Result
2:5
09/08/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Veikkausliiga
- Referee: Roth M. (Fin)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Ruutu+ |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.03 | 2.09 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (239/318) | 75% (263/350) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.03 | 2.09 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 2.81 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 13 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 28 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (239/318) | 75% (263/350) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (33/67) | 41% (26/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (79/121) | 65% (72/111) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 12% (3/25) | 39% (7/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 1.52 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 54% (7/13) | 76% (13/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.81 | 0.93 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -2.19 | -1.07 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 11', 0 - 1, Arko-Mensah E. ⚽, Heiskanen S. (A),
- 15', 0 - 2, Gnanou R. ⚽, Ritari M. (A),
- 31', Patut E. 🟨,
- 40', Atarah A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 3)
- 51', 1 - 2, Okereke E. ⚽, Patut E. (A),
- 53', 1 - 3, Atarah A. ⚽, Ritari M. (A),
- 62', 1 - 4, Latonen J. (Pen),
- 63', Dahlstrom S. ↓, Muskwe A. ↑,
- 63', Patut E. ↓, Nurmi N. ↑,
- 63', Lindgren P. ↓, Fonsell M. ↑,
- 64', Kabashi A. ↓, Gunes O. ↑,
- 68', 1 - 5, Gnanou R. ⚽, Heiskanen S. (A),
- 71', 2 - 5, Olawale M. ⚽, Muskwe A. (A),
- 73', Atarah A. ↓, Eremenko R. ↑,
- 78', Heiskanen S. ↓, Raitala J. ↑,
- 78', Pettersson O. ↓, von Hellens L. ↑,
- 78', Ojala J. ↓, Hafstad D. ↑,
- 82', Olawale M. ↓, Nunez W. ↑,
- 85', Adedoyin K. 🟨,
- 87', Eremenko R. 🟨,
- 90+2', Adedoyin K. ↓, Lundberg A. ↑,
Chances of winning
IFK Mariehamn
26.3% | Draw
25.3% | Gnistan
48.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
IFK Mariehamn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that IFK Mariehamn's form might have worsened.Gnistan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gnistan's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for IFK Mariehamn than the current prediction. (+13.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for IFK Mariehamn, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gnistan than the current prediction. (-13.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gnistan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
IFK Mariehamn - Gnistan Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.79 ↑
(2.4) |
3.85 ↑
(3.78) |
2.01 ↓
(2.64) |
2.2%
(5.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for IFK Mariehamn - Gnistan?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Mariehamn will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Gnistan will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Gnistan (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: ) and 7 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mariehamn won 0.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Gnistan may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Gnistan will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Mariehamn: Kivikko M.
(Inactive)
Raitanen P.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Gnistan: Bashkirov E.
(Red Card)
Europaeus G.
(Yellow Cards)
Marcelo Costa
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Mariehamn: Toivonen E.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Gnistan: Eremenko R.
(Inactive)
Gnanou R.
(Injury)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Mariehamn won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:13. (average 1:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Mariehamn won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 1.3:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has IFK Mariehamn won against Gnistan?
IFK Mariehamn has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gnistan won against IFK Mariehamn?
Gnistan has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between IFK Mariehamn - Gnistan were as follows:
03.05.2025
Gnistan
-
IFK Mariehamn
2:0
08.02.2025
Gnistan
-
IFK Mariehamn
4:0
15.09.2024
Gnistan
-
IFK Mariehamn
2:1
21.08.2024
Gnistan
-
IFK Mariehamn
2:1
26.05.2024
IFK Mariehamn
-
Gnistan
1:1
Latest results of IFK Mariehamn
Latest results of Gnistan
Finnish Veikkausliiga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Inter Turku ✔ | 19 | 12 | 7 | 0 | 43:16 | 27 | 43 |
| 2 | KuPS ✔ | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 33:20 | 13 | 37 |
| 3 | Ilves ✔ | 18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 39:21 | 18 | 36 |
| 4 | SJK | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 37:28 | 9 | 34 |
| 5 | HJK ✔ | 18 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 40:24 | 16 | 32 |
| 6 | Gnistan | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 30:35 | -5 | 24 |
| 7 | Jaro | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 22:28 | -6 | 22 |
| 8 | VPS | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 28:30 | -2 | 21 |
| 9 | Mariehamn | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 19:38 | -19 | 18 |
| 10 | Haka | 19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 22:35 | -13 | 16 |
| 11 | AC Oulu | 19 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 25:39 | -14 | 15 |
| 12 | KTP ✔ | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 21:45 | -24 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: )
Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Inter Turku is Qualified for Veikkausliiga (Championship Group )
KuPS is Qualified for Veikkausliiga (Championship Group )
Ilves is Qualified for Veikkausliiga (Championship Group )
HJK is Qualified for Veikkausliiga (Championship Group )
KTP is Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group )
