Result
1:2
15/02/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 20
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | Azam Sports 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 7', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 81', 0 - 2, ⚽,
- 83', 1 - 2, ⚽,
Chances of winning
APS Bomet
13.5% | Draw
24.9% | Gor Mahia
61.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
APS Bomet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)Gor Mahia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gor Mahia's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for APS Bomet than the current prediction. (+3.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gor Mahia than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
APS Bomet - Gor Mahia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
6.75 ↑
(5.08) |
3.65 ↑
(3.4) |
1.47 ↓
(1.64) |
10.2%
(10.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )).
- Recent performances by APS Bomet have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Gor Mahia is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Gor Mahia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Gor Mahia is considered a favorite.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, APS Bomet won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1.
How many head-to-head matches has APS Bomet won against Gor Mahia?
APS Bomet has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gor Mahia won against APS Bomet?
Gor Mahia has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between APS Bomet - Gor Mahia were as follows:
25.11.2025
Gor Mahia
-
APS Bomet
1:4
Latest results of APS Bomet
Latest results of Gor Mahia
Kenyan Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gor Mahia | 22 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 38:15 | 23 | 49 |
| 2 | Leopards | 22 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 30:14 | 16 | 43 |
| 3 | Shabana | 23 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 28:23 | 5 | 40 |
| 4 | Kakamega Homeboyz | 22 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 34:23 | 11 | 38 |
| 5 | Police FC | 23 | 9 | 10 | 4 | 20:14 | 6 | 37 |
| 6 | Muranga | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 31:25 | 6 | 36 |
| 7 | Tusker | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 21:24 | -3 | 34 |
| 8 | Bandari | 23 | 7 | 11 | 5 | 19:17 | 2 | 32 |
| 9 | KCB | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 22:23 | -1 | 32 |
| 10 | Nairobi United | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 25:20 | 5 | 29 |
| 11 | Mara Sugar | 22 | 6 | 10 | 6 | 23:23 | 0 | 28 |
| 12 | Mathare Utd | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 17:22 | -5 | 26 |
| 13 | Posta Rangers | 22 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 18:27 | -9 | 24 |
| 14 | Kariobangi Sharks | 23 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 15:25 | -10 | 22 |
| 15 | Bidco United | 23 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 15:27 | -12 | 20 |
| 16 | Ulinzi Stars | 23 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 19:26 | -7 | 19 |
| 17 | APS Bomet | 23 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 23:32 | -9 | 19 |
| 18 | Sofapaka | 23 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 15:33 | -18 | 14 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Super League
