Grenoble vs Montpellier – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
13/12/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 2 - Round 17
  • Referee: Kubler G. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Free

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.181.22
Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
1411
Shots on target
45
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
75
Passes
76% (271/358)80% (365/455)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.181.22
xG on target (xGOT)
1.462.13
Total shots
1411
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
73
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
710
Shots outside the Box
71
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
75
Touches in opposition box
2435
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
33
Free Kicks
1316
Passes
76% (271/358)80% (365/455)
Long passes
61% (40/66)38% (23/61)
Passes in final third
70% (78/111)59% (77/130)
Crosses
18% (4/22)21% (4/19)
Expected assists (xA)
1.201.09
Throw-ins
1519
Fouls
1613
Tackles
64% (14/22)69% (11/16)
Duels won
6057
Clearances
3221
Interceptions
104
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
43
xGOT faced
2.131.46
Goals prevented
1.130.46

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 62', 0 - 1, Savanier T. , Mbuku N. (A),
  • 63', Mion M. , Xantippe M. ,
  • 63', Djitte M. , Elphege N. ,
  • 63', Bangre M. , Mbock H. ,
  • 78', Diaby Y. , Zahui N. ,
  • 81', 1 - 1, Elphege N. , Zahui N. (A),
  • 86', Chennahi T. 🟨,
  • 87', Sarikaya E. , Vidal C. ,
  • 89', Chennahi T. , Mouanga Y. ,
  • 90', Orakpo V. , Pays N. ,

Chances of winning


Grenoble
27.7%
Draw
27.5%
Montpellier
44.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.4% 29.8% 39.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.9% 29.3% 39.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Grenoble has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
  • Montpellier has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Montpellier's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grenoble than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montpellier than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Montpellier, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Grenoble - Montpellier Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.38
    (3.07)
    3.4
    (3.13)
    2.1
    (2.35)
    6.7%
    (7.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Grenoble - Montpellier?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Grenoble will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). Montpellier will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 38.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Grenoble: 12%65%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.25 - Grenoble (2.01) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 0.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Grenoble (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 12 and 8).
    • Grenoble is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Montpellier has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Grenoble may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Montpellier could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Grenoble: Mambo S. (Inactive) Mouazan B. (Inactive) N'Gatta A. L. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Montpellier: Gueguin A. (Inactive) Jullien C. (Knee Injury) Laporte J. (Inactive) Ngosso G. (Knee Injury) Sishuba A. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Grenoble: Djitte M. (Injury) Xantippe M. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Montpellier: Sainte-Luce T. (Injury)
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Grenoble
    05.12.2025 Grenoble - Nancy 1:0
    28.11.2025 Annecy - Grenoble 1:2
    21.11.2025 Boulogne - Grenoble 3:1
    07.11.2025 Grenoble - Rodez 2:1
    Latest results of Montpellier
    06.12.2025 Montpellier - Pau 0:1
    24.11.2025 Reims - Montpellier 2:0
    16.11.2025 Agde - Montpellier 0:2
    07.11.2025 Montpellier - Annecy 1:0
    French Ligue 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Troyes24136538:251345
    2St Etienne24134741:291243
    3Reims24118537:231441
    4Le Mans241010430:24640
    5Red Star24117630:25540
    6Dunkerque24108640:251538
    7Annecy24106832:25736
    8Rodez2499631:31036
    9Montpellier241041028:25334
    10Guingamp2497835:36-134
    11Pau FC2497837:39-234
    12Grenoble24610824:29-528
    13Nancy24751221:32-1126
    14Boulogne24751225:36-1126
    15Clermont24671127:32-525
    16Amiens24651328:39-1123
    17Bastia24391212:25-1318
    18Laval24391218:34-1618

          Promotion ~ Ligue 1
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Ligue 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ National