Platense vs Gimnasia La Plata – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:3
17/11/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 16
  • Referee: Echenique F. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaHBO Max, TNT Sports
chinaChinaK-Ball
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaInter
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.401.73
Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
128
Shots on target
24
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
73
Passes
78% (310/395)70% (210/300)
Yellow Cards
30
Expected Goals (xG)
0.401.73
xG on target (xGOT)
0.102.20
Total shots
128
Shots on target
24
Shots off target
62
Blocked Shots
42
Shots inside the Box
46
Shots outside the Box
82
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
73
Touches in opposition box
259
Accurate through passes
02
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
1516
Passes
78% (310/395)70% (210/300)
Long passes
57% (37/65)39% (23/59)
Passes in final third
63% (83/132)65% (46/71)
Crosses
29% (10/34)18% (2/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.880.79
Throw-ins
3119
Fouls
1615
Tackles
71% (12/17)85% (17/20)
Duels won
5665
Clearances
1242
Interceptions
613
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
2.200.10
Goals prevented
-0.800.10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 20', 0 - 1, Panaro M. ,
  • 41', 0 - 2, Torres M. , Merlo J. (A),
  • 45+1', Silva T. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Herrera R. , Rodriguez M. ,
  • 57', Zapiola F. , Tucker M. ,
  • 57', Orsini N. , Lotti A. ,
  • 63', Rodriguez M. 🟨,
  • 72', Toloza S. , Baldassarra F. ,
  • 74', Panaro M. , Torres F. ,
  • 74', Merlo J. , Briasco N. ,
  • 75', Silva T. , Schor I. ,
  • 83', Merlini B. , Aguiar P. ,
  • 86', 0 - 3, Torres F. , Silva Torrejon P. (A),
  • 88', Torres M. , Jan Hurtado ,
  • 89', Max A. , Seoane M. ,
  • 90+1', Saborido J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Platense
36.3%
Draw
35.2%
Gimnasia La Plata
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.6% 31.1% 20.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49% 30.8% 20.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Platense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Platense's form might have worsened.
  • Gimnasia La Plata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gimnasia La Plata's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Platense than the current prediction. (+12.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Platense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnasia La Plata than the current prediction. (-8.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gimnasia La Plata, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Platense - Gimnasia La Plata Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.62
    (1.92)
    2.75
    (3)
    3.46
    (4.6)
    3.5%
    (7.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.50
    What is the prediction for Platense - Gimnasia La Plata?
  • Users Predictions: 41 users predict this event. Platense will win (votes: 7 - 17.1%). Gimnasia La Plata will win (votes: 29 - 70.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 12.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Gimnasia La Plata: 56.8%84.6%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Gimnasia La Plata (2.12) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -0.5 - Gimnasia La Plata (1.49) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Gimnasia La Plata (1.45) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 0.75, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.25, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.75, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.25 - Gimnasia La Plata (1.70) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • EH +1 - Gimnasia La Plata (7.70) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • EH -1 - Gimnasia La Plata (1.50) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Gimnasia La Plata (2.00) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Gimnasia La Plata will win (12 of 15 users predict this - 80%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 30 high ROI users predict this event. Platense (votes: 1 - 3.3%). Gimnasia La Plata (votes: 27 - 90%). Tie (votes: 2 - 6.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Platense won 1.
    • Platense has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • In recent matches, Gimnasia La Plata has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Platense may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Platense will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Platense won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 0.8:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Platense won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Platense - Gimnasia La Plata were as follows:
    04.05.2025 Gimnasia La Plata - Platense 1:0
    15.12.2024 Platense - Gimnasia La Plata 1:0
    30.07.2023 Gimnasia La Plata - Platense 1:1
    Latest results of Platense
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Velez Sarsfield1064012:5722
    2Estudiantes L.P105329:5418
    3Union de Santa Fe1044216:10616
    4Defensa y Justicia1037013:8516
    5Lanus943215:12315
    6Talleres Cordoba1043310:9115
    7Boca Juniors1035211:7414
    8Independiente1035216:13314
    9Platense103526:6014
    10San Lorenzo1034310:11-113
    11Central Cordoba103345:7-212
    12Instituto1032511:13-211
    13Gimnasia Mendoza102356:12-69
    14Dep. Riestra100642:6-46
    15Newells Old Boys100376:22-163


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia1062216:12420
    2Belgrano1054111:7419
    3Rosario Central1053212:7518
    4Tigre1045116:9717
    5River Plate1052312:9317
    6Racing Club1043313:9415
    7Barracas Central1043310:9115
    8Gimnasia L.P1042413:14-114
    9Huracan103439:9013
    10Argentinos Jrs82515:4111
    11Banfield1031611:13-210
    12Sarmiento Junin103166:11-510
    13Atl. Tucuman1013611:16-56
    14Aldosivi90543:9-65
    15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto101183:15-124

          Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)