Result
1:0
04/05/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Torneo Betano - Apertura - Round 16
- Referee: Mastrangelo H. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+, ESPN Premium |
 China | K-Ball |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 World | TyC Sports Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.94 | 0.79 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 64% | 36% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (385/465) | 65% (179/276) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.94 | 0.79 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.94 | 0.83 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 40 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (385/465) | 65% (179/276) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 65% (37/57) | 32% (23/71) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (147/202) | 46% (41/89) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (11/47) | 44% (7/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.48 | 0.49 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (7/10) | 50% (8/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 74 | 59 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 31 | 45 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.83 | 0.94 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.83 | -0.06 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 30', Jan Hurtado 🟨,
- 37', Juarez F. 🟨,
- 39', Silva Torrejon P. ↓, Melluso M. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 54', Juarez F. ↓, Roldan E. ↑,
- 60', Orsini N. 🟨,
- 63', Orsini N. ↓, Martinez R. ↑,
- 63', Mainero G. ↓, Schor I. ↑,
- 63', Zapiola F. ↓, Minerva F. ↑,
- 73', Merlini B. 🟨,
- 73', Lotti A. ↓, Toloza S. ↑,
- 77', Suso G. ↓, Garayalde N. ↑,
- 77', De Blasis P. ↓, Villarreal S. ↑,
- 78', Jan Hurtado ↓, Mammini I. ↑,
- 83', Merlini B. ↓, Mamut L. ↑,
- 85', Barros Schelotto B. 🟨,
- 90+3', 1 - 0, Garayalde N. ⚽, Pintado J. (A),
- 90+5', Schor I. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Gimnasia La Plata
38.6% | Draw
34.1% | Platense
27.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gimnasia La Plata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)Platense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia La Plata than the current prediction. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Platense than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
Gimnasia La Plata - Platense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.53 ↑
(2.43) |
2.76 ↓
(2.95) |
3.38 ↑
(3.27) |
5.4%
(5.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Gimnasia La Plata - Platense?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Gimnasia La Plata will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Platense will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Platense: 45% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Platense (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Platense is Qualified for Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
- Gimnasia La Plata has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Platense is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Platense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Gimnasia La Plata: Castro L.
(Yellow Cards)
Jan Hurtado
(Muscle Injury)
Martinez E.
(Knee Injury)
Piedrahita A.
(Muscle Injury)
Torres F.
(Knee Injury)
Villarreal S.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Platense: Bay J.
(Knee Injury)
Cervera T.
(Muscle Injury)
Goni G.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Rodriguez M.
(Groin Injury)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gimnasia La Plata won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 1.4:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Gimnasia La Plata won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Gimnasia La Plata won against Platense?
Gimnasia La Plata has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Platense won against Gimnasia La Plata?
Platense has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gimnasia La Plata - Platense were as follows:
15.12.2024
Platense
-
Gimnasia La Plata
1:0
30.07.2023
Gimnasia La Plata
-
Platense
1:1
Latest results of Gimnasia La Plata
Latest results of Platense
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
ClausuraGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Barracas Central | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11:8 | 3 | 14 |
| 2 | Central Cordoba | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 10:4 | 6 | 13 |
| 3 | Boca Juniors | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 9:3 | 6 | 12 |
| 4 | Union de Santa Fe | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10:5 | 5 | 12 |
| 5 | Defensa y Justicia | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 12 |
| 6 | Estudiantes L.P | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 8:8 | 0 | 12 |
| 7 | Huracan | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 11 |
| 8 | Banfield | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 10 |
| 9 | Argentinos Jrs | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:6 | 1 | 8 |
| 10 | Ind. Rivadavia | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 8 |
| 11 | Tigre | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6:7 | -1 | 8 |
| 12 | Belgrano | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6:7 | -1 | 8 |
| 13 | Newells Old Boys | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 6 |
| 14 | Racing Club | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6:12 | -6 | 4 |
| 15 | Aldosivi | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1:8 | -7 | 3 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | River Plate | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 14:4 | 10 | 15 |
| 2 | Velez Sarsfield | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 9:3 | 6 | 14 |
| 3 | Dep. Riestra | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 9:5 | 4 | 13 |
| 4 | San Lorenzo | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 12 |
| 5 | Rosario Central | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 10 |
| 6 | Gimnasia L.P | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 5:5 | 0 | 10 |
| 7 | Lanus | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6:7 | -1 | 10 |
| 8 | Atl. Tucuman | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 9 |
| 9 | San Martin S.J | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 8 |
| 10 | Godoy Cruz | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | 6 |
| 11 | Platense | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5:8 | -3 | 6 |
| 12 | Sarmiento Junin | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5:9 | -4 | 6 |
| 13 | Instituto | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 2:10 | -8 | 6 |
| 14 | Talleres Cordoba | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3:8 | -5 | 5 |
| 15 | Independiente | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
