Result
1:2
14/08/2025 at 20:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 22
- Referee: Filho A. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Brazil | Disney+, ESPN 4, RedeTV!, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.68 | 0.89 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (378/443) | 82% (272/333) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.68 | 0.89 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 2.03 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (378/443) | 82% (272/333) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 68% (27/40) | 47% (30/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (89/120) | 64% (51/80) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (6/31) | 25% (2/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.42 | 0.66 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (12/18) | 72% (13/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 10 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
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| 8 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.03 | 1.05 |
| Goals prevented |
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| 0.03 | 0.05 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 18', 0 - 1, Lucas Ronier ⚽,
- 42+2', Gabriel Leite 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Jean Irmer ↓, Bruno Jose ↑,
- 51', Romulo 🟨,
- 51', Lucas Ronier 🟨,
- 52', Dellatorre 🟨,
- 57', Patrick 🟨,
- 60', Patrick ↓, Luis Oyama ↑,
- 60', Waguininho ↓, Matheus Frizzo ↑,
- 60', Dellatorre ↓, Gustavo Coutinho ↑,
- 61', Clayson ↓, Iury Castilho ↑,
- 62', Luis Oyama 🟨,
- 66', Josue ↓, de Pena C. ↑,
- 66', Filipe Machado ↓, Felipe Guimaraes ↑,
- 70', Matheus Frizzo 🟨,
- 73', Romulo ↓, Robson ↑,
- 73', Mayk ↓, Leo Tocantins ↑,
- 73', Tiago Coser ↓, Guilherme Aquino ↑,
- 77', 1 - 1, Matheus Frizzo ⚽, Rai Ramos (A),
- 83', Bruno Jose 🟨,
- 88', 1 - 2, Lucas Ronier ⚽, de Pena C. (A),
- 90+6', Iury Castilho 🟨,
Chances of winning
Grêmio Novorizontino
38.9% | Draw
34.9% | Coritiba
26.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Grêmio Novorizontino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)Coritiba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio Novorizontino than the current prediction. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coritiba than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
Grêmio Novorizontino - Coritiba Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.41 ↑
(2.28) |
2.69 ↓
(2.77) |
3.57 ↓
(3.78) |
6.8%
(6.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Grêmio Novorizontino - Coritiba?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Novorizontino will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Coritiba will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Novorizontino: 11.9% – 76.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Coritiba (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A Betano and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A Betano).
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Novorizontino will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Novorizontino: Marlon
(Inactive)
Renato Palm
(Knee Injury)
Vitinho
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Coritiba: Jacy
(Yellow Cards)
Zeca
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Novorizontino: Nathan Fogaca
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Coritiba: Alex Silva
(Injury)
Rodrigo Moledo
(Knock)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Novorizontino won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).
- Including home match between the teams, Novorizontino won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Grêmio Novorizontino won against Coritiba?
Grêmio Novorizontino has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Coritiba won against Grêmio Novorizontino?
Coritiba has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Grêmio Novorizontino - Coritiba were as follows:
16.04.2025
Coritiba
-
Grêmio Novorizontino
0:0
08.09.2024
Coritiba
-
Grêmio Novorizontino
2:2
17.05.2024
Grêmio Novorizontino
-
Coritiba
0:0
Latest results of Grêmio Novorizontino
Latest results of Coritiba
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coritiba | 22 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 24:15 | 9 | 42 |
| 2 | Goias | 21 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 28:18 | 10 | 41 |
| 3 | Novorizontino | 22 | 9 | 9 | 4 | 25:19 | 6 | 36 |
| 4 | Chapecoense-SC | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 28:20 | 8 | 34 |
| 5 | Remo | 21 | 8 | 9 | 4 | 23:19 | 4 | 33 |
| 6 | Criciuma | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 27:20 | 7 | 32 |
| 7 | Avai | 21 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 29:21 | 8 | 32 |
| 8 | Cuiaba | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 24:24 | 0 | 31 |
| 9 | Vila Nova FC | 21 | 9 | 3 | 9 | 20:20 | 0 | 30 |
| 10 | CRB | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 23:21 | 2 | 28 |
| 11 | Atletico GO | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 21:21 | 0 | 27 |
| 12 | Operario-PR | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 23:22 | 1 | 26 |
| 13 | Athletico-PR | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 27:31 | -4 | 26 |
| 14 | Ferroviaria | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 22:23 | -1 | 26 |
| 15 | Athletic Club | 21 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 23:28 | -5 | 24 |
| 16 | Volta Redonda | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 14:23 | -9 | 22 |
| 17 | America MG | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 21:29 | -8 | 21 |
| 18 | Botafogo SP | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 14:30 | -16 | 21 |
| 19 | Paysandu PA | 21 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 19:23 | -4 | 21 |
| 20 | Amazonas | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 21:29 | -8 | 20 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
