Result
2:1
23/10/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Europa League - League phase - Round 3
- Referee: Glova F. (Svk)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | DStv Now, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League |
 Argentina | Disney+, ESPN |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD |
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 7 |
 Belgium | Play Sports 1, Play Sports 5, VOOsport World 2 |
 Bulgaria | Max Sport 2 |
 Canada | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7 |
 Denmark | Disney+ |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | Canal+ Live 5 |
 Germany | RTL+ |
 Greece | ANT 1+ |
 Hong-kong | beIN Sports 3 |
 Hungary | RTL+ |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 India | JioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2 |
 Indonesia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio |
 Ireland | Premier Sports 2 ROI |
 Israel | Sport 2 |
 Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 254 |
 Kenya | Gotv |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka |
 Maldives | Medianet |
 Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 3 |
 Mexico | Fox Sports |
 Mongolia | Premier Sports 2 |
 Netherlands | Ziggo Sport 3 |
 New-zealand | DAZN New Zealand |
 Nigeria | Supersport Maximo 2 |
 North-macedonia | TDM Desporto |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+, ESPN |
 Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 |
 Poland | Polsat Sport Extra 4 |
 Romania | Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Singapore | beIN Sport 1 |
 South-africa | SuperSport Premier League |
 South-america | ESPN South, ViX Latin America |
 South-korea | SPOTV Now |
 Spain | M+ Liga de Campeones 7 |
 Sweden | Disney+ |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 11, Blue Sport 11 |
 Thailand | AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 |
 Turkey | Tabii |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 United-kingdom | Amazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player, TNT Sports 1 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | CBS Sports Network, Paramount+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
 Vietnam | ON Plus |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.83 | 2.40 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 30% | 70% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (177/231) | 90% (467/518) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.83 | 2.40 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.00 | 2.41 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 13 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 10 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 7 | 51 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (177/231) | 90% (467/518) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 22% (11/49) | 80% (24/30) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 52% (31/60) | 87% (221/255) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 50% (4/8) | 22% (8/36) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.37 | 1.77 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (13/20) | 62% (8/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 33 | 37 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 38 | 11 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.41 | 1.00 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.41 | -1.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 4', 0 - 1, Guessand E. ⚽,
- 14', Nauber G. 🟨,
- 15', Nauber G. ↓, Twigt C. ↑,
- 39', Breum J. ↓, Goudmijn K. ↑,
- 42', 1 - 1, Suray M. ⚽, Twigt C. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 61', 2 - 1, Deijl M. ⚽, Kramer J. (A),
- 66', Onana A. ↓, Cash M. ↑,
- 66', Lindelof V. ↓, Rogers M. ↑,
- 67', Watkins O. ↓, Malen D. ↑,
- 67', Sancho J. ↓, Kamara B. ↑,
- 76', Bogarde L. ↓, McGinn J. ↑,
- 79', Buendia E. (Pen),
- 83', Suray M. ↓, Weijenberg R. ↑,
- 83', Margaret R. ↓, Adelgaard A. ↑,
- 83', Salah Rahmouni Y. ↓, Linthorst E. ↑,
- 90', Weijenberg R. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Go Ahead Eagles
13.1% | Draw
20.8% | Aston Villa
66.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Go Ahead Eagles has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)Aston Villa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Go Ahead Eagles than the current prediction. (+3.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aston Villa than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
Go Ahead Eagles - Aston Villa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
7.61 ↑
(5.55) |
4.62 ↑
(4.55) |
1.47 ↓
(1.53) |
3.1%
(5.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Go Ahead Eagles - Aston Villa?
Users Predictions:
50 users predict this event. Aston Villa will win (votes: 49 - 98%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Aston Villa: 94.1% – 100%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +1 - Aston Villa (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +1.25 - Go Ahead (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- 1X2, 1st Half - Aston Villa (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Aston Villa will win (13 of 13 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 16 high ROI users predict this event. Go Ahead (votes: 1 - 6.3%). Aston Villa (votes: 15 - 93.8%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Go Ahead is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Aston Villa is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- In this match, Aston Villa is the undisputed favorite.
- There will not play in Go Ahead: Baeten T.
(Inactive)
Blomme X.
(Inactive)
Edvardsen V.
(Injury)
Pettersson O.
(Inactive)
Saathof P.
(Knee Injury)
Tengstedt S.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Aston Villa: Barkley R.
(Inactive)
Garcia A.
(Inactive)
Tielemans Y.
(Calf Injury)
- There are questionable in Aston Villa: Mings T.
(Ankle Injury)
- The teams have not played against each other recently.
How many head-to-head matches has Go Ahead Eagles won against Aston Villa?
Go Ahead Eagles has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Aston Villa won against Go Ahead Eagles?
Aston Villa has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Go Ahead Eagles - Aston Villa were as follows:
Latest results of Go Ahead Eagles
Latest results of Aston Villa
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Ludogorets (22) | Ferencvaros (12) | 0 : 2, 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Braga (6) | Bye | |
| 3 | Panathinaikos (20) | Plzen (14) | 2 : 1, 2 : 2 |
| 4 | Betis (4) | Bye | |
| 5 | Din. Zagreb (23) | Genk (9) | 3 : 3, 1 : 3 |
| 6 | Freiburg (7) | Bye | |
| 7 | PAOK (17) | Celta Vigo (16) | 0 : 1, 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Lyon (1) | Bye | |
| 9 | Celtic (21) | Stuttgart (11) | 1 : 0, 1 : 4 |
| 10 | FC Porto (5) | Bye | |
| 11 | Fenerbahce (19) | Nottingham (13) | 2 : 1, 0 : 3 |
| 12 | Midtjylland (3) | Bye | |
| 13 | Brann (24) | Bologna (10) | 0 : 1, 0 : 1 |
| 14 | AS Roma (8) | Bye | |
| 15 | Lille (18) | Crvena zvezda (15) | 2 : 0, 0 : 1 |
| 16 | Aston Villa (2) | Bye | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Ferencvaros (12) | Braga (6) | |
| 2 | Panathinaikos (20) | Betis (4) | |
| 3 | Genk (9) | Freiburg (7) | |
| 4 | Celta Vigo (16) | Lyon (1) | |
| 5 | Stuttgart (11) | FC Porto (5) | |
| 6 | Nottingham (13) | Midtjylland (3) | |
| 7 | Bologna (10) | AS Roma (8) | |
| 8 | Lille (18) | Aston Villa (2) | |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal
