Gimnasia La Plata vs Independiente Rivadavia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Liga Profesional
Result
2:3
15/03/2026 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 11
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaHBO Max, TNT Sports, TNT Sports Premium
venezuelaVenezuelaInter
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.450.76
Ball possession
48%52%
Total shots
913
Shots on target
33
Big chances
03
Corner kicks
42
Passes
80% (284/355)82% (321/390)
Yellow cards
52
Expected goals (xG)
0.450.76
xG on target (xGOT)
1.060.51
Total shots
913
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
47
Blocked shots
23
Shots inside the box
47
Shots outside the box
56
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
11
Big chances
03
Corner kicks
42
Touches in opposition box
1214
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free kicks
1112
Passes
80% (284/355)82% (321/390)
Long passes
49% (21/43)45% (23/51)
Passes in final third
70% (66/94)65% (62/95)
Crosses
15% (3/20)17% (2/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.570.43
Throw ins
1611
Fouls
1211
Tackles
53% (10/19)80% (8/10)
Duels won
4634
Clearances
1723
Interceptions
510
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper saves
11
xGOT faced
0.511.06
Goals prevented
-1.49-0.94

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 2)
  • 2', 1 - 0, Martinez E. ⚽, Schelotto N. (A),
  • 14', Macagno R. ↓, Bolcato N. ↑,
  • 25', 1 - 1, Sartori F. ⚽, Villa S. (A),
  • 28', 2 - 1, Torres M. ⚽, Fernandez N. (A),
  • 33', Max A. 🟨,
  • 36', Martinez E. 🟨,
  • 39', 2 - 2, Florentin Bobadilla J. I. ⚽, Bonifacio E. (A),
  • 45', Fernandez N. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Rios G. ↓, Atencio R. ↑,
  • 50', Giampaoli R. 🟨,
  • 54', Gomez L. 🟨,
  • 60', Aguiar P. ↓, Torres F. ↑,
  • 63', Steimbach A. 🟨,
  • 64', Bonifacio E. 🟨,
  • 68', Panaro M. ↓, Perez J. ↑,
  • 68', Giampaoli R. ↓, Cortazzo J. ↑,
  • 78', Bonifacio E. ↓, Osella A. ↑,
  • 80', Silva Torrejon P. ↓, Melluso M. ↑,
  • 80', Schelotto N. ↓, Auzmendi A. ↑,
  • 82', Bottari T. ↓, Moreyra S. ↑,
  • 83', Sartori F. ↓, Arce A. ↑,
  • 90+4', 2 - 3, Martinez E. (Own goal),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Gimnasia La Plata
31.8%		Draw
31.6%		Independiente Rivadavia
36.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.6% 30.2% 31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6% 30.2% 31.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gimnasia La Plata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gimnasia La Plata's form might have worsened.
  • Independiente Rivadavia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Independiente Rivadavia's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia La Plata than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gimnasia La Plata, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Rivadavia than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Independiente Rivadavia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
    •

    Gimnasia La Plata - Independiente Rivadavia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.96 ↑
    (2.41)    		 2.99 ↓
    (3.09)    		 2.6 ↓
    (2.98)    		 5.6%
    (7.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Gimnasia La Plata - Independiente Rivadavia?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Gimnasia La Plata will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Independiente R will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%).
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH +0.5 - Independiente R (2.76) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • DNB - Gimnasia La Plata (1.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Gimnasia La Plata (votes: 1 - 20%). Independiente R (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Recently, Independiente R has had a series of home games.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Gimnasia La Plata: Di Biasi F. (Knee Injury) German Conti (Inactive) Mammini I. (Knee Injury) Miramon I. (Injury) Villarreal S. (Knee Injury) Zalazar M. (Inactive)
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Gimnasia La Plata won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 1.5:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Gimnasia La Plata won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 2.5:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Gimnasia La Plata - Independiente Rivadavia were as follows:
    18.07.2024 Independiente Rivadavia - Gimnasia La Plata 1:0
    30.01.2024 Gimnasia La Plata - Independiente Rivadavia 2:3
    Latest results of Gimnasia La Plata
    11.03.2026 Banfield - Gimnasia La Plata 1:2 ✺
    01.03.2026 Tigre - Gimnasia La Plata 2:2 ✺
    25.02.2026 Gimnasia La Plata - Rosario Central 1:2 ✺
    20.02.2026 Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Gimnasia La Plata 0:1
    15.02.2026 Gimnasia La Plata - Estudiantes La Plata 0:0 ✺
    Latest results of Independiente Rivadavia
    11.03.2026 Independiente Rivadavia - Barracas Central 1:2 ✺
    02.03.2026 Independiente Rivadavia - River Plate 1:1 ✺
    26.02.2026 Racing - Independiente Rivadavia 1:1 ✺
    21.02.2026 Independiente Rivadavia - Independiente 3:2 ✺
    14.02.2026 Independiente Rivadavia - Belgrano 0:1 ✺
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Estudiantes L.P1694319:71231
    2Boca Juniors1686222:91330
    3Velez Sarsfield1677218:12628
    4Talleres Cordoba1675417:13426
    5Independiente1666424:20424
    6Lanus1666418:15324
    7San Lorenzo1657414:14022
    8Union de Santa Fe1656524:20421
    9Instituto1663717:17021
    10Defensa y Justicia1647518:21-319
    11Gimnasia Mendoza1654714:22-819
    12Platense1637610:15-516
    13Central Cordoba1644811:21-1016
    14Newells Old Boys1636715:27-1215
    15Dep. Riestra161875:12-711


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia16104229:151434
    2River Plate1692522:121029
    3Argentinos Jrs1685317:13429
    4Rosario Central1684420:16428
    5Belgrano1675417:13426
    6Gimnasia L.P1682619:19026
    7Huracan1657417:13422
    8Racing Club1656517:15221
    9Barracas Central1656515:15021
    10Tigre1648418:15320
    11Sarmiento Junin1661913:20-719
    12Banfield1653817:19-218
    13Atl. Tucuman1635815:20-514
    14Aldosivi160886:19-138
    15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto1612135:24-195

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