Result
1:2
25/01/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Round 20
- Referee: Oostrom I. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 1, ESPN Extra |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.42 | 0.79 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 25 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (409/489) | 69% (248/359) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.42 | 0.79 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.45 | 1.76 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 25 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 15 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 43 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (409/489) | 69% (248/359) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (21/40) | 25% (20/79) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 78% (147/189) | 58% (66/113) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (10/50) | 14% (1/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.13 | 0.53 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 22 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (8/14) | 80% (8/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 63 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.76 | 1.45 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.24 | 0.45 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 6', 1 - 0, Janse D. ⚽, Taha Y. (A),
- 12', 1 - 1, Sierhuis K. ⚽, Hubner J. (A),
- 25', Resink S. 🟨,
- 32', 1 - 2, Duijvestijn L. ⚽, Pinto I. (A),
- 35', Ihattaren M. 🟨,
- 43', Brittijn P. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 57', Resink S. ↓, Willumsson B. ↑,
- 66', Land T. ↓, Zawada O. ↑,
- 67', van Bergen T. 🟨,
- 69', Ihattaren M. ↓, Peterson K. ↑,
- 80', Rente M. ↓, Hernes T. ↑,
- 80', van der Werff D. ↓, Emeran N. ↑,
- 85', Sierhuis K. ↓, Gladon P. ↑,
- 90+3', Michut E. ↓, van Ottele S. ↑,
- 90+3', Duijvestijn L. ↓, Limnios D. ↑,
- 90+5', Taha Y. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Groningen
62.1% | Draw
23% | Fortuna Sittard
14.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Groningen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Groningen's performance.Fortuna Sittard has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Groningen than the current prediction. (-4.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortuna Sittard than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
Groningen - Fortuna Sittard Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.52 ↓
(1.67) |
4.13 ↑
(3.75) |
6.31 ↑
(4.97) |
5.7%
(6.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Groningen - Fortuna Sittard?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.25, 1st Half - Groningen (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1 - Groningen (1.82) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Groningen will win
(16 of 17 users predict this - 94.12%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.94% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Groningen will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Groningen (votes: 6 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: ) and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Groningen won 3.
- Groningen has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Fortuna Sittard is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Fortuna Sittard may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Groningen is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Groningen: Seuntjens M.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Fortuna Sittard: Bayram R.
(Knee Injury)
Dahlhaus J.
(Inactive)
Sinkgraven D.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Groningen: Vaessen E.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Fortuna Sittard: Lonwijk J.
(Inactive)
Tunjic L.
(Inactive)
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Groningen won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 18:12. (average 1.4:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Groningen won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:4. (average 1.3:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Groningen won against Fortuna Sittard?
Groningen has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fortuna Sittard won against Groningen?
Fortuna Sittard has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Groningen - Fortuna Sittard were as follows:
25.10.2025
Fortuna Sittard
-
Groningen
1:2
16.03.2025
Groningen
-
Fortuna Sittard
0:0
26.10.2024
Fortuna Sittard
-
Groningen
1:0
08.02.2024
Groningen
-
Fortuna Sittard
1:0
02.04.2023
Fortuna Sittard
-
Groningen
3:1
Latest results of Groningen
Latest results of Fortuna Sittard
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSV | 24 | 20 | 2 | 2 | 70:29 | 41 | 62 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 24 | 15 | 3 | 6 | 55:33 | 22 | 48 |
| 3 | Nijmegen | 24 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 59:40 | 19 | 43 |
| 4 | Ajax | 24 | 11 | 10 | 3 | 47:31 | 16 | 43 |
| 5 | AZ Alkmaar | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 42:38 | 4 | 39 |
| 6 | Twente | 24 | 9 | 11 | 4 | 39:26 | 13 | 38 |
| 7 | Sparta Rotterdam | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 31:40 | -9 | 37 |
| 8 | Utrecht | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 36:31 | 5 | 31 |
| 9 | Groningen | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 31:32 | -1 | 31 |
| 10 | Heerenveen | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 40:42 | -2 | 31 |
| 11 | Sittard | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 36:43 | -7 | 29 |
| 12 | Zwolle | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 34:50 | -16 | 27 |
| 13 | G.A. Eagles | 24 | 5 | 11 | 8 | 37:39 | -2 | 26 |
| 14 | Excelsior | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 26:41 | -15 | 26 |
| 15 | FC Volendam | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 26:39 | -13 | 24 |
| 16 | NAC Breda | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 25:36 | -11 | 22 |
| 17 | Telstar | 24 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 28:41 | -13 | 18 |
| 18 | Heracles | 24 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 31:62 | -31 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
