Result
2:0
30/06/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Virsliga - Round 21
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Latvia | Sportacentrs TV |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.56 | 0.83 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (266/360) | 76% (280/368) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.56 | 0.83 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.58 | 0.02 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (266/360) | 76% (280/368) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (39/75) | 33% (18/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (77/126) | 68% (61/90) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 32% (7/22) | 17% (3/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.45 | 0.82 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 42% (8/19) | 75% (12/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 62 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.02 | 1.58 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.02 | -0.42 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 37', Kluskins G. ↓, Grjaznovs A. ↑,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 49', 1 - 0, Gueye D. ⚽,
- 50', Krautmanis J. 🟨,
- 54', Oloko E. ↓, Traore A. ↑,
- 62', Morarenko S. ↓, Knapsis E. ↑,
- 62', Kalmarzy A. ↓, Gaucis R. ↑,
- 68', Druzinins D. 🟨,
- 76', Baravykas R. ↓, Borisovs R. ↑,
- 76', Dzerins R. ↓, Fjodorovs M. ↑,
- 79', Gueye D. ↓, Leidsman K. ↑,
- 79', Melnis B. ↓, Patijcuks D. ↑,
- 84', Lausic M. ↓, Purtic S. ↑,
- 88', 2 - 0, Diaw M. ⚽, Purtic S. (A),
- 90+2', Diaw M. ↓, Samba T. ↑,
Chances of winning
Liepāja
67% | Draw
19.6% | Grobiņa
13.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Liepāja has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)Grobiņa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Liepāja than the current prediction. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grobiņa than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
Liepāja - Grobiņa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.37 ↓
(1.45) |
4.68 ↑
(4.2) |
6.88 ↑
(5.7) |
8.9%
(10.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Liepāja - Grobiņa?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Liepāja will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Grobiņa will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Liepāja (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Liepāja won 3.
- Liepāja is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Grobiņa is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Liepāja is the undisputed favorite.
- We predict that Liepāja will win today's game, with odds of 1.34.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Liepāja won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:10. (average 1.9:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Liepāja won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:2. (average 2.3:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Liepāja won against Grobiņa?
Liepāja has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Grobiņa won against Liepāja?
Grobiņa has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Liepāja - Grobiņa were as follows:
10.05.2025
Grobiņa
-
Liepāja
2:0
26.10.2024
Grobiņa
-
Liepāja
1:3
03.08.2024
Liepāja
-
Grobiņa
0:1
29.05.2024
Liepāja
-
Grobiņa
3:0
18.04.2024
Grobiņa
-
Liepāja
3:2
Latest results of Liepāja
Latest results of Grobiņa
Latvian Virsliga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Riga FC | 23 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 55:15 | 40 | 58 |
| 2 | RFS | 23 | 18 | 1 | 4 | 57:20 | 37 | 55 |
| 3 | Auda | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 34:26 | 8 | 37 |
| 4 | FK Liepaja | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 38:36 | 2 | 35 |
| 5 | BFC Daugavpils | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 34:42 | -8 | 30 |
| 6 | Jelgava | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 20:25 | -5 | 27 |
| 7 | Super Nova | 23 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 26:32 | -6 | 21 |
| 8 | Tukums 2000 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 25:41 | -16 | 21 |
| 9 | Grobina | 23 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 21:44 | -23 | 19 |
| 10 | Metta | 23 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 18:47 | -29 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Nakotnes liga
