Hubei Istar vs Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Chinese Yi League Hubei Istar - Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha
Result
0:2
28/09/2025 at 04:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Yi League - Relegation Group - Round 27
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaMigu

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.021.55
Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
156
Shots on target
23
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
52
Passes
75% (234/310)72% (177/246)
Yellow Cards
25
Expected Goals (xG)
1.021.55
xG on target (xGOT)
0.070.94
Total shots
156
Shots on target
23
Shots off target
102
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
94
Shots outside the Box
62
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
52
Touches in opposition box
2010
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
1816
Passes
75% (234/310)72% (177/246)
Long passes
42% (21/50)24% (13/54)
Passes in final third
59% (65/111)60% (42/70)
Crosses
23% (7/30)8% (1/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.870.85
Throw-ins
3218
Fouls
1618
Tackles
83% (19/23)67% (14/21)
Duels won
5347
Clearances
1845
Interceptions
77
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
0.940.07
Goals prevented
-1.060.07

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 36', Liang Yibin 🟨,
  • 37', Cui Shengcheng 🟨,
  • 42', Chen Yuhao 🟨,
  • 44', 0 - 1, Yang Youxian , Changcheng D. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 50', Changcheng D. 🟨,
  • 60', Liang Yibin , Fan Ruiwei ,
  • 60', Changcheng D. , Zhan Hongshen ,
  • 62', Wang Z. 🟨,
  • 65', Cui Shengcheng , Yu Jingcheng ,
  • 65', Xiong J. , Zhang Hao ,
  • 65', Huang W. , Sun W. ,
  • 69', Liang Z. 🟨,
  • 81', Xia Z. , Zhou Y. ,
  • 81', Gao S. , Memetimin Mewlan ,
  • 83', 0 - 2, Zhan Hongshen , Liang Z. (A),
  • 90+3', Li Jiaheng 🟨,
  • 90+5', Chen Yuhao , Qeyyum Parmanjan ,

Chances of winning


Hubei Istar
35.3%
Draw
29.9%
Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha
34.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.9% 28.5% 40.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.1% 27.4% 39.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Hubei Istar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
  • Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hubei Istar than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
  • Hubei Istar - Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.61
    (2.95)
    3.09
    (3.2)
    2.65
    (2.24)
    8.5%
    (9.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Guangzhou Dandelion may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Guangzhou Dandelion is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Hubei Istar won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Hubei Istar - Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha were as follows:
    24.08.2025 Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha - Hubei Istar 1:3
    Latest results of Hubei Istar
    Chinese Yi League Table
    Promotion Group
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Guangxi Hengchen ✔ 29234261:154673
    2Wuxi Wugou ✔ 29187440:172361
    3Shenzhen29167636:211555
    4Guizhou Zhucheng29155939:30950
    5Chengdu Rongcheng B29139744:251948
    6Nantong Haimen291210748:341446
    7Shandong Taishan B291112638:271145
    8Changchun Xidu291011822:24-241

          Promotion ~ League One

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Guangxi Hengchen is Confirmed as championsnQualified for League One
    Wuxi Wugou is Qualified for League One