Result
2:0
22/08/2025 at 20:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 23
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Disney+, RedeTV!, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.34 | 0.19 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (241/309) | 77% (224/290) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.34 | 0.19 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.19 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (241/309) | 77% (224/290) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (22/48) | 49% (27/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (68/98) | 63% (39/62) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (4/22) | 18% (2/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.12 | 0.24 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 28 | 29 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (10/16) | 67% (4/6) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 58 | 30 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 2.19 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.19 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 29', Luciano Castan 🟨,
- 29', Rafael Donato 🟨,
- 30', Felipinho 🟨,
- 30', Waguininho 🟨,
- 45+2', Patrick 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 51', Fabio Matheus 🟨,
- 64', 1 - 0, Nicolas ⚽, Marcinho (A),
- 66', Jhonata Robert ↓, Jean Carlos ↑,
- 66', Diego Goncalves ↓, Borasi B. ↑,
- 67', Mayk ↓, Leo Tocantins ↑,
- 67', Waguininho ↓, Ruiz O. ↑,
- 76', Romulo ↓, Nathan Fogaca ↑,
- 78', Marcinho ↓, Leo Alaba ↑,
- 78', Guilherme Lobo ↓, Fellipe Mateus ↑,
- 80', 2 - 0, Borasi B. ⚽, Jean Carlos (A),
- 87', Caio Dantas ↓, Lucca ↑,
- 87', Patrick ↓, Matheus Frizzo ↑,
- 87', Leo Alaba ↓, Leo Mana ↑,
- 88', Nicolas ↓, Thales ↑,
- 89', Rai Ramos ↓, Rodrigo Soares ↑,
- 90', Jean Carlos 🟨,
- 90+6', Fabio Matheus 🟨,
Chances of winning
Criciúma
45.3% | Draw
31.4% | Grêmio Novorizontino
23.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Criciúma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)Grêmio Novorizontino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Criciúma than the current prediction. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio Novorizontino than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
Criciúma - Grêmio Novorizontino Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.07 ↓
(2.15) |
2.97 ↓
(3.1) |
3.94 ↑
(3.4) |
7.3%
(8.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Criciúma - Grêmio Novorizontino?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Criciúma will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Novorizontino will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Criciúma (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 7 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A Betano).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Criciúma won 0.
- Criciúma is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Novorizontino's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Criciúma may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Criciúma will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Criciúma: Fellipe Mateus
(Inactive)
Kaua Moroso
(Inactive)
Luiz Henrique
(Yellow Cards)
Matheus Trindade
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Novorizontino: Bruno Jose
(Yellow Cards)
Luis Oyama
(Yellow Cards)
Marlon
(Inactive)
Renato Palm
(Knee Injury)
Vitinho
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Criciúma: Heitor Roca
(Knee Injury)
Jonathan
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Novorizontino: Nathan Fogaca
(Inactive)
Pablo Dyego
(Inactive)
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Criciúma won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:9. (average 0.6:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Criciúma won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Criciúma won against Grêmio Novorizontino?
Criciúma has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Grêmio Novorizontino won against Criciúma?
Grêmio Novorizontino has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Criciúma - Grêmio Novorizontino were as follows:
21.04.2025
Grêmio Novorizontino
-
Criciúma
1:1
25.11.2023
Grêmio Novorizontino
-
Criciúma
2:0
22.07.2023
Criciúma
-
Grêmio Novorizontino
0:1
Latest results of Criciúma
Latest results of Grêmio Novorizontino
Brazilian Serie B Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Avai | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Ceara | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Sport Recife | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Goias | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Nautico | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | CRB | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Criciuma | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Vila Nova FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Juventude | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Ponte Preta | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Fortaleza | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Atletico GO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | America MG | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Botafogo SP | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Londrina | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Sao Bernardo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | Cuiaba | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | Operario-PR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 | Novorizontino | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 | Athletic Club | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Promotion ~ Serie B Superbet (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
