Result
4:1
31/07/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa de Primera - Clausura - Round 5
- Referee: Benitez J. (Par)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Paraguay | Tigo Sports |
Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.65 | 0.41 |
Ball Possession |
---|
60% | 40% |
Total shots |
---|
13 | 7 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 2 |
Passes |
---|
80% (306/381) | 67% (170/255) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
3 | 2 |
Red Cards |
---|
0 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.65 | 0.41 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.87 | 0.13 |
Total shots |
---|
13 | 7 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 1 |
Shots off target |
---|
3 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
5 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
11 | 4 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
2 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 2 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
25 | 13 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 4 |
Free Kicks |
---|
18 | 20 |
Passes |
---|
80% (306/381) | 67% (170/255) |
Long passes |
---|
54% (26/48) | 40% (25/62) |
Passes in final third |
---|
69% (83/121) | 45% (39/86) |
Crosses |
---|
14% (3/22) | 20% (3/15) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.56 | 0.40 |
Throw-ins |
---|
25 | 15 |
Fouls |
---|
20 | 18 |
Tackles |
---|
56% (5/9) | 76% (13/17) |
Duels won |
---|
57 | 60 |
Clearances |
---|
34 | 33 |
Interceptions |
---|
5 | 13 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
0 | 1 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.13 | 1.87 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.87 | -2.13 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 8', Valdez D. 🟨,
- 19', Manzur A. 🟨,
- 36', 1 - 0, Fernandez F. ⚽, Ramirez I. (A),
- 41', 1 - 1, Valdez D. ⚽,
- 45', 2 - 1, Manzur A. (Pen),
- 45+2', Valdez D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Aranda P. ↓, Sarquis E. ↑,
- 46', Rodas E. ↓, Moreira E. ↑,
- 46', Paredes M. ↓, Benitez J. ↑,
- 56', 3 - 1, Rodriguez D. ⚽, Martinez L. (A),
- 58', Ramirez I. 🟨,
- 70', Leon M. ↓, Baez F. ↑,
- 73', Manzur A. ↓, Marecos G. ↑,
- 73', Ramirez I. ↓, Alfonso O. ↑,
- 73', Samudio A. ↓, Vera F. ↑,
- 80', Lopez M. 🟨,
- 84', Rodriguez D. ↓, Mino Amarilla C. E. ↑,
- 84', 4 - 1, Zaracho S. ⚽,
- 90', Fernandez F. ↓, Romero A. ↑,
- 90', Benitez Cabrera A. J. ↓, Gomez L. ↑,
Chances of winning
Guaraní Asuncion 38.8% | Draw 31.5% | Sportivo Ameliano 29.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Guaraní Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Guaraní Asuncion's form might have worsened.Sportivo Ameliano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guaraní Asuncion than the current prediction. (+9.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Guaraní Asuncion, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo Ameliano than the current prediction. (-5.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sportivo Ameliano, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Guaraní Asuncion - Sportivo Ameliano Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.39 ↑ (2) |
2.93 ↓ (3.28) |
3.12 ↓ (3.66) |
8% (7.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Guaraní Asuncion - Sportivo Ameliano?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Guaraní will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Sportivo Ameliano will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Sportivo Ameliano (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 6 and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guaraní won 1.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Guaraní may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Guaraní will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Guaraní won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 21:22. (average 1.3:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Guaraní won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:12. (average 1.3:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Guaraní Asuncion won against Sportivo Ameliano?
Guaraní Asuncion has won 4 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sportivo Ameliano won against Guaraní Asuncion?
Sportivo Ameliano has won 4 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Guaraní Asuncion - Sportivo Ameliano were as follows:
18.05.2025
Guaraní Asuncion
-
Sportivo Ameliano
1:3
10.03.2025
Sportivo Ameliano
-
Guaraní Asuncion
2:0
12.10.2024
Guaraní Asuncion
-
Sportivo Ameliano
1:1
02.10.2024
Sportivo Ameliano
-
Guaraní Asuncion
1:2
07.08.2024
Sportivo Ameliano
-
Guaraní Asuncion
2:2
Latest results of Guaraní Asuncion
Latest results of Sportivo Ameliano
Paraguayan Primera Division Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Cerro Porteno | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 13:6 | 7 | 16 |
2 | Nacional Asuncion | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 11 |
3 | Sportivo Trinidense | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10:7 | 3 | 11 |
4 | Guarani | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:3 | 5 | 10 |
5 | Sp. Luqueno | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 10 |
6 | Olimpia Asuncion | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11:10 | 1 | 8 |
7 | 2 de Mayo | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:9 | -1 | 8 |
8 | Libertad Asuncion | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:3 | 2 | 7 |
9 | Recoleta | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 6 |
10 | Ameliano | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:9 | -5 | 4 |
11 | General Caballero JLM | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1:9 | -8 | 1 |
12 | Atl. Tembetary | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4:11 | -7 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )