Result
2:1
30/08/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 24
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.42 | 0.92 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (313/389) | 77% (260/338) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.42 | 0.92 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 1.10 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (313/389) | 77% (260/338) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (19/46) | 48% (29/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (73/105) | 53% (41/78) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (3/12) | 14% (2/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.38 | 0.57 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (9/14) | 53% (8/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.10 | 0.82 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.10 | -0.18 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 29', 1 - 0, Airton (Own goal),
- 36', 1 - 1, Waguininho ⚽, Rodrigo Soares (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Luiz Fernando ↓, Madson ↑,
- 46', Mendoza S. ↓, Dudu Kogitzki ↑,
- 49', 2 - 1, Zapelli B. ⚽,
- 52', Dantas 🟨,
- 65', Bruno Jose ↓, Pablo Dyego ↑,
- 65', Caio Dantas ↓, Nathan Fogaca ↑,
- 67', Arthur Dias ↓, Teran C. ↑,
- 77', Romulo ↓, Leo Tocantins ↑,
- 77', Waguininho ↓, Matheus Frizzo ↑,
- 78', Leo Derik ↓, Felipinho ↑,
- 82', Mayk ↓, Lucca ↑,
- 83', Leozinho ↓, Julimar ↑,
Chances of winning
Athletico Paranaense
50% | Draw
29.9% | Grêmio Novorizontino
20.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Athletico Paranaense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)Grêmio Novorizontino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletico Paranaense than the current prediction. (+4.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grêmio Novorizontino than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
Athletico Paranaense - Grêmio Novorizontino Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.88 ↑
(1.75) |
3.11 ↓
(3.27) |
4.57 ↓
(5.15) |
7.3%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Athletico Paranaense - Grêmio Novorizontino?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Athletico PR will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Athletico PR: 29% – 96%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Athletico PR (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 5).
- Athletico PR has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Novorizontino is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Athletico PR may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Athletico PR is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Athletico PR: Isaac
(Inactive)
Julimar
(Knee Injury)
Kaua Moraes
(Inactive)
Leo
(Inactive)
Raul
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Novorizontino: Fabio Matheus
(Red Card)
Marlon
(Inactive)
Rafael Donato
(Yellow Cards)
Renato Palm
(Knee Injury)
Vitinho
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Novorizontino: Pablo Dyego
(Inactive)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Athletico PR won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Athletico Paranaense won against Grêmio Novorizontino?
Athletico Paranaense has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Grêmio Novorizontino won against Athletico Paranaense?
Grêmio Novorizontino has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Athletico Paranaense - Grêmio Novorizontino were as follows:
24.04.2025
Grêmio Novorizontino
-
Athletico Paranaense
2:1
Latest results of Athletico Paranaense
Latest results of Grêmio Novorizontino
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coritiba | 32 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 34:21 | 13 | 56 |
| 2 | Criciuma | 32 | 15 | 8 | 9 | 42:29 | 13 | 53 |
| 3 | Novorizontino | 32 | 14 | 11 | 7 | 36:27 | 9 | 53 |
| 4 | Goias | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 36:29 | 7 | 52 |
| 5 | Chapecoense-SC | 32 | 15 | 6 | 11 | 44:31 | 13 | 51 |
| 6 | Remo | 32 | 13 | 12 | 7 | 39:31 | 8 | 51 |
| 7 | Athletico-PR | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 45:42 | 3 | 49 |
| 8 | Cuiaba | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 38:35 | 3 | 49 |
| 9 | CRB | 32 | 14 | 5 | 13 | 38:33 | 5 | 47 |
| 10 | Atletico GO | 32 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 35:33 | 2 | 45 |
| 11 | Avai | 32 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 40:34 | 6 | 44 |
| 12 | Vila Nova FC | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 32:33 | -1 | 43 |
| 13 | Operario-PR | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 32:36 | -4 | 39 |
| 14 | America MG | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 34:39 | -5 | 37 |
| 15 | Athletic Club | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 37:44 | -7 | 37 |
| 16 | Ferroviaria | 32 | 8 | 13 | 11 | 36:42 | -6 | 37 |
| 17 | Volta Redonda | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 22:34 | -12 | 34 |
| 18 | Botafogo SP | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 27:47 | -20 | 33 |
| 19 | Amazonas | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 33:48 | -15 | 31 |
| 20 | Paysandu PA | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 28:40 | -12 | 26 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
