Bristol Rovers vs Grimsby Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

21/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Memorial Stadium (Bristol).

League Two - Round 34
Referee: Yates O. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
2.21	1.10
Ball possession
37%	63%
Total shots
19	9
Shots on target
3	6
Big chances
1	1
Corner kicks
5	4
Passes
63% (155/245)	73% (309/422)
Yellow cards
3	0
Expected goals (xG)
2.21	1.10
xG on target (xGOT)
0.90	1.86
Total shots
19	9
Shots on target
3	6
Shots off target
6	2
Blocked shots
10	1
Shots inside the box
12	8
Shots outside the box
7	1
Hit the woodwork
0	1
Big chances
1	1
Corner kicks
5	4
Touches in opposition box
30	24
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
4	5
Free kicks
13	18
Passes
63% (155/245)	73% (309/422)
Long passes
31% (24/78)	33% (24/73)
Passes in final third
52% (64/122)	54% (69/128)
Crosses
62% (8/13)	38% (6/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.59	1.88
Throw ins
13	28
Fouls
18	13
Tackles
63% (10/16)	63% (12/19)
Duels won
53	63
Clearances
32	27
Interceptions
9	5
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
5	0
xGOT faced
1.86	0.90
Goals prevented
0.86	-2.10

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 1)
2', 1 - 0, Balmer K. ⚽,
7', 2 - 0, Quigley J. ⚽, Akhamrich Y. (A),
38', 2 - 1, Cook A. ⚽, Vernam C. (A),
45+1', Mola C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', Harrison E. 🟨,
63', 3 - 1, Akhamrich Y. ⚽,
66', Quigley J. ↓, Omochere P. ↑,
66', Thompson-Sommers K. ↓, Thomas L. ↑,
69', McJannet C. ↓, Burns D. ↑,
71', Smallwood R. 🟨,
79', Green K. ↓, Turi G. D. ↑,
80', Walker J. ↓, Amaluzor J. ↑,
83', Harrison E. ↓, Cavegn F. ↑,
89', Vernam C. ↓, Sellars-Fleming T. ↑,
90', Akhamrich Y. ↓, Rijks M. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Bristol Rovers
30.4%

Draw
27.8%

Grimsby Town
41.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.6%

28%

37.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34%

27.5%

38.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bristol Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Grimsby Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bristol Rovers than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grimsby Town than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Bristol Rovers - Grimsby Town Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.08 ↑ (2.63)	3.36 ↑ (3.25)	2.23 ↓ (2.44)	7.2% (9.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Bristol Rovers - Grimsby Town?

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Grimsby will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Grimsby: 15.4% – 84.6%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 22 and 10).
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Grimsby may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Grimsby has had a series of home games.
Grimsby might have a minor edge in this game.
There will not play in Bristol Rovers: Harbottle R. (Inactive) McEachran J. (Inactive) Southam-Hales M. (Inactive) Sparkes J. (Yellow Cards)
There will not play in Grimsby: Gardner C. (Hamstring Injury) Pym C. (Inactive) Svanthorsson J. (Illness) Tharme D. (Injury)
There are questionable in Bristol Rovers: Forde S. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Grimsby: Lavelle S. (Inactive)
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Bristol Rovers won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:1. (average 0.8:0.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Bristol Rovers won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Bristol Rovers won against Grimsby Town?

Bristol Rovers has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Grimsby Town won against Bristol Rovers?

Grimsby Town has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Bristol Rovers - Grimsby Town were as follows:

30.08.2025 Grimsby Town - Bristol Rovers 0:1

Latest results of Bristol Rovers

17.02.2026 Oldham Athletic - Bristol Rovers 2:0 ✺

14.02.2026 Cambridge United - Bristol Rovers 3:1 ✺

07.02.2026 Bristol Rovers - Chesterfield 2:3 ✺

03.02.2026 Bristol Rovers - Walsall 2:0 ✺

31.01.2026 Bristol Rovers - Newport County 3:0 ✺

Latest results of Grimsby Town

18.02.2026 Grimsby Town - Walsall 2:2 ✺

15.02.2026 Grimsby Town - Wolverhampton Wanderers 0:1 ✺

11.02.2026 Grimsby Town - Accrington Stanley 1:0 ✺

07.02.2026 Newport County - Grimsby Town 0:0 ✺

31.01.2026 Grimsby Town - Milton Keynes Dons 2:2 ✺

English League Two Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bromley	35	19	12	4	58:35	23	69
2	Cambridge Utd	34	18	10	6	49:27	22	64
3	MK Dons	34	17	11	6	63:34	29	62
4	Swindon	35	19	5	11	57:41	16	62
5	Notts Co	34	18	7	9	52:33	19	61
6	Chesterfield	35	14	14	7	55:44	11	56
7	Crewe	35	16	8	11	52:41	11	56
8	Grimsby	34	15	10	9	49:38	11	55
9	Salford	34	17	4	13	47:46	1	55
10	Barnet	35	14	11	10	44:37	7	53
11	Walsall	34	15	8	11	42:37	5	53
12	Colchester	34	13	10	11	48:38	10	49
13	Fleetwood	34	13	9	12	44:42	2	48
14	Oldham	33	11	13	9	36:30	6	46
15	Accrington	34	13	7	14	37:36	1	46
16	Gillingham	33	11	11	11	41:41	0	44
17	Shrewsbury	35	10	8	17	34:54	-20	38
18	Cheltenham	33	10	6	17	34:55	-21	36
19	Tranmere	35	9	8	18	47:62	-15	35
20	Bristol Rovers	34	9	4	21	33:57	-24	31
21	Crawley	35	6	10	19	33:56	-23	28
22	Newport	35	7	7	21	35:61	-26	28
23	Barrow	33	7	6	20	33:51	-18	27
24	Harrogate	35	6	9	20	25:52	-27	27

      Promotion ~ League One
      Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ National League