Result
2:0
22/08/2025 at 20:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 23
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Brazil | Disney+, RedeTV!, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.34 | 0.19 |
Ball Possession |
---|
52% | 48% |
Total shots |
---|
15 | 9 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 1 |
Passes |
---|
78% (241/309) | 77% (224/290) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
3 | 5 |
Red Cards |
---|
0 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.34 | 0.19 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
2.19 | 0.00 |
Total shots |
---|
15 | 9 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 0 |
Shots off target |
---|
7 | 7 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
4 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
9 | 2 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
6 | 7 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 1 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
20 | 9 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
1 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
16 | 9 |
Passes |
---|
78% (241/309) | 77% (224/290) |
Long passes |
---|
46% (22/48) | 49% (27/55) |
Passes in final third |
---|
69% (68/98) | 63% (39/62) |
Crosses |
---|
18% (4/22) | 18% (2/11) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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1.12 | 0.24 |
Throw-ins |
---|
28 | 29 |
Fouls |
---|
9 | 16 |
Tackles |
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63% (10/16) | 67% (4/6) |
Duels won |
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58 | 30 |
Clearances |
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19 | 29 |
Interceptions |
---|
10 | 8 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
0 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
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0.00 | 2.19 |
Goals prevented |
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0.00 | 0.19 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 29', Luciano Castan 🟨,
- 29', Rafael Donato 🟨,
- 30', Felipinho 🟨,
- 30', Waguininho 🟨,
- 45+2', Patrick 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 51', Fabio Matheus 🟨,
- 64', 1 - 0, Nicolas ⚽, Marcinho (A),
- 66', Jhonata Robert ↓, Jean Carlos ↑,
- 66', Diego Goncalves ↓, Borasi B. ↑,
- 67', Mayk ↓, Leo Tocantins ↑,
- 67', Waguininho ↓, Ruiz O. ↑,
- 76', Romulo ↓, Nathan Fogaca ↑,
- 78', Marcinho ↓, Leo Alaba ↑,
- 78', Guilherme Lobo ↓, Fellipe Mateus ↑,
- 80', 2 - 0, Borasi B. ⚽, Jean Carlos (A),
- 87', Caio Dantas ↓, Lucca ↑,
- 87', Patrick ↓, Matheus Frizzo ↑,
- 87', Leo Alaba ↓, Leo Mana ↑,
- 88', Nicolas ↓, Thales ↑,
- 89', Rai Ramos ↓, Rodrigo Soares ↑,
- 90', Jean Carlos 🟨,
- 90+6', Fabio Matheus 🟨,
Chances of winning
Criciúma 45.3% | Draw 31.4% | Grêmio Novorizontino 23.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Criciúma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)Grêmio Novorizontino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Criciúma than the current prediction. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio Novorizontino than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
Criciúma - Grêmio Novorizontino Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.07 ↓ (2.15) |
2.97 ↓ (3.1) |
3.94 ↑ (3.4) |
7.3% (8.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Criciúma - Grêmio Novorizontino?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Criciúma will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Novorizontino will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Criciúma (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 7 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A Betano).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Criciúma won 0.
- Criciúma is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Novorizontino's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Criciúma may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Criciúma will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Criciúma: Fellipe Mateus
(Inactive)
Kaua Moroso
(Inactive)
Luiz Henrique
(Yellow Cards)
Matheus Trindade
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Novorizontino: Bruno Jose
(Yellow Cards)
Luis Oyama
(Yellow Cards)
Marlon
(Inactive)
Renato Palm
(Knee Injury)
Vitinho
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Criciúma: Heitor Roca
(Knee Injury)
Jonathan
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Novorizontino: Nathan Fogaca
(Inactive)
Pablo Dyego
(Inactive)
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Criciúma won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:9. (average 0.6:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Criciúma won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Criciúma won against Grêmio Novorizontino?
Criciúma has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Grêmio Novorizontino won against Criciúma?
Grêmio Novorizontino has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Criciúma - Grêmio Novorizontino were as follows:
21.04.2025
Grêmio Novorizontino
-
Criciúma
1:1
25.11.2023
Grêmio Novorizontino
-
Criciúma
2:0
22.07.2023
Criciúma
-
Grêmio Novorizontino
0:1
Latest results of Criciúma
Latest results of Grêmio Novorizontino
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Criciuma | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 36:21 | 15 | 49 |
2 | Goias | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 34:26 | 8 | 49 |
3 | Athletico-PR | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 43:36 | 7 | 48 |
4 | Coritiba | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 28:19 | 9 | 47 |
5 | Novorizontino | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 31:25 | 6 | 46 |
6 | Cuiaba | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 34:32 | 2 | 42 |
7 | Chapecoense-SC | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 38:29 | 9 | 41 |
8 | Atletico GO | 28 | 10 | 11 | 7 | 31:28 | 3 | 41 |
9 | CRB | 28 | 12 | 4 | 12 | 31:26 | 5 | 40 |
10 | Avai | 28 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 36:30 | 6 | 40 |
11 | Operario-PR | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 31:28 | 3 | 39 |
12 | Remo | 28 | 9 | 12 | 7 | 29:26 | 3 | 39 |
13 | Vila Nova FC | 28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 28:30 | -2 | 37 |
14 | Ferroviaria | 28 | 7 | 12 | 9 | 31:35 | -4 | 33 |
15 | Athletic Club | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 29:38 | -9 | 32 |
16 | America MG | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 27:34 | -7 | 30 |
17 | Volta Redonda | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 18:29 | -11 | 30 |
18 | Botafogo SP | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 24:42 | -18 | 29 |
19 | Amazonas | 28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 28:41 | -13 | 27 |
20 | Paysandu PA | 28 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 21:33 | -12 | 22 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )