Sofapaka vs Gor Mahia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Kenyan Premier League Sofapaka - Gor Mahia
Result
1:1
19/04/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 27

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 68', 0 - 1, Joshua ,
  • 90+1', 1 - 1, Ochoko D. ,

Chances of winning


Sofapaka
24.2%
Draw
31.5%
Gor Mahia
44.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
22.2% 30.6% 47.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.6% 29.7% 48.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sofapaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • Gor Mahia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sofapaka than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gor Mahia than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
  • Sofapaka - Gor Mahia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.77
    (4.14)
    2.9
    (3.01)
    2.06
    (1.95)
    9.6%
    (8.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • Preview Facts
    • During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 8 and 3).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Sofapaka won 0.
    • Recent matches Sofapaka is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Gor Mahia is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Gor Mahia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Recently Gor Mahia have a series of guest games.
    • In this match Gor Mahia is a favorite.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Sofapaka won 2 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 12 matches and goals 13:27 (average 0.7:1.4).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Sofapaka won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 7:11 (average 0.7:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sofapaka - Gor Mahia were as follows:
    22.01.2025 Gor Mahia - Sofapaka 2:0
    16.06.2024 Sofapaka - Gor Mahia 0:1
    26.08.2023 Gor Mahia - Sofapaka 1:1
    05.04.2023 Sofapaka - Gor Mahia 0:0
    18.01.2023 Gor Mahia - Sofapaka 0:0
    Latest results of Sofapaka
    04.04.2025 Ulinzi Stars - Sofapaka 0:1
    28.03.2025 Talanta - Sofapaka 2:0
    01.03.2025 Sofapaka - Mara Sugar 1:1
    19.02.2025 AFC Leopards - Sofapaka 0:0
    Latest results of Gor Mahia
    06.04.2025 Kenya CB - Gor Mahia Postponed
    30.03.2025 AFC Leopards - Gor Mahia 0:0
    15.03.2025 Gor Mahia - Bandari 2:0
    20.02.2025 Bidco United - Gor Mahia 0:0
    Draw
    Relegation

    Final
    1Posta RangersNaivas FC0 : 1, 2 : 0