Result
2:3
15/03/2026 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 11
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | HBO Max, TNT Sports, TNT Sports Premium |
 Venezuela | Inter |
 World | TyC Sports Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.45 | 0.76 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (284/355) | 82% (321/390) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.45 | 0.76 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 0.51 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (284/355) | 82% (321/390) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (21/43) | 45% (23/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (66/94) | 65% (62/95) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 15% (3/20) | 17% (2/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 0.43 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (10/19) | 80% (8/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 34 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.51 | 1.06 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.49 | -0.94 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 2)
- 2', 1 - 0, Martinez E. ⚽, Schelotto N. (A),
- 14', Macagno R. ↓, Bolcato N. ↑,
- 25', 1 - 1, Sartori F. ⚽, Villa S. (A),
- 28', 2 - 1, Torres M. ⚽, Fernandez N. (A),
- 33', Max A. 🟨,
- 36', Martinez E. 🟨,
- 39', 2 - 2, Florentin Bobadilla J. I. ⚽, Bonifacio E. (A),
- 45', Fernandez N. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Rios G. ↓, Atencio R. ↑,
- 50', Giampaoli R. 🟨,
- 54', Gomez L. 🟨,
- 60', Aguiar P. ↓, Torres F. ↑,
- 63', Steimbach A. 🟨,
- 64', Bonifacio E. 🟨,
- 68', Panaro M. ↓, Perez J. ↑,
- 68', Giampaoli R. ↓, Cortazzo J. ↑,
- 78', Bonifacio E. ↓, Osella A. ↑,
- 80', Silva Torrejon P. ↓, Melluso M. ↑,
- 80', Schelotto N. ↓, Auzmendi A. ↑,
- 82', Bottari T. ↓, Moreyra S. ↑,
- 83', Sartori F. ↓, Arce A. ↑,
- 90+4', 2 - 3, Martinez E. (Own goal),
Chances of winning
Gimnasia La Plata
31.8% | Draw
31.6% | Independiente Rivadavia
36.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gimnasia La Plata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gimnasia La Plata's form might have worsened.Independiente Rivadavia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Independiente Rivadavia's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia La Plata than the current prediction. (+6.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gimnasia La Plata, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Rivadavia than the current prediction. (-5.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Independiente Rivadavia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Gimnasia La Plata - Independiente Rivadavia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.96 ↑
(2.41) |
2.99 ↓
(3.09) |
2.6 ↓
(2.98) |
5.6%
(7.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Gimnasia La Plata - Independiente Rivadavia?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Gimnasia La Plata will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Independiente R will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH +0.5 - Independiente R (2.76) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- DNB - Gimnasia La Plata (1.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Gimnasia La Plata (votes: 1 - 20%). Independiente R (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Recently, Independiente R has had a series of home games.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Gimnasia La Plata: Di Biasi F.
(Knee Injury)
German Conti
(Inactive)
Mammini I.
(Knee Injury)
Miramon I.
(Injury)
Villarreal S.
(Knee Injury)
Zalazar M.
(Inactive)
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Gimnasia La Plata won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 1.5:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Gimnasia La Plata won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 2.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Gimnasia La Plata won against Independiente Rivadavia?
Gimnasia La Plata has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente Rivadavia won against Gimnasia La Plata?
Independiente Rivadavia has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gimnasia La Plata - Independiente Rivadavia were as follows:
18.07.2024
Independiente Rivadavia
-
Gimnasia La Plata
1:0
30.01.2024
Gimnasia La Plata
-
Independiente Rivadavia
2:3
Latest results of Gimnasia La Plata
Latest results of Independiente Rivadavia
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
AperturaGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Velez Sarsfield | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 15:9 | 6 | 25 |
| 2 | Estudiantes L.P | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 16:7 | 9 | 24 |
| 3 | Lanus | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 18:14 | 4 | 22 |
| 4 | Boca Juniors | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 15:8 | 7 | 21 |
| 5 | Talleres Cordoba | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 14:12 | 2 | 21 |
| 6 | Union de Santa Fe | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 19:14 | 5 | 19 |
| 7 | Defensa y Justicia | 13 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 16:12 | 4 | 19 |
| 8 | Independiente | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 19:16 | 3 | 18 |
| 9 | San Lorenzo | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 12:12 | 0 | 18 |
| 10 | Instituto | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 14:15 | -1 | 17 |
| 11 | Platense | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 16 |
| 12 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 10:16 | -6 | 13 |
| 13 | Central Cordoba | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 6:16 | -10 | 12 |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10:23 | -13 | 10 |
| 15 | Dep. Riestra | 13 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 3:10 | -7 | 7 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. Rivadavia ✔ | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 23:13 | 10 | 29 |
| 2 | River Plate | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 19:9 | 10 | 26 |
| 3 | Argentinos Jrs | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 14:10 | 4 | 23 |
| 4 | Belgrano | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 22 |
| 5 | Rosario Central | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 15:13 | 2 | 21 |
| 6 | Huracan | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 15:10 | 5 | 20 |
| 7 | Barracas Central | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 13:12 | 1 | 19 |
| 8 | Tigre | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 16:12 | 4 | 18 |
| 9 | Racing Club | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 15:13 | 2 | 18 |
| 10 | Gimnasia L.P | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 15:19 | -4 | 17 |
| 11 | Sarmiento Junin | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 11:14 | -3 | 16 |
| 12 | Banfield | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 14:17 | -3 | 13 |
| 13 | Atl. Tucuman | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 13:18 | -5 | 10 |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 13 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 3:14 | -11 | 6 |
| 15 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 4:19 | -15 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Ind. Rivadavia is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
