Platense vs Gimnasia La Plata – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:3
17/11/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 16
  • Referee: Echenique F. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaHBO Max, TNT Sports
chinaChinaK-Ball
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaInter
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.401.73
Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
128
Shots on target
24
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
73
Passes
78% (310/395)70% (210/300)
Yellow Cards
30
Expected Goals (xG)
0.401.73
xG on target (xGOT)
0.102.20
Total shots
128
Shots on target
24
Shots off target
62
Blocked Shots
42
Shots inside the Box
46
Shots outside the Box
82
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
73
Touches in opposition box
259
Accurate through passes
02
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
1516
Passes
78% (310/395)70% (210/300)
Long passes
57% (37/65)39% (23/59)
Passes in final third
63% (83/132)65% (46/71)
Crosses
29% (10/34)18% (2/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.880.79
Throw-ins
3119
Fouls
1615
Tackles
71% (12/17)85% (17/20)
Duels won
5665
Clearances
1242
Interceptions
613
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
2.200.10
Goals prevented
-0.800.10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 20', 0 - 1, Panaro M. ,
  • 41', 0 - 2, Torres M. , Merlo J. (A),
  • 45+1', Silva T. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Herrera R. , Rodriguez M. ,
  • 57', Zapiola F. , Tucker M. ,
  • 57', Orsini N. , Lotti A. ,
  • 63', Rodriguez M. 🟨,
  • 72', Toloza S. , Baldassarra F. ,
  • 74', Panaro M. , Torres F. ,
  • 74', Merlo J. , Briasco N. ,
  • 75', Silva T. , Schor I. ,
  • 83', Merlini B. , Aguiar P. ,
  • 86', 0 - 3, Torres F. , Silva Torrejon P. (A),
  • 88', Torres M. , Jan Hurtado ,
  • 89', Max A. , Seoane M. ,
  • 90+1', Saborido J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Platense
36.3%
Draw
35.2%
Gimnasia La Plata
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.6% 31.1% 20.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49% 30.8% 20.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Platense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Platense's form might have worsened.
  • Gimnasia La Plata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gimnasia La Plata's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Platense than the current prediction. (+12.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Platense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnasia La Plata than the current prediction. (-8.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gimnasia La Plata, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Platense - Gimnasia La Plata Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.62
    (1.92)
    2.75
    (3)
    3.46
    (4.6)
    3.5%
    (7.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.50
    What is the prediction for Platense - Gimnasia La Plata?
  • Users Predictions: 41 users predict this event. Platense will win (votes: 7 - 17.1%). Gimnasia La Plata will win (votes: 29 - 70.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 12.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Gimnasia La Plata: 56.8%84.6%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH 0 - Gimnasia La Plata (2.12) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -0.5 - Gimnasia La Plata (1.49) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Gimnasia La Plata (1.45) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 0.75, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.25, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.75, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.25 - Gimnasia La Plata (1.70) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • EH +1 - Gimnasia La Plata (7.70) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • EH -1 - Gimnasia La Plata (1.50) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • DNB - Gimnasia La Plata (2.00) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Gimnasia La Plata will win (12 of 15 users predict this - 80%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 30 Selected Experts predict this event. Platense (votes: 1 - 3.3%). Gimnasia La Plata (votes: 27 - 90%). Tie (votes: 2 - 6.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Platense won 1.
    • Platense has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • In recent matches, Gimnasia La Plata has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Platense may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Platense will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Platense won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 0.8:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Platense won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Platense - Gimnasia La Plata were as follows:
    04.05.2025 Gimnasia La Plata - Platense 1:0
    15.12.2024 Platense - Gimnasia La Plata 1:0
    30.07.2023 Gimnasia La Plata - Platense 1:1
    Latest results of Platense
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Estudiantes L.P. ✔ 1584317:71028
    2Boca Juniors ✔ 1576220:81227
    3Velez Sarsfield ✔ 1576217:11627
    4Talleres Cordoba ✔ 1574416:12425
    5Lanus ✔ 1565418:15323
    6San Lorenzo1557313:12122
    7Independiente1556422:19321
    8Union de Santa Fe1555523:19420
    9Defensa y Justicia1547417:19-219
    10Instituto1553715:17-218
    11Platense1537510:13-316
    12Gimnasia Mendoza1544712:21-916
    13Central Cordoba1544710:19-916
    14Newells Old Boys1535714:26-1214
    15Dep. Riestra151775:12-710


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia ✔ 15103228:141433
    2River Plate ✔ 1592422:111129
    3Argentinos Jrs ✔ 1585217:11629
    4Rosario Central ✔ 1583419:15427
    5Belgrano1565413:13023
    6Gimnasia L.P1572617:19-223
    7Huracan1556417:13421
    8Barracas Central1556414:13121
    9Racing Club1555517:15220
    10Tigre1547417:14319
    11Sarmiento Junin1561813:16-319
    12Banfield1543815:18-315
    13Atl. Tucuman1525814:20-611
    14Aldosivi150785:18-137
    15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto1512125:22-175

          Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Estudiantes L.P. is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Boca Juniors is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Velez Sarsfield is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Talleres Cordoba is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Lanus is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Ind. Rivadavia is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    River Plate is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Argentinos Jrs is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Rosario Central is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)