Platense vs Gimnasia La Plata – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Liga Profesional
Result
0:3
17/11/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 16
  • Referee: Echenique F. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaHBO Max, TNT Sports
chinaChinaK-Ball
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaInter
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.401.73
Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
128
Shots on target
24
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
73
Passes
78% (310/395)70% (210/300)
Yellow Cards
30
Expected Goals (xG)
0.401.73
xG on target (xGOT)
0.102.20
Total shots
128
Shots on target
24
Shots off target
62
Blocked Shots
42
Shots inside the Box
46
Shots outside the Box
82
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
73
Touches in opposition box
259
Accurate through passes
02
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
1516
Passes
78% (310/395)70% (210/300)
Long passes
57% (37/65)39% (23/59)
Passes in final third
63% (83/132)65% (46/71)
Crosses
29% (10/34)18% (2/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.880.79
Throw-ins
3119
Fouls
1615
Tackles
71% (12/17)85% (17/20)
Duels won
5665
Clearances
1242
Interceptions
613
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
2.200.10
Goals prevented
-0.800.10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 20', 0 - 1, Panaro M. ⚽,
  • 41', 0 - 2, Torres M. ⚽, Merlo J. (A),
  • 45+1', Silva T. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Herrera R. ↓, Rodriguez M. ↑,
  • 57', Zapiola F. ↓, Tucker M. ↑,
  • 57', Orsini N. ↓, Lotti A. ↑,
  • 63', Rodriguez M. 🟨,
  • 72', Toloza S. ↓, Baldassarra F. ↑,
  • 74', Panaro M. ↓, Torres F. ↑,
  • 74', Merlo J. ↓, Briasco N. ↑,
  • 75', Silva T. ↓, Schor I. ↑,
  • 83', Merlini B. ↓, Aguiar P. ↑,
  • 86', 0 - 3, Torres F. ⚽, Silva Torrejon P. (A),
  • 88', Torres M. ↓, Jan Hurtado ↑,
  • 89', Max A. ↓, Seoane M. ↑,
  • 90+1', Saborido J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Platense
36.3%		Draw
35.2%		Gimnasia La Plata
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.6% 31.1% 20.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49% 30.8% 20.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Platense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Platense's form might have worsened.
  • Gimnasia La Plata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gimnasia La Plata's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Platense than the current prediction. (+12.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Platense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnasia La Plata than the current prediction. (-8.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gimnasia La Plata, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
    •

    Platense - Gimnasia La Plata Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.62 ↑
    (1.92)    		 2.75 ↓
    (3)    		 3.46 ↓
    (4.6)    		 3.5%
    (7.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.50
    What is the prediction for Platense - Gimnasia La Plata?
  • Users Predictions: 41 users predict this event. Platense will win (votes: 7 - 17.1%). Gimnasia La Plata will win (votes: 29 - 70.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 12.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Gimnasia La Plata: 56.8% – 84.6%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Gimnasia La Plata (2.12) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -0.5 - Gimnasia La Plata (1.49) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Gimnasia La Plata (1.45) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 0.75, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.25, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.75, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.25 - Gimnasia La Plata (1.70) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • EH +1 - Gimnasia La Plata (7.70) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • EH -1 - Gimnasia La Plata (1.50) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Gimnasia La Plata (2.00) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Gimnasia La Plata will win (12 of 15 users predict this - 80%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 30 high ROI users predict this event. Platense (votes: 1 - 3.3%). Gimnasia La Plata (votes: 27 - 90%). Tie (votes: 2 - 6.7%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Platense won 1.
    • Platense has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • In recent matches, Gimnasia La Plata has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Platense may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Platense will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Platense won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 0.8:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Platense won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Platense - Gimnasia La Plata were as follows:
    04.05.2025 Gimnasia La Plata - Platense 1:0
    15.12.2024 Platense - Gimnasia La Plata 1:0
    30.07.2023 Gimnasia La Plata - Platense 1:1
    Latest results of Platense
    08.11.2025 Talleres de Córdoba - Platense 1:0 ✺
    03.11.2025 Platense - Sarmiento de Junín 1:1 ✺
    24.10.2025 Independiente - Platense 3:0 ✺
    19.10.2025 Rosario Central - Platense 1:0 ✺
    13.10.2025 Platense - Deportivo Riestra 1:1 ✺
    Latest results of Gimnasia La Plata
    10.11.2025 Gimnasia La Plata - Vélez Sársfield 2:0 ✺
    02.11.2025 River Plate - Gimnasia La Plata 0:1 ✺
    19.10.2025 Estudiantes La Plata - Gimnasia La Plata 2:0 ✺
    11.10.2025 Gimnasia La Plata - Talleres de Córdoba 1:2 ✺
    04.10.2025 Sarmiento de Junín - Gimnasia La Plata 0:1 ✺
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Estudiantes L.P74307:2515
    2Velez Sarsfield74308:4415
    3Platense73315:3212
    4San Lorenzo73227:5211
    5Defensa y Justicia72506:4211
    6Independiente72419:7210
    7Talleres Cordoba73138:9-110
    8Union de Santa Fe62226:338
    9Boca Juniors62225:418
    10Lanus52218:808
    11Instituto72238:808
    12Central Cordoba72233:4-18
    13Gimnasia Mendoza72144:9-57
    14Dep. Riestra70432:5-34
    15Newells Old Boys70255:14-92


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Belgrano74309:4515
    2Ind. Rivadavia650110:6415
    3Tigre742112:5714
    4Rosario Central73228:6211
    5Gimnasia L.P73137:8-110
    6Huracan62315:419
    7Argentinos Jrs52213:218
    8Barracas Central72235:6-18
    9Banfield62136:607
    10Racing Club62137:8-17
    11River Plate62134:6-27
    12Sarmiento Junin62044:6-26
    13Atl. Tucuman71249:10-15
    14Aldosivi60332:6-43
    15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto60151:11-101

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