Result
0:0
16/04/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 3
- Referee: Gomes T. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 World | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.58 | 0.98 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 75% | 25% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (456/511) | 68% (117/173) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.58 | 0.98 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.24 | 0.67 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (456/511) | 68% (117/173) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 60% (25/42) | 40% (18/45) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (87/120) | 56% (25/45) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (7/29) | 20% (2/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.71 | 0.14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 45% (5/11) | 65% (11/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 44 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 9 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.67 | 0.24 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.67 | 0.24 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 26', Filipe Machado 🟨,
- 30', Nicolas Careca ↓, Ruan Assis ↑,
- 38', Dantas 🟥,
- 45', Guilherme Vargas 🟨,
- 45+2', Robson (Pen),
- 45+3', Patrick Brey 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 59', Filipe Machado ↓, Junior Brumado ↑,
- 65', Jean Irmer 🟨,
- 69', Robson ↓, Pablo Dyego ↑,
- 69', Matheus Frizzo ↓, Marlon ↑,
- 70', Gomez S. ↓, Geovane ↑,
- 70', Bruno Melo ↓, de Pena C. ↑,
- 70', Lucas Ronier ↓, Wallisson ↑,
- 85', Luis Oyama ↓, Fabio Matheus ↑,
- 90', Patrick Brey 🟨,
- 90+1', Rodrigo Soares ↓, Renato ↑,
Chances of winning
Coritiba
36.6% | Draw
33.4% | Grêmio Novorizontino
30% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Coritiba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)Grêmio Novorizontino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Coritiba than the current prediction. (+5.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Coritiba, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grêmio Novorizontino than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
Coritiba - Grêmio Novorizontino Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.55 ↑
(2.26) |
2.82 ↓
(3.03) |
3.15 ↓
(3.42) |
6.4%
(6.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Coritiba - Grêmio Novorizontino?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Coritiba will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 77.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 50.6% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- The game of competitors is shaky now.
- Recently Novorizontino have a series of guest games.
- Coritiba will have a poor advantage in this game.
- There will not play in Coritiba: Alex Silva
(Red Card)
Dellatorre
(Inactive)
Everaldo
(Inactive)
Pedro Morisco
(Inactive)
Rodrigo Moledo
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Novorizontino: Airton
(Inactive)
Vitinho
(Inactive)
Willian Farias
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Novorizontino: Cesar Martins
(Injury)
- Last 2 head-to-head matches Coritiba won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:2 (average 1:1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Coritiba won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:2
How many head-to-head matches has Coritiba won against Grêmio Novorizontino?
Coritiba has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Grêmio Novorizontino won against Coritiba?
Grêmio Novorizontino has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Coritiba - Grêmio Novorizontino were as follows:
08.09.2024
Coritiba
-
Grêmio Novorizontino
2:2
17.05.2024
Grêmio Novorizontino
-
Coritiba
0:0
Latest results of Coritiba
Latest results of Grêmio Novorizontino
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Goias | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 23:13 | 10 | 36 |
| 2 | Coritiba | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 19:12 | 7 | 34 |
| 3 | Novorizontino | 17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 22:12 | 10 | 31 |
| 4 | Vila Nova FC | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 17:16 | 1 | 27 |
| 5 | Chapecoense-SC | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 21:16 | 5 | 26 |
| 6 | Remo | 17 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 19:15 | 4 | 26 |
| 7 | Cuiaba | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 19:20 | -1 | 25 |
| 8 | Avai | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 20:18 | 2 | 25 |
| 9 | Athletico-PR | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 22:24 | -2 | 24 |
| 10 | Criciuma | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 20:17 | 3 | 23 |
| 11 | Athletic Club | 18 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 21:25 | -4 | 22 |
| 12 | Operario-PR | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 21:20 | 1 | 22 |
| 13 | CRB | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 16:18 | -2 | 22 |
| 14 | Atletico GO | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 22 |
| 15 | America MG | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 17:21 | -4 | 20 |
| 16 | Ferroviaria | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 18:22 | -4 | 19 |
| 17 | Paysandu PA | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 16:19 | -3 | 18 |
| 18 | Volta Redonda | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 10:16 | -6 | 18 |
| 19 | Botafogo SP | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 12:20 | -8 | 18 |
| 20 | Amazonas | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16:23 | -7 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
