Gran Peña vs Estradense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
22/02/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 40', 1 - 0, Fran Lopez ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 50', 1 - 1, ,
  • 59', 2 - 1, Coira A. ,

Chances of winning


Gran Peña
33.7%
Draw
30.4%
Estradense
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.2% 29.4% 36.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.1% 30.1% 35.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gran Peña has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • Estradense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gran Peña than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estradense than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
  • Gran Peña - Estradense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.68
    (2.63)
    2.97
    (3.06)
    2.52
    (2.47)
    10.7%
    (11.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 11 and 8).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gran Peña won 1.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Gran Peña may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Gran Peña won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1.2:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Gran Peña won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Gran Peña - Estradense were as follows:
    05.10.2025 Estradense - Gran Peña 0:0
    02.02.2025 Estradense - Gran Peña 2:2
    22.09.2024 Gran Peña - Estradense 0:1
    07.01.2024 Estradense - Gran Peña 1:2
    19.03.2023 Estradense - Gran Peña 2:0
    Latest results of Gran Peña
    14.02.2026 Somozas - Gran Peña 1:1
    08.02.2026 Gran Peña - Montañeros 1:1
    01.02.2026 Arosa - Gran Peña 1:0
    18.01.2026 Gran Peña - Noia 5:0
    Latest results of Estradense
    18.02.2026 Céltiga - Estradense 2:1
    14.02.2026 Estradense - Silva SD 2:1
    25.01.2026 Boiro - Estradense 1:2
    18.01.2026 Barco - Estradense 1:1
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Compostela22137237:191846
    2Arosa SC22127340:261443
    3Racing Club Villalbes22108426:141238
    4Somozas22107523:17637
    5Alondras2296732:29333
    6Celtiga2294935:30531
    7Boiro2286825:20530
    8Gran Pena2279628:25330
    9Montaneros2279627:25230
    10Lugo B2279626:27-130
    11Estradense2278727:22529
    12Atletico Arteixo2278730:28229
    13Barco2285921:23-229
    14Viveiro2276919:26-727
    15Cambados22311815:18-320
    16Silva SD22531415:32-1718
    17Noia22451318:37-1917
    18Barbadas-Bentraces22361312:38-2615

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