Grêmio Novorizontino vs Guarani – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
13/01/2026 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Paulista - Round 2
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, HBO Max, Sky+, TNT Sports, Vivo Play, Zapping

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.570.37
Ball possession
62%38%
Total shots
123
Shots on target
32
Big chances
21
Corner kicks
71
Passes
87% (466/536)79% (262/331)
Yellow cards
03
Red Cards
01
Expected goals (xG)
1.570.37
xG on target (xGOT)
2.170.51
Total shots
123
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
60
Blocked shots
31
Shots inside the box
62
Shots outside the box
61
Hit the woodwork
10
Headed goals
10
Big chances
21
Corner kicks
71
Touches in opposition box
1512
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free kicks
116
Passes
87% (466/536)79% (262/331)
Long passes
59% (30/51)49% (28/57)
Passes in final third
69% (110/160)62% (40/65)
Crosses
22% (4/18)0% (0/9)
Expected assists (xA)
0.840.15
Throw ins
1626
Fouls
611
Tackles
53% (9/17)68% (13/19)
Duels won
4242
Clearances
1724
Interceptions
713
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
21
xGOT faced
0.512.17
Goals prevented
0.510.17

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 16', Diego Torres 🟨,
  • 28', Caique Franca 🟨,
  • 31', Lucca 🟥,
  • 32', Diego Torres , Maranhao ,
  • 33', 1 - 0, Robson , Romulo (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 48', Raphael 🟨,
  • 61', Mirandinha , Dentinho ,
  • 61', Willian Farias , Ralf ,
  • 67', Romulo , Juninho ,
  • 67', Diego Galo , Helio Borges ,
  • 71', 2 - 0, Juninho , Robson (A),
  • 74', Emerson Barbosa , Renan Castro ,
  • 74', Guilherme Parede , Guilherme Cachoeira ,
  • 87', Tavinho , Vinicius Paiva ,
  • 87', Robson , Nicolas Careca ,
  • 90+1', Leo Naldi , Jean Irmer ,

Chances of winning


Grêmio Novorizontino
55.2%
Draw
27.5%
Guarani
17.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.8% 28.1% 18.1%

Grêmio Novorizontino - Guarani Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.71
(1.71)
3.37
(3.27)
5.3
(5.08)
7.1%
(8.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Grêmio Novorizontino - Guarani?
  • Users Predictions: Guarani will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 53.51%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Guarani will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Novorizontino won 2.
    • In this match, Novorizontino is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Novorizontino: Marlon (Inactive) Renato Palm (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Guarani: Maranhao (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Guarani: Mirandinha (Injury)
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Novorizontino won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 1:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Novorizontino won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 1.2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Grêmio Novorizontino - Guarani were as follows:
    13.02.2025 Guarani - Grêmio Novorizontino 0:0
    29.10.2024 Guarani - Grêmio Novorizontino 0:2
    13.07.2024 Grêmio Novorizontino - Guarani 1:1
    12.02.2024 Grêmio Novorizontino - Guarani 2:0
    30.09.2023 Guarani - Grêmio Novorizontino 2:1
    Latest results of Grêmio Novorizontino
    Latest results of Guarani
    10.01.2026 Guarani - EC Primavera 1:1
    11.10.2025 Ponte Preta - Guarani 2:0
    27.09.2025 Brusque - Guarani 3:2
    21.09.2025 Guarani - Brusque 1:0
    Brazilian Campeonato Paulista Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Novorizontino ✔ 751116:7916
    2Palmeiras ✔ 75027:6115
    3Bragantino734011:2913
    4Portuguesa74039:6312
    5Corinthians73229:6311
    6Guarani73225:6-111
    7Botafogo SP73225:8-311
    8Sao Paulo73139:11-210
    9Capivariano73136:10-410
    10Santos72326:7-19
    11Mirassol72239:638
    12Sao Bernardo72238:9-18
    13Primavera721411:12-17
    14Noroeste71428:807
    15Velo Clube71242:7-55
    16Ponte Preta ✔ 70162:12-101

          Promotion ~ Paulista (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation ~ Paulista A2

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Novorizontino is Qualified for Paulista (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    Palmeiras is Qualified for Paulista (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    Ponte Preta is Relegated to Paulista A2