Grimsby Town vs Gillingham – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

18/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Blundell Park (Cleethorpes).

League Two - Round 13
Referee: Kennard-Kettle Z. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.05	0.22
Ball Possession
77%	23%
Total shots
23	3
Shots on target
8	2
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
6	2
Passes
86% (503/583)	40% (67/166)
Yellow Cards
4	6
Red Cards
0	2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.05	0.22
xG on target (xGOT)
1.11	0.15
Total shots
23	3
Shots on target
8	2
Shots off target
9	1
Blocked Shots
6	0
Shots inside the Box
13	2
Shots outside the Box
10	1
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
6	2
Touches in opposition box
65	10
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
3	1
Free Kicks
17	14
Passes
86% (503/583)	40% (67/166)
Long passes
46% (18/39)	31% (21/67)
Passes in final third
83% (217/260)	29% (22/75)
Crosses
19% (5/26)	27% (3/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.81	0.30
Throw-ins
23	15
Fouls
14	17
Tackles
56% (10/18)	64% (14/22)
Duels won
68	65
Clearances
32	45
Interceptions
7	12
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	7
xGOT faced
0.15	1.11
Goals prevented
0.15	0.11

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
27', Kabia J. 🟨,
33', Hutton R. 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
50', Green K. 🟨,
56', Rodgers H. 🟨,
58', 1 - 0, Vernam C. (Pen),
58', Palmer-Houlden S. ↓, Nevitt E. ↑,
59', Andrews J. ↓, Vokes S. ↑,
60', Williams J. 🟨,
63', Williams J. 🟨,
65', Dack B. ↓, Little A. ↑,
66', Coleman E. 🟨,
66', Little A. 🟨,
79', Vernam C. ↓, Soonsup-Bell J. ↑,
80', Walker J. ↓, Khouri E. ↑,
83', Gale S. 🟨,
84', Clark M. 🟨,
87', Clark M. ↓, Cirino L. ↑,
88', Kabia J. ↓, Rose D. ↑,
90+8', 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Grimsby Town
46.1%

Draw
28.9%

Gillingham
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.4%

26.6%

23%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8%

23.6%

25.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grimsby Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Gillingham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grimsby Town than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gillingham than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Grimsby Town - Gillingham Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↑ (1.86)	3.29 ↓ (3.52)	3.98 ↓ (4.07)	3.9% (6.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Grimsby Town - Gillingham?

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Grimsby will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Grimsby (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grimsby won 2.
In recent matches, Grimsby has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Gillingham is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Grimsby is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in Grimsby: Gardner C. (Hamstring Injury) Tharme D. (Inactive)
There will not play in Gillingham: Masterson C. (Calf Injury) Williams E. (Shoulder Injury)
There are questionable in Grimsby: Brown H. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Gillingham: Little A. (Knock)
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Grimsby won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 1.2:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Grimsby won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).

How many head-to-head matches has Grimsby Town won against Gillingham?

Grimsby Town has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Gillingham won against Grimsby Town?

Gillingham has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Grimsby Town - Gillingham were as follows:

28.01.2025 Grimsby Town - Gillingham 1:1

01.10.2024 Gillingham - Grimsby Town 0:1

16.03.2024 Gillingham - Grimsby Town 1:1

02.09.2023 Grimsby Town - Gillingham 2:0

14.02.2023 Gillingham - Grimsby Town 2:1

Latest results of Grimsby Town

11.10.2025 Grimsby Town - Colchester United 1:2 ✺

07.10.2025 Grimsby Town - Doncaster Rovers 0:3 ✺

04.10.2025 Salford City - Grimsby Town 0:2 ✺

27.09.2025 Grimsby Town - Cheltenham Town 7:1 ✺

20.09.2025 Barnet - Grimsby Town 3:0 ✺

Latest results of Gillingham

11.10.2025 Gillingham - Cheltenham Town 1:1 ✺

07.10.2025 Colchester United - Gillingham 2:1 ✺

04.10.2025 Milton Keynes Dons - Gillingham 3:2 ✺

27.09.2025 Gillingham - Harrogate Town 0:1 ✺

20.09.2025 Newport County - Gillingham 1:3 ✺

English League Two Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bromley	39	22	13	4	62:36	26	79
2	MK Dons	39	21	11	7	76:40	36	74
3	Cambridge Utd	38	20	12	6	56:28	28	72
4	Notts Co	38	21	7	10	65:39	26	70
5	Swindon	39	21	6	12	63:45	18	69
6	Salford	39	21	4	14	54:48	6	67
7	Grimsby	38	17	11	10	56:40	16	62
8	Chesterfield	39	16	14	9	61:52	9	62
9	Crewe	39	17	9	13	58:47	11	60
10	Walsall	39	17	9	13	48:41	7	60
11	Oldham	37	15	13	9	44:31	13	58
12	Barnet	39	15	12	12	49:43	6	57
13	Fleetwood	39	14	12	13	48:46	2	54
14	Colchester	38	14	11	13	50:41	9	53
15	Accrington	38	13	9	16	38:42	-4	48
16	Gillingham	38	11	12	15	44:56	-12	45
17	Bristol Rovers	39	13	4	22	40:60	-20	43
18	Cheltenham	38	11	9	18	43:65	-22	42
19	Shrewsbury	39	11	8	20	37:63	-26	41
20	Tranmere	39	9	9	21	48:69	-21	36
21	Crawley	39	6	13	20	36:60	-24	31
22	Newport	39	8	7	24	39:67	-28	31
23	Harrogate	39	7	9	23	29:58	-29	30
24	Barrow	38	7	8	23	36:63	-27	29

      Promotion ~ League One
      Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ National League