Grêmio Novorizontino vs Coritiba – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie B Grêmio Novorizontino - Coritiba
Result
1:2
14/08/2025 at 20:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie B Superbet - Round 22
  • Referee: Filho A. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+, ESPN 4, RedeTV!, Vivo Play, Zapping

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.680.89
Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
189
Shots on target
34
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
46
Passes
85% (378/443)82% (272/333)
Yellow Cards
54
Expected Goals (xG)
0.680.89
xG on target (xGOT)
1.052.03
Total shots
189
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
94
Blocked Shots
61
Shots inside the Box
76
Shots outside the Box
113
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
46
Touches in opposition box
1414
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
1614
Passes
85% (378/443)82% (272/333)
Long passes
68% (27/40)47% (30/64)
Passes in final third
74% (89/120)64% (51/80)
Crosses
19% (6/31)25% (2/8)
Expected assists (xA)
0.420.66
Throw-ins
2515
Fouls
1417
Tackles
67% (12/18)72% (13/18)
Duels won
5251
Clearances
1030
Interceptions
810
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
2.031.05
Goals prevented
0.030.05

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 18', 0 - 1, Lucas Ronier ,
  • 42+2', Gabriel Leite 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Jean Irmer , Bruno Jose ,
  • 51', Romulo 🟨,
  • 51', Lucas Ronier 🟨,
  • 52', Dellatorre 🟨,
  • 57', Patrick 🟨,
  • 60', Patrick , Luis Oyama ,
  • 60', Waguininho , Matheus Frizzo ,
  • 60', Dellatorre , Gustavo Coutinho ,
  • 61', Clayson , Iury Castilho ,
  • 62', Luis Oyama 🟨,
  • 66', Josue , de Pena C. ,
  • 66', Filipe Machado , Felipe Guimaraes ,
  • 70', Matheus Frizzo 🟨,
  • 73', Romulo , Robson ,
  • 73', Mayk , Leo Tocantins ,
  • 73', Tiago Coser , Guilherme Aquino ,
  • 77', 1 - 1, Matheus Frizzo , Rai Ramos (A),
  • 83', Bruno Jose 🟨,
  • 88', 1 - 2, Lucas Ronier , de Pena C. (A),
  • 90+6', Iury Castilho 🟨,

Chances of winning


Grêmio Novorizontino
38.9%
Draw
34.9%
Coritiba
26.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.2% 33.9% 24.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.3% 33% 24.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Grêmio Novorizontino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • Coritiba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio Novorizontino than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coritiba than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
  • Grêmio Novorizontino - Coritiba Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.41
    (2.28)
    2.69
    (2.77)
    3.57
    (3.78)
    6.8%
    (6.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • What is the prediction for Grêmio Novorizontino - Coritiba?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Novorizontino will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Coritiba will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Novorizontino: 11.9%76.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Coritiba (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A Betano and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A Betano).
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Novorizontino will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Novorizontino: Marlon (Inactive) Renato Palm (Knee Injury) Vitinho (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Coritiba: Jacy (Yellow Cards) Zeca (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Novorizontino: Nathan Fogaca (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Coritiba: Alex Silva (Injury) Rodrigo Moledo (Knock)
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Novorizontino won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).
    • Including home match between the teams, Novorizontino won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Grêmio Novorizontino - Coritiba were as follows:
    16.04.2025 Coritiba - Grêmio Novorizontino 0:0
    08.09.2024 Coritiba - Grêmio Novorizontino 2:2
    17.05.2024 Grêmio Novorizontino - Coritiba 0:0
    Latest results of Grêmio Novorizontino
    Latest results of Coritiba
    08.08.2025 Coritiba - Chapecoense 0:0
    31.07.2025 Vila Nova - Coritiba 1:2
    27.07.2025 Coritiba - Amazonas 1:1
    22.07.2025 Athletic Club - Coritiba 1:1
    19.07.2025 Coritiba - Paysandu 2:5
    Brazilian Serie B Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Goias24135631:23844
    2Coritiba24127524:16843
    3Chapecoense-SC24125736:221441
    4Criciuma24116731:211039
    5Novorizontino2499626:23336
    6Remo24811524:21335
    7CRB241041026:22434
    8Vila Nova FC241041024:24034
    9Cuiaba2497829:29034
    10Operario-PR2496926:23333
    11Athletico-PR2496931:33-233
    12Avai2489730:25533
    13Ferroviaria24710727:26131
    14Atletico GO24710726:26031
    15Athletic Club24841226:33-728
    16Botafogo SP24771020:33-1328
    17America MG24741325:32-725
    18Amazonas24591025:34-924
    19Volta Redonda24581114:26-1223
    20Paysandu PA24491120:29-921

          Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
          Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )