Grenoble vs Montpellier – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
13/12/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 2 - Round 17
  • Referee: Kubler G. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Free

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.181.22
Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
1411
Shots on target
45
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
75
Passes
76% (271/358)80% (365/455)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.181.22
xG on target (xGOT)
1.462.13
Total shots
1411
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
73
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
710
Shots outside the Box
71
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
75
Touches in opposition box
2435
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
33
Free Kicks
1316
Passes
76% (271/358)80% (365/455)
Long passes
61% (40/66)38% (23/61)
Passes in final third
70% (78/111)59% (77/130)
Crosses
18% (4/22)21% (4/19)
Expected assists (xA)
1.201.09
Throw-ins
1519
Fouls
1613
Tackles
64% (14/22)69% (11/16)
Duels won
6057
Clearances
3221
Interceptions
104
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
43
xGOT faced
2.131.46
Goals prevented
1.130.46

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 62', 0 - 1, Savanier T. , Mbuku N. (A),
  • 63', Mion M. , Xantippe M. ,
  • 63', Djitte M. , Elphege N. ,
  • 63', Bangre M. , Mbock H. ,
  • 78', Diaby Y. , Zahui N. ,
  • 81', 1 - 1, Elphege N. , Zahui N. (A),
  • 86', Chennahi T. 🟨,
  • 87', Sarikaya E. , Vidal C. ,
  • 89', Chennahi T. , Mouanga Y. ,
  • 90', Orakpo V. , Pays N. ,

Chances of winning


Grenoble
27.7%
Draw
27.5%
Montpellier
44.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.4% 29.8% 39.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.9% 29.3% 39.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Grenoble has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
  • Montpellier has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Montpellier's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grenoble than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montpellier than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Montpellier, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Grenoble - Montpellier Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.38
    (3.07)
    3.4
    (3.13)
    2.1
    (2.35)
    6.7%
    (7.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Grenoble - Montpellier?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Grenoble will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). Montpellier will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 38.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Grenoble: 12%65%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.25 - Grenoble (2.01) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 0.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Grenoble (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 12 and 8).
    • Grenoble is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Montpellier has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Grenoble may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Montpellier could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Grenoble: Mambo S. (Inactive) Mouazan B. (Inactive) N'Gatta A. L. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Montpellier: Gueguin A. (Inactive) Jullien C. (Knee Injury) Laporte J. (Inactive) Ngosso G. (Knee Injury) Sishuba A. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Grenoble: Djitte M. (Injury) Xantippe M. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Montpellier: Sainte-Luce T. (Injury)
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Grenoble
    05.12.2025 Grenoble - Nancy 1:0
    28.11.2025 Annecy - Grenoble 1:2
    21.11.2025 Boulogne - Grenoble 3:1
    07.11.2025 Grenoble - Rodez 2:1
    Latest results of Montpellier
    06.12.2025 Montpellier - Pau 0:1
    24.11.2025 Reims - Montpellier 2:0
    16.11.2025 Agde - Montpellier 0:2
    07.11.2025 Montpellier - Annecy 1:0
    French Ligue 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Troyes27166544:271754
    2St Etienne27155746:291750
    3Le Mans271211437:261147
    4Red Star27128731:27444
    5Reims271110639:261343
    6Rodez271110634:32243
    7Montpellier271251033:25841
    8Dunkerque27109842:291339
    9Annecy271161035:30539
    10Guingamp27109838:38039
    11Pau FC27108940:44-438
    12Boulogne27961230:38-833
    13Grenoble27612924:30-630
    14Clermont27771330:36-628
    15Nancy27761424:40-1627
    16Amiens27651630:46-1623
    17Laval273111321:39-1820
    18Bastia273101414:30-1619

          Promotion ~ Ligue 1
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Ligue 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ National