Gran Peña vs Céltiga – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:4
09/11/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 14', 1 - 0, ,
  • 34', 1 - 1, ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 3)
  • 51', 1 - 2, ,
  • 78', 2 - 2, ,
  • 82', 2 - 3, ,
  • 90+7', 2 - 4, ,

Chances of winning


Gran Peña
43.1%
Draw
30.8%
Céltiga
26.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45% 28% 27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.4% 27.2% 26.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gran Peña has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • Céltiga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gran Peña than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Céltiga than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
  • Gran Peña - Céltiga Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.12
    (2.02)
    2.98
    (3.25)
    3.51
    (3.37)
    9.2%
    (9.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 and 8).
    • Gran Peña is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • In recent matches, Céltiga has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Gran Peña might have a minor edge in this game.
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Gran Peña
    26.10.2025 Gran Peña - Boiro 1:0
    19.10.2025 Barco - Gran Peña 1:2
    12.10.2025 Gran Peña - Compostela 1:1
    05.10.2025 Estradense - Gran Peña 0:0
    Latest results of Céltiga
    02.11.2025 Céltiga - Silva SD 2:0
    26.10.2025 Céltiga - Viveiro 2:1
    12.10.2025 Céltiga - Boiro 0:3
    05.10.2025 Barco - Céltiga 2:1
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Compostela22137237:191846
    2Arosa SC22127340:261443
    3Racing Club Villalbes22108426:141238
    4Somozas22107523:17637
    5Alondras2296732:29333
    6Celtiga2294935:30531
    7Boiro2286825:20530
    8Gran Pena2279628:25330
    9Montaneros2279627:25230
    10Lugo B2279626:27-130
    11Estradense2278727:22529
    12Atletico Arteixo2278730:28229
    13Barco2285921:23-229
    14Viveiro2276919:26-727
    15Cambados22311815:18-320
    16Silva SD22531415:32-1718
    17Noia22451318:37-1917
    18Barbadas-Bentraces22361312:38-2615

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