Result
0:2
28/09/2025 at 04:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Yi League - Relegation Group - Round 27
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | Migu |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.02 | 1.55 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (234/310) | 72% (177/246) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.02 | 1.55 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.07 | 0.94 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (234/310) | 72% (177/246) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (21/50) | 24% (13/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (65/111) | 60% (42/70) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (7/30) | 8% (1/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 0.85 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 32 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 83% (19/23) | 67% (14/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 45 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.94 | 0.07 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.06 | 0.07 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 36', Liang Yibin 🟨,
- 37', Cui Shengcheng 🟨,
- 42', Chen Yuhao 🟨,
- 44', 0 - 1, Yang Youxian ⚽, Changcheng D. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 50', Changcheng D. 🟨,
- 60', Liang Yibin ↓, Fan Ruiwei ↑,
- 60', Changcheng D. ↓, Zhan Hongshen ↑,
- 62', Wang Z. 🟨,
- 65', Cui Shengcheng ↓, Yu Jingcheng ↑,
- 65', Xiong J. ↓, Zhang Hao ↑,
- 65', Huang W. ↓, Sun W. ↑,
- 69', Liang Z. 🟨,
- 81', Xia Z. ↓, Zhou Y. ↑,
- 81', Gao S. ↓, Memetimin Mewlan ↑,
- 83', 0 - 2, Zhan Hongshen ⚽, Liang Z. (A),
- 90+3', Li Jiaheng 🟨,
- 90+5', Chen Yuhao ↓, Qeyyum Parmanjan ↑,
Chances of winning
Hubei Istar
35.3% | Draw
29.9% | Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha
34.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hubei Istar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hubei Istar than the current prediction. (-3.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
Hubei Istar - Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.61 ↓
(2.95) |
3.09 ↓
(3.2) |
2.65 ↑
(2.24) |
8.5%
(9.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Guangzhou Dandelion may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Guangzhou Dandelion is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Hubei Istar won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Hubei Istar won against Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha?
Hubei Istar has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha won against Hubei Istar?
Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hubei Istar - Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha were as follows:
24.08.2025
Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha
-
Hubei Istar
1:3
Latest results of Hubei Istar
Latest results of Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha
Chinese Yi League Table
Promotion Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Guangxi Hengchen ✔ | 27 | 22 | 3 | 2 | 58:15 | 43 | 69 |
| 2 | Wuxi Wugou | 27 | 17 | 7 | 3 | 37:14 | 23 | 58 |
| 3 | Shenzhen | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 33:18 | 15 | 52 |
| 4 | Chengdu Rongcheng B | 28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 43:23 | 20 | 48 |
| 5 | Guizhou Zhucheng | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 38:30 | 8 | 46 |
| 6 | Shandong Taishan B | 27 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 38:26 | 12 | 44 |
| 7 | Nantong Haimen | 28 | 11 | 10 | 7 | 46:33 | 13 | 43 |
| 8 | Changchun Xidu | 27 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 22:21 | 1 | 40 |
Promotion ~ Jia League
Clinched Spots for Teams
Guangxi Hengchen is Qualified for Jia League
