Barco vs Gran Peña – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1 Barco - Gran Peña
Result
1:2
19/10/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 7

Match Stats

Red Cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 38', 1 - 0, ,
  • 45+1', 🟥,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 84', 1 - 1, ,
  • 86', 1 - 2, ,

Chances of winning


Barco
40.5%
Draw
29.9%
Gran Peña
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.9% 30.3% 27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7% 30.9% 27.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Barco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • Gran Peña has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barco than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gran Peña than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
  • Barco - Gran Peña Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.28
    (2.17)
    3.1
    (3)
    3.12
    (3.27)
    8.2%
    (10%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 13 and 15)
    • Barco is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Gran Peña's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Gran Peña may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Barco could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Barco won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Barco won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Barco - Gran Peña were as follows:
    18.02.2023 Barco - Gran Peña 1:0
    22.10.2022 Gran Peña - Barco 1:1
    Latest results of Barco
    11.10.2025 Silva SD - Barco 1:0
    05.10.2025 Barco - Céltiga 2:1
    21.09.2025 Barco - Boiro 0:1
    14.09.2025 Barco - Viveiro 0:1
    07.09.2025 Compostela - Barco 2:0
    Latest results of Gran Peña
    12.10.2025 Gran Peña - Compostela 1:1
    05.10.2025 Estradense - Gran Peña 0:0
    28.09.2025 Gran Peña - Somozas 0:0
    21.09.2025 Montañeros - Gran Peña 1:1
    14.09.2025 Gran Peña - Arosa 2:2
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Compostela862016:61020
    2Somozas852111:6517
    3Estradense843112:4815
    4Arosa SC843119:12715
    5Racing Club Villalbes842211:6514
    6Lugo B833210:8212
    7Montaneros833210:10012
    8Boiro83237:6111
    9Gran Pena82518:9-111
    10Celtiga831412:11110
    11Alondras831410:13-310
    12Cambados82336:609
    13Atletico Arteixo82249:12-38
    14Viveiro82246:10-48
    15Barco82155:9-47
    16Noia821511:16-57
    17Barbadas-Bentraces81345:16-116
    18Silva SD81164:12-84

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