Gimnasia La Plata vs Independiente – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Liga Profesional Gimnasia La Plata - Independiente
Result
1:0
27/07/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 3
  • Referee: Perez Y. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaESPN Premium
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
chinaChinaK-Ball
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
greeceGreeceAction 24
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 1 Premium
turkeyTurkeySpor Smart 1
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaInter
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.310.80
Ball Possession
24%76%
Total shots
814
Shots on target
33
Big Chances
51
Corner Kicks
47
Passes
66% (107/163)88% (473/540)
Yellow Cards
62
Expected Goals (xG)
1.310.80
xG on target (xGOT)
0.910.78
Total shots
814
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
47
Blocked Shots
14
Shots inside the Box
77
Shots outside the Box
17
Hit the Woodwork
21
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
51
Corner Kicks
47
Touches in opposition box
1329
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
42
Free Kicks
1619
Passes
66% (107/163)88% (473/540)
Long passes
49% (22/45)60% (32/53)
Passes in final third
58% (42/72)72% (109/151)
Crosses
25% (4/16)24% (7/29)
Expected assists (xA)
0.711.12
Throw-ins
730
Fouls
1916
Tackles
63% (20/32)44% (4/9)
Duels won
6542
Clearances
4614
Interceptions
107
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
0.780.91
Goals prevented
0.78-0.09

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 7', Briasco N. 🟨,
  • 13', Freire N. 🟨,
  • 24', 1 - 0, Suso G. , Pintado J. (A),
  • 42', Garayalde N. 🟨,
  • 45+2', Godoy L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 52', Giampaoli R. 🟨,
  • 59', Torres M. , Max A. ,
  • 59', Marcone I. , Galdames P. ,
  • 60', Zabala F. , Valenzuela M. ,
  • 67', Garayalde N. , De Asis J. ,
  • 67', Briasco N. , Mamut L. ,
  • 70', Merlo J. , Sosa A. ,
  • 72', Mazzantti W. , Pussetto I. ,
  • 72', Montiel S. , Tarzia D. ,
  • 80', Pintado J. 🟨,
  • 84', Seoane M. 🟨,
  • 87', Godoy L. , Mancuello F. ,
  • 90+2', De Asis J. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Gimnasia La Plata
23.7%
Draw
32.2%
Independiente
44.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.7% 29.8% 36.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gimnasia La Plata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gimnasia La Plata's form might have worsened.
  • Independiente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Independiente's recent form is better than expected.
  • Gimnasia La Plata - Independiente Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.96
    (2.79)
    2.96
    (3.16)
    2.16
    (2.58)
    5.4%
    (6.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Gimnasia La Plata - Independiente?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Gimnasia La Plata will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). Independiente will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 38.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Independiente: 26.7%80.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Independiente (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gimnasia La Plata won 1.
    • Gimnasia La Plata may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Independiente could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Gimnasia La Plata: German Conti (Inactive) Jan Hurtado (Muscle Injury) Martinez E. (Knee Injury) Melluso M. (Muscle Injury) Merlini B. (Calf Injury) Piedrahita A. (Inactive) Torres F. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Independiente: Paredes F. (Inactive) Rodrigo Fernandez (Red Card) Valdez S. (Tendon Injury)
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Gimnasia La Plata won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 17:17. (average 1:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Gimnasia La Plata won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:7. (average 1.8:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Gimnasia La Plata - Independiente were as follows:
    02.02.2025 Independiente - Gimnasia La Plata 2:0
    21.11.2024 Independiente - Gimnasia La Plata 1:0
    03.02.2024 Independiente - Gimnasia La Plata 0:1
    02.09.2023 Gimnasia La Plata - Independiente 1:2
    07.07.2023 Gimnasia La Plata - Independiente 1:1
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Clausura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Central Cordoba1356216:10621
    2Estudiantes L.P1363415:13221
    3Union de Santa Fe1355319:13620
    4Defensa y Justicia1354413:13019
    5Argentinos Jrs1353515:10518
    6Belgrano1346313:10318
    7Barracas Central1246215:13218
    8Tigre1346313:11218
    9Racing Club1353514:13118
    10Boca Juniors1245319:10917
    11Banfield1352612:18-617
    12Huracan134456:11-516
    13Ind. Rivadavia1326511:14-312
    14Newells Old Boys1325611:21-1011
    15Aldosivi132385:15-109


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Dep. Riestra1383218:9927
    2Rosario Central1376015:6927
    3Lanus1382315:9626
    4Velez Sarsfield1374219:91025
    5River Plate1363420:12821
    6San Lorenzo1354411:10119
    7San Martin S.J1345410:11-117
    8Atl. Tucuman1343614:15-115
    9Sarmiento Junin134369:14-515
    10Instituto133647:12-515
    11Talleres Cordoba133557:12-514
    12Gimnasia L.P134188:16-813
    13Platense1325611:20-911
    14Godoy Cruz131759:16-710
    15Independiente131669:13-49

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