Grimsby Town vs Bristol Rovers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Two Grimsby Town - Bristol Rovers
Result
0:1
30/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 6
  • Referee: Hair N. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.060.58
Ball Possession
67%33%
Total shots
128
Shots on target
23
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
98
Passes
79% (353/448)51% (111/219)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
1.060.58
xG on target (xGOT)
0.140.87
Total shots
128
Shots on target
23
Shots off target
51
Blocked Shots
54
Shots inside the Box
84
Shots outside the Box
44
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
98
Touches in opposition box
3316
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
41
Free Kicks
159
Passes
79% (353/448)51% (111/219)
Long passes
45% (30/67)25% (20/80)
Passes in final third
67% (89/133)36% (34/94)
Crosses
25% (7/28)0% (0/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.980.27
Throw-ins
3921
Fouls
915
Tackles
64% (7/11)50% (8/16)
Duels won
5646
Clearances
3326
Interceptions
47
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
0.870.14
Goals prevented
-0.130.14

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 25', Amaluzor J. 🟨,
  • 27', 0 - 1, Southam-Hales M. ,
  • 39', Lopata K. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Amaluzor J. , Burns D. ,
  • 46', Turi G. D. , McEachran G. ,
  • 52', Sotiriou R. , Cavegn F. ,
  • 58', Kilgour A. 🟨,
  • 63', Thomas L. , Moore T. ,
  • 63', Harrison E. , Howley R. ,
  • 74', McEachran J. , Hutchinson I. ,
  • 80', Kabia J. , Gardner C. ,
  • 80', Staunton R. , Rose D. ,
  • 81', 🟨,
  • 90+1', Vernam C. , Oduor C. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Grimsby Town
45.7%
Draw
25.6%
Bristol Rovers
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.5% 26.1% 24.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.2% 25.7% 24.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Grimsby Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
  • Bristol Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grimsby Town than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bristol Rovers than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
  • Grimsby Town - Bristol Rovers Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.06
    (1.9)
    3.62
    (3.61)
    3.27
    (3.84)
    6.7%
    (6.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Grimsby Town - Bristol Rovers?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Grimsby will win (votes: 6 - 50%). Bristol Rovers will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Grimsby: 21.7%78.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Grimsby (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Grimsby is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Bristol Rovers has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Bristol Rovers may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Bristol Rovers has had a series of home games.
    • Grimsby could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Grimsby: Svanthorsson J. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Bristol Rovers: Forde S. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Grimsby: Gilsenan Z. (Inactive) Lavelle S. (Calf Injury) Tharme D. (Inactive) Walker J. (Inactive)
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Grimsby won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.7).
    • Including home match between the teams, Grimsby won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    Latest results of Grimsby Town
    Latest results of Bristol Rovers
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Walsall1071215:8722
    2Swindon1070321:13821
    3Gillingham1063115:7821
    4Salford1061317:13419
    5Grimsby1053221:13818
    6Chesterfield1053218:13518
    7Bristol Rovers1052312:11117
    8Crewe1051414:11316
    9MK Dons1043316:10615
    10Cambridge Utd1043311:9215
    11Fleetwood1043315:14115
    12Notts Co1042417:12514
    13Oldham103529:6314
    14Bromley1035214:12214
    15Barnet1042412:12014
    16Harrogate1042411:12-114
    17Barrow104069:12-312
    18Tranmere924313:12110
    19Accrington92347:11-49
    20Colchester1015410:14-48
    21Crawley102268:17-98
    22Newport1012710:20-105
    23Shrewsbury101277:20-135
    24Cheltenham101184:24-204

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League