Grimsby Town vs Gillingham – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Two Grimsby Town - Gillingham
Result
1:1
28/01/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: League Two - Round 29
  • Referee: Mather S. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.410.58
Ball Possession
57%43%
Goal Attempts
147
Shots on Goal
41
Shots off Goal
63
Blocked Shots
43
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
25
Shots inside the Box
103
Shots outside the Box
44
Hit the Woodwork
01
Goalkeeper Saves
03
Free Kicks
115
Offsides
10
Fouls
511
Yellow Cards
02
Throw-ins
3839
Touches in the Opposition Box
2213
Passes
68% (273/401)62% (176/285)
Passes in the final third
49% (52/107)54% (59/109)
Crosses
40% (6/15)22% (4/18)
Tackles
71% (15/21)67% (10/15)
Clearances Total
4323
Interceptions
2217

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 35', 0 - 1, Tharme D. (Own goal),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 56', Khumbeni N. 🟨,
  • 58', Khumbeni N. , Dieng T. ,
  • 65', Vernam C. , Luker J. ,
  • 69', Little A. 🟨,
  • 79', Thompson C. , Obikwu J. ,
  • 80', Nolan J. , Hawkins O. ,
  • 81', Agbinone A. , Dack B. ,
  • 90+4', Gale S. , Williams J. ,
  • 90+5', McEachran G. , Carson M. ,
  • 90+7', 1 - 1, Rose D. , Green K. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Grimsby Town
40.9%
Draw
28.8%
Gillingham
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.2% 28.2% 34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4% 27.6% 35.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Grimsby Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
  • Gillingham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grimsby Town than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gillingham than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gillingham could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Grimsby Town - Gillingham Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.32
    (2.51)
    3.27
    (3.31)
    3.11
    (2.7)
    5.9%
    (7.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Grimsby Town - Gillingham?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Grimsby will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). Gillingham will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Grimsby: 26.7%80.9%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 9 and 17).
    • Grimsby is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Gillingham has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Grimsby won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:4 (average 1.2:0.8).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Grimsby won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:1 (average 1.5:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Grimsby Town - Gillingham were as follows:
    01.10.2024 Gillingham - Grimsby Town 0:1
    16.03.2024 Gillingham - Grimsby Town 1:1
    02.09.2023 Grimsby Town - Gillingham 2:0
    14.02.2023 Gillingham - Grimsby Town 2:1
    13.09.2022 Grimsby Town - Gillingham 1:1
    Latest results of Grimsby Town
    Latest results of Gillingham
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Walsall1071215:8722
    2Swindon1070321:13821
    3Gillingham1063115:7821
    4Salford1061317:13419
    5Grimsby1053221:13818
    6Chesterfield1053218:13518
    7Bristol Rovers1052312:11117
    8Crewe1051414:11316
    9MK Dons1043316:10615
    10Cambridge Utd1043311:9215
    11Fleetwood1043315:14115
    12Notts Co1042417:12514
    13Oldham103529:6314
    14Bromley1035214:12214
    15Barnet1042412:12014
    16Harrogate1042411:12-114
    17Barrow104069:12-312
    18Tranmere924313:12110
    19Accrington92347:11-49
    20Colchester1015410:14-48
    21Crawley102268:17-98
    22Newport1012710:20-105
    23Shrewsbury101277:20-135
    24Cheltenham101184:24-204

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League