Criciúma vs Grêmio Novorizontino – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie B Criciúma - Grêmio Novorizontino
Result
2:0
22/08/2025 at 20:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie B Superbet - Round 23
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+, RedeTV!, Vivo Play, Zapping

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.340.19
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
159
Shots on target
40
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
41
Passes
78% (241/309)77% (224/290)
Yellow Cards
35
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
2.340.19
xG on target (xGOT)
2.190.00
Total shots
159
Shots on target
40
Shots off target
77
Blocked Shots
42
Shots inside the Box
92
Shots outside the Box
67
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
41
Touches in opposition box
209
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
169
Passes
78% (241/309)77% (224/290)
Long passes
46% (22/48)49% (27/55)
Passes in final third
69% (68/98)63% (39/62)
Crosses
18% (4/22)18% (2/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.120.24
Throw-ins
2829
Fouls
916
Tackles
63% (10/16)67% (4/6)
Duels won
5830
Clearances
1929
Interceptions
108
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
02
xGOT faced
0.002.19
Goals prevented
0.000.19

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 29', Luciano Castan 🟨,
  • 29', Rafael Donato 🟨,
  • 30', Felipinho 🟨,
  • 30', Waguininho 🟨,
  • 45+2', Patrick 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 51', Fabio Matheus 🟨,
  • 64', 1 - 0, Nicolas , Marcinho (A),
  • 66', Jhonata Robert , Jean Carlos ,
  • 66', Diego Goncalves , Borasi B. ,
  • 67', Mayk , Leo Tocantins ,
  • 67', Waguininho , Ruiz O. ,
  • 76', Romulo , Nathan Fogaca ,
  • 78', Marcinho , Leo Alaba ,
  • 78', Guilherme Lobo , Fellipe Mateus ,
  • 80', 2 - 0, Borasi B. , Jean Carlos (A),
  • 87', Caio Dantas , Lucca ,
  • 87', Patrick , Matheus Frizzo ,
  • 87', Leo Alaba , Leo Mana ,
  • 88', Nicolas , Thales ,
  • 89', Rai Ramos , Rodrigo Soares ,
  • 90', Jean Carlos 🟨,
  • 90+6', Fabio Matheus 🟨,

Chances of winning


Criciúma
45.3%
Draw
31.4%
Grêmio Novorizontino
23.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43% 29.8% 27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7% 28.7% 26.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Criciúma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • Grêmio Novorizontino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Criciúma than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio Novorizontino than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
  • Criciúma - Grêmio Novorizontino Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.07
    (2.15)
    2.97
    (3.1)
    3.94
    (3.4)
    7.3%
    (8.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • What is the prediction for Criciúma - Grêmio Novorizontino?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Criciúma will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Novorizontino will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Criciúma (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 7 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A Betano).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Criciúma won 0.
    • Criciúma is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Novorizontino's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Criciúma may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Criciúma will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Criciúma: Fellipe Mateus (Inactive) Kaua Moroso (Inactive) Luiz Henrique (Yellow Cards) Matheus Trindade (Red Card)
    • There will not play in Novorizontino: Bruno Jose (Yellow Cards) Luis Oyama (Yellow Cards) Marlon (Inactive) Renato Palm (Knee Injury) Vitinho (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Criciúma: Heitor Roca (Knee Injury) Jonathan (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Novorizontino: Nathan Fogaca (Inactive) Pablo Dyego (Inactive)
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Criciúma won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:9. (average 0.6:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Criciúma won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Criciúma - Grêmio Novorizontino were as follows:
    21.04.2025 Grêmio Novorizontino - Criciúma 1:1
    25.11.2023 Grêmio Novorizontino - Criciúma 2:0
    22.07.2023 Criciúma - Grêmio Novorizontino 0:1
    Latest results of Criciúma
    Latest results of Grêmio Novorizontino
    Brazilian Serie B Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Criciuma28147736:211549
    2Goias28147734:26849
    3Athletico-PR29146943:36748
    4Coritiba28138728:19947
    5Novorizontino281210631:25646
    6Cuiaba28119834:32242
    7Chapecoense-SC281251138:29941
    8Atletico GO281011731:28341
    9CRB281241231:26540
    10Avai281010836:30640
    11Operario-PR291091031:28339
    12Remo28912729:26339
    13Vila Nova FC281071128:30-237
    14Ferroviaria28712931:35-433
    15Athletic Club28951429:38-932
    16America MG28861427:34-730
    17Volta Redonda28791218:29-1130
    18Botafogo SP28781324:42-1829
    19Amazonas28691328:41-1327
    20Paysandu PA284101421:33-1222

          Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
          Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )