Groningen vs Fortuna Sittard – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

25/01/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Euroborg (Groningen).

Eredivisie - Round 20
Referee: Oostrom I. (Ned)
Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 1, ESPN Extra

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
2.42	0.79
Ball possession
60%	40%
Total shots
25	10
Shots on target
5	6
Big chances
2	2
Corner kicks
16	3
Passes
84% (409/489)	69% (248/359)
Yellow cards
3	2
Expected goals (xG)
2.42	0.79
xG on target (xGOT)
1.45	1.76
Total shots
25	10
Shots on target
5	6
Shots off target
11	1
Blocked shots
9	3
Shots inside the box
15	4
Shots outside the box
10	6
Hit the woodwork
1	0
Headed goals
0	1
Big chances
2	2
Corner kicks
16	3
Touches in opposition box
43	11
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	2
Free kicks
15	12
Passes
84% (409/489)	69% (248/359)
Long passes
53% (21/40)	25% (20/79)
Passes in final third
78% (147/189)	58% (66/113)
Crosses
20% (10/50)	14% (1/7)
Expected assists (xA)
2.13	0.53
Throw ins
22	12
Fouls
12	15
Tackles
57% (8/14)	80% (8/10)
Duels won
51	45
Clearances
20	63
Interceptions
6	5
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
4	4
xGOT faced
1.76	1.45
Goals prevented
-0.24	0.45

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 2)
6', 1 - 0, Janse D. ⚽, Taha Y. (A),
12', 1 - 1, Sierhuis K. ⚽, Hubner J. (A),
25', Resink S. 🟨,
32', 1 - 2, Duijvestijn L. ⚽, Pinto I. (A),
35', Ihattaren M. 🟨,
43', Brittijn P. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Resink S. ↓, Willumsson B. ↑,
66', Land T. ↓, Zawada O. ↑,
67', van Bergen T. 🟨,
69', Ihattaren M. ↓, Peterson K. ↑,
80', Rente M. ↓, Hernes T. ↑,
80', van der Werff D. ↓, Emeran N. ↑,
85', Sierhuis K. ↓, Gladon P. ↑,
90+3', Michut E. ↓, van Ottele S. ↑,
90+3', Duijvestijn L. ↓, Limnios D. ↑,
90+5', Taha Y. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Groningen
62.1%

Draw
23%

Fortuna Sittard
14.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.1%

25%

18.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58%

24.2%

18.3%

Groningen - Fortuna Sittard Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.67)	4.13 ↑ (3.75)	6.31 ↑ (4.97)	5.7% (6.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Groningen - Fortuna Sittard?

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH -0.25, 1st Half - Groningen (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Groningen (1.82) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Groningen will win (16 of 17 users predict this - 94.12%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.94% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Groningen will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Groningen (votes: 6 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: ) and 12).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Groningen won 3.
Groningen has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Fortuna Sittard is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Fortuna Sittard may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Groningen is the team to beat.
There will not play in Groningen: Seuntjens M. (Inactive)
There will not play in Fortuna Sittard: Bayram R. (Knee Injury) Dahlhaus J. (Inactive) Sinkgraven D. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Groningen: Vaessen E. (Injury)
There are questionable in Fortuna Sittard: Lonwijk J. (Inactive) Tunjic L. (Inactive)
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Groningen won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 18:12. (average 1.4:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Groningen won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:4. (average 1.3:0.7).

How many head-to-head matches has Groningen won against Fortuna Sittard?

Groningen has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Fortuna Sittard won against Groningen?

Fortuna Sittard has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Groningen - Fortuna Sittard were as follows:

25.10.2025 Fortuna Sittard - Groningen 1:2

16.03.2025 Groningen - Fortuna Sittard 0:0

26.10.2024 Fortuna Sittard - Groningen 1:0

08.02.2024 Groningen - Fortuna Sittard 1:0

02.04.2023 Fortuna Sittard - Groningen 3:1

Latest results of Groningen

18.01.2026 Heerenveen - Groningen 0:2 ✺

10.01.2026 Groningen - NAC Breda 0:0 ✺

06.01.2026 Groningen - Bodø Glimt 0:4 ✺

21.12.2025 Go Ahead Eagles - Groningen 1:1 ✺

13.12.2025 Groningen - Volendam 3:0 ✺

Latest results of Fortuna Sittard

17.01.2026 Fortuna Sittard - PSV Eindhoven 1:2 ✺

11.01.2026 Go Ahead Eagles - Fortuna Sittard 2:2 ✺

21.12.2025 Fortuna Sittard - AZ Alkmaar 4:3 ✺

17.12.2025 Fortuna Sittard - Almere City 2:3 ✺

13.12.2025 Zwolle - Fortuna Sittard 1:0 ✺

Dutch Eredivisie Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	PSV	21	18	2	1	64:25	39	56
2	Feyenoord	21	12	3	6	51:32	19	39
3	Nijmegen	20	11	5	4	52:34	18	38
4	Ajax	21	10	8	3	41:28	13	38
5	Sparta Rotterdam	21	11	2	8	27:34	-7	35
6	AZ Alkmaar	21	9	5	7	36:35	1	32
7	Twente	21	7	10	4	31:24	7	31
8	Groningen	21	9	4	8	28:26	2	31
9	Zwolle	21	7	5	9	30:43	-13	26
10	Heerenveen	20	6	7	7	32:31	1	25
11	Sittard	21	7	4	10	31:36	-5	25
12	Utrecht	20	6	6	8	30:27	3	24
13	Excelsior	21	6	5	10	22:37	-15	23
14	G.A. Eagles	20	4	10	6	31:34	-3	22
15	FC Volendam	21	4	6	11	22:36	-14	18
16	Heracles	21	5	2	14	30:53	-23	17
17	NAC Breda	21	3	7	11	23:34	-11	16
18	Telstar	21	3	7	11	25:37	-12	16

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
      Eredivisie (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie