Result
1:0
27/07/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 3
- Referee: Perez Y. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | ESPN Premium |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 China | K-Ball |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
 Greece | Action 24 |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 1 Premium |
 Turkey | Spor Smart 1 |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Inter |
 World | TyC Sports Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.31 | 0.80 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 24% | 76% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 66% (107/163) | 88% (473/540) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.31 | 0.80 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.91 | 0.78 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 29 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 19 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 66% (107/163) | 88% (473/540) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (22/45) | 60% (32/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (42/72) | 72% (109/151) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (4/16) | 24% (7/29) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.71 | 1.12 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 7 | 30 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (20/32) | 44% (4/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 65 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 46 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.78 | 0.91 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.78 | -0.09 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 7', Briasco N. 🟨,
- 13', Freire N. 🟨,
- 24', 1 - 0, Suso G. ⚽, Pintado J. (A),
- 42', Garayalde N. 🟨,
- 45+2', Godoy L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 52', Giampaoli R. 🟨,
- 59', Torres M. ↓, Max A. ↑,
- 59', Marcone I. ↓, Galdames P. ↑,
- 60', Zabala F. ↓, Valenzuela M. ↑,
- 67', Garayalde N. ↓, De Asis J. ↑,
- 67', Briasco N. ↓, Mamut L. ↑,
- 70', Merlo J. ↓, Sosa A. ↑,
- 72', Mazzantti W. ↓, Pussetto I. ↑,
- 72', Montiel S. ↓, Tarzia D. ↑,
- 80', Pintado J. 🟨,
- 84', Seoane M. 🟨,
- 87', Godoy L. ↓, Mancuello F. ↑,
- 90+2', De Asis J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Gimnasia La Plata
23.7% | Draw
32.2% | Independiente
44.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gimnasia La Plata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gimnasia La Plata's form might have worsened.Independiente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Independiente's recent form is better than expected.
Gimnasia La Plata - Independiente Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.96 ↑
(2.79) |
2.96 ↓
(3.16) |
2.16 ↓
(2.58) |
5.4%
(6.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Gimnasia La Plata - Independiente?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Gimnasia La Plata will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). Independiente will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 38.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Independiente: 26.7% – 80.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Independiente (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DNB - Independiente (1.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Independiente (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gimnasia La Plata won 1.
- Gimnasia La Plata may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Independiente could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Gimnasia La Plata: German Conti
(Inactive)
Jan Hurtado
(Muscle Injury)
Martinez E.
(Knee Injury)
Melluso M.
(Muscle Injury)
Merlini B.
(Calf Injury)
Piedrahita A.
(Inactive)
Torres F.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Independiente: Paredes F.
(Inactive)
Rodrigo Fernandez
(Red Card)
Valdez S.
(Tendon Injury)
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Gimnasia La Plata won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 17:17. (average 1:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Gimnasia La Plata won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:7. (average 1.8:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Gimnasia La Plata won against Independiente?
Gimnasia La Plata has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente won against Gimnasia La Plata?
Independiente has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gimnasia La Plata - Independiente were as follows:
02.02.2025
Independiente
-
Gimnasia La Plata
2:0
21.11.2024
Independiente
-
Gimnasia La Plata
1:0
03.02.2024
Independiente
-
Gimnasia La Plata
0:1
02.09.2023
Gimnasia La Plata
-
Independiente
1:2
07.07.2023
Gimnasia La Plata
-
Independiente
1:1
Latest results of Gimnasia La Plata
Latest results of Independiente
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
AperturaGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Velez Sarsfield | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 9:4 | 5 | 18 |
| 2 | Estudiantes L.P | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 7:3 | 4 | 15 |
| 3 | Union de Santa Fe | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11:5 | 6 | 14 |
| 4 | Independiente | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 11:7 | 4 | 13 |
| 5 | Platense | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 13 |
| 6 | San Lorenzo | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7:5 | 2 | 12 |
| 7 | Defensa y Justicia | 8 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 7:5 | 2 | 12 |
| 8 | Talleres Cordoba | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 11 |
| 9 | Boca Juniors | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6:5 | 1 | 9 |
| 10 | Lanus | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9:9 | 0 | 9 |
| 11 | Instituto | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9:10 | -1 | 8 |
| 12 | Central Cordoba | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3:6 | -3 | 8 |
| 13 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5:10 | -5 | 8 |
| 14 | Dep. Riestra | 8 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 2:5 | -3 | 5 |
| 15 | Newells Old Boys | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5:16 | -11 | 2 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. Rivadavia | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 12:8 | 4 | 17 |
| 2 | Tigre | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 14:7 | 7 | 15 |
| 3 | Belgrano | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 9:4 | 5 | 15 |
| 4 | Rosario Central | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10:6 | 4 | 14 |
| 5 | River Plate | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:8 | 0 | 11 |
| 6 | Gimnasia L.P | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 11 |
| 7 | Banfield | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:9 | 0 | 10 |
| 8 | Argentinos Jrs | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 9 |
| 9 | Barracas Central | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6:7 | -1 | 9 |
| 10 | Huracan | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 9 |
| 11 | Racing Club | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 8 |
| 12 | Sarmiento Junin | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5:9 | -4 | 6 |
| 13 | Atl. Tucuman | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9:10 | -1 | 5 |
| 14 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3:11 | -8 | 4 |
| 15 | Aldosivi | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2:8 | -6 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
