Result
2:1
22/02/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 22
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 40', 1 - 0, Fran Lopez ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 50', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 59', 2 - 1, Coira A. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Gran Peña 33.7% | Draw 30.4% | Estradense 35.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gran Peña has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)Estradense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gran Peña than the current prediction. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estradense than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
Gran Peña - Estradense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.68 ↑ (2.63) |
2.97 ↓ (3.06) |
2.52 ↑ (2.47) |
10.7% (11.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 11 and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gran Peña won 1.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Gran Peña may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Gran Peña won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1.2:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Gran Peña won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Gran Peña won against Estradense?
Gran Peña has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Estradense won against Gran Peña?
Estradense has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gran Peña - Estradense were as follows:
05.10.2025
Estradense
-
Gran Peña
0:0
02.02.2025
Estradense
-
Gran Peña
2:2
22.09.2024
Gran Peña
-
Estradense
0:1
07.01.2024
Estradense
-
Gran Peña
1:2
19.03.2023
Estradense
-
Gran Peña
2:0
Latest results of Gran Peña
Latest results of Estradense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Compostela | 30 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 49:24 | 25 | 60 |
| 2 | Arosa SC | 30 | 16 | 10 | 4 | 51:33 | 18 | 58 |
| 3 | Atletico Arteixo | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 48:34 | 14 | 51 |
| 4 | Somozas | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 31:26 | 5 | 46 |
| 5 | Racing Club Villalbes | 30 | 11 | 13 | 6 | 32:21 | 11 | 46 |
| 6 | Barco | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 33:35 | -2 | 45 |
| 7 | Estradense | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 38:29 | 9 | 44 |
| 8 | Boiro | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 34:25 | 9 | 44 |
| 9 | Montaneros | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 41:36 | 5 | 43 |
| 10 | Gran Pena | 30 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 44:38 | 6 | 42 |
| 11 | Lugo B | 30 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 31:32 | -1 | 41 |
| 12 | Celtiga | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 43:38 | 5 | 40 |
| 13 | Alondras | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 40:42 | -2 | 39 |
| 14 | Viveiro | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 25:37 | -12 | 34 |
| 15 | Cambados | 30 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 23:33 | -10 | 26 |
| 16 | Silva SD | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 23:43 | -20 | 26 |
| 17 | Noia | 30 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 19:47 | -28 | 19 |
| 18 | Barbadas-Bentraces | 30 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 23:55 | -32 | 19 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 1 (Play Offs: )
Relegation