Vélez Sársfield vs Gimnasia y Tiro – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
30/04/2026 at 20:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Copa Argentina - 1/16-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaTyC Sports
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaInter
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.330.41
Ball possession
68%32%
Total shots
129
Shots on target
53
Big chances
40
Corner kicks
71
Passes
85% (523/618)68% (193/283)
Yellow cards
16
Expected goals (xG)
2.330.41
xG on target (xGOT)
2.931.32
Total shots
129
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
45
Blocked shots
31
Shots inside the box
63
Shots outside the box
66
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
40
Corner kicks
71
Touches in opposition box
249
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free kicks
288
Passes
85% (523/618)68% (193/283)
Long passes
52% (29/56)43% (29/68)
Passes in final third
73% (154/210)56% (49/87)
Crosses
10% (3/29)20% (3/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.980.34
Throw ins
1613
Fouls
828
Tackles
65% (11/17)61% (17/28)
Duels won
7157
Clearances
1532
Interceptions
1011
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
33
xGOT faced
1.322.93
Goals prevented
1.320.93

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 32', Diaz G. 🟨,
  • 36', Villarreal R. 🟨,
  • 45', 1 - 0, Godoy D. , Lanzini M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Rocca J. , Montoya W. ,
  • 60', Montoya W. 🟨,
  • 66', Godoy D. , Pellegrini M. ,
  • 70', Romero B. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 73', Rinaldi N. , Banega T. ,
  • 74', Baeza C. 🟨,
  • 78', Rojas F. 🟨,
  • 79', Birge M. , Contin N. ,
  • 80', Romero B. , Monzon F. ,
  • 83', Contin N. 🟨,
  • 89', Aliendro R. , Robertone L. ,
  • 89', Lanzini M. , Valdes D. ,
  • 89', Oviedo J. C. , Turletti J. ,
  • 90', 2 - 0, Valdes D. ,
  • 90+2', Gordillo L. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Vélez Sársfield
62.4%
Draw
24%
Gimnasia y Tiro
13.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
63.2% 24.5% 12.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.1% 23.1% 11.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Vélez Sársfield has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • Gimnasia y Tiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vélez Sársfield than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnasia y Tiro than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
  • Vélez Sársfield - Gimnasia y Tiro Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.49
    (1.45)
    3.85
    (3.73)
    6.83
    (7.39)
    7.9%
    (9.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Vélez Sársfield - Gimnasia y Tiro?
  • Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Vélez will win (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Neutral location.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Gimnasia y Tiro may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Vélez is the undisputed favorite.
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Draw
    2026

    1/32-finals
    1San LorenzoDeportivo Rincon5 : 0
    2Dep. RiestraDeportivo Maipu1 : 0
    3Newells Old BoysAcassuso0 : 2
    4Gimnasia L.P.Deportivo Camioneros4 : 1
    5BanfieldReal Pilar3 : 0
    6Estudiantes Rio CuartoSan Martin T.0 : 1
    7Godoy CruzDeportivo Moron0 : 1
    8Argentinos JrsMidland1 : 2
    9Racing ClubSan Martin Formosa1 : 0
    10Defensa y JusticiaChaco For Ever2 : 1
    11Central CordobaGimnasia Jujuy2 : 3
    12BelgranoAtl. Rafaela3 : 0
    13Velez SarsfieldDeportivo Armenio4 : 1
    14Gimnasia MendozaGimnasia y Tiro0 : 1
    15Sarmiento JuninTristan Suarez1 : 0
    16Boca JuniorsChivilcoy2 : 0
    17River PlateCiudad Bolivar1 : 0
    18AldosiviSan Miguel3 : 0
    19Ind. RivadaviaCA Estudiantes2 : 0
    20TigreClaypole2 : 0
    21Talleres CordobaArgentino de Merlo2 : 0
    22Atl. TucumanSportivo Barracas2 : 1
    23Union de Santa FeAgropecuario2 : 0
    24IndependienteBiblioteca Atenas4 : 2
    25PlatenseArgentino MM1 : 0
    26San Martin S.J.Deportivo Madryn2 : 0
    27InstitutoAtletico Atlanta2 : 0
    28LanusSarmiento de La Banda4 : 1
    29Estudiantes L.P.Ituzaingo4 : 0
    30Rosario CentralSportivo Belgrano2 : 0
    31Barracas CentralTemperley3 : 2
    32HuracanOlimpo Bahia Blanca2 : 1

    1/16-finals
    1San LorenzoDep. Riestra
    2AcassusoGimnasia L.P.0 : 3
    3BanfieldSan Martin T.
    4Deportivo MoronMidland1 : 2
    5Racing ClubDefensa y Justicia
    6Gimnasia JujuyBelgrano
    7Velez SarsfieldGimnasia y Tiro2 : 0
    8Sarmiento JuninBoca Juniors
    9River PlateAldosivi
    10Ind. RivadaviaTigre
    11Talleres CordobaAtl. Tucuman
    12Union de Santa FeIndependiente
    13PlatenseSan Martin S.J.
    14InstitutoLanus
    15Estudiantes L.P.Rosario Central
    16Barracas CentralHuracan

    1/8-finals
    1TBD #1Gimnasia L.P.
    2TBD #3Midland
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4Velez SarsfieldTBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2