Result
1:0
18/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 13
- Referee: Kennard-Kettle Z. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.05 | 0.22 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 77% | 23% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (503/583) | 40% (67/166) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.05 | 0.22 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.11 | 0.15 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 65 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (503/583) | 40% (67/166) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (18/39) | 31% (21/67) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 83% (217/260) | 29% (22/75) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (5/26) | 27% (3/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.81 | 0.30 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (10/18) | 64% (14/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 68 | 65 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 32 | 45 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.15 | 1.11 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.15 | 0.11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 27', Kabia J. 🟨,
- 33', Hutton R. 🟥,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 50', Green K. 🟨,
- 56', Rodgers H. 🟨,
- 58', 1 - 0, Vernam C. (Pen),
- 58', Palmer-Houlden S. ↓, Nevitt E. ↑,
- 59', Andrews J. ↓, Vokes S. ↑,
- 60', Williams J. 🟨,
- 63', Williams J. 🟨,
- 65', Dack B. ↓, Little A. ↑,
- 66', Coleman E. 🟨,
- 66', Little A. 🟨,
- 79', Vernam C. ↓, Soonsup-Bell J. ↑,
- 80', Walker J. ↓, Khouri E. ↑,
- 83', Gale S. 🟨,
- 84', Clark M. 🟨,
- 87', Clark M. ↓, Cirino L. ↑,
- 88', Kabia J. ↓, Rose D. ↑,
- 90+8', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Grimsby Town
46.1% | Draw
28.9% | Gillingham
25% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Grimsby Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)Gillingham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grimsby Town than the current prediction. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gillingham than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
Grimsby Town - Gillingham Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.07 ↑
(1.86) |
3.29 ↓
(3.52) |
3.98 ↓
(4.07) |
3.9%
(6.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Grimsby Town - Gillingham?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Grimsby will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grimsby won 2.
- In recent matches, Grimsby has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Gillingham is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Grimsby is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Grimsby: Gardner C.
(Hamstring Injury)
Tharme D.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Gillingham: Masterson C.
(Calf Injury)
Williams E.
(Shoulder Injury)
- There are questionable in Grimsby: Brown H.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Gillingham: Little A.
(Knock)
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Grimsby won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 1.2:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Grimsby won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Grimsby Town won against Gillingham?
Grimsby Town has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gillingham won against Grimsby Town?
Gillingham has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Grimsby Town - Gillingham were as follows:
28.01.2025
Grimsby Town
-
Gillingham
1:1
01.10.2024
Gillingham
-
Grimsby Town
0:1
16.03.2024
Gillingham
-
Grimsby Town
1:1
02.09.2023
Grimsby Town
-
Gillingham
2:0
14.02.2023
Gillingham
-
Grimsby Town
2:1
Latest results of Grimsby Town
Latest results of Gillingham
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Walsall | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 19:12 | 7 | 26 |
| 2 | Swindon | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 24:19 | 5 | 25 |
| 3 | MK Dons | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 26:13 | 13 | 24 |
| 4 | Grimsby | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 25:15 | 10 | 24 |
| 5 | Gillingham | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 18:12 | 6 | 22 |
| 6 | Chesterfield | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 23:20 | 3 | 22 |
| 7 | Salford | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 18:17 | 1 | 22 |
| 8 | Notts Co | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 23:15 | 8 | 21 |
| 9 | Cambridge Utd | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 16:13 | 3 | 21 |
| 10 | Barnet | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 16:13 | 3 | 20 |
| 11 | Crewe | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 17:16 | 1 | 19 |
| 12 | Fleetwood | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 19:19 | 0 | 19 |
| 13 | Bromley | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 19:17 | 2 | 18 |
| 14 | Colchester | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 21:18 | 3 | 17 |
| 15 | Barrow | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 11:13 | -2 | 17 |
| 16 | Bristol Rovers | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 14:21 | -7 | 17 |
| 17 | Oldham | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 10:10 | 0 | 15 |
| 18 | Tranmere | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 20:18 | 2 | 14 |
| 19 | Harrogate | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 15:20 | -5 | 14 |
| 20 | Accrington | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 11:14 | -3 | 12 |
| 21 | Shrewsbury | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 10:20 | -10 | 12 |
| 22 | Cheltenham | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 9:25 | -16 | 11 |
| 23 | Crawley | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 10:22 | -12 | 9 |
| 24 | Newport | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 11:23 | -12 | 8 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
