Grêmio Novorizontino vs Coritiba – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

14/08/2025 at 20:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biasi (Novo Horizonte).

Serie B Superbet - Round 22
Referee: Filho A. (Bra)
Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+, ESPN 4, RedeTV!, Vivo Play, Zapping

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.68	0.89
Ball Possession
58%	42%
Total shots
18	9
Shots on target
3	4
Big Chances
0	3
Corner Kicks
4	6
Passes
85% (378/443)	82% (272/333)
Yellow Cards
5	4
Expected Goals (xG)
0.68	0.89
xG on target (xGOT)
1.05	2.03
Total shots
18	9
Shots on target
3	4
Shots off target
9	4
Blocked Shots
6	1
Shots inside the Box
7	6
Shots outside the Box
11	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
0	3
Corner Kicks
4	6
Touches in opposition box
14	14
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	2
Free Kicks
16	14
Passes
85% (378/443)	82% (272/333)
Long passes
68% (27/40)	47% (30/64)
Passes in final third
74% (89/120)	64% (51/80)
Crosses
19% (6/31)	25% (2/8)
Expected assists (xA)
0.42	0.66
Throw-ins
25	15
Fouls
14	17
Tackles
67% (12/18)	72% (13/18)
Duels won
52	51
Clearances
10	30
Interceptions
8	10
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	2
xGOT faced
2.03	1.05
Goals prevented
0.03	0.05

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, Lucas Ronier ⚽,
42+2', Gabriel Leite 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Jean Irmer ↓, Bruno Jose ↑,
51', Romulo 🟨,
51', Lucas Ronier 🟨,
52', Dellatorre 🟨,
57', Patrick 🟨,
60', Patrick ↓, Luis Oyama ↑,
60', Waguininho ↓, Matheus Frizzo ↑,
60', Dellatorre ↓, Gustavo Coutinho ↑,
61', Clayson ↓, Iury Castilho ↑,
62', Luis Oyama 🟨,
66', Josue ↓, de Pena C. ↑,
66', Filipe Machado ↓, Felipe Guimaraes ↑,
70', Matheus Frizzo 🟨,
73', Romulo ↓, Robson ↑,
73', Mayk ↓, Leo Tocantins ↑,
73', Tiago Coser ↓, Guilherme Aquino ↑,
77', 1 - 1, Matheus Frizzo ⚽, Rai Ramos (A),
83', Bruno Jose 🟨,
88', 1 - 2, Lucas Ronier ⚽, de Pena C. (A),
90+6', Iury Castilho 🟨,

Chances of winning

Grêmio Novorizontino
38.9%

Draw
34.9%

Coritiba
26.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.2%

33.9%

24.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.3%

33%

24.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grêmio Novorizontino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Coritiba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio Novorizontino than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coritiba than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Grêmio Novorizontino - Coritiba Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↑ (2.28)	2.69 ↓ (2.77)	3.57 ↓ (3.78)	6.8% (6.3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

What is the prediction for Grêmio Novorizontino - Coritiba?

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Novorizontino will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Coritiba will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Novorizontino: 11.9% – 76.9%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Coritiba (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.

Preview Facts

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A Betano and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A Betano).
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Novorizontino will hold a modest advantage in this match.
There will not play in Novorizontino: Marlon (Inactive) Renato Palm (Knee Injury) Vitinho (Inactive)
There will not play in Coritiba: Jacy (Yellow Cards) Zeca (Yellow Cards)
There are questionable in Novorizontino: Nathan Fogaca (Inactive)
There are questionable in Coritiba: Alex Silva (Injury) Rodrigo Moledo (Knock)
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Novorizontino won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).
Including home match between the teams, Novorizontino won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

How many head-to-head matches has Grêmio Novorizontino won against Coritiba?

Grêmio Novorizontino has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Coritiba won against Grêmio Novorizontino?

Coritiba has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Grêmio Novorizontino - Coritiba were as follows:

16.04.2025 Coritiba - Grêmio Novorizontino 0:0

08.09.2024 Coritiba - Grêmio Novorizontino 2:2

17.05.2024 Grêmio Novorizontino - Coritiba 0:0

Latest results of Grêmio Novorizontino

09.08.2025 Volta Redonda - Grêmio Novorizontino 0:0 ✺

03.08.2025 Grêmio Novorizontino - Avaí 1:1 ✺

26.07.2025 CRB Maceio - Grêmio Novorizontino 4:0 ✺

23.07.2025 Grêmio Novorizontino - Goiás 1:0 ✺

17.07.2025 Remo - Grêmio Novorizontino 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Coritiba

08.08.2025 Coritiba - Chapecoense 0:0 ✺

31.07.2025 Vila Nova - Coritiba 1:2 ✺

27.07.2025 Coritiba - Amazonas 1:1 ✺

22.07.2025 Athletic Club - Coritiba 1:1 ✺

19.07.2025 Coritiba - Paysandu 2:5 ✺

Brazilian Serie B Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Coritiba	32	16	8	8	34:21	13	56
2	Novorizontino	33	14	12	7	36:27	9	54
3	Criciuma	32	15	8	9	42:29	13	53
4	Goias	32	14	10	8	36:29	7	52
5	Chapecoense-SC	32	15	6	11	44:31	13	51
6	Remo	32	13	12	7	39:31	8	51
7	Athletico-PR	32	14	7	11	45:42	3	49
8	Cuiaba	32	13	10	9	38:35	3	49
9	CRB	32	14	5	13	38:33	5	47
10	Atletico GO	32	11	12	9	35:33	2	45
11	Avai	32	11	11	10	40:34	6	44
12	Vila Nova FC	32	11	10	11	32:33	-1	43
13	Operario-PR	32	10	9	13	32:36	-4	39
14	America MG	32	10	7	15	34:39	-5	37
15	Athletic Club	32	10	7	15	37:44	-7	37
16	Ferroviaria	32	8	13	11	36:42	-6	37
17	Volta Redonda	32	8	10	14	22:34	-12	34
18	Botafogo SP	32	8	9	15	27:47	-20	33
19	Amazonas	33	7	11	15	33:48	-15	32
20	Paysandu PA	32	5	11	16	28:40	-12	26

Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )