Result
1:2
14/08/2025 at 20:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 22
- Referee: Filho A. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Brazil | Disney+, ESPN 4, RedeTV!, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.68 | 0.89 |
Ball Possession |
---|
58% | 42% |
Total shots |
---|
18 | 9 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 4 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 6 |
Passes |
---|
85% (378/443) | 82% (272/333) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
5 | 4 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.68 | 0.89 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.05 | 2.03 |
Total shots |
---|
18 | 9 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 4 |
Shots off target |
---|
9 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
6 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
7 | 6 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
11 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 6 |
Touches in opposition box |
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14 | 14 |
Accurate through passes |
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0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
16 | 14 |
Passes |
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85% (378/443) | 82% (272/333) |
Long passes |
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68% (27/40) | 47% (30/64) |
Passes in final third |
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74% (89/120) | 64% (51/80) |
Crosses |
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19% (6/31) | 25% (2/8) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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0.42 | 0.66 |
Throw-ins |
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25 | 15 |
Fouls |
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14 | 17 |
Tackles |
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67% (12/18) | 72% (13/18) |
Duels won |
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52 | 51 |
Clearances |
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10 | 30 |
Interceptions |
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8 | 10 |
Errors leading to shot |
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0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
---|
2.03 | 1.05 |
Goals prevented |
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0.03 | 0.05 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 18', 0 - 1, Lucas Ronier ⚽,
- 42+2', Gabriel Leite 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Jean Irmer ↓, Bruno Jose ↑,
- 51', Romulo 🟨,
- 51', Lucas Ronier 🟨,
- 52', Dellatorre 🟨,
- 57', Patrick 🟨,
- 60', Patrick ↓, Luis Oyama ↑,
- 60', Waguininho ↓, Matheus Frizzo ↑,
- 60', Dellatorre ↓, Gustavo Coutinho ↑,
- 61', Clayson ↓, Iury Castilho ↑,
- 62', Luis Oyama 🟨,
- 66', Josue ↓, de Pena C. ↑,
- 66', Filipe Machado ↓, Felipe Guimaraes ↑,
- 70', Matheus Frizzo 🟨,
- 73', Romulo ↓, Robson ↑,
- 73', Mayk ↓, Leo Tocantins ↑,
- 73', Tiago Coser ↓, Guilherme Aquino ↑,
- 77', 1 - 1, Matheus Frizzo ⚽, Rai Ramos (A),
- 83', Bruno Jose 🟨,
- 88', 1 - 2, Lucas Ronier ⚽, de Pena C. (A),
- 90+6', Iury Castilho 🟨,
Chances of winning
Grêmio Novorizontino 38.9% | Draw 34.9% | Coritiba 26.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Grêmio Novorizontino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)Coritiba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio Novorizontino than the current prediction. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coritiba than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
Grêmio Novorizontino - Coritiba Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.41 ↑ (2.28) |
2.69 ↓ (2.77) |
3.57 ↓ (3.78) |
6.8% (6.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Grêmio Novorizontino - Coritiba?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Novorizontino will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Coritiba will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Novorizontino: 11.9% – 76.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Coritiba (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A Betano and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A Betano).
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Novorizontino will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Novorizontino: Marlon
(Inactive)
Renato Palm
(Knee Injury)
Vitinho
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Coritiba: Jacy
(Yellow Cards)
Zeca
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Novorizontino: Nathan Fogaca
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Coritiba: Alex Silva
(Injury)
Rodrigo Moledo
(Knock)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Novorizontino won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).
- Including home match between the teams, Novorizontino won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Grêmio Novorizontino won against Coritiba?
Grêmio Novorizontino has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Coritiba won against Grêmio Novorizontino?
Coritiba has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Grêmio Novorizontino - Coritiba were as follows:
16.04.2025
Coritiba
-
Grêmio Novorizontino
0:0
08.09.2024
Coritiba
-
Grêmio Novorizontino
2:2
17.05.2024
Grêmio Novorizontino
-
Coritiba
0:0
Latest results of Grêmio Novorizontino
Latest results of Coritiba
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Goias | 24 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 31:23 | 8 | 44 |
2 | Coritiba | 24 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 24:16 | 8 | 43 |
3 | Chapecoense-SC | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 36:22 | 14 | 41 |
4 | Criciuma | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 31:21 | 10 | 39 |
5 | Novorizontino | 24 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 26:23 | 3 | 36 |
6 | Remo | 24 | 8 | 11 | 5 | 24:21 | 3 | 35 |
7 | CRB | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 26:22 | 4 | 34 |
8 | Vila Nova FC | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 24:24 | 0 | 34 |
9 | Cuiaba | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 29:29 | 0 | 34 |
10 | Operario-PR | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 26:23 | 3 | 33 |
11 | Athletico-PR | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 31:33 | -2 | 33 |
12 | Avai | 24 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 30:25 | 5 | 33 |
13 | Ferroviaria | 24 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 27:26 | 1 | 31 |
14 | Atletico GO | 24 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 26:26 | 0 | 31 |
15 | Athletic Club | 24 | 8 | 4 | 12 | 26:33 | -7 | 28 |
16 | Botafogo SP | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 20:33 | -13 | 28 |
17 | America MG | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 25:32 | -7 | 25 |
18 | Amazonas | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 25:34 | -9 | 24 |
19 | Volta Redonda | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 14:26 | -12 | 23 |
20 | Paysandu PA | 24 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 20:29 | -9 | 21 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )