Gimnasia La Plata vs Platense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Liga Profesional Gimnasia La Plata - Platense
Result
1:0
04/05/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Betano - Apertura - Round 16
  • Referee: Mastrangelo H. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN Premium
chinaChinaK-Ball
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaFanatiz
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.940.79
Ball Possession
64%36%
Total shots
169
Shots on target
45
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
133
Passes
83% (385/465)65% (179/276)
Yellow Cards
24
Expected Goals (xG)
0.940.79
xG on target (xGOT)
0.940.83
Total shots
169
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
54
Blocked Shots
70
Shots inside the Box
115
Shots outside the Box
54
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
133
Touches in opposition box
4017
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
138
Passes
83% (385/465)65% (179/276)
Long passes
65% (37/57)32% (23/71)
Passes in final third
73% (147/202)46% (41/89)
Crosses
23% (11/47)44% (7/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.480.49
Throw-ins
2218
Fouls
813
Tackles
70% (7/10)50% (8/16)
Duels won
7459
Clearances
3145
Interceptions
310
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
53
xGOT faced
0.830.94
Goals prevented
0.83-0.06

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 30', Jan Hurtado 🟨,
  • 37', Juarez F. 🟨,
  • 39', Silva Torrejon P. , Melluso M. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 54', Juarez F. , Roldan E. ,
  • 60', Orsini N. 🟨,
  • 63', Orsini N. , Martinez R. ,
  • 63', Mainero G. , Schor I. ,
  • 63', Zapiola F. , Minerva F. ,
  • 73', Merlini B. 🟨,
  • 73', Lotti A. , Toloza S. ,
  • 77', Suso G. , Garayalde N. ,
  • 77', De Blasis P. , Villarreal S. ,
  • 78', Jan Hurtado , Mammini I. ,
  • 83', Merlini B. , Mamut L. ,
  • 85', Barros Schelotto B. 🟨,
  • 90+3', 1 - 0, Garayalde N. , Pintado J. (A),
  • 90+5', Schor I. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Gimnasia La Plata
38.6%
Draw
34.1%
Platense
27.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.9% 32.1% 29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9% 33.7% 27.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gimnasia La Plata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • Platense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia La Plata than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Platense than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
  • Gimnasia La Plata - Platense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.53
    (2.43)
    2.76
    (2.95)
    3.38
    (3.27)
    5.4%
    (5.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • What is the prediction for Gimnasia La Plata - Platense?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Gimnasia La Plata will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Platense will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Platense: 45%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Platense (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Platense is Qualified for Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    • Gimnasia La Plata has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Platense is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Platense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Gimnasia La Plata: Castro L. (Yellow Cards) Jan Hurtado (Muscle Injury) Martinez E. (Knee Injury) Piedrahita A. (Muscle Injury) Torres F. (Knee Injury) Villarreal S. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Platense: Bay J. (Knee Injury) Cervera T. (Muscle Injury) Goni G. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Rodriguez M. (Groin Injury)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gimnasia La Plata won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 1.4:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Gimnasia La Plata won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Gimnasia La Plata - Platense were as follows:
    15.12.2024 Platense - Gimnasia La Plata 1:0
    30.07.2023 Gimnasia La Plata - Platense 1:1
    Latest results of Platense
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Clausura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Union de Santa Fe1045115:8717
    2Barracas Central943211:9215
    3Tigre104339:7215
    4Estudiantes L.P950410:10015
    5Boca Juniors935112:6614
    6Argentinos Jrs1042412:8414
    7Central Cordoba1035212:9314
    8Banfield104249:13-414
    9Belgrano93339:7212
    10Defensa y Justicia93339:8112
    11Huracan93335:8-312
    12Racing Club931510:12-210
    13Ind. Rivadavia923410:12-29
    14Newells Old Boys92348:11-39
    15Aldosivi100371:14-133


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Dep. Riestra961212:5719
    2River Plate953116:7918
    3Velez Sarsfield953111:4718
    4Lanus95139:8116
    5Rosario Central93609:4515
    6San Lorenzo93426:6013
    7Atl. Tucuman933310:8212
    8Sarmiento Junin83328:9-112
    9Platense924310:13-310
    10San Martin S.J102448:11-310
    11Gimnasia L.P103166:12-610
    12Instituto92435:11-610
    13Godoy Cruz91538:11-38
    14Talleres Cordoba91444:9-57
    15Independiente80445:9-44

          Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)