Grimsby Town vs Gillingham – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

18/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Blundell Park (Cleethorpes).

League Two - Round 13
Referee: Kennard-Kettle Z. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.05	0.22
Ball Possession
77%	23%
Total shots
23	3
Shots on target
8	2
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
6	2
Passes
86% (503/583)	40% (67/166)
Yellow Cards
4	6
Red Cards
0	2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.05	0.22
xG on target (xGOT)
1.11	0.15
Total shots
23	3
Shots on target
8	2
Shots off target
9	1
Blocked Shots
6	0
Shots inside the Box
13	2
Shots outside the Box
10	1
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
6	2
Touches in opposition box
65	10
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
3	1
Free Kicks
17	14
Passes
86% (503/583)	40% (67/166)
Long passes
46% (18/39)	31% (21/67)
Passes in final third
83% (217/260)	29% (22/75)
Crosses
19% (5/26)	27% (3/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.81	0.30
Throw-ins
23	15
Fouls
14	17
Tackles
56% (10/18)	64% (14/22)
Duels won
68	65
Clearances
32	45
Interceptions
7	12
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	7
xGOT faced
0.15	1.11
Goals prevented
0.15	0.11

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
27', Kabia J. 🟨,
33', Hutton R. 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
50', Green K. 🟨,
56', Rodgers H. 🟨,
58', 1 - 0, Vernam C. (Pen),
58', Palmer-Houlden S. ↓, Nevitt E. ↑,
59', Andrews J. ↓, Vokes S. ↑,
60', Williams J. 🟨,
63', Williams J. 🟨,
65', Dack B. ↓, Little A. ↑,
66', Coleman E. 🟨,
66', Little A. 🟨,
79', Vernam C. ↓, Soonsup-Bell J. ↑,
80', Walker J. ↓, Khouri E. ↑,
83', Gale S. 🟨,
84', Clark M. 🟨,
87', Clark M. ↓, Cirino L. ↑,
88', Kabia J. ↓, Rose D. ↑,
90+8', 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Grimsby Town
46.1%

Draw
28.9%

Gillingham
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.4%

26.6%

23%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8%

23.6%

25.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grimsby Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Gillingham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grimsby Town than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gillingham than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Grimsby Town - Gillingham Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↑ (1.86)	3.29 ↓ (3.52)	3.98 ↓ (4.07)	3.9% (6.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Grimsby Town - Gillingham?

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Grimsby will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Grimsby (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grimsby won 2.
In recent matches, Grimsby has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Gillingham is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Grimsby is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in Grimsby: Gardner C. (Hamstring Injury) Tharme D. (Inactive)
There will not play in Gillingham: Masterson C. (Calf Injury) Williams E. (Shoulder Injury)
There are questionable in Grimsby: Brown H. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Gillingham: Little A. (Knock)
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Grimsby won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 1.2:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Grimsby won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).

How many head-to-head matches has Grimsby Town won against Gillingham?

Grimsby Town has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Gillingham won against Grimsby Town?

Gillingham has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Grimsby Town - Gillingham were as follows:

28.01.2025 Grimsby Town - Gillingham 1:1

01.10.2024 Gillingham - Grimsby Town 0:1

16.03.2024 Gillingham - Grimsby Town 1:1

02.09.2023 Grimsby Town - Gillingham 2:0

14.02.2023 Gillingham - Grimsby Town 2:1

Latest results of Grimsby Town

11.10.2025 Grimsby Town - Colchester United 1:2 ✺

07.10.2025 Grimsby Town - Doncaster Rovers 0:3 ✺

04.10.2025 Salford City - Grimsby Town 0:2 ✺

27.09.2025 Grimsby Town - Cheltenham Town 7:1 ✺

20.09.2025 Barnet - Grimsby Town 3:0 ✺

Latest results of Gillingham

11.10.2025 Gillingham - Cheltenham Town 1:1 ✺

07.10.2025 Colchester United - Gillingham 2:1 ✺

04.10.2025 Milton Keynes Dons - Gillingham 3:2 ✺

27.09.2025 Gillingham - Harrogate Town 0:1 ✺

20.09.2025 Newport County - Gillingham 1:3 ✺

English League Two Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bromley	34	19	11	4	58:35	23	68
2	Cambridge Utd	34	18	10	6	49:27	22	64
3	MK Dons	34	17	11	6	63:34	29	62
4	Swindon	35	19	5	11	57:41	16	62
5	Notts Co	34	18	7	9	52:33	19	61
6	Crewe	35	16	8	11	52:41	11	56
7	Salford	33	17	4	12	46:43	3	55
8	Chesterfield	34	13	14	7	52:44	8	53
9	Barnet	35	14	11	10	44:37	7	53
10	Walsall	33	15	8	10	42:36	6	53
11	Grimsby	33	14	10	9	46:37	9	52
12	Colchester	33	13	10	10	48:35	13	49
13	Accrington	34	13	7	14	37:36	1	46
14	Oldham	32	11	12	9	36:30	6	45
15	Fleetwood	33	12	9	12	43:42	1	45
16	Gillingham	33	11	11	11	41:41	0	44
17	Shrewsbury	35	10	8	17	34:54	-20	38
18	Cheltenham	33	10	6	17	34:55	-21	36
19	Tranmere	34	9	8	17	46:59	-13	35
20	Bristol Rovers	34	9	4	21	33:57	-24	31
21	Crawley	35	6	10	19	33:56	-23	28
22	Barrow	33	7	6	20	33:51	-18	27
23	Harrogate	35	6	9	20	25:52	-27	27
24	Newport	34	6	7	21	32:60	-28	25

      Promotion ~ League One
      Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ National League