Result
1:1
21/04/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 4
- Referee: Correia B. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.68 | 0.53 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 78% | 22% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 25 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (528/587) | 65% (115/176) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.68 | 0.53 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.11 | 0.70 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 25 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 13 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 15 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 8 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (528/587) | 65% (115/176) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 82% (46/56) | 34% (18/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 85% (245/288) | 56% (34/61) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (12/51) | 13% (1/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.40 | 0.24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 91% (10/11) | 82% (9/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 48 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 20 | 60 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.70 | 1.11 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.30 | 0.11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 19', 0 - 1, Werik Popo ⚽, Leo Alaba (A),
- 33', Werik Popo 🟥,
- 39', Renato ↓, Bruno Jose ↑,
- 43', Everton Morelli 🟨,
- 45+1', Juninho 🟨,
- 45+5', Jean Irmer 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Leo Tocantins ↓, Lucca ↑,
- 46', Jean Irmer ↓, Marlon ↑,
- 56', 1 - 1, Luis Oyama ⚽, Matheus Frizzo (A),
- 62', Juninho ↓, Hudson ↑,
- 62', Everton Morelli ↓, Luiz Henrique ↑,
- 69', Leo Alaba ↓, Marcinho ↑,
- 69', Diego Goncalves ↓, Gabriel Novaes ↑,
- 71', Rafael Donato 🟨,
- 72', Robson ↓, Nathan Fogaca ↑,
- 79', Rodrigo Soares ↓, Igor Formiga ↑,
- 90+1', Gabriel Novaes 🟨,
Chances of winning
Grêmio Novorizontino
48.7% | Draw
29.6% | Criciúma
21.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Grêmio Novorizontino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)Criciúma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio Novorizontino than the current prediction. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Criciúma than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
Grêmio Novorizontino - Criciúma Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.93 ↑
(1.9) |
3.16 ↓
(3.4) |
4.33 ↑
(3.75) |
6.5%
(8.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Grêmio Novorizontino - Criciúma?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Novorizontino will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Criciúma will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Novorizontino: 40% – 93.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Novorizontino (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Novorizontino won 4.
- One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
- Recently Novorizontino have a series of guest games.
- In this match Novorizontino is a favorite.
- There will not play in Novorizontino: Airton
(Inactive)
Cesar Martins
(Injury)
Dantas
(Red Card)
Patrick Brey
(Red Card)
Vitinho
(Inactive)
Willian Farias
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Criciúma: Caique
(Inactive)
Guilherme Lobo
(Injury)
Jonathan
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Criciúma: Ze Gabriel
(Inactive)
- Last 6 head-to-head matches Novorizontino won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:3 (average 1.3:0.5).
- Including matches at home between the teams Novorizontino won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:1 (average 2:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Grêmio Novorizontino won against Criciúma?
Grêmio Novorizontino has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Criciúma won against Grêmio Novorizontino?
Criciúma has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Grêmio Novorizontino - Criciúma were as follows:
25.11.2023
Grêmio Novorizontino
-
Criciúma
2:0
22.07.2023
Criciúma
-
Grêmio Novorizontino
0:1
Latest results of Grêmio Novorizontino
Latest results of Criciúma
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Goias | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 23:13 | 10 | 36 |
| 2 | Coritiba | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 19:12 | 7 | 34 |
| 3 | Novorizontino | 17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 22:12 | 10 | 31 |
| 4 | Vila Nova FC | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 17:16 | 1 | 27 |
| 5 | Chapecoense-SC | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 21:16 | 5 | 26 |
| 6 | Remo | 17 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 19:15 | 4 | 26 |
| 7 | Cuiaba | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 19:20 | -1 | 25 |
| 8 | Avai | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 20:18 | 2 | 25 |
| 9 | Athletico-PR | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 22:24 | -2 | 24 |
| 10 | Criciuma | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 20:17 | 3 | 23 |
| 11 | Athletic Club | 18 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 21:25 | -4 | 22 |
| 12 | Operario-PR | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 21:20 | 1 | 22 |
| 13 | CRB | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 16:18 | -2 | 22 |
| 14 | Atletico GO | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 22 |
| 15 | America MG | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 17:21 | -4 | 20 |
| 16 | Ferroviaria | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 18:22 | -4 | 19 |
| 17 | Paysandu PA | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 16:19 | -3 | 18 |
| 18 | Volta Redonda | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 10:16 | -6 | 18 |
| 19 | Botafogo SP | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 12:20 | -8 | 18 |
| 20 | Amazonas | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16:23 | -7 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
