Result
4:1
31/07/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa de Primera - Clausura - Round 5
- Referee: Benitez J. (Par)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Paraguay | Tigo Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.65 | 0.41 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (306/381) | 67% (170/255) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.65 | 0.41 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.87 | 0.13 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 20 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (306/381) | 67% (170/255) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 54% (26/48) | 40% (25/62) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (83/121) | 45% (39/86) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (3/22) | 20% (3/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.56 | 0.40 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 20 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (5/9) | 76% (13/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 60 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 34 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.13 | 1.87 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.87 | -2.13 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 8', Valdez D. 🟨,
- 19', Manzur A. 🟨,
- 36', 1 - 0, Fernandez F. ⚽, Ramirez I. (A),
- 41', 1 - 1, Valdez D. ⚽,
- 45', 2 - 1, Manzur A. (Pen),
- 45+2', Valdez D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Aranda P. ↓, Sarquis E. ↑,
- 46', Rodas E. ↓, Moreira E. ↑,
- 46', Paredes M. ↓, Benitez J. ↑,
- 56', 3 - 1, Rodriguez D. ⚽, Martinez L. (A),
- 58', Ramirez I. 🟨,
- 70', Leon M. ↓, Baez F. ↑,
- 73', Manzur A. ↓, Marecos G. ↑,
- 73', Ramirez I. ↓, Alfonso O. ↑,
- 73', Samudio A. ↓, Vera F. ↑,
- 80', Lopez M. 🟨,
- 84', Rodriguez D. ↓, Mino Amarilla C. E. ↑,
- 84', 4 - 1, Zaracho S. ⚽,
- 90', Fernandez F. ↓, Romero A. ↑,
- 90', Benitez Cabrera A. J. ↓, Gomez L. ↑,
Chances of winning
Guaraní Asuncion
38.8% | Draw
31.5% | Sportivo Ameliano
29.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Guaraní Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Guaraní Asuncion's form might have worsened.Sportivo Ameliano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guaraní Asuncion than the current prediction. (+9.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Guaraní Asuncion, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo Ameliano than the current prediction. (-5.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sportivo Ameliano, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Guaraní Asuncion - Sportivo Ameliano Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.39 ↑
(2) |
2.93 ↓
(3.28) |
3.12 ↓
(3.66) |
8%
(7.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Guaraní Asuncion - Sportivo Ameliano?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Guaraní will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Sportivo Ameliano will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Sportivo Ameliano (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 6 and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guaraní won 1.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Guaraní may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Guaraní will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Guaraní won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 21:22. (average 1.3:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Guaraní won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:12. (average 1.3:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Guaraní Asuncion won against Sportivo Ameliano?
Guaraní Asuncion has won 4 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sportivo Ameliano won against Guaraní Asuncion?
Sportivo Ameliano has won 4 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Guaraní Asuncion - Sportivo Ameliano were as follows:
18.05.2025
Guaraní Asuncion
-
Sportivo Ameliano
1:3
10.03.2025
Sportivo Ameliano
-
Guaraní Asuncion
2:0
12.10.2024
Guaraní Asuncion
-
Sportivo Ameliano
1:1
02.10.2024
Sportivo Ameliano
-
Guaraní Asuncion
1:2
07.08.2024
Sportivo Ameliano
-
Guaraní Asuncion
2:2
Latest results of Guaraní Asuncion
Latest results of Sportivo Ameliano
Paraguayan Primera Division Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cerro Porteno | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 17:9 | 8 | 20 |
| 2 | Sp. Luqueno | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13:7 | 6 | 17 |
| 3 | Guarani | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 18:9 | 9 | 16 |
| 4 | Nacional Asuncion | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 11:5 | 6 | 16 |
| 5 | Sportivo Trinidense | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12:9 | 3 | 14 |
| 6 | Libertad Asuncion | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:4 | 6 | 12 |
| 7 | General Caballero JLM | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 7:11 | -4 | 11 |
| 8 | 2 de Mayo | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 10:13 | -3 | 10 |
| 9 | Recoleta | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 12:15 | -3 | 9 |
| 10 | Olimpia Asuncion | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11:16 | -5 | 9 |
| 11 | Ameliano | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7:18 | -11 | 5 |
| 12 | Atl. Tembetary | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7:19 | -12 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
