Result
3:0
31/01/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 19
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 0)
- 13', 1 - 0, Odhiambo F. ⚽,
- 18', 2 - 0, Owino S. ⚽,
- 31', 3 - 0, Assifuah E. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Chances of winning
Gor Mahia
58% | Draw
28.1% | Sofapaka
13.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gor Mahia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)Sofapaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gor Mahia than the current prediction. (+7.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gor Mahia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sofapaka than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
Gor Mahia - Sofapaka Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.58 ↑
(1.48) |
3.26 ↓
(3.53) |
6.6 ↓
(7.5) |
9.2%
(9.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Gor Mahia - Sofapaka?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Super League).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gor Mahia won 3.
- Gor Mahia is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Sofapaka is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Gor Mahia is the clear favorite.
- We predict that Gor Mahia will win today's game, with odds of 1.49.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gor Mahia won 11 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 26:14. (average 1.3:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Gor Mahia won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:6. (average 1.6:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Gor Mahia won against Sofapaka?
Gor Mahia has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sofapaka won against Gor Mahia?
Sofapaka has won 0 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gor Mahia - Sofapaka were as follows:
27.09.2025
Sofapaka
-
Gor Mahia
0:2
19.04.2025
Sofapaka
-
Gor Mahia
1:1
22.01.2025
Gor Mahia
-
Sofapaka
2:0
16.06.2024
Sofapaka
-
Gor Mahia
0:1
26.08.2023
Gor Mahia
-
Sofapaka
1:1
Latest results of Gor Mahia
Latest results of Sofapaka
Kenyan Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gor Mahia | 22 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 38:15 | 23 | 49 |
| 2 | Leopards | 22 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 30:14 | 16 | 43 |
| 3 | Shabana | 23 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 28:23 | 5 | 40 |
| 4 | Kakamega Homeboyz | 22 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 34:23 | 11 | 38 |
| 5 | Police FC | 23 | 9 | 10 | 4 | 20:14 | 6 | 37 |
| 6 | Muranga | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 31:25 | 6 | 36 |
| 7 | Tusker | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 21:24 | -3 | 34 |
| 8 | KCB | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 23:24 | -1 | 33 |
| 9 | Bandari | 23 | 7 | 11 | 5 | 19:17 | 2 | 32 |
| 10 | Nairobi United | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 26:21 | 5 | 30 |
| 11 | Mara Sugar | 22 | 6 | 10 | 6 | 23:23 | 0 | 28 |
| 12 | Mathare Utd | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 17:22 | -5 | 26 |
| 13 | Posta Rangers | 22 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 18:27 | -9 | 24 |
| 14 | Kariobangi Sharks | 23 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 15:25 | -10 | 22 |
| 15 | Bidco United | 23 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 15:27 | -12 | 20 |
| 16 | Ulinzi Stars | 23 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 19:26 | -7 | 19 |
| 17 | APS Bomet | 23 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 23:32 | -9 | 19 |
| 18 | Sofapaka | 23 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 15:33 | -18 | 14 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Super League
