Result
4:2
08/03/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 24
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 2', 0 - 1, Santin D. ⚽,
- 9', 0 - 2, Castro B. ⚽,
- 44', 1 - 2, Rodriguez I. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 47', 2 - 2, Cellerino G. ⚽,
- 52', 3 - 2, Fran Lopez ⚽,
- 90', 4 - 2, Fontan Davila M. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Gran Peña
52.8% | Draw
32.3% | Barco
15% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gran Peña has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gran Peña's performance.Barco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Barco might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gran Peña than the current prediction. (-15.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gran Peña that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barco than the current prediction. (+15.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Barco could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Gran Peña - Barco Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.12 ↓
(2.48) |
3.47 ↑
(2.84) |
7.48 ↑
(2.8) |
-10.8%
(11.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 13).
- Gran Peña has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Barco is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Gran Peña won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Gran Peña won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Gran Peña won against Barco?
Gran Peña has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Barco won against Gran Peña?
Barco has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gran Peña - Barco were as follows:
19.10.2025
Barco
-
Gran Peña
1:2
18.02.2023
Barco
-
Gran Peña
1:0
22.10.2022
Gran Peña
-
Barco
1:1
Latest results of Gran Peña
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Compostela | 30 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 49:24 | 25 | 60 |
| 2 | Arosa SC | 30 | 16 | 10 | 4 | 51:33 | 18 | 58 |
| 3 | Atletico Arteixo | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 48:34 | 14 | 51 |
| 4 | Somozas | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 31:26 | 5 | 46 |
| 5 | Racing Club Villalbes | 30 | 11 | 13 | 6 | 32:21 | 11 | 46 |
| 6 | Barco | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 33:35 | -2 | 45 |
| 7 | Estradense | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 38:29 | 9 | 44 |
| 8 | Boiro | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 34:25 | 9 | 44 |
| 9 | Montaneros | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 41:36 | 5 | 43 |
| 10 | Gran Pena | 30 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 44:38 | 6 | 42 |
| 11 | Lugo B | 30 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 31:32 | -1 | 41 |
| 12 | Celtiga | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 43:38 | 5 | 40 |
| 13 | Alondras | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 40:42 | -2 | 39 |
| 14 | Viveiro | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 25:37 | -12 | 34 |
| 15 | Cambados | 30 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 23:33 | -10 | 26 |
| 16 | Silva SD | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 23:43 | -20 | 26 |
| 17 | Noia | 30 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 19:47 | -28 | 19 |
| 18 | Barbadas-Bentraces | 30 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 23:55 | -32 | 19 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 1 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
