Gimnasia La Plata vs Independiente – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

27/07/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo (La Plata).

Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 3
Referee: Perez Y. (Arg)
Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN Premium
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
China	K-Ball
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Greece	Action 24
Mexico	Fanatiz
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1 Premium
Turkey	Spor Smart 1
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Inter
World	TyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.31	0.80
Ball Possession
24%	76%
Total shots
8	14
Shots on target
3	3
Big Chances
5	1
Corner Kicks
4	7
Passes
66% (107/163)	88% (473/540)
Yellow Cards
6	2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.31	0.80
xG on target (xGOT)
0.91	0.78
Total shots
8	14
Shots on target
3	3
Shots off target
4	7
Blocked Shots
1	4
Shots inside the Box
7	7
Shots outside the Box
1	7
Hit the Woodwork
2	1
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
5	1
Corner Kicks
4	7
Touches in opposition box
13	29
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
4	2
Free Kicks
16	19
Passes
66% (107/163)	88% (473/540)
Long passes
49% (22/45)	60% (32/53)
Passes in final third
58% (42/72)	72% (109/151)
Crosses
25% (4/16)	24% (7/29)
Expected assists (xA)
0.71	1.12
Throw-ins
7	30
Fouls
19	16
Tackles
63% (20/32)	44% (4/9)
Duels won
65	42
Clearances
46	14
Interceptions
10	7
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	2
xGOT faced
0.78	0.91
Goals prevented
0.78	-0.09

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', Briasco N. 🟨,
13', Freire N. 🟨,
24', 1 - 0, Suso G. ⚽, Pintado J. (A),
42', Garayalde N. 🟨,
45+2', Godoy L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
52', Giampaoli R. 🟨,
59', Torres M. ↓, Max A. ↑,
59', Marcone I. ↓, Galdames P. ↑,
60', Zabala F. ↓, Valenzuela M. ↑,
67', Garayalde N. ↓, De Asis J. ↑,
67', Briasco N. ↓, Mamut L. ↑,
70', Merlo J. ↓, Sosa A. ↑,
72', Mazzantti W. ↓, Pussetto I. ↑,
72', Montiel S. ↓, Tarzia D. ↑,
80', Pintado J. 🟨,
84', Seoane M. 🟨,
87', Godoy L. ↓, Mancuello F. ↑,
90+2', De Asis J. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Gimnasia La Plata
23.7%

Draw
32.2%

Independiente
44.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.7%

29.8%

36.5%

Gimnasia La Plata - Independiente Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.96 ↑ (2.79)	2.96 ↓ (3.16)	2.16 ↓ (2.58)	5.4% (6.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

What is the prediction for Gimnasia La Plata - Independiente?

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Gimnasia La Plata will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). Independiente will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 38.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Independiente: 26.7% – 80.9%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Independiente (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

DNB - Independiente (1.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Independiente (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gimnasia La Plata won 1.
Gimnasia La Plata may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Independiente could have a small edge in this match.
There will not play in Gimnasia La Plata: German Conti (Inactive) Jan Hurtado (Muscle Injury) Martinez E. (Knee Injury) Melluso M. (Muscle Injury) Merlini B. (Calf Injury) Piedrahita A. (Inactive) Torres F. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Independiente: Paredes F. (Inactive) Rodrigo Fernandez (Red Card) Valdez S. (Tendon Injury)
In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Gimnasia La Plata won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 17:17. (average 1:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Gimnasia La Plata won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:7. (average 1.8:1.4).

How many head-to-head matches has Gimnasia La Plata won against Independiente?

Gimnasia La Plata has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Independiente won against Gimnasia La Plata?

Independiente has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Gimnasia La Plata - Independiente were as follows:

02.02.2025 Independiente - Gimnasia La Plata 2:0

21.11.2024 Independiente - Gimnasia La Plata 1:0

03.02.2024 Independiente - Gimnasia La Plata 0:1

02.09.2023 Gimnasia La Plata - Independiente 1:2

07.07.2023 Gimnasia La Plata - Independiente 1:1

Latest results of Gimnasia La Plata

19.07.2025 San Lorenzo - Gimnasia La Plata 0:0 ✺

12.07.2025 Gimnasia La Plata - Instituto Córdoba 0:1 ✺

11.05.2025 Central Córdoba de Rosario - Gimnasia La Plata 2:1 ✺

04.05.2025 Gimnasia La Plata - Platense 1:0 ✺

28.04.2025 Vélez Sársfield - Gimnasia La Plata 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Independiente

20.07.2025 Independiente - Talleres de Córdoba 1:2 ✺

13.07.2025 Sarmiento de Junín - Independiente 2:2 ✺

29.06.2025 Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Independiente 1:2 ✺

28.05.2025 Independiente - Nacional Potosí 7:0 ✺

24.05.2025 Independiente - Huracán Buenos Aires 0:1 ✺

Argentinian Liga Profesional Table

Apertura

Group A

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Velez Sarsfield	4	3	1	0	6:3	3	10
2	Lanus	4	2	2	0	8:6	2	8
3	Estudiantes L.P	4	2	2	0	4:2	2	8
4	Defensa y Justicia	4	2	2	0	4:2	2	8
5	Platense	4	2	1	1	4:3	1	7
6	Boca Juniors	4	2	0	2	5:4	1	6
7	Independiente	4	1	3	0	4:3	1	6
8	San Lorenzo	4	2	0	2	4:4	0	6
9	Gimnasia Mendoza	4	2	0	2	2:5	-3	6
10	Union de Santa Fe	4	1	1	2	5:3	2	4
11	Talleres Cordoba	4	1	1	2	5:6	-1	4
12	Central Cordoba	4	1	1	2	1:2	-1	4
13	Instituto	4	0	1	3	3:6	-3	1
14	Dep. Riestra	4	0	1	3	1:4	-3	1
15	Newells Old Boys	4	0	1	3	4:8	-4	1

Group B

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Ind. Rivadavia	4	4	0	0	7:3	4	12
2	Tigre	4	3	1	0	10:3	7	10
3	Belgrano	4	2	2	0	4:2	2	8
4	River Plate	4	2	1	1	4:4	0	7
5	Sarmiento Junin	4	2	0	2	4:4	0	6
6	Gimnasia L.P	4	2	0	2	5:6	-1	6
7	Barracas Central	4	1	2	1	3:2	1	5
8	Rosario Central	4	1	2	1	4:4	0	5
9	Huracan	4	1	2	1	4:4	0	5
10	Argentinos Jrs	4	1	2	1	2:2	0	5
11	Banfield	4	1	1	2	3:4	-1	4
12	Aldosivi	4	0	3	1	2:4	-2	3
13	Racing Club	4	1	0	3	5:8	-3	3
14	Atl. Tucuman	4	0	2	2	3:5	-2	2
15	Estudiantes Rio Cuarto	4	0	1	3	1:5	-4	1

Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)