Santos vs Grêmio – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie A Santos - Grêmio
01/10/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Santos
43.3%
Draw
29.3%
Grêmio
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.8% 29.4% 27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1% 30.3% 26.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Santos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • Grêmio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santos than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grêmio than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
  • Santos - Grêmio Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.19
    (2.2)
    3.3
    (3.2)
    3.55
    (3.4)
    4.1%
    (6.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Santos - Grêmio?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Santos (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Santos will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 15 and 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santos won 2.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Santos may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Santos will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Santos won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 24:29. (average 1.2:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Santos won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:10. (average 1.3:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Santos - Grêmio were as follows:
    04.05.2025 Grêmio - Santos 1:0
    20.08.2023 Santos - Grêmio 2:1
    16.04.2023 Grêmio - Santos 1:0
    Latest results of Santos
    21.09.2025 Santos - São Paulo 1:0
    14.09.2025 Atlético Mineiro - Santos 1:1
    31.08.2025 Santos - Fluminense 0:0
    24.08.2025 Bahia - Santos 2:0
    17.08.2025 Santos - Vasco da Gama 0:6
    Latest results of Grêmio
    24.09.2025 Grêmio - Botafogo RJ 1:1
    21.09.2025 Internacional RS - Grêmio 2:3
    13.09.2025 Grêmio - Mirassol 0:1
    31.08.2025 Flamengo - Grêmio 1:1
    23.08.2025 Grêmio - Ceará 0:0
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flamengo RJ23156248:113751
    2Cruzeiro24155439:172250
    3Palmeiras22154336:181849
    4Mirassol23119341:231842
    5Botafogo RJ24117635:181740
    6Bahia23107631:28337
    7Sao Paulo2498727:24335
    8Fluminense2294926:29-331
    9Bragantino24941129:35-631
    10Corinthians2478924:29-529
    11Gremio2478924:30-629
    12Ceara2377922:23-128
    13Vasco24761136:35127
    14Internacional23761028:36-827
    15Santos23751122:32-1026
    16Atletico-MG2267921:26-525
    17Vitoria244101019:35-1622
    18Juventude23631419:45-2621
    19Fortaleza23461323:38-1518
    20Sport Recife22281216:34-1814

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet