Result
1:1
12/10/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa de Primera - Clausura - Round 16
- Referee: Benitez J. (Par)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports |
 Paraguay | Tigo Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.88 | 0.88 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (238/327) | 74% (233/317) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.88 | 0.88 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 0.58 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 23 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (238/327) | 74% (233/317) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (26/61) | 42% (31/73) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (53/90) | 59% (54/91) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (6/18) | 15% (2/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.64 | 0.72 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 23 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 40% (2/5) | 69% (11/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 10 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.58 | 1.07 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.42 | 0.07 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 16', Martinich M. 🟨,
- 29', Martinich M. 🟨,
- 36', Aranda P. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Samudio A. ↓, Lezcano Olmedo T. E. ↑,
- 46', Servin T. ↓, Maidana A. ↑,
- 47', 0 - 1, Maidana A. ⚽, Rodriguez D. (A),
- 54', Maidana A. 🟨,
- 55', Benitez H. ↓, Falabella L. ↑,
- 66', Patino Martinez J. 🟨,
- 73', Maidana A. 🟨,
- 75', Fernandez F. ↓, Cabanas V. ↑,
- 76', Manzur A. ↓, Maiz A. ↑,
- 84', Rodriguez D. ↓, Ramirez I. ↑,
- 85', Barreto D. ↓, Ocampos C. ↑,
- 88', Fernandez D. ↓, Lopez M. ↑,
- 90+2', Vera E. 🟨,
- 90+3', Vera E. ↓, Vera F. ↑,
- 90+7', Sanguina J. 🟨,
- 90+9', 1 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Sportivo Ameliano
28.6% | Draw
29.3% | Guaraní Asuncion
42.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sportivo Ameliano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)Guaraní Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo Ameliano than the current prediction. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guaraní Asuncion than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
Sportivo Ameliano - Guaraní Asuncion Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.28 ↑
(3.22) |
3.18 ↓
(3.19) |
2.23 ↓
(2.27) |
6.8%
(6.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Sportivo Ameliano - Guaraní Asuncion?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Sportivo Ameliano will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Guaraní will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Guaraní (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 11 and 2).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sportivo Ameliano won 2.
- Sportivo Ameliano has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Guaraní is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Guaraní may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Guaraní could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Sportivo Ameliano won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 23:25. (average 1.4:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sportivo Ameliano won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 1.3:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Sportivo Ameliano won against Guaraní Asuncion?
Sportivo Ameliano has won 4 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Guaraní Asuncion won against Sportivo Ameliano?
Guaraní Asuncion has won 5 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sportivo Ameliano - Guaraní Asuncion were as follows:
31.07.2025
Guaraní Asuncion
-
Sportivo Ameliano
4:1
18.05.2025
Guaraní Asuncion
-
Sportivo Ameliano
1:3
10.03.2025
Sportivo Ameliano
-
Guaraní Asuncion
2:0
12.10.2024
Guaraní Asuncion
-
Sportivo Ameliano
1:1
02.10.2024
Sportivo Ameliano
-
Guaraní Asuncion
1:2
Latest results of Sportivo Ameliano
Latest results of Guaraní Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Guarani | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 39:16 | 23 | 39 |
| 2 | Cerro Porteno | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 27:17 | 10 | 33 |
| 3 | 2 de Mayo | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 21:17 | 4 | 29 |
| 4 | Nacional Asuncion | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 21:15 | 6 | 27 |
| 5 | Sportivo Trinidense | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 22:19 | 3 | 26 |
| 6 | Recoleta | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 28:26 | 2 | 25 |
| 7 | Sp. Luqueno | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 21:27 | -6 | 22 |
| 8 | General Caballero JLM | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 16:24 | -8 | 20 |
| 9 | Olimpia Asuncion | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 23:30 | -7 | 20 |
| 10 | Libertad Asuncion | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 20:20 | 0 | 19 |
| 11 | Ameliano | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 18:31 | -13 | 15 |
| 12 | Atl. Tembetary | 18 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 18:32 | -14 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
