimnasia La Plata - Independiente
Result
1:0
27/07/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 3
  • Referee: Perez Y. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaESPN Premium
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
chinaChinaK-Ball
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
greeceGreeceAction 24
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 1 Premium
turkeyTurkeySpor Smart 1
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaInter
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.310.80
Ball Possession
24%76%
Total shots
814
Shots on target
33
Big Chances
51
Corner Kicks
47
Passes
66% (107/163)88% (473/540)
Yellow Cards
62
Expected Goals (xG)
1.310.80
xG on target (xGOT)
0.910.78
Total shots
814
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
47
Blocked Shots
14
Shots inside the Box
77
Shots outside the Box
17
Hit the Woodwork
21
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
51
Corner Kicks
47
Touches in opposition box
1329
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
42
Free Kicks
1619
Passes
66% (107/163)88% (473/540)
Long passes
49% (22/45)60% (32/53)
Passes in final third
58% (42/72)72% (109/151)
Crosses
25% (4/16)24% (7/29)
Expected assists (xA)
0.711.12
Throw-ins
730
Fouls
1916
Tackles
63% (20/32)44% (4/9)
Duels won
6542
Clearances
4614
Interceptions
107
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
0.780.91
Goals prevented
0.78-0.09

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 7', Briasco N. 🟨,
  • 13', Freire N. 🟨,
  • 24', 1 - 0, Suso G. , Pintado J. (A),
  • 42', Garayalde N. 🟨,
  • 45+2', Godoy L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 52', Giampaoli R. 🟨,
  • 59', Torres M. , Max A. ,
  • 59', Marcone I. , Galdames P. ,
  • 60', Zabala F. , Valenzuela M. ,
  • 67', Garayalde N. , De Asis J. ,
  • 67', Briasco N. , Mamut L. ,
  • 70', Merlo J. , Sosa A. ,
  • 72', Mazzantti W. , Pussetto I. ,
  • 72', Montiel S. , Tarzia D. ,
  • 80', Pintado J. 🟨,
  • 84', Seoane M. 🟨,
  • 87', Godoy L. , Mancuello F. ,
  • 90+2', De Asis J. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Gimnasia La Plata
23.7%
Draw
32.2%
Independiente
44.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.7% 29.8% 36.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gimnasia La Plata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gimnasia La Plata's form might have worsened.
  • Independiente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Independiente's recent form is better than expected.
  • Gimnasia La Plata - Independiente Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.96
    (2.79)
    2.96
    (3.16)
    2.16
    (2.58)
    5.4%
    (6.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • What is the prediction for Gimnasia La Plata - Independiente?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Gimnasia La Plata will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). Independiente will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 38.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Independiente: 26.7%80.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Independiente (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gimnasia La Plata won 1.
    • Gimnasia La Plata may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Independiente could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Gimnasia La Plata: German Conti (Inactive) Jan Hurtado (Muscle Injury) Martinez E. (Knee Injury) Melluso M. (Muscle Injury) Merlini B. (Calf Injury) Piedrahita A. (Inactive) Torres F. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Independiente: Paredes F. (Inactive) Rodrigo Fernandez (Red Card) Valdez S. (Tendon Injury)
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Gimnasia La Plata won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 17:17. (average 1:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Gimnasia La Plata won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:7. (average 1.8:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Gimnasia La Plata - Independiente were as follows:
    02.02.2025 Independiente - Gimnasia La Plata 2:0
    21.11.2024 Independiente - Gimnasia La Plata 1:0
    03.02.2024 Independiente - Gimnasia La Plata 0:1
    02.09.2023 Gimnasia La Plata - Independiente 1:2
    07.07.2023 Gimnasia La Plata - Independiente 1:1
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Clausura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Barracas Central43017:529
    2Estudiantes L.P43015:329
    3Huracan53024:5-19
    4Union de Santa Fe52216:248
    5Belgrano52215:238
    6Defensa y Justicia42114:227
    7Tigre52125:507
    8Central Cordoba41304:316
    9Newells Old Boys41214:405
    10Argentinos Jrs51222:3-15
    11Ind. Rivadavia41125:414
    12Banfield41124:6-24
    13Racing Club51133:5-24
    14Boca Juniors40312:3-13
    15Aldosivi50321:5-43


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1River Plate42207:168
    2San Lorenzo52214:318
    3Velez Sarsfield52214:318
    4Rosario Central51403:217
    5Gimnasia L.P42113:217
    6Dep. Riestra52125:507
    7Lanus42023:216
    8Platense51314:5-16
    9Atl. Tucuman41213:305
    10Sarmiento Junin41213:4-15
    11Instituto51222:9-75
    12San Martin S.J41124:5-14
    13Talleres Cordoba41123:4-14
    14Godoy Cruz40312:3-13
    15Independiente50234:7-32

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