Result
1:0
04/05/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 7
- Referee: Arleu B. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, TV Globo, Vivo Play, Zapping |
China | K-Ball |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.62 | 0.47 |
Ball Possession |
---|
45% | 55% |
Total shots |
---|
8 | 13 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 6 |
Passes |
---|
80% (284/355) | 86% (371/430) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
3 | 3 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.62 | 0.47 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.73 | 0.04 |
Total shots |
---|
8 | 13 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 1 |
Shots off target |
---|
3 | 7 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
2 | 5 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
6 | 6 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
2 | 7 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 6 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
11 | 22 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
1 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 3 |
Free Kicks |
---|
19 | 10 |
Passes |
---|
80% (284/355) | 86% (371/430) |
Long passes |
---|
29% (12/41) | 57% (31/54) |
Passes in final third |
---|
61% (41/67) | 79% (103/130) |
Crosses |
---|
14% (2/14) | 23% (5/22) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.53 | 0.78 |
Throw-ins |
---|
21 | 21 |
Fouls |
---|
10 | 19 |
Tackles |
---|
86% (18/21) | 65% (17/26) |
Duels won |
---|
58 | 65 |
Clearances |
---|
39 | 32 |
Interceptions |
---|
10 | 7 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
2 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
1 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.04 | 0.73 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.04 | -0.27 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 5', Luan Peres 🟨,
- 10', Luisao 🟨,
- 36', Igor Serrote 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Edenilson ↓, Alysson ↑,
- 48', Braithwaite M. 🟨,
- 58', Walter Kannemann 🟨,
- 61', Rollheiser B. ↓, Gabriel Bontempo ↑,
- 61', Cristaldo F. ↓, Monsalve M. ↑,
- 70', Cuellar G. ↓, Camilo Reijers ↑,
- 74', Deivid Washington ↓, Tiquinho Soares ↑,
- 75', Escobar G. ↓, Kevyson ↑,
- 76', Rincon T. 🟨,
- 77', 1 - 0, Olivera C. ⚽,
- 83', Joao Schmidt ↓, Mateus Xavier ↑,
- 83', Luisao ↓, Joao Pedro Chermont ↑,
- 89', Braithwaite M. ↓, Arezo M. ↑,
- 89', Olivera C. ↓, Viery ↑,
- 90+3', Marlon 🟨,
- 90+6', Edenilson 🟨,
Chances of winning
Grêmio 42.2% | Draw 30.3% | Santos 27.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Grêmio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)Santos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grêmio than the current prediction. (-3.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santos than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
Grêmio - Santos Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.25 ↓ (2.42) |
3.14 ↓ (3.26) |
3.45 ↑ (2.95) |
5.2% (5.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Grêmio - Santos?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Grêmio will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grêmio won 1.
- Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
- Grêmio may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Grêmio has had a series of away games.
- Grêmio could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Grêmio: Amuzu F.
(Muscle Injury)
Arezo M.
(Muscle Injury)
Gustavo Martins
(Knee Injury)
Rodrigo Ely
(Injury)
Villasanti M.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Santos: Barreal A.
(Inactive)
Gabriel Bontempo
(Inactive)
Neymar
(Hamstring Injury)
Soteldo Y.
(Muscle Injury)
Souza
(Ankle Injury)
Thaciano
(Inactive)
Ze Rafael
(Back Injury)
- There are questionable in Grêmio: Luan Candido
(Inactive)
Mayk
(Hamstring Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Grêmio won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 28:24. (average 1.4:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Grêmio won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:12. (average 1.8:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Grêmio won against Santos?
Grêmio has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Santos won against Grêmio?
Santos has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Grêmio - Santos were as follows:
20.08.2023
Santos
-
Grêmio
2:1
16.04.2023
Grêmio
-
Santos
1:0
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Cruzeiro | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 27:9 | 18 | 34 |
2 | Flamengo RJ | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 29:6 | 23 | 33 |
3 | Palmeiras | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 18:12 | 6 | 29 |
4 | Bragantino | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 19:17 | 2 | 27 |
5 | Botafogo RJ | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 17:7 | 10 | 25 |
6 | Bahia | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 17:13 | 4 | 25 |
7 | Mirassol | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 23:13 | 10 | 24 |
8 | Fluminense | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 16:17 | -1 | 20 |
9 | Atletico-MG | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 16:15 | 1 | 20 |
10 | Internacional | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16:19 | -3 | 20 |
11 | Corinthians | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 15:19 | -4 | 20 |
12 | Ceara | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 14:15 | -1 | 18 |
13 | Gremio | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 14:20 | -6 | 17 |
14 | Sao Paulo | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 14:18 | -4 | 16 |
15 | Vitoria | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 13:17 | -4 | 16 |
16 | Vasco | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 15:19 | -4 | 14 |
17 | Santos | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 13:19 | -6 | 14 |
18 | Juventude | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 10:28 | -18 | 11 |
19 | Fortaleza | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 13:20 | -7 | 11 |
20 | Sport Recife | 14 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 7:23 | -16 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet