Grêmio Novorizontino vs Coritiba – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie B Grêmio Novorizontino - Coritiba
Result
1:2
14/08/2025 at 20:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie B Superbet - Round 22
  • Referee: Filho A. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+, ESPN 4, RedeTV!, Vivo Play, Zapping

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.680.89
Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
189
Shots on target
34
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
46
Passes
85% (378/443)82% (272/333)
Yellow Cards
54
Expected Goals (xG)
0.680.89
xG on target (xGOT)
1.052.03
Total shots
189
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
94
Blocked Shots
61
Shots inside the Box
76
Shots outside the Box
113
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
46
Touches in opposition box
1414
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
1614
Passes
85% (378/443)82% (272/333)
Long passes
68% (27/40)47% (30/64)
Passes in final third
74% (89/120)64% (51/80)
Crosses
19% (6/31)25% (2/8)
Expected assists (xA)
0.420.66
Throw-ins
2515
Fouls
1417
Tackles
67% (12/18)72% (13/18)
Duels won
5251
Clearances
1030
Interceptions
810
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
2.031.05
Goals prevented
0.030.05

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 18', 0 - 1, Lucas Ronier ,
  • 42+2', Gabriel Leite 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Jean Irmer , Bruno Jose ,
  • 51', Romulo 🟨,
  • 51', Lucas Ronier 🟨,
  • 52', Dellatorre 🟨,
  • 57', Patrick 🟨,
  • 60', Patrick , Luis Oyama ,
  • 60', Waguininho , Matheus Frizzo ,
  • 60', Dellatorre , Gustavo Coutinho ,
  • 61', Clayson , Iury Castilho ,
  • 62', Luis Oyama 🟨,
  • 66', Josue , de Pena C. ,
  • 66', Filipe Machado , Felipe Guimaraes ,
  • 70', Matheus Frizzo 🟨,
  • 73', Romulo , Robson ,
  • 73', Mayk , Leo Tocantins ,
  • 73', Tiago Coser , Guilherme Aquino ,
  • 77', 1 - 1, Matheus Frizzo , Rai Ramos (A),
  • 83', Bruno Jose 🟨,
  • 88', 1 - 2, Lucas Ronier , de Pena C. (A),
  • 90+6', Iury Castilho 🟨,

Chances of winning


Grêmio Novorizontino
38.9%
Draw
34.9%
Coritiba
26.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.2% 33.9% 24.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.3% 33% 24.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Grêmio Novorizontino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • Coritiba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio Novorizontino than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coritiba than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
  • Grêmio Novorizontino - Coritiba Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.41
    (2.28)
    2.69
    (2.77)
    3.57
    (3.78)
    6.8%
    (6.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • What is the prediction for Grêmio Novorizontino - Coritiba?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Novorizontino will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Coritiba will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Novorizontino: 11.9%76.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Coritiba (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A Betano and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A Betano).
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Novorizontino will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Novorizontino: Marlon (Inactive) Renato Palm (Knee Injury) Vitinho (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Coritiba: Jacy (Yellow Cards) Zeca (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Novorizontino: Nathan Fogaca (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Coritiba: Alex Silva (Injury) Rodrigo Moledo (Knock)
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Novorizontino won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).
    • Including home match between the teams, Novorizontino won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Grêmio Novorizontino - Coritiba were as follows:
    16.04.2025 Coritiba - Grêmio Novorizontino 0:0
    08.09.2024 Coritiba - Grêmio Novorizontino 2:2
    17.05.2024 Grêmio Novorizontino - Coritiba 0:0
    Latest results of Grêmio Novorizontino
    Latest results of Coritiba
    08.08.2025 Coritiba - Chapecoense 0:0
    31.07.2025 Vila Nova - Coritiba 1:2
    27.07.2025 Coritiba - Amazonas 1:1
    22.07.2025 Athletic Club - Coritiba 1:1
    19.07.2025 Coritiba - Paysandu 2:5
    Brazilian Serie B Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Criciuma28147736:211549
    2Goias28147734:26849
    3Coritiba28138728:19947
    4Novorizontino281210631:25646
    5Athletico-PR28136942:36645
    6Cuiaba28119834:32242
    7Chapecoense-SC281251138:29941
    8Atletico GO281011731:28341
    9CRB281241231:26540
    10Avai281010836:30640
    11Operario-PR28109931:27439
    12Remo28912729:26339
    13Vila Nova FC281071128:30-237
    14Ferroviaria28712931:35-433
    15Athletic Club28951429:38-932
    16America MG28861427:34-730
    17Volta Redonda28791218:29-1130
    18Botafogo SP28781324:42-1829
    19Amazonas28691328:41-1327
    20Paysandu PA284101421:33-1222

          Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
          Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )