Hubei Istar vs Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

28/09/2025 at 04:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Xinhua Road Sports Center (Wuhan).

Yi League - Relegation Group - Round 27
Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.02	1.55
Ball Possession
56%	44%
Total shots
15	6
Shots on target
2	3
Big Chances
1	2
Corner Kicks
5	2
Passes
75% (234/310)	72% (177/246)
Yellow Cards
2	5
Expected Goals (xG)
1.02	1.55
xG on target (xGOT)
0.07	0.94
Total shots
15	6
Shots on target
2	3
Shots off target
10	2
Blocked Shots
3	1
Shots inside the Box
9	4
Shots outside the Box
6	2
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
1	2
Corner Kicks
5	2
Touches in opposition box
20	10
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	2
Free Kicks
18	16
Passes
75% (234/310)	72% (177/246)
Long passes
42% (21/50)	24% (13/54)
Passes in final third
59% (65/111)	60% (42/70)
Crosses
23% (7/30)	8% (1/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.87	0.85
Throw-ins
32	18
Fouls
16	18
Tackles
83% (19/23)	67% (14/21)
Duels won
53	47
Clearances
18	45
Interceptions
7	7
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
1	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	2
xGOT faced
0.94	0.07
Goals prevented
-1.06	0.07

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
36', Liang Yibin 🟨,
37', Cui Shengcheng 🟨,
42', Chen Yuhao 🟨,
44', 0 - 1, Yang Youxian ⚽, Changcheng D. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
50', Changcheng D. 🟨,
60', Liang Yibin ↓, Fan Ruiwei ↑,
60', Changcheng D. ↓, Zhan Hongshen ↑,
62', Wang Z. 🟨,
65', Cui Shengcheng ↓, Yu Jingcheng ↑,
65', Xiong J. ↓, Zhang Hao ↑,
65', Huang W. ↓, Sun W. ↑,
69', Liang Z. 🟨,
81', Xia Z. ↓, Zhou Y. ↑,
81', Gao S. ↓, Memetimin Mewlan ↑,
83', 0 - 2, Zhan Hongshen ⚽, Liang Z. (A),
90+3', Li Jiaheng 🟨,
90+5', Chen Yuhao ↓, Qeyyum Parmanjan ↑,

Chances of winning

Hubei Istar
35.3%

Draw
29.9%

Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha
34.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.9%

28.5%

40.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.1%

27.4%

39.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hubei Istar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hubei Istar than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Hubei Istar - Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.61 ↓ (2.95)	3.09 ↓ (3.2)	2.65 ↑ (2.24)	8.5% (9.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

Preview Facts

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Guangzhou Dandelion may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Guangzhou Dandelion is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Hubei Istar won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

How many head-to-head matches has Hubei Istar won against Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha?

Hubei Istar has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha won against Hubei Istar?

Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Hubei Istar - Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha were as follows:

24.08.2025 Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha - Hubei Istar 1:3

Latest results of Hubei Istar

20.09.2025 Guangdong Mingtu - Hubei Istar 0:1 ✺

13.09.2025 Hubei Istar - Wenzhou Professional 0:1 ✺

31.08.2025 Hubei Istar - Quanzhou Yassin 0:0 ✺

24.08.2025 Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha - Hubei Istar 1:3 ✺

02.08.2025 Taian Tiankuang - Hubei Istar 2:0 ✺

Latest results of Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha

21.09.2025 Hangzhou Linping Wuyue - Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha 2:0 ✺

14.09.2025 Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha - Lanzhou Longyuan 0:0 ✺

30.08.2025 Shanghai Port B - Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha 2:2 ✺

24.08.2025 Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha - Hubei Istar 1:3 ✺

03.08.2025 Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha - Ganzhou Ruishi 1:0 ✺

Chinese Yi League Table

Promotion Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Guangxi Hengchen	30	23	4	3	62:17	45	73
2	Wuxi Wugou	30	19	7	4	42:18	24	64
3	Shenzhen	30	16	7	7	36:26	10	55
4	Chengdu Rongcheng B	30	14	9	7	48:27	21	51
5	Guizhou Zhucheng	30	15	5	10	39:34	5	50
6	Nantong Haimen	30	13	10	7	52:34	18	49
7	Shandong Taishan B	30	12	12	6	43:27	16	48
8	Changchun Xidu	30	10	11	9	24:28	-4	41

Promotion ~ League One