Result
1:0
04/05/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 7
- Referee: Arleu B. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, TV Globo, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 0.47 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (284/355) | 86% (371/430) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 0.47 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.73 | 0.04 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 11 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (284/355) | 86% (371/430) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 29% (12/41) | 57% (31/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (41/67) | 79% (103/130) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (2/14) | 23% (5/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.53 | 0.78 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 86% (18/21) | 65% (17/26) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 58 | 65 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 39 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.04 | 0.73 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.04 | -0.27 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 5', Luan Peres 🟨,
- 10', Luisao 🟨,
- 36', Igor Serrote 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Edenilson ↓, Alysson ↑,
- 48', Braithwaite M. 🟨,
- 58', Walter Kannemann 🟨,
- 61', Rollheiser B. ↓, Gabriel Bontempo ↑,
- 61', Cristaldo F. ↓, Monsalve M. ↑,
- 70', Cuellar G. ↓, Camilo Reijers ↑,
- 74', Deivid Washington ↓, Tiquinho Soares ↑,
- 75', Escobar G. ↓, Kevyson ↑,
- 76', Rincon T. 🟨,
- 77', 1 - 0, Olivera C. ⚽,
- 83', Joao Schmidt ↓, Mateus Xavier ↑,
- 83', Luisao ↓, Joao Pedro Chermont ↑,
- 89', Braithwaite M. ↓, Arezo M. ↑,
- 89', Olivera C. ↓, Viery ↑,
- 90+3', Marlon 🟨,
- 90+6', Edenilson 🟨,
Chances of winning
Grêmio
42.2% | Draw
30.3% | Santos
27.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Grêmio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)Santos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grêmio than the current prediction. (-3.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santos than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
Grêmio - Santos Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.25 ↓
(2.42) |
3.14 ↓
(3.26) |
3.45 ↑
(2.95) |
5.2%
(5.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Grêmio - Santos?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Grêmio will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +0.5, 1st Half - Grêmio (votes: 4 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grêmio won 1.
- Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
- Grêmio may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Grêmio has had a series of away games.
- Grêmio could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Grêmio: Amuzu F.
(Muscle Injury)
Arezo M.
(Muscle Injury)
Gustavo Martins
(Knee Injury)
Rodrigo Ely
(Injury)
Villasanti M.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Santos: Barreal A.
(Inactive)
Gabriel Bontempo
(Inactive)
Neymar
(Hamstring Injury)
Soteldo Y.
(Muscle Injury)
Souza
(Ankle Injury)
Thaciano
(Inactive)
Ze Rafael
(Back Injury)
- There are questionable in Grêmio: Luan Candido
(Inactive)
Mayk
(Hamstring Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Grêmio won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 28:24. (average 1.4:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Grêmio won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:12. (average 1.8:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Grêmio won against Santos?
Grêmio has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Santos won against Grêmio?
Santos has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Grêmio - Santos were as follows:
20.08.2023
Santos
-
Grêmio
2:1
16.04.2023
Grêmio
-
Santos
1:0
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 45:10 | 35 | 47 |
| 2 | Cruzeiro | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 35:15 | 20 | 44 |
| 3 | Palmeiras | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 28:16 | 12 | 43 |
| 4 | Bahia | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 28:22 | 6 | 36 |
| 5 | Botafogo RJ | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 30:13 | 17 | 35 |
| 6 | Mirassol | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 35:20 | 15 | 35 |
| 7 | Sao Paulo | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 26:23 | 3 | 32 |
| 8 | Bragantino | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 27:32 | -5 | 30 |
| 9 | Fluminense | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 25:28 | -3 | 28 |
| 10 | Internacional | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 25:29 | -4 | 27 |
| 11 | Ceara | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 19:20 | -1 | 26 |
| 12 | Corinthians | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 23:28 | -5 | 26 |
| 13 | Gremio | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 20:26 | -6 | 25 |
| 14 | Atletico-MG | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 20:24 | -4 | 24 |
| 15 | Vasco | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 30:31 | -1 | 22 |
| 16 | Santos | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 20:31 | -11 | 22 |
| 17 | Vitoria | 22 | 4 | 10 | 8 | 19:32 | -13 | 22 |
| 18 | Juventude | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 19:41 | -22 | 21 |
| 19 | Fortaleza | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 20:34 | -14 | 15 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 14:33 | -19 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
